Top Banner
30 January 2019 | Budapest Development of port Komárno (SK) Master plan | Feasibility study
26

Development of port Komárno (SK) - HUPORT.EU

Feb 12, 2022

Download

Documents

dariahiddleston
Welcome message from author
This document is posted to help you gain knowledge. Please leave a comment to let me know what you think about it! Share it to your friends and learn new things together.
Transcript
Page 1: Development of port Komárno (SK) - HUPORT.EU

30 January 2019 | Budapest

Development of

port Komárno (SK)

Master plan | Feasibility study

Page 2: Development of port Komárno (SK) - HUPORT.EU

1 Introduction

2 Project plan

3 Comparative analysis

4 Demand analysis

5 Strategic options

Page 3: Development of port Komárno (SK) - HUPORT.EU

Development of Port Komárno (SK) : | Page 3 of 26

30 January 2019 | Budapest

Goals of the Project & Current situation

Introduction

➢ Total area of the port - 64,3 ha

➢ Area of covered warehouse 0,6 ha

➢ Area of uncovered warehouse 2,6 ha

➢ Length of the loading quay 3 000 m

➢ Industrial spur length 13,8 km

➢ Number of cranes: 11, lifting capacity: 16 t

➢ Transport connection

➢ Railway from Komárno station

➢ Road from Lehárova street

Port Komárno

The project aims to develop the port to increase the utilization of waterway transport in compliance with

EU assumptions.

The development of the port will increase the employment rate.

The port development will attract the low-cost water transport and it will increase competitiveness of local

entrepreneurs.

Goals of the Project

1

2

3

Page 4: Development of port Komárno (SK) - HUPORT.EU

1 Introduction

2 Project plan

3 Comparative analysis

4 Demand analysis

5 Strategic options

Page 5: Development of port Komárno (SK) - HUPORT.EU

Development of Port Komárno (SK): | Page 5 of 26

30 January 2019 | Budapest

Master plan & Feasibility study general approach

Financialmodel

Market analysis

Base for Feasibility

Study

Selected development

OPTION

Master plan inputs

Discussions with experts

Technical and operational

inputs

Phase 1 (September 2018 – February 2019)

Phase 2 (February 2019 – February 2020)

Definition of catchment area

Export/import ratio

Demand & Commercial analysis

Base for MASTER

PLAN

Port technical and areal capacity

Comparative analysis

Analysis of Danube river

Comparable ports selection

Indicative estimation of demand

Development optionsMulti-criteria matrix

& SWOT analysis

Historical production in catchment area

Identification of potential customers

Identification of relevant segments

Historical volumes in PP Komarno

Spatial planning limitations

Technical limitations 7 options evaluated

Revenue driving inputs

Economic environment

Political environment

Market overview

Demand analysis inputs

MASTER PLAN

&

FEASIBILITY

STUDY

Project plan

Page 6: Development of port Komárno (SK) - HUPORT.EU

1 Introduction

2 Project plan

3Comparative

analysis

4 Demand analysis

5 Strategic options

Page 7: Development of port Komárno (SK) - HUPORT.EU

Development of Port Komárno (SK): | Page 7 of 26

30 January 2019 | Budapest

Comparable ports selection

Port Komárno

City: Komárno

Country: Slovakia

Location on Danube: 1,770 km

Area: 643,000 m²

Yearly volume: 85 ths. tonnes

TOP 3 reloaded commodities:

grain, crude materials, fertilizers

Length of loading quay: 3,000 m

Number of cranes: 7

Warehouse area: 34,427 m²

Highway access: yes (M1 – 9 km)

Railway access: yes

Year-round service: yes

Port Passau

City: Passau

Country: Germany

Location on Danube: 2,233 km

Area: 250,000 m²

Yearly volume: 471 ths. tonnes

TOP 3 reloaded commodities:

animal feed, grain, fertilizers

Length of loading quay: 650 m

Number of cranes: 3

Warehouse area: 83,155 m²

Highway access: yes

Railway access: yes

Year-round service: yes

Port Straubing

City: Straubing

Country: Germany

Location on Danube: 2,312 km

Area: 2, 200,000 m²

Yearly volume: 795 ths. tonnes

TOP 3 reloaded commodities:

biomass, grain, chemicals

Length of loading quay: 1,050 m

Number of cranes: 5

Warehouse area: 35,000 m²

Highway access: yes (A3 - 16 km)

