Preliminary Evaluation Results Preliminary Evaluation Results Preliminary Evaluation Results Preliminary Evaluation Results Dr. Stacy Dr. Stacy Dr. Stacy Dr. Stacy Sechrist Sechrist Sechrist Sechrist University of North Carolina at Greensboro, US University of North Carolina at Greensboro, US University of North Carolina at Greensboro, US University of North Carolina at Greensboro, US Suggested citation: Sechrist, S. M. & Weil, J. D. (2014, June). The High Point OFDVI: Preliminary Evaluation Results. In D. K. Kennedy (Chair), Using Focused Deterrence to Combat Domestic Violence. Symposium presented at the John Jay College of Criminal Justice International Conference: The Rule of Law in an Era of Change: Security, Social Justice, and Inclusive Governance, Athens, Greece.
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Dr. Stacy Dr. Stacy Sechrist Sechrist - Networkncnsc.uncg.edu/wp...June-John-Jay...Presentation.pdfDr. Stacy Dr. Stacy Sechrist Sechrist University of North Carolina at Greensboro,
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Dr. Stacy Dr. Stacy Dr. Stacy Dr. Stacy SechristSechristSechristSechristUniversity of North Carolina at Greensboro, USUniversity of North Carolina at Greensboro, USUniversity of North Carolina at Greensboro, USUniversity of North Carolina at Greensboro, US
Suggested citation: Sechrist, S. M. & Weil, J. D. (2014, June). The High Point OFDVI: Preliminary Evaluation Results. In D. K.
Kennedy (Chair), Using Focused Deterrence to Combat Domestic Violence. Symposium presented at the John Jay College of
Criminal Justice International Conference: The Rule of Law in an Era of Change: Security, Social Justice, and Inclusive
Governance, Athens, Greece.
� Is offender behavior changing?
o According to DV victim interviews, they stated, “I just want the violence to stop.”
o Offender recidivism = subsequent DV-related arrest
o DV arrests: changes over time
� Is victim harm decreasing?
o Harm = reported injuries from DV arrest reports & homicides
� What will the effect of the strategy be on law enforcement resources?
o More of an exploratory question that will be important for replication
o Resources = calls for service impact
o Changes over time: pre- vs post-implementation
� For crime trend data, we must examine month-over-month trends due to seasonal variations known to be associated with crime
Year of First DV ArrestYear of First DV ArrestYear of First DV ArrestYear of First DV Arrest
Percentage of Percentage of Percentage of Percentage of FirstFirstFirstFirst----Time DV Offenders Time DV Offenders Time DV Offenders Time DV Offenders who Reoffended with a DV who Reoffended with a DV who Reoffended with a DV who Reoffended with a DV Arrest Arrest Arrest Arrest within within within within 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 yryryryr after 1st DV arrestafter 1st DV arrestafter 1st DV arrestafter 1st DV arrest
Reclassification of IP Reclassification of IP Reclassification of IP Reclassification of IP
calls for service: calls for service: calls for service: calls for service:
Sept.Sept.Sept.Sept. 2011201120112011
BBBB----list notification list notification list notification list notification
lower than year 2011lower than year 2011lower than year 2011lower than year 2011
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
A list B list C list D list
# o
f o
ffe
nd
ers
# o
f o
ffe
nd
ers
# o
f o
ffe
nd
ers
# o
f o
ffe
nd
ers
As of April 2014, only 9% of notified offenders across lists As of April 2014, only 9% of notified offenders across lists As of April 2014, only 9% of notified offenders across lists As of April 2014, only 9% of notified offenders across lists have reoffended (have reoffended (have reoffended (have reoffended (NNNN = 1024)= 1024)= 1024)= 1024)
# notified
# reoffended
2012 study
~9% of offenders notified through ~9% of offenders notified through ~9% of offenders notified through ~9% of offenders notified through
the OFDVI strategy have reoffended the OFDVI strategy have reoffended the OFDVI strategy have reoffended the OFDVI strategy have reoffended
with a DV arrest which is significantly with a DV arrest which is significantly with a DV arrest which is significantly with a DV arrest which is significantly
lower than other more traditional lower than other more traditional lower than other more traditional lower than other more traditional
without additional without additional without additional without additional associatedassociatedassociatedassociated
costscostscostscosts
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
DV arrests have DV arrests have DV arrests have DV arrests have decreased significantly decreased significantly decreased significantly decreased significantly since since since since strategy implementation, Year 2012strategy implementation, Year 2012strategy implementation, Year 2012strategy implementation, Year 2012----2013201320132013
2011
2012
2013
FULL
IMPLEMENTATION
APRIL 2012 Full implementation Apr 2012: There was a spike in DV Full implementation Apr 2012: There was a spike in DV Full implementation Apr 2012: There was a spike in DV Full implementation Apr 2012: There was a spike in DV
arrests in 2012 compared to 2011 associated with arrests in 2012 compared to 2011 associated with arrests in 2012 compared to 2011 associated with arrests in 2012 compared to 2011 associated with
-------- LE Agencies can expect an increase in DV arrests as the LE Agencies can expect an increase in DV arrests as the LE Agencies can expect an increase in DV arrests as the LE Agencies can expect an increase in DV arrests as the
strategy ramps upstrategy ramps upstrategy ramps upstrategy ramps up
However, the subsequent decrease in DV arrests However, the subsequent decrease in DV arrests However, the subsequent decrease in DV arrests However, the subsequent decrease in DV arrests
after implementation is apparent in Year 2013 as after implementation is apparent in Year 2013 as after implementation is apparent in Year 2013 as after implementation is apparent in Year 2013 as
compared to compared to compared to compared to 2012201220122012, , , , t(11) = 2.49, p = .30
Results to date for Year 2014 show a continued decrease Results to date for Year 2014 show a continued decrease Results to date for Year 2014 show a continued decrease Results to date for Year 2014 show a continued decrease
in DV arrests as compared to previous years .in DV arrests as compared to previous years .in DV arrests as compared to previous years .in DV arrests as compared to previous years .
