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Development of Global Ionospheric Electron Density Monitoring System Using FORMOSAT-7/COSMIC-2 Charles Lin 1 , Chi-Yen Lin 2 , Tiger Jann-Yenq Liu 2 , Chia-Hung. Chen 1 and Wei-Han Chen 1 , Tomoko Matsuo 3 1 Department of Earth Science, National Cheng-Kung University, Tainan, Taiwan 2 Institute of Space Science, National Central University, Jhong-Li, Taiwan 3 NOAA/SWPC and Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO, USA
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Development of Global Ionospheric Electron Density Monitoring System Using FORMOSAT-7 ...aoswa4.spaceweather.org/presentationfiles/20161026/G4-5.pdf · 2016. 10. 31. · Development

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Page 1: Development of Global Ionospheric Electron Density Monitoring System Using FORMOSAT-7 ...aoswa4.spaceweather.org/presentationfiles/20161026/G4-5.pdf · 2016. 10. 31. · Development

Development of Global Ionospheric Electron Density Monitoring System Using

FORMOSAT-7/COSMIC-2

Charles Lin1, Chi-Yen Lin2, Tiger Jann-Yenq Liu2, Chia-Hung. Chen1 and Wei-Han Chen1, Tomoko Matsuo3

1Department of Earth Science, National Cheng-Kung University, Tainan, Taiwan

2Institute of Space Science, National Central University, Jhong-Li, Taiwan

3NOAA/SWPC and Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO, USA

Page 2: Development of Global Ionospheric Electron Density Monitoring System Using FORMOSAT-7 ...aoswa4.spaceweather.org/presentationfiles/20161026/G4-5.pdf · 2016. 10. 31. · Development

FORMOSAT-3/COSMIC

FORMOSAT-7/COSMIC-2

Page 3: Development of Global Ionospheric Electron Density Monitoring System Using FORMOSAT-7 ...aoswa4.spaceweather.org/presentationfiles/20161026/G4-5.pdf · 2016. 10. 31. · Development

F-3/C: 30 days 2-hrs data spin-up

F-7/C-2: 2-hrs data spin-up

1-hr

1-hr

day-to-day ionosphere variability

Page 4: Development of Global Ionospheric Electron Density Monitoring System Using FORMOSAT-7 ...aoswa4.spaceweather.org/presentationfiles/20161026/G4-5.pdf · 2016. 10. 31. · Development

Daily global electron density - TACC product

data assimilation of RO Iono. TECs

Full Kalman filter

Page 5: Development of Global Ionospheric Electron Density Monitoring System Using FORMOSAT-7 ...aoswa4.spaceweather.org/presentationfiles/20161026/G4-5.pdf · 2016. 10. 31. · Development

Physical Model

Data Assimilation Results

Ensemble Kalman filter DA

Assimilation of Ne profile Assimilation of RO Iono. TECs

Page 6: Development of Global Ionospheric Electron Density Monitoring System Using FORMOSAT-7 ...aoswa4.spaceweather.org/presentationfiles/20161026/G4-5.pdf · 2016. 10. 31. · Development

Ionospheric Data Assimilation Model

ModelObservations

Ionosonde/digisonde

ISR

GPSTEC

GPS RO

IVM

Airglow/EUV Imager

FPFIM

IFM

IPM

TIEGCM

SAMI-3

GAIA

Method

3D-Var

4D-Var

KF

EnKF

LETKF

[O]

[U]

[V]

[TN]

[O+]

[Ne]

Global distribution of ground-based GNSS

and FORMOSAT-3/COSMIC

26 September 2011 Geomagnetic Storm

state

variables

Page 7: Development of Global Ionospheric Electron Density Monitoring System Using FORMOSAT-7 ...aoswa4.spaceweather.org/presentationfiles/20161026/G4-5.pdf · 2016. 10. 31. · Development

GPSTEC TIEGCM

Prior

(forecast)

Posterior

(nowcast)

Storm time data assimilation (10-min assimilation cycle)

[Chen et al., 2016]

Page 8: Development of Global Ionospheric Electron Density Monitoring System Using FORMOSAT-7 ...aoswa4.spaceweather.org/presentationfiles/20161026/G4-5.pdf · 2016. 10. 31. · Development

Heelis Weimer

Assimilation for 2015 St. Patrick Storm

High Lat. Forcing

• Diff. high lat. forcing

• Heelis & Weimer

• 10-mins cycle

Chen et al., 2016 shows that if assimilation cycle is 60 mins., the result is similar to NO assimilation.

• Un-obs. state var.

Tn, V, U, [O], [O2]

adjusted based on each of

their relationships with TEC[Matsuo et al., 2012; Lee et al., 2012; Hsu et al., 2015; Chen et al., 2016]

• Indicating importance of

driving force of the

background model

P–25 Chia-Hung Chen

Page 9: Development of Global Ionospheric Electron Density Monitoring System Using FORMOSAT-7 ...aoswa4.spaceweather.org/presentationfiles/20161026/G4-5.pdf · 2016. 10. 31. · Development

Forecast time/error @ various latitudes

DART/TIEGCM-Weimer DART/TIEGCM-Heelis

High

Mid.

Low

P–25 Chia-Hung Chen

Page 10: Development of Global Ionospheric Electron Density Monitoring System Using FORMOSAT-7 ...aoswa4.spaceweather.org/presentationfiles/20161026/G4-5.pdf · 2016. 10. 31. · Development

Storm-time eastward E-field adjustments2015 St. Patrick’ Day storm (17 March)

Joshi et al., [2016]

Ionosonde-derived PRE vertical drifts

After assimilation

without assimilation

+++

———

+++

———

Heelis model as high latitude

convection specifications.

Dusk eastward E-field appears

after assimilation of TECs.

ExB @ dusk of 16/17 March

Heelis ~ 31 / 78.8 m/s

Weimer ~ 25 / 129.4 m/s

Page 11: Development of Global Ionospheric Electron Density Monitoring System Using FORMOSAT-7 ...aoswa4.spaceweather.org/presentationfiles/20161026/G4-5.pdf · 2016. 10. 31. · Development

Diff

.

Diff

.

3-days before the storm, during quiet time (14 March 2015)

PRE

Background model under-estimated the pre-reversal enhancement (PRE) effect and it is adjusted by the assimilation

Page 12: Development of Global Ionospheric Electron Density Monitoring System Using FORMOSAT-7 ...aoswa4.spaceweather.org/presentationfiles/20161026/G4-5.pdf · 2016. 10. 31. · Development

J. M. Retterer, JGR 2010

PRE of vertical driftor eastward E-field

Page 13: Development of Global Ionospheric Electron Density Monitoring System Using FORMOSAT-7 ...aoswa4.spaceweather.org/presentationfiles/20161026/G4-5.pdf · 2016. 10. 31. · Development

Prominent plasma bubbles occurred on 14 March 2015 due to strong PRE

Page 14: Development of Global Ionospheric Electron Density Monitoring System Using FORMOSAT-7 ...aoswa4.spaceweather.org/presentationfiles/20161026/G4-5.pdf · 2016. 10. 31. · Development

GPS-ROTI

Page 15: Development of Global Ionospheric Electron Density Monitoring System Using FORMOSAT-7 ...aoswa4.spaceweather.org/presentationfiles/20161026/G4-5.pdf · 2016. 10. 31. · Development

plasma bubbles

RF beacon scintillation/tomography

RO Scintillation

S4

IVM δN

GPS Satellite

It is time to go for plasma

bubble forecast model

Page 16: Development of Global Ionospheric Electron Density Monitoring System Using FORMOSAT-7 ...aoswa4.spaceweather.org/presentationfiles/20161026/G4-5.pdf · 2016. 10. 31. · Development

Summary

• FORMOSAT-3/COSMIC promotes ionosphere data assimilation model.

• FORMOSAT-3/COSMIC provides new insights to ionospheric plasma structure in climatology point of view; FORMOSAT-7/COSMIC-2 will be able to provide day-to-day global ionosphere variability. New data product will be available in data center.

• Through assimilation of Ne and TEC, ionosphere E-field can be improved. The E-field in evening (Pre-reversal enhancement) is a key driver for plasma bubble generation.

• With ExB drifts (COSMIC-2, ICON), beacon transmitter & RO-S4 (COSMIC-2), neutral temp. & winds (ICON), neutral compositions (GOLD, ICON), we could move forward to the assimilation model of smaller scale ionosphere structure (irregularities).