Railway access: yes

Year-round service: yes

Comparative analysis

Port Kelheim

City: Kelheim

Country: Germany

Location on Danube: 2, 411 km

Area: 850,000 m²

Yearly volume: 348 ths. tonnes

TOP 3 reloaded commodities:

fertilizers, raw materials, agro

Length of loading quay: 1 200 m

Number of cranes: 5

Warehouse area: 45,000 m²

Highway access: yes (B16 – 1 km)

Railway access: yes

Year-round service: yes

Page 8: Development of port Komárno (SK) - HUPORT.EU

Development of Port Komárno (SK) : | Page 8 of 26

30 January 2019 | Budapest

KPIs & Findings

Comparative analysis

PortKomárno

Port Passau

PortKelheim

Port Kelheim

COMPARABLE PORTS FINDINGS FROM ANALYSIS

▪ Taking into consideration actual reloaded volume in PP Komárno, operating

area of port is above average >>> low utilization of area (10-25 time less)

>>> low utilization of manipulation facilities (7-20 times less)

▪ PP Komárno do not provide comparable amount of additional services -

waste management, fuel supply

▪ There is 1-2 commodities dominating reloaded volumes >>> finding used in

demand analysis

▪ Comparable ports are co-operating with industrial parks (or even built their

own industrial parks in port area) – absent in PP Komarno

▪ Mobile cranes and mobile manipulation facilities are dominant in

comparable ports

▪ Minimum transport distance is 200-300 km from port, optimal distance is

500km+

▪ Capital investments (without maintenance CapEx) are high (Kelheim, Baja)

▪ Similar warehouse area offered in PP Komárno - but needs to be upgraded

Source: hafen-straubing.de, bayerhafen.de, hafenkelheim.de, portofbaja.hu,

Nemecká štatistická ročenka prepravy na Dunaji 2017

Comparative analysis

AreaLength of loading

quayNumber of cranes Volume

KPI No. 1

Area Utilization

KPI No. 2

Manipulation facilities utilization

m² m Pcs. T Reloaded volume / loading quay Reloaded volume / number of cranes

Straubing 2,200,000 1,050 5 795,000 757 159,000

Kelheim 850,000 1,200 7 348,000 290 49,714

Passau 250,000 650 3 327,000 503 109,000

Komárno 643,000 3,000 11 84,967 28 7,724

Table: Calculation of KPIs a

Source: hafen-straubing.de, bayerhafen.de, hafenkelheim.de, portofbaja.hu, Nemecká štatistická ročenka prepravy na Dunaji 2017

Page 9: Development of port Komárno (SK) - HUPORT.EU

1 Introduction

2 Project plan

3 Comparative analysis

4Demand

analysis

5 Strategic options

Page 10: Development of port Komárno (SK) - HUPORT.EU

Development of Port Komárno (SK) : | Page 10 of 26

30 January 2019 | Budapest

Methodology

1

2

3

4

5

Definition of catchment area

• Radius, specifics, exceptions and conjunction, geographical characteristic

• Macroeconomic and commercial characteristic

Identification of relevant segments followed by analysis of segments

• Actual segments – analysis of current state – historical and current transhipment volumes

• Potential segments – comparative analysis & Danube river analysis, potential in segments

Identification of potential customers

• Based in catchment area

• Research and cold calling

Market size estimate

• Export and import volumes in defined segments

• Dominant export and import destination in segments

Identification of drivers of potential

• Trend and potential analysis, outputs from potential customers research

• Analysis of historically transhipped commodities in PP Komarno, Danube river analysis

Indicative estimate of potential volume reloaded in PP Komarno

• Based on identified drives and port capacity

• Pricing strategy, additional services, business development activity >>> impact on final volume

Demand analysis

Page 11: Development of port Komárno (SK) - HUPORT.EU

Development of Port Komárno (SK) : | Page 11 of 26

30 January 2019 | Budapest

Outline of adjusted catchment area

➢ Number of legal entities in the selected segments:

792

➢ Potential for transport: dry load, bulk load,

granulate, large-size cargo, containers

➢ Train infrastructure: Bratislava, Budapest, Nitra,

Levice, Nové Zámky

➢ Road infrastructure: M1 – 5 km, R1 – 75 km,

planned R7 – 30 km

Geographic and macroeconomic characteristics of catchment area

➢ Range: 95 km

➢ Exception: part on the Hungarian

site of Danube

➢ Adjustment: intersection with

catchment area PP Bratislava

➢ Total area: 6,800 km²

➢ Population: 780,000

➢ Number of districts: 7

➢ GDP (PPP) 2017: EUR 14,000m

Commercial characteristics

Catchment area

PP KomárnoExpected

catchment area

PP Bratislava

Demand analysis

Page 12: Development of port Komárno (SK) - HUPORT.EU

Development of Port Komárno (SK): | Page 12 of 26

30 January 2019 | Budapest

Trnava region

Area: 4,145 km²

Population: 561,165

GDP (PPP): 13,702 EURm

Unemployment: 2,62%

Nitra district

Area: 871 km²

Population: 161 025

Unemployment: 2,9%

Free labour force: 2 405

Average wage: EUR 1 016

Nové Zámky district

Area: 1 347 km²

Population: 140 171

Unemployment: 3,71%

Free labour force: 2 651

Average wage: EUR 896

Levice district

Area: 1 551 km²

Population: 111 761

Unemployment: 5,44%

Free labour force: 3 017

Average wage: EUR 1 033

Šala district

Area: 356 km²

Population: 52 185

Unemployment: 3,32%

Free labour force: 883

Average wage: EUR 997

Dunajská Streda district

Area: 1 075 km²

Population: 121 028

Unemployment: 2,91%

Free labour force: 1 856

Average wage: EUR 907Komárno district

Area: 1 100 km²

Population: 102 295

Unemployment: 5,24%

Free labour force: 2 795

Average wage: EUR 856

Galanta district

Area: 642 km²

Population: 93 952

Unemployment: 2,05%

Free labour force: 1 033

Average wage: EUR 935

Geographic & commercial characteristics

Nitra region

Area: 6,344 km²

Population: 684,922

GDP (PPP): 13,216 EURm

Unemployment: 3,46%

Slovakia

GDP(PPP): 84,985 EURm

GDP(PPP/inhabitant): 15,613 EUR

GDP growth: 3,4%

Unemployment: 8,1%

Average wage: 954 EUR

Demand analysis

Page 13: Development of port Komárno (SK) - HUPORT.EU

Development of Port Komárno (SK): | Page 13 of 26

30 January 2019 | Budapest

WOOD

CONTAINERS

STEEL

WASTE

CHEMISTRY

Revenue 2017: 33 EURm

Revenue growth: 2 %

Industry: paper packaging

Revenue 2017: 15 EURm

Revenue growth: 8 %

Industry: agriculture

Revenee 2017: 111 EURm

Revenue growth: 0 %

Industry: chemistry

Revenue 2017: 397 EURm

Revenue growth: 10 %

Industry: chemistry

Revenue 2017: 47 EURm

Revenue growth: 28 %

Industry: metallurgy

AGRICULTURE

AUTOMOTIVE

RAW

MATERIALS

Companies from segments in catchment area

Demand analysis

Companies in catchment area

➢ 8-9 main segments

➢ Dominant area: agriculture commodities

➢ New opportunity: biomass, automotiveRevenue 2017: 145 EURm

Revenue growth: -19 %

Industry: agriculture

Page 14: Development of port Komárno (SK) - HUPORT.EU

Development of Port Komárno (SK) : | Page 14 of 26

30 January 2019 | Budapest

Historický vývoj prekladu VP Komárno

0

5 000

10 000

15 000

20 000

25 000

Wood Chemistry Iron & steel Raw materials

Vo

lum

e in

to

nes

IMPORT in Komárno port 2013-2017

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

➢ Wood– main commodity – wooden pellets

- one timer in 2013 with impact to 2014 –

no movement in last 3 years

➢ Chemistry – fertilizers – stable import at

level 5,000-20,000 tons

➢ Iron & steel – iron products and over-sized

steel construction

➢ Raw materials – cola and iron ore –

declining trend

0

20 000

40 000

60 000

80 000

100 000

120 000

140 000

Agriculture Chemistry Iron & steel Raw materials

Vo

lum

e in

to

nes

EXPORT in Komárno port 2013-2017

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

*Note: commodities included in segments

Agriculture – corn, wheat soy, oilseed rape, barley

Chemistry – fertilizers, saltpetre

Steel & iron – iron, steel grates, steel construction

Raw materials – manganese, coal, coke, iron ore

Wood – wooden pellets

➢ Agricultural commodities – growth

trend up to 2016 – accounts for 45%-

85% of transhipment volume

➢ Chemistry – fertilizers – slowly

diminishing export at level 10,000 tons

➢ Iron & steel – higher amount only in

2014

➢ Raw materials – growing trend in 2015-

2017

Commodities for export

Commodities for import

Historical development of 4 key segments in Komárno port in 2013 - 2017

Historical transhipment in Komárno port

Source: VP a.s

Source: VP a.s

Demand analysis

Page 15: Development of port Komárno (SK) - HUPORT.EU

Development of Port Komárno (SK) : | Page 15 of 26

30 January 2019 | Budapest

Trend analysis on Danube river

Segment Trend High potentialAverage potentialLow potential

Construction

Renewables and

recyclable

materials

Agriculture and

forestry

Petrochemicals

Raw materials

Machines

Containers

Chemicals

• Cement

• Bricks

• Iron• Steel

• Sand

• Artificial fertilizers

• Polymers

• Nitrates

• Used plastics

• Glass

• Waste wood

• Paper

• Wood

• Rape• Sugar cane

• Biothanol

• Biodiesel

• Wheat

• Corn

• Soya

• Crude oil

• Gasoline

• LNG

• Coal

• Salt

• Cisterns

• Gas

• Cars

• Tractors

• Transformers and generators

Demand analysis

Source: Report of Danube perspectives 2016, Danube Logistics report 2017, danube-logistics.info

Page 16: Development of port Komárno (SK) - HUPORT.EU

Development of Port Komárno (SK) : | Page 16 of 26

30 January 2019 | Budapest

Danube river

➢ Lower Danube >>> Port Constanta to Port Beograd –

dominant part – steel 7 iron industry – 14,000 tkm

transit

➢ Middle Danube >>> Port Beograd to Port Wien – 5,000

tkm transit

➢ Upper Danube >>> Port Wien to Port Regensburg –

2,000 tkm transit

13 622

4 733

2 238

0

2 000

4 000

6 000

8 000

10 000

12 000

14 000

Lower Danube Middle Danube Upper Danube

Transported volumes on Danube (tkm) River Danube

Demand analysis

Source: Danube Logistics report 2017

➢ 6 dominant segments

➢ Agriculture & plan production – seasonality, competition

with LKW

➢ Iron & steel – production potential of manufacturing

plants in area is 10,000 ths. tons

➢ Growing segments (not incl. in graph) – inputs in

biomass, waste management, containers

Source: Danube Logistics report 2017

Main sectors in Middle Danube area

Direction of transported commodities in Middle

Danube area

➢ Agriculture commodities – 100% upstream

➢ Iron ore – 100 % downstream

➢ Fertilizers, metallurgy products – combined

➢ Coal – declining trend

0

500

1 000

1 500

2 000

2 500

Agriculturecommodities

Iron ore Steel & Ironindustry

Chemistry -fertilizers

Oil Coal

Typology of transported commodities in location Mohacs „MiddleDanube“ (ths. tonnes)

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Page 17: Development of port Komárno (SK) - HUPORT.EU

1 Introduction

2 Phases of the project

3 Comparative analysis

4 Demand analysis

5Strategic

options

Page 18: Development of port Komárno (SK) - HUPORT.EU

Development of Port Komárno (SK) : | Page 18 of 26

30 January 2019 | Budapest

Development options

Strategic options

WAITING POSITIONS SHORT-TERMWAITING POSITIONS LONG-TERMPERSONAL PORTWAITING POSITIONS FOR CABINE SHIPSCARGO PORTRAILWAY LINE

➢ Retention of current state without any

additional changes

Option No.

0

Characteristic Option working

name:

„Zero“

Page 19: Development of port Komárno (SK) - HUPORT.EU

Development of Port Komárno (SK) : | Page 19 of 26

30 January 2019 | Budapest

Development options

Strategic options

WAITING POSITIONS SHORT-TERMWAITING POSITIONS LONG-TERMPERSONAL PORTWAITING POSITIONS FOR CABINE SHIPSCARGO PORTRAILWAY LINE

Option working

name:

„Location Veľký

Harčáš“

➢ East pool used for personal port

and cabin ships (tourism)

➢ Access to Danube for inhabitants

and visitors of Komárno city

➢ Port in a new location of

development area determined by

zoning plan with the possibility of

developing industrial zone

➢ Separation of operation from the city

Option No.

1a

Characteristic

Page 20: Development of port Komárno (SK) - HUPORT.EU

Development of Port Komárno (SK) : | Page 20 of 26

30 January 2019 | Budapest

Development options

Strategic options

WAITING POSITIONS SHORT-TERMWAITING POSITIONS LONG-TERMPERSONAL PORTWAITING POSITIONS FOR CABINE SHIPSCARGO PORTRAILWAY LINE

Option No.