There has been an average of There has been an average of There has been an average of There has been an average of 83.5 arrests per month YTD 83.5 arrests per month YTD 83.5 arrests per month YTD 83.5 arrests per month YTD
in 2014in 2014in 2014in 2014 as compared to the same timeframe (Janas compared to the same timeframe (Janas compared to the same timeframe (Janas compared to the same timeframe (Jan----Apr) of Apr) of Apr) of Apr) of
2012 (m = 95) and 2013 (m = 94.25)2012 (m = 95) and 2013 (m = 94.25)2012 (m = 95) and 2013 (m = 94.25)2012 (m = 95) and 2013 (m = 94.25)
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
DV arrests have continued to DV arrests have continued to DV arrests have continued to DV arrests have continued to decreasedecreasedecreasedecrease into into into into Year 2014Year 2014Year 2014Year 2014
2012
2013
2014
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
DV assaults with injuries have DV assaults with injuries have DV assaults with injuries have DV assaults with injuries have decreased decreased decreased decreased significantly significantly significantly significantly since strategy implementation, since strategy implementation, since strategy implementation, since strategy implementation,
tttt(11) = 5.52, (11) = 5.52, (11) = 5.52, (11) = 5.52, p = p = p = p = .0002 (year 2012.0002 (year 2012.0002 (year 2012.0002 (year 2012----2013)2013)2013)2013)
2012
2013
2014
FULL
IMPLEMENTATION
APRIL 2012
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
2011 2012 2013
To
tal #
of
arr
ests
re
pre
se
nte
dTo
tal #
of
arr
ests
re
pre
se
nte
dTo
tal #
of
arr
ests
re
pre
se
nte
dTo
tal #
of
arr
ests
re
pre
se
nte
dThe percentage of total DV arrests The percentage of total DV arrests The percentage of total DV arrests The percentage of total DV arrests with reported with reported with reported with reported
injuries to the victim has injuries to the victim has injuries to the victim has injuries to the victim has significantly significantly significantly significantly decreaseddecreaseddecreaseddecreased over over over over time; Year 2011 time; Year 2011 time; Year 2011 time; Year 2011 vsvsvsvs 2013.2013.2013.2013.
Calls for Service: Calls for Service: Calls for Service: Calls for Service: DVIP calls have DVIP calls have DVIP calls have DVIP calls have decreased significantlydecreased significantlydecreased significantlydecreased significantly over time since strategy over time since strategy over time since strategy over time since strategy
implementationimplementationimplementationimplementationt t t t (11) = 3.42, (11) = 3.42, (11) = 3.42, (11) = 3.42, pppp = .0057 (year 2012= .0057 (year 2012= .0057 (year 2012= .0057 (year 2012----2013)2013)2013)2013)
2011
2012
2013
2014
FULL
IMPLEMENTATION
APRIL 2012
CFS continued to decline in Year 2014 YTD where CFS continued to decline in Year 2014 YTD where CFS continued to decline in Year 2014 YTD where CFS continued to decline in Year 2014 YTD where
the average # of calls per month was lower (m= the average # of calls per month was lower (m= the average # of calls per month was lower (m= the average # of calls per month was lower (m=
165.5) as compared to same time frame (Jan165.5) as compared to same time frame (Jan165.5) as compared to same time frame (Jan165.5) as compared to same time frame (Jan----Apr) Apr) Apr) Apr)
Note: repeat calls for service to the same Note: repeat calls for service to the same Note: repeat calls for service to the same Note: repeat calls for service to the same
address are still happening but are address are still happening but are address are still happening but are address are still happening but are
stopping short of violence.stopping short of violence.stopping short of violence.stopping short of violence.
0
50
100
150
200
250
Sep-Dec Jan-Apr
209209209209
195.5195.5195.5195.5
211211211211
175.75175.75175.75175.75 181.5181.5181.5181.5
165.5165.5165.5165.5
Ave
rage
# o
f D
VIP
ca
lls f
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se
rvic
eA
vera
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# o
f D
VIP
ca
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eA
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# o
f D
VIP
ca
lls f
or
se
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eA
vera
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# o
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VIP
ca
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e
Average number of DVIP calls within each timeframe Average number of DVIP calls within each timeframe Average number of DVIP calls within each timeframe Average number of DVIP calls within each timeframe assessed has decreased over time since strategy assessed has decreased over time since strategy assessed has decreased over time since strategy assessed has decreased over time since strategy