An age-old problem developing solutions for funding retirement
1 An age-old problem: developing solutions for funding retirement
contentsContents
5 Foreword
8 CIIanalysis:Thescaleoftheproblem
8 Summary
9 Longevity
10 Lifeinsurance
11 TheState
12 Thegeneralpublic
14 Barrierstolong-termsavings
16 Theattractionofproperty
17 Long-termcareinsurance
18 TheGovernment’sresponse
21 Willthesereformsbeenough?
24 Whattheexpertssay
25 Asnapshotofthearguments
26 SteveWebb,MP(MinisterofPensions)
27 BillGalvin(ThePensionsRegulator)
29 DrYvonneBraun(AssociationofBritishInsurers)
31 DrAdamMarshall(BritishChambersofCommerce)
32 LawrenceChurchill(NESTCorporation)
34 StevenCameron(AEGON)
36 PhilHickley(AxaUK)
38 DrRosAltmann(SagaGroup)
40 RonnieMorganandRobinNimmo(ScottishLife)
42 DavidNish(StandardLife)
43 ProfessorPhilipBooth(InstituteofEconomicAffairs)
45 ChrisCurry(PensionsPolicyInstitute)
46 DrPatrickNolan(Reform)
48 WendyvandenHende(PersonalFinanceEducationGroup)
50 JackieSpencer(MoneyAdviceService)
53 ConclusionandCIIview
56 Whotocontact
5 An age-old problem: developing solutions for funding retirement
foreword
An age-old problem: developing solutions for funding retirement Raisingtheleveloflong-termsavingsforretirementisatoughandcomplextask,withnoeasysolutions
andnofoolproofmethodtotestnewideas.Itisalsosomethingthatpolicymakersandtheindustry
havebeenwrestlingwithforyears–attemptingtodeveloplastingsolutionsinthefaceofaconstantly
changingeconomicandregulatoryenvironment,aswellasincreasinglongevity.Perpetualreformbrings
itsownproblemsaseachroundleavesconsumersandsaversnotjustbaffled,butalsolesswillingto
wanttoengageinasystemthatissubjecttoconstanttinkering.
Thisreportcapturesthecurrentdebate,andprovidessuggestionsabouthowwecantacklethis
importantpublicpolicyissue.Itaddressespensionsandlong-termcareaspartofthesameproblem:the
publicmustsavesignificantlymoreforretirement.
Ourreportbeginswithanoverviewofthescaleoftheretirementproblem.Wedemonstrate,witha
simpletheoreticalmodel,thepotentialcostsfacingtheaveragepersonabouttoenterretirementonce
long-termcareanddebthavebeenaddedtotheequation.Wethenusethisasabasisforcalculating
whatthetotalsizeofthepensionsgapmightlooklikeforallthoseretiringoverthenextfortyyears.In
turnwesummarisethecurrentstateoftheGovernment’sreformsandaskwhetherthiswillincreasethe
levelofsavingssufficiently.
Thisisfollowedbycontributionsfromarangeofexpertsinthepensionsdebate,includingtheMinister
forPensions,SteveWebb,MP.Theexpertsprovidetheirconsideredviewsonthechallengesweface,as
wellwhatpossiblesolutionscouldlooklike.Weareverygratefultoeachofthemfortheircontributions,
whichprovidedifferentandoriginalinsightsintothisimportantissue.
Finally,weconcludebyemphasisingthreeareasthattheCIIbelievesareparticularlyimportantinthe
battletoincreaselong-termsavings:educationaboutsavingforthefuture,trustinfinancialproducts
andadvice,andthestabilityofthefuturesavingslandscape.
Overthenextfewyears,theseage-oldissueswillberevisitedasevidenceaboutwhatworksandwhat
doesn’tfiltersthrough.Thekeyhoweveristoensurethatthiscurrentroundofreformsgiveconsumers
andsaverstheconfidencetheyneedtoengage,andultimately,tosaveforretirement.
David Thomson
DirectorofPolicy&PublicAffairs
TheCharteredInsuranceInstitute
5May2011
8 An age-old problem: developing solutions for funding retirement
Summary• Increasing longevity poses the dual challenge of ensuring that
individuals have enough income for a comfortable life during retirement and sufficient funds to cover the costs of long-term care.
• Increasing longevity also poses a risk to those providers (state and private sector alike) that guarantee the pensions of final salary scheme members. In response, savers are likely to discover that pension benefits will become far less generous over the next twenty years.
• As people face the prospect of reduced retirement income it is very likely that they will be tempted to rely on the state to cover the shortfall. This is a big gamble: in many cases we can be reasonably sure that state benefits will not provide a comfortable lifestyle in retirement, nor cover the costs of long-term care.
• As things currently stand, those entering retirement have not anticipated or planned for the costs of living that they are about to face. Currently many pre-retirees have little savings and carry the burden of significant debts just at a time when their incomes are about to fall.
• Our simple illustrative model suggests that, using the current replacement rate of roughly 30%, the average pensioner would fall short when trying to secure an enough income to adequately cope with day to day living expenses and provide for the costs of long-term care. Assets, including property, may have to be used in order to bridge the gap, and even then the state may eventually have to get involved.
• Saving more, paying down debts and above all else planning for the costs of retirement will be crucial if people want to be sure to avoid having to sell off a large proportion of their accumulated wealth during retirement in the future. It will also help to ease the burden on the taxpayer of paying for our elderly as this proportion of the population increases.
• In the UK there are however, significant barriers to long-term saving including complexity surrounding the UK’s tax system, trust issues due to mis-selling scandals and uncertainties about the future, and a low level awareness about the scale of the challenge that will face individuals entering retirement. Reforms to pensions and long-term care must tackle each of these in turn.