1b

Option working

name:

„Location Veľký

Harčáš - reduction“

➢ East pool used for personal port and

cabin ships (tourism)

➢ Access to Danube for inhabitants

and visitors of Komárno

➢ Separation of operation from the city

➢ Option 1.a on reduced area

➢ Port in a new location of

development area determined by

zoning plan with the possibility of

developing of industrial zone

Characteristic

Page 21: Development of port Komárno (SK) - HUPORT.EU

Development of Port Komárno (SK) : | Page 21 of 26

30 January 2019 | Budapest

Development options

Strategic options

WAITING POSITIONS SHORT-TERMWAITING POSITIONS LONG-TERMPERSONAL PORTWAITING POSITIONS FOR CABINE SHIPSCARGO PORTRAILWAY LINE

Option working

name:

„BOAT inside the

pool“

➢ Construction of parking for ships at

vertical edge

➢ 3 positions for reloading in a length

of 500 m, 3 waiting positions in a

length of 300 m

➢ Assumption

➢ Peak time reloading max. 6

000 t/day, year performance of

the port 0,6 mil ton.

2

Option No. Characteristic

Page 22: Development of port Komárno (SK) - HUPORT.EU

Development of Port Komárno (SK) : | Page 22 of 26

30 January 2019 | Budapest

Development options

Strategic options

➢ Construction of parking for ships at vertical

edge

➢ 3 positions for reloading in a total length of

500 m

➢ 3 waiting positions in a total length of 300 m

WAITING POSITIONS SHORT-TERMWAITING POSITIONS LONG-TERMPERSONAL PORTWAITING POSITIONS FOR CABINE SHIPSCARGO PORTRAILWAY LINE

Option working

name:

„BOAT on the

river“

➢ At the bridging of the pool position Ro-

Ro for reloading of trucks

➢ Assumption

➢ Peak time reloading max. 6 000

tons/day, year performance of

the port 0,6 mil ton.

3a

Option No. Characteristic

Page 23: Development of port Komárno (SK) - HUPORT.EU

Development of Port Komárno (SK) : | Page 23 of 26

30 January 2019 | Budapest

Development options

Strategic options

➢ Sub-option 3.a, which is in compliance with new municipal

plan of the city of Komárno (valid from 09/2018)

WAITING POSITIONS SHORT-TERMWAITING POSITIONS LONG-TERMPERSONAL PORTWAITING POSITIONS FOR CABINE SHIPSCARGO PORTRAILWAY LINE

Option working

name:

„Municipal plan

compliance - EP “

3b

Option No. Characteristic

Page 24: Development of port Komárno (SK) - HUPORT.EU

Development of Port Komárno (SK) : | Page 24 of 26

30 January 2019 | Budapest

Development options

Strategic options

➢ Construction of parking for ships at

vertical edge

➢ 6 positions for reloading with total

length of 600 m

WAITING POSITIONS SHORT-TERMWAITING POSITIONS LONG-TERMPERSONAL PORTWAITING POSITIONS FOR CABINE SHIPSCARGO PORTRAILWAY LINE

Option working

name:

„West pool “

➢ Assumption

➢ Peak time reloading max. 12

000 t/day, year performance

of the port 1,8 mil ton.

4

Option No. Characteristic

Page 25: Development of port Komárno (SK) - HUPORT.EU

Development of Port Komárno (SK) : | Page 25 of 26

30 January 2019 | Budapest

Development options

Strategic options

➢ Construction of parking for ships at

vertical edge

➢ 2 positions for reloading in a total

length of 300 m

WAITING POSITIONS SHORT-TERMWAITING POSITIONS LONG-TERMPERSONAL PORTWAITING POSITIONS FOR CABINE SHIPSCARGO PORTRAILWAY LINE

Option working

name:

„River Váh“➢ Assumption

➢ Peak time reloading max. 4 000

tons/day, year performance of

the port 0,6 mil ton.

5

Option No. Characteristic

Page 26: Development of port Komárno (SK) - HUPORT.EU

EY | Assurance | Tax | Transactions | Advisory

About EY

EY is a global leader in assurance, tax, transaction and advisory services. The insights and quality services we deliver help build trust and confidence in the capital markets and in economies the world over. We develop outstanding leaders who team to deliver on our promises to all of our stakeholders. In so doing, we play a critical role in building a better working world for our people, for our clients and for our communities.

EY refers to the global organization, and may refer to one or more, of themember firms of Ernst & Young Global Limited, each of which is a separate legal entity. Ernst & Young Global Limited, a UK company limited by guarantee, does not provide services to clients. For more information about our organization, please visit ey.com.

© 2018 Ernst & Young, s.r.o. | Ernst & Young Audit, s.r.o. | E & Y Valuations s.r.o.All Rights Reserved.

This material has been prepared for general informational purposes only and is not intended to be relied upon as accounting, tax, or other professional advice. Please refer to your advisors for specific advice.

ey.com