The recent discovery of the enterotypes, three distinct clusters of microbial community composition across human population, suggests the existence of alternative stable states in the gut ecosystem (Arumugam et al. 2011). Alternative stable states of phylotype composition and transitions between these states may also arise in a dynamic manner following changes in health status or life style. We have investigated the effect of ageing on the stability landscapes of the intestinal microbiota based on potential analysis (Livina et al. (2010); Hirota et al. (2011)), a novel approach for modeling microbial and other ecosystems and their evolution across phenotypic and environmental conditions. The analysis assumes that the observations follow an underlying stochastic system with the potential function: where U(z) is the potential function of the state variable z (here microbial abundance). The latter term presents standard noise from Wiener process. The model describes the potential states of the system with respect to a continuous indicator variable t (here ageing). The corresponding FokkerPlanck equation connects the potential to the probability density p of the state variable, providing an approximation for the potential: Multiple local minima in the potential landscape indicate the existence of alternative stable attractors of microbial abundance. In the illustrated example, Bacteroides vulgatus et rel. has two stable attractors with low and high abundance, respectively, which are encountered only in elderly population. The 130 distinct genuslevel phylotypes show various stability patterns with respect to ageing a detailed stability analysis of the HITChip data collection will help to characterize the overall variability of the gut ecosystem in terms of other phenotypic and environmental variables, together with the implications of this variation for health and wellbeing. Diversity and stability analysis of the human gut microbiota from birth to retirement Leo Lahti (1), Jarkko Salojärvi (2),Anne Salonen (2), Egbert van Nes (3), Marten Scheffer (3), Willem M. De Vos (1,2) (1) Wageningen University, Laboratory of Microbiology, Netherlands (2) University of Helsinki, Department of Veterinary Bioscience, Finland (3)Aquatic Ecology and Water Quality Management group, Wageningen University, Netherlands The densely populated intestinal microbial ecosystem has a profound impact on our wellbeing, playing a central role in key bodily functions such as digestion and immune system. The intestinal microbiota carries a gene pool that exceeds 150fold the size of our own genome and is highly variable in space and time. Characterizing the overall diversity and health associations of this virtual metabolic organ forms a major challenge for contemporary human biology. Recent accumulation of highthroughput profiling data is now opening novel opportunities to characterize microbial diversity in the gut. The phylogenetic Human Intestinal Tract Chip (HITChip; RajlicStojanovic et al. 2009) provides a sensitive, standardized, and highly reproducible analysis platform to assess relative phylotype abundance across phenotypic and environmental conditions. The HITChip array has been designed to target hypervariable 16S rRNA regions of >1000 microbial specieslike phylotypes, which present the majority of the so far detected phylotypes of the human intestine. The sensitivity provided by the HITChip microarray is comparable to 200,000 NGS runs per sample (Claesson et al. 2009), allowing standardized collection of commensurable highthroughput data sets suited for largescale metaanalysis. The platform has been to date applied in a hundred individual studies, accumulating a database of 10 000 microarray experiments from fecal samples of thousands of individuals from over 10 countries. The versatile metadata of the subjects and considerable sample size provide a unique resource for investigatig the overall diversity of the gut ecosystem. Here, we analyse selected subsets of the HITChip data collection to characterize the evolution of diversity and stability of the intestinal microbiota across human life span from birth to very old age. LL has been supported by the Finnish Alfred Cordelin foundation and the Academy of Finland (decision 256950). The species richness in the gut increases rapidly during the first years of life. References Arumugam et al. Enterotypes of the human gut microbiome. Nature 473:17480, 2011. Hirota et al. Global Resilience of Tropical Forest and Savanna to Critical Transitions. Science 334:232235, 2011. Livina et al. Potential analysis reveals changing number of climate states during the last 60 kyr. Clim. Past 5:22232237, 2010. RajilićStojanović M. et al. Development and application of the human intestinal tract chip, a phylogenetic microarray: analysis of universally conserved phylotypes in the abundant microbiota of young and elderly adults. Environ Microbiol 7:173651, 2009. The principal components highlight remarkable differences in phylotype composition between children and adult populations. The 1033 specieslike and mostly unculturable phylotypes quantified by the HITChip come from 23 higherlevel taxonomic group (order and phyla), most notably Bacteroidetes and Firmicutes. Ageing and phylotype diversity in human gastrointestinal tract Stability of the gut microbiota across life span Abundance Age (y) Potential