• In response, the Government is introducing a wide range of measures which are likely to change the pensions landscape over the next twenty years and a review of long-term care is also underway. More debate and evidence is needed in order to understand the likelihood of success and identify what else must be done to improve the retirement incomes of the UK’s elderly.
CII analysis: the scale of the problem
9 An age-old problem: developing solutions for funding retirement
CII analysis: the scale of the problemLongevityIncreasing longevity is likely to lead to an increasing proportion of the population demanding
income during retirement for longer and requiring long-term care at some point during their lifetime.
Continuingimprovementstohealthcareandchangestopeoples’workinglivesareensuringthatan
increasingnumberandproportionoftheUKpopulationliveswellbeyondretirementage.According
totheOfficeofNationalStatistics(ONS),in1981lifeexpectancyforwomenwas76.7,by2004-2006it
hadincreasedto81.3.1Overthenexttwentyyearsitisestimatedthatthisdemographictrendissetto
continue–theresultbeingtoincreasethepercentageoftheUK’spopulationthatare65oroverfrom
16%to23%.2
Aslongevityincreases,theproportionofpeoplewhoareveryoldwillgrowthefastest–withthe
numberofpeopleover90expectedtonearlytrebleoverthenexttwentyyears.Asaresultofthis
trend,itisexpectedthatolderpeoples’demandforcareandsupportwillincreasebyaroundtwo-
thirdsoverthenexttwodecades,assumingthatdisabilityratesbyagewillremainconstant.3
Onaverage,aroundoneinthreewomenandoneinfivemenaged65areexpectedtoenteracare
homewiththeriskofenteringresidentialcareincreasingwithage.Currentlytheaveragecarehome
costs£26,000peryearandtheaveragestayistwoyears–thoughasignificantproportionstayfor
morethanfour.4
1ONSstatisticsquotedinSwissRe(Dec2009),The Insurance Report: The Cost of Doing Nothing,p.102Ibid3TheCommissiononFundingofCareandSupport(Dec2010),Call for evidence on the future funding of Care and Support,p.84Ibidp.14
10 An age-old problem: developing solutions for funding retirement
Life insurance
With increasing longevity pensions will become less attractive as private pension schemes look to
control the rising costs of provision.
Thoseprovidingpensionproducts,particularlylifeinsurancecompanieshavebeenaffectedby
increasinglongevity.Overthelastdecadetherehasbeenlimiteddemandforlifeinsurancebusiness
withpremiuminflowsremainingstatic.Atthesametime,manypensionschemeshavehadtopayout
greateramountsaspeoplehavemadeclaimsforlonger.Theoveralleffecthasbeenanetoutflowof
businessastotalclaimsincurredhasbecomegreaterthantotalpremiuminflows.
Figure 1: UK Life Sector Net Business Flows
-30
-20
-10
10
0
20
30
40
50
60
20062005200420032002200120001999
percent (%)
2007 2008 2009
Net business flows
Source:FinancialServicesAuthority(FSA)RetailConductRiskOutlook,February2011,p.38.
Note: New business flows are the excess of premium inflows over claims incurred as a percentage of
claims incurred.
Inresponsetothissustainabilitychallenge,manyemployerswithintheprivatesectorareintheprocess
ofreplacingdefinedbenefitschemes,whichguaranteeaspecificincomestreamduringretirement,with
definedcontributionschemeswhichprovidearetirementincomedependentonthelevelofcontributions
made.In2008,ofthoseprivatesectoremployeesthatwerecoveredbyapension,34%werecoveredby
adefinedbenefitscheme–downfrom55%adecadeearlier.5Thetrendthereforeisforlessgenerous
offeringsforthosewhowishtocontributetoaprivatesectorpension.
Changesarealsooccurringwithregardstopublicsectorpensions.TheHuttonCommissionrecently
recommendedthatpublicsectorpensionsmovefromfinalsalaryschemestocareeraverage
schemesandthattheretirementageofmostpublicsectorstaffshouldincreaseinlinewiththeState
PensionAge.6
5DavidPitt-Watson(Dec2010),Tomorrow’s Investor: Building the Consensus for a People’s Pension in Britain,RoyalSocietyofArtsProjects,p.116IndependentPublicServicePensionsCommission(March2011),Final Report
11 An age-old problem: developing solutions for funding retirement
The StateThe taxpayer will only foot part of the bill – achieving an adequate pension and paying for long-term
care will often be down to the individual.
Theoverallconsequenceofimprovedlongevityisthatpayingforretirementwillbecomemoreexpensive
fortheindividual,increasingthetemptationtorelyonthestateforsupportduringretirement.However,
relyingontheStatemaynotprovideanindividualwithanadequateretirementincomestream,norwillit
necessarilyprotectanindividualintheeventofillhealthordisability.
TheOrganisationforEconomicCooperationandDevelopment(OECD)definesanadequateretirement
incomeasequatingto70%ofpre-retirementincome.However,aftertakingaccountofallretirement
incomestreamsincluding State Pension and any additional benefits,theaveragereplacementrate
intheUKforlowearners(thosewithpreretirementincomesof£15,750)iscurrently51%providing
aretirementincomeofjust£7,875perannum(afterincometaxandsocialsecurity)andforaverage
earners30.8%providingjust£9,702perannum.7
InresponsetothislowreplacementratetheGovernment’spension’sreforms(discussedindetailbelow)
arefocusedmoreonincentivisingincreasedlong-termsavingsratherthanprovidingmoreStatesupport
–thoughitshouldbenotedthattheStatepensionislikelytoriseintimebutnotenoughtomeetthe
70%replacementrate.Inthisenvironment,peoplewillgenerallyneedtosavemoretogeneratean
‘adequate’sourceofincomeduringretirement.
ManyindividualswillalsonotbeabletorelyontheStatetofundmostofthecostsattachedtolong-
termcare.Thecurrentruleisthatanyonewithassetsworth£23,250orabovewillbeexpectedtopay
fortheircareneedsandinmostcases,thevalueofanypropertyownedwillbeincluded.Thereare
importantexceptionstothisrulesuchasifthereisasurvivingspouselivinginthehouseorifthehome
ownersalterthetermsofownershipoftheproperty.8Thereisalsostatesupportwhichcanamounttoa
maximumof£71.40perweek9inAttendanceAllowanceandaRegisteredNursingCareContributionof
£108.7010perweektohelpcovernursinghomefees.Nevertheless,evenwiththeseadditionalformsof
Statesupportalargeproportionofthepopulationwouldbeexpectedtocoverasubstantialchunkofthe
costsoflong-termcare.
CII analysis: the scale of the problem
7OECD(2009),United Kingdom: Highlights from OECD Pensions at a Glance 8EmmaSimon(July2009),Long-term Care: How to Beat the Meanest of Means Tests,Telegraph9FiguresobtainablefromDirectGovwebsite:
http://www.direct.gov.uk/en/MoneyTaxAndBenefits/BenefitsTaxCreditsAndOtherSupport/Disabledpeople/DG_1001871010BrownlowWealthManagementLtd(April2010),Factsheet: Registered Nursing Care Contribution
12 An age-old problem: developing solutions for funding retirement
The general public: high in debt, low in savingsWith paying for retirement being increasingly the responsibility of the individual, it is vital that people
start saving more now and pay off their debts before they reach retirement age. Evidence suggests,
however, that people are failing to act in this regard.
From1995toearly2008thesavingsratiointheUK,ameasureoftheamountofdisposableincomethat
issavedbyhouseholds,fellfromjustover10%tojustunderzero.Overthesametimeperiodhousehold
debtasaproportionofincomerosefromjustunder100%to150%.11Asaconsequenceofthisrelatively
lowsavingsandhighdebtenvironmentroughlyhalfofBritishhouseholdshavenetfinancialwealth(all
householdassetsincludingpensionslessliabilities)of£5,000orlessandaquarterofthepopulation
havenetfinancialwealththatis‘negligibleornegative’.12
Whilstitmustbenotedthatthedistributionofnetfinancialwealthdoesincreasewithworkingage,
peakingjustbeforeretirement,therearestill25%ofhouseholdsinthepre-retirementagebracket(55to
64)whohavenetwealthofaroundjust£900and50%whohavenetwealthofaroundjust£18,000.13
Forits2011reportonretirement,Avivasurveyedmorethan5,700consumersagedover55inorderto
betterunderstandthespendingandsavingtrendsoftheUK’sover55s.Oneinfiveofthisgroupsaid
thattheystillneededtorepaytheirmortgageandowedanaverageof£65,107.Overhalfofthepre-
retirees(aged55-64)didnotbelievethattheywouldbedebtfreebeforetheir65thbirthdayand16%did
notfeeltheywouldbedebtfreeby70.14
Withregardstosavings,Avivafoundthatoneinfiveoftheover55shadvirtuallynosavingsatall.Aviva
alsofoundthatthoseaged55-64aremorelikelytohavenosavingsthanthosewhoareretiring(65-74)
andthelong-termretired(75yearsorover)suggestingthat‘thenextgenerationtoretireislikelytofind
itconsiderablytougherfinanciallythantheoldergeneration.’15
Theoretical case study: our illustration of the potential costs when entering retirement
Thesetrendshavelefttheaveragepersonenteringretirementfacingapotentialshortfall.Even
aftertakingintoaccountcapitalheldinassetsthathasbeenaccumulatedoverthecourseofa
lifetime,factoringinallthetrendsdescribedabove,anaveragepensionermaynotbeabletolive
comfortablyandaffordthecostsoflong-termcare.
Considertheaveragepersonjustenteringretirement.Theirlifeexpectancyat65is17.6years
requiringaretirementincomefortheentireperiodof£388,000tomeetthereplacementrate
of70%.16Ifthestatisticsaboutpersonaldebtinretirementdescribedabovearetakeninto
account,thesepensionersmayalsobepayingdownmortgagedebtofaround£50,000overthe
periodand,iftheyareunluckyenoughtogetillmayhavetopaylong-termcarefeesforfour
years,whichwouldresultinanoutlayofroughly£104,000. The sum of all these outgoings is
about £542,000.
11 FinancialServicesAuthority(February2011)Retail Conduct Risk Outlook,p.2112 Ibidp.4413 ONS(2009),Wealth in Great Britain: Main Results from the Wealth and Assets Survey 2006/2008,pp.33–3414 Aviva(March2011)The Aviva Real Retirement Report: Issue 5,p.415 Ibidp.1016 Ourmodelmakestheassumptionthatthisincomestreamisneededtocoverallcostsotherthanlong-termcareandmortgagedebt.
13 An age-old problem: developing solutions for funding retirement
Currently,anaveragepensionergetsaretirementincomeof£9,702perannumwhichwould
equateto£171,000overa17.6yearperiod.Excludingpensions,thosejustenteringretirement
haveincomeinotherassetsworthonaverage£338,00017ofwhichthemajorityistiedupin
property.And,assumingthepensionerrequireslong-termcareduringretirement,theymaybe
abletoreceiveanadditional£37,460inStatesupportoverthefour-yearperiod.The sum of
all this potential income is £546,000,whichjustmatcheswhatthatpensionerrequiresforan
adequateincomeandtomeetlong-termcareforfouryears.
Therealityisthatmanypensionersdonotliveadequatelyduringretirement.Theirpension
incomeisinsufficientandsomeareputinthepositionwheretheyhavetousethecapitaltied
upinotherassets,includingproperty,tomeettheadditionalcostsoflong-termcare.TheState
hastointerveneonceapensioner’sassetsfallbelow£23,250,andresearchfromtheLocal
GovernmentIntelligenceUnitsuggeststhatcurrently25%ofself-fundersrunoutofmoneyand
ultimatelyfallbackonthestatesafetynet.18
Savingmoreandpayingdownalldebtsarewaysinwhichanaveragepensionercanmitigate
againsttheriskoflosingtheirassets.Intheabovescenarioforexample,ifthepensioner
successfullyachievesaretirementincomewithareplacementrateof70%andpaysoffalldebts
early,thenthiswouldensurethattheyareleftwithassetsworth£270,000.19
What this means for the overall pensions gap
InSeptember2010,AvivapublishedresearchpredictingthattheUKwillhaveanannualpensions
gapof£10,300perpersonforallthoseretiringoverthenextfortyyears,and£317.5bnoverall
perannum.20Thiscalculationlookedatthediscrepancybetweenwhatincomepeoplewillneedto
liveadequatelyduringretirementandwhattheycanexpectfromtheirpension.Itdidnotfactorin
theneedforlong-termcareorpayingdowndebt.
Tofillthisgapinthedebatewekeptmanyoftheaboveassumptionsabouttheaverageperson
enteringretirementandappliedthesetothetotalpopulationexpectedtoretireoverthenext
fortyyears.21Wefurtherassumed,inlinewiththeDilnotCommission,thataquarterofthose
enteringretirementwouldrequirelong-termcareforfouryears,andthataquarterwouldalsobe
payingdowndebtsof£50,000.Inthisscenario,theaverageannualpensionsgapperpersonis
significantlyhigherthanpredictedbyAviva–£14,500perpersonperannumand£451bnoverall
perannum.Accordingtothismethodology,thetotalsizeofthepensionsgapwouldequateto
£8trillionoverthisperiod–nearlysixtimesUKGDPin2010.
CII analysis: the scale of the problem
17 ONS(2009)Assets and Wealth Survey,p.1218 J.Carr-WestandL.Thraves(March2011),Independent Aging: Council Support for Care Self-Funders, Local Government Intelligence Unit,pp.7–819 AssumesthatassetsandGovernmentcontributionsstaythesame20 Aviva(Sept2010),Mind the Gap: Quantifying the Pensions Gap in the UK21 Aviva(Sept2010)predictsthat31millionpeoplewillretireintheUKoverthenextfortyyears.
14 An age-old problem: developing solutions for funding retirement
Barriers to long-term savings If we are to tackle the current low savings environment we must understand what conditions exist to
put people off saving for retirement. Complexity, awareness and trust are three of the key factors that
have been identified by experts.
ComplexityMichaelJohnsonfromtheCentreofPolicyStudieshasarguedthatcomplexityisthemainbarrierto
savingintheUK–particularlythecomplexityofthetaxsystem.Inresponse,hispaperarguesthatthe
GovernmentshouldbringIndividualSavingsAccounts(ISAs)andallpensionsavingsclosertogetherto
combine‘theinstantaccessofISAswiththetaxadvantagesofconventionalpensionsavings’.22
Aegonalsocametotheconclusionthatthecurrentpensionsystemoftaxandotherincentivestosave
is‘verycomplex,notunderstood,anddifficulttodescribetopeople.’IndeedAEGONnotedthat‘it’s
hardtooverstatethetimeandeffortresearchersputintoexplaining–eveninsimplifiedform–thehigh
levelessentialelementsofthesystem’whenrunningfocusgroupslookingintoincentivesforlong-
termsaving.23
AwarenessAssociatedwiththeproblemsofcomplexityarelowlevelsofawarenessaboutlong-termsavings.When
reflectingonitsfocusgroupsessions,Aegonnotedthattaxadvantagesofsavingthroughapension
werenotmentionedbyparticipantsatallandthetaxbenefitsofISAswereonlymentionedonce.
Similarly,inrecentsurveyundertakenbyAvivaitwasnotedthathalfofallrespondentsthoughtthat
50%orlessofpreretirementincomewouldbesufficientduringretirement24–significantlylessthanthe
ratiossuggestedbytheOECDandtheTurnerReport.25
Lowlevelsofawarenessalsopersistregardingthecaresystem.AccordingtotheDilnotCommission’s
CallforEvidencemanypeopledonotunderstandhowthesystemcurrentlyworksincludingthat
theymayneedtopayfortheirowncare(underthemeans-testedsystem).Thereisalsoconfusion
overtheroleofdifferentpartsofstatesupport–‘forexamplewhytheNHSisfree,disabilitybenefits
areuniversal,butsocialcareismeans-tested.’Therearealsocomplicatedandmultipleassessment
processesanddifferentpartsofthecareandsupportsystemdonotalwaysworkverytogether.26
TrustLowlevelsofawareness,stemminginpartfromthecomplexityofthesystemarecompoundedby
lowlevelsoftrustfollowingmis-sellingscandals,theapparenthighcostofpensions,andacontinual
‘movingofthegoalposts’byGovernment.
22 M.Johnson(June2010),Simplification is the Key: Stimulating and Unlocking Long-term Saving,CentreforPolicyStudies,p.VIII23 AEGON(January2011),Towards More Effective Saving Incentives: AEGON’s Conclusions from Independent Research,p.724 Aviva(September2010),Mind the Gap: Quantifying Europe’s Pension Gap,p.1225 LordTurner’sCommissionsuggestedanetretirementincomeof67%ofpre-retirementnetincomeforamedianearner,70%foralowearner,and50%for
ahigherearner26 TheCommissiononFundingofCareandSupport(December2010),p.17
15 An age-old problem: developing solutions for funding retirement
Mis-selling
MichaelJohnsonarguesthattherehasbeen‘anearfatalerosionoftrust,fuelledbymis-sellingscandals,
excessivecostsandalongperiodofpoorinvestmentreturns.’Asaconsequencethepensionsindustry
facesaregulatorybacklash.Theindustrymustthereforeembracetheroundofreformsstemmingfrom
theFinancialServicesAuthority(FSA)’srecentreviewofretailinvestmentdistribution,includingraising
theprofessionalstandardsofretailinvestmentadvisers.Thiswillhelptorebuildpublictrustandenable
theindustrytoengagewiththeregulatorina‘crediblemanner’.27
ThisdeclineintrustwaswelldocumentedinasurveyundertakenbytheCIIinlate2009whichfoundthat
oneinfiverespondentswillnevertrustfinancialservicesagainand72%ofpeoplehavenotverymuchor
nottrustatallinfinancialadvisersandlifeinsuranceproviders.28
IntheirrecentRetailConductRiskOutlooktheFSAalsonotedthatpartofthereasonforlimiteddemand
forlifeinsuranceproductsoverthelastdecadehasbeentheknockoneffectof‘pensionandendowment
mis-selling,aswellastheissuessurroundingEquitableLife’.29
Costs of pensions
TheRoyalSocietyofArtsalsoproposesthattrustisattheheartofaneffectivepensionsystem.‘Savers
needtotrustthat,evenwhenthereareunforeseencircumstances,thepensionfundwillberunintheir
interests.’30Levelsoftrustare,however,likelytobenegativelyaffectedbythefactthatpensionsarefar
morecostlyintheUKthanabroad.Theauthorwrites‘thefeeschargedonpensions(intheUK)arevery
large,andofhugesignificanceindeterminingthesizeofthepension.’31Theynotethata1.5%charge
perannumtranslatesinto37.5%overthelifetimeofthepensions.Andwhatistrueforcostisalsotrue
forreturns–a1%lowerreturnwillgivea25%lowerpension.32
Inresponsetothechallengeofcreatingacheaperpensionwithbetterinvestmentreturnstheauthors
looktotheNetherlandswhichoperatesCollectiveDefinedContributionschemes.Theseschemesare
effective,theauthorsargue,becausetherisksliewiththecollectivenottheindividual,thisallowsfor
investmentinassetsyieldinghigherreturns,andthatthemembersofthecollective‘donotneedtopay
anagententirelytomitigatethisrisk,ashappenswiththepurchaseofannuities’.33
Moving the goalposts
AEGONalsonotedthatthereisageneralrecognitionthatthepensionsystemischangedonaregular
basis,andisunreliable–indeedthereisa‘strongsenseofcynicismaboutthesustainabilityofpolicy.’34
Peoplecannotbeexpectedtoeffectivelyplanforthefuturewithoutastableenvironmentinwhichto
operate,particularlywhentherearesomanyothervariables,suchasthemacroeconomicenvironment,
whichwillremainuncertain.
CII analysis: the scale of the problem
27 M.Johnson(June2010)28 CII(February2010),What we talk about when we talk about trust,p.1229 FSA(February2011),seenote11above,p.3930 D.Pitt-Watson(December2010),seenote5above,p.1931 Ibid,p.1832 Ibid,pp.17–1833 Ibid,p.2134 AEGON(January2011),seenote22above,p.7
16 An age-old problem: developing solutions for funding retirement
The attraction of propertyTherelativelylowdemandforinvestinginpensionfundsisinstarkcontrasttothedemandfor
property.Fromthe1980stothemid2000shomeownershipincreasedsubstantiallyfroman
alreadyhighlevelofaround60%to70%by2005.
Figure 2. Home Ownership in the UK 1981–2005
55%
60%
65%
70%
75%
Owner occupied % of total dwellings (RHS)
1996199119861981 200110,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
20,000
12,000
Source:CMLHousingFinanceIssue022007,p.3
AEGON’sconsumerresearchsuggestskeyattractionsofpropertyinclude‘transparency,ease
ofunderstandingandherdbehaviour/peereffect’–noneofwhicharegenerallyassociatedwith
investinginpensions.Worryinglythough,thedecisionofinvestorstofavourpropertymaybe
storingupissuesforthefutureincluding:
• ‘Aconcentrationofdemandforretailassetsinresidentialproperty,furtherfuellinganasset
pricebubble–whichwillultimatelycorrectatwhatpriceforsavers?
• Concentrationofriskforsavers–injustoneortwoassets,notevenoneortwoassetclasses;
• Furtherleveragingofthatrisk–throughtheuseofmortgagedebttoacquirethoseassets;
and
• Alackofsolutionstodecumulatepropertywealth–withoutriskofoutlivingtheirassets’35
35 N.Hurman(March2011)What Motivates Us to Save? Creating Effective Incentives for Public Engagement in Pensions,CIIThinkpieceno.52,pp.2–3(www.cii.co.uk/thinkpiece)
17 An age-old problem: developing solutions for funding retirement
Long-term care insurance Another barrier to long-term savings is the potential costs of long-term care which reduces incentives
to accumulate assets worth over £23,250. A means tested system where some pensioners must pay
‘catastrophic costs’ for care, ‘does much to undermine pension saving’.36
Inresponsetothepotentiallymassivecostsoflong-termcare,insurancecanprovidepeoplewith
protectionincaseofillhealthanddisability.However,takeupofprefundedlong-termcareinsuranceis
typicallylowrightacrosstheworldwithFranceseeingthehighestratesofaroundjust15%.
JamesLloydoftheStrategicSocietyCentrearguesthatthereasonsforlowtakeuparemainlylinked
todemandsidebarriersincludingthecostoftheproducts,uncertaintyovertheavailabilityofcare,
ignoranceoftheriskofneedingcare,inertia,andthecomplexityofproducts.Hereiteratestheview
posedbyothersthatprefundedlong-termcareinsuranceis‘neverlikelytoproveanadequateresponse
totheproblemsposedbythelong-termcarefundingsystem’.37
ThesystemthereforeneedsradicalreformandLloydpressesforastate-sponsoredpublicprivate
partnershipinsuranceschemeratherthanare-bornprefundedlong-termcareinsurancemarket.He
arguesthat‘ratherthantensofthousands’suchapartnership‘wouldresultinparticipationlevels
measurableinthetensofmillions’.38
TheCommissiononFundingofCareandSupportwassetupbyGovernmentasanindependentbody
tomakerecommendationson‘howwecanachieveanaffordableandsustainablefundingsystemfor
careandsupport,foralladultsinEngland,bothinthehomeandothersettings’.Itwilllayoutitsfinal
recommendationsinJulylaterthisyear.
CII analysis: the scale of the problem
36 JamesLloyd(February2011),Gone for Good? Pre-funded Insurance for Long-term Care,TheStrategicSocietyCentre,p.4837 Ibidp.638 Ibidp.7
18 An age-old problem: developing solutions for funding retirement
The Government’s response: changing the retirement landscape The Government’s reforms are aimed at breaking down the barriers to saving whilst minimising the
cost to the taxpayer. Whether or not in they succeed in this regard they nevertheless represent a
radical reshaping of the environment for retirement over the next two to three decades. Below is a brief
recap of what has been decided so far.
Changes to Basic State Pension
What’s changing?
• TheGovernmenthascommitteditselftorestoring the earnings link to the Basic State Pension
whichislikelytocausethestatepensiontorisemorequickly.
• TheGovernmenthasintroducedatriple guarantee,wherebypensionsareraisedbythehighestof
earnings,inflationor2.5%.
• TheGovernmenthasalsoincreased the standard minimum guaranteesothatmostPensionCredit
recipientsseethefullcashriseinBasicStatePension.
• TheGovernmentwantstointroducea‘flat-rate’ Basic State Pension for all,possiblyworthabout
£140perweek.
Implications for pensioners
• ThesechangeswillensurethatrecipientsreceivegreaterretirementincomefromtheirStatepension
andamovetoa‘flat-rate’shouldhelptosimplifythesystembyremovingtheSecondStatePension.
Age-related rule changes
What’s changing?
• TheCoalitionGovernmentplanstobringforwardbysixyearsLabour’sproposalsforincreasingthe
StatePensionAgeto66.
• Theaimisnowtoincrease the State Pension Age to 66 by 2020.Theageincreasefrom65to66will
bephased in from 2018–2020.
• TheGovernmentwillabolish the default retirement agewhichallowscompaniestoforceoutstaff
oncetheyreach65.
Implications for pensioners
• PeoplewillhavetowaitforlongerbeforetheycanreceivetheirBasicStatePensionandsomayhave
toworkforlonger.Abolishingdefaultretirementageshouldmakeiteasierforpeopletobeableto
dothis.
19 An age-old problem: developing solutions for funding retirement
CII analysis: the scale of the problemAutomatic enrolment of employees into occupational pension schemes
What’s changing?
• TheGovernmenthasimplementedaBilltomakeitlawthatallemployersmustautomaticallyenroll
theirstaffintopensionschemesregardlessofthesizeoftheirorganisation.
• Anew,Government-backedworkplacepensionschemeknownastheNationalEmploymentSavings
Trust(NEST)willbeestablishedtosupportsuccessfulimplementationofauto-enrolment.
• Theearningsthresholdatwhichemployeesareautomaticallyenrolledwillbealignedwiththe
personalallowanceforincometax(Note:from2011–12taxyear,ithasbeenconfirmedthatthebasic
personalallowanceforindividualsunder65willberaisedby£1,000,from£6,475to£7,475)
Implications for pensioners
• Automaticenrolmentshouldhelptoincreasethenumberofpeoplewhosaveforretirementby
ensuringthat,bydefault,theyareenteredintoapensionscheme.
Changing pension indexation from RPI to CPI
What’s changing?
• TheGovernmenthasdecidedtoswitchtheinflationarylinkfromtheretailpriceindex(RPI)tothe
consumerpriceindex(CPI).Thisislikelytomeanthatthe value of occupational pensions will rise
more slowlythanpreviously.
Implications
• TheDWPestimatesthatthechangewillreducepensionliabilitiesby£65.8bn.
• Theaffectofthechangewillhowever,belimitedbythe70%to80%ofprivateoccupationalschemes
withlegallybindingrulesthatspecificallylinkpensionupliftstotheRPI.Initsconsultationpaper,
theGovernmentannouncedthatitwouldnotforcetheseschemestoswitchtotheCPI.
Reforming public service pension provision
What’s changing?
• TheHuttonCommissionhasconductedanindependentreviewofthelong-termsustainabilityand
affordabilityofpublicservicepensionprovisionintheUK.
• TheCommission’sInterimReportsuggestedthatmembersofpublicservicepensionschemesshould
havetoincreasetheamountofcontributionstheymake.
• ThefinalreportrecommendedthatpublicsectorretirementagemovesinlinewiththeBasic
StatePensionAgeandthatpublicpensionschemesshouldchangefromfinalsalarytocareer
averageschemes.
20 An age-old problem: developing solutions for funding retirement
Implications
• Thesereformswillreducethefinalpensionpotsofpublicsectorstaffassumingthattheycontribute
thesameamountoftheirincomeasbefore.However,ithasbeensuggestedthatpublicsector
pensionswillstillbemoregenerousthantheirprivatesectorequivalentsafterthechangeshave
comeintoaffect.
Changes to rules on annuities
What’s changing?
• TheGovernmentischangingtherulesonannuitiessothatsaverswillbeabletoleavetheirpension
fundsuntouchedpast75,andthosethatliveonwillnothavetotaketheirbenefitsintheformofan
incomeatall.
Implications
• TheGovernmentarguesthattheproposalsmakeprivatepensionsavingmoreattractivebygiving
individualsgreaterchoiceoverhowtheycanprovidearetirementincomeforthemselvesandusethe
contributionsthattheyhavemade.
Changes to tax rules
What’s changing?
• TheGovernmenthasdecidedthatfrom April 2011,thetotalamountthatpeoplecancontributeto
theirpensionpotwithtaxreliefwillbecutfrom£255,000to£50,000.
• TheGovernmenthashowever,decidedthattax relief should be maintained at the full marginal rate
ratherthanintroducingrestrictionsonhigherratereliefasmanythoughtwouldbethecase.
• Thelifetime allowance from taxwillalsobereducedto£1.5msothatanyonecontributingmorethan
thiswillbetaxed.
Implications
• TheGovernmenthasattemptedtostrikeacompromisebetweentryingtoincreasetaxrevenuesby
targetingthelargestcontributorstopensionswithoutdeterringtoomuchsavingforthefuture.
Reforms to the provision of long-term care• TheCommissiononFundingofCareandSupportwassetupbyGovernmentasanindependentbody
tomakerecommendationson‘howwecanachieveanaffordableandsustainablefundingsystemfor
careandsupport,foralladultsinEngland,bothinthehomeandothersettings’.
• TheCommissionwillalsobelookingatfundinginthecontextofbroadersupportforolderpeople
andotherusersofcareservices.TheCommissionwillpublishitsfinalreportbytheendofJuly2011.
21 An age-old problem: developing solutions for funding retirement
CII analysis: the scale of the problemWill these reforms be enough?Theproposedchangesarewidespread–withnumerousmeasuresbeingimplementedtotackledifferent
publicpolicyissuesatthesametime.Thesheernumberofreformsmakesithardtopredictwhether
theGovernmentwillbeabletoachieveasuccessfulbalancingactbetweenimprovinglong-termsavings
whilstreducingthecostsofStateprovision.
ResearchfromAEGONincollaborationwiththePensionsPolicyInstitute(PPI)39suggeststhatthe
currentsetofreformsshouldleadtoanincreaseinthenumberofsavers,butwillnotnecessarilyleadto
increasesintheoverallstockofpensionsaving.ThisisbecauseoftheassumptioninthePPI’smodeling
thattheproportionofemployeeswhoareactivemembersofprivatesectordefinedbenefitpension
schemesfallsby80%between2006and2035.40
AEGON’sandthePPI’sresearchsuggeststhattheGovernment’sreformsingeneralmaynotbea
‘gamechanger’intermsofincreasingthesavingsratiotoalevelclosertothe70%replacementrate
recommendedbytheOECD.Thereisabigcaveatherethough–theresultsandmodellingwerebased
onafocusgroupof25people,whichmeansthattheresultsarenotrepresentativeofthepopulation
atlarge.
The scale of the challenge to increase savings is massive, and the evidence that the current set of
reforms will successfully break down barriers to saving is mixed. More debate and evidence is needed
in order to understand the likelihood of success and identify what else must be done to improve the
retirement incomes of the UK’s elderly.
On long-term care, the future is unknown as the Dilnot Commission is yet to set out its final
recommendations. Now is an opportune moment to consider this additional problem as part of a debate
about saving and preparing for retirement.
39 Theresultsofthemodellingcanbefoundin:PensionsPolicyInstitute(Jan2011),Towardsmoreeffectivesavingsincentives:areportofPPImodellingforAEGON.
40 AEGON(January2011),seenote22above,p.5
24 An age-old problem: developing solutions for funding retirement
Summary Inordertogainabetterunderstandingofwhatelsemightneedtobedonetoincreaselong-termsavingsweaskedfinancialservicesexpertstoprovidetheirviewsonthepossiblechallengesandsolutionstothisissue.Wereceivedcontributionsfromindividualsrepresenting15differentorganisationsincluding:
• ThePensionsMinister
• ThePensionsRegulator
• TheAssociationofBritishInsurers
• TheBritishChambersofCommerce
• TheNationalEmploymentSavingsTrust(NEST)Corporation
• SagaGroup
• InsuranceFirms:AEGONUK,AXA,ScottishLife,andStandardLife
• Threethinktanks:ThePensionsPolicyInstitute,theInstituteofEconomicAffairs,andReform
• Twoconsumereducationalbodies:thePersonalFinanceEducationGroupandtheMoneyAdviceService
what the experts say
25 An age-old problem: developing solutions for funding retirement
what the experts sayA snapshot of the arguments• Inhiscontribution,theMinisterforPensionsarguesthataflat-ratepensioncoupledwithautomatic
enrolmentwillprovidea‘pensionsystemfitfortheTwenty-FirstCentury’.
• AutomaticenrolmentisalsowelcomedbymanyothercontributorstothisreportincludingThe
PensionsRegulatorandtheABIwhicharguesthatthereformwillbea‘socialrevolutioninretirement
savings’.Manyofthecontributorsalsosupportthenotionofaflat-rateStatePensionwithSaga
Grouparguingthatitwillhelpfuturegenerations‘understandthatthereisonlyacertainamount
theywillgetfromtheState’.
• However,thethinktankReformisnotsopositiveontheproposedchangestothestatepension
arguingthattheflat-ratestatepensioninNewZealandisa‘majorreasonforthelowhousehold
savingsratesinthatcountry’.
• Furthermore,whilstmanycontributorswelcometheGovernment’sproposals,anumberbelievethat
moremustbedonetoensureanadequatestandardoflivinginretirement.TheABI,AEGONandAXA
areparticularlyconcernedthatsavingonly8%ofone’ssalarywillbecomethenorm.
• Inordertoensurethatsavingsareaboveandbeyondthestatutoryminimum,contributorspressfor
anumberofadditionalmeasuresincluding:
• Bettereducationandinformationforpeopleofallagesonthebenefitsoflong-termsavings.In
thiscontextsomecontributorsstresstheneedforamasscommunicationcampaign.TheABIadd
thatitisreadytoworkwiththeDWPto‘seizethisonceinagenerationopportunity’.
• Improvingunderstandingthroughfurthersimplificationofpensions.ScottishLifebelievesthat
implementationofasimplifiedadviceregimecouldhelpinthisregard.
• Improvinglevelsoftrustbyensuringamorestableandpredictablelong-termsavings
environment.TheABIandStandardLifealsobelievethattheRetailDistributionReviewcanhelp
toimproveconsumerconfidence.
• Improvingtheflexibilityofsavingsproducts.Tomeetthisaimanumberofrespondentssuggest
designingproductsthatbringISAsandpensionsclosertogether.
• Theabovesummaryrepresentsonlysomeofthethemescoveredbythecontributorsanddoes
notdojusticetotheoriginalityofmanyoftheideasandargumentsexpressedbelow.Wewould
thereforeencouragereaderstothetaketimetoconsidereachofthesubmissionsinturnandtodraw
theirownconclusions.
26 An age-old problem: developing solutions for funding retirement
Steve Webb, MP (Minister for Pensions)Thechallengeswefaceinpensionsaremorestarktodaythanever.
Whentheearningslinkwasbrokenin1980,theStatePensionwas26%ofaverageearnings.By2009it
was16%.ManyarestillmissingoutonafullBasicStatePension,particularlywomen,andlooksetto
retireonapittance.Thisisneitherfairnorsustainable.
Piecemealchangesintroducedovertime,liketheGraduatedRetirementBenefit,SERPSandS2P,have
madethecurrentsystemsocomplicatedandconfusingthatmanyhaveabsolutelynoideawhatthey
canexpectfromthestatewhentheyretire.Manyofourpoorestpensionersfacedwithsuchacomplex
means-testedsystem,failtoclaimthesupporttheyareentitledto.Theoutlookonprivatepensionsis
asbleak.Lessthanhalfofallworkerstodayaresavinginapensionand7millionpeoplearenotsaving
enoughfortheirretirement.ThenumbersofthoseintheprivatesectorsavinginaDefinedBenefit
schemehavebeenfallingfordecadestojustonemilliontoday.Ifthiscontinues,millionscouldfacean
impoverishedretirement.
Thatiswhywehaveactedurgentlytoavertapensionscrisisinthefuture.First,wehaverestoredthe
earningslinkandprovidedatripleguaranteethattheStatePensionwillincreasebywhicheverishigher:
earnings,pricesor2.5%.ThiswillmeanthatsomeoneretiringtodayonafullBasicStatePensionwill
receive£15,000moreovertheirretirementthantheywouldhavedoneundertheoldpriceslink.
Second,ourPensionsBill,currentlygoingthroughParliament,isthenextstepinhelpingmillionssave
fortheirretirementinaworkplacepension.Itwillensurethereisabalancebetweencostsandbenefits
forindividualsandamoreproportionateimpactonemployers,andbringingforwardtheincreasein
StatePensionageto66by2020,amongothermeasures.Thestatepensionageplaysanessentialrole
inensuringthatthestatepensionremainssustainableandaffordableforthefuture.Peoplewillhaveto
worklongerbuttheywillgetasimpler,betterpensionwhentheyretire.
Third,ourGreenPaper,A State Pension for the 21st Century,setsoutoptionsforasimplecontributory
flat-ratestatepension,setabovethecurrentlevelofthemeanstest,currentlyestimatedataround£140
aweek.Wewanttoseeasingle,simple,decentstatepensionthatprotectspeoplefrompovertyand
encourageseffectivesavingforretirement.
Ourproposedreformswillendinequalitiesinthecurrentsystemthatpenaliseswomen,lowearnersand
theself-employed.Peoplewillhaveclarityandcertaintyaboutwhattheywillgetfromthestateandsee
whatothersavingstheymightneed.Andtheywillknowtheywillbebetteroffinretirementiftheysave.
Wewanttoensurepeoplehavetheopportunitytosave.
Thenextgenerationwillfaceadifferentworld,withincreasinglifeexpectancy,thedeclineinfinal
salaryschemesandlowerannuityrates.Theyaregoingtohavetotakegreaterpersonalresponsibility
forsavingfortheirretirement.Reformstothestatepensionwillmakeitfairerandsimplerforfuture
pensioners.Andtheyunderpinplansforautomaticenrolmentintoworkplacepensionstoencourage
furthersaving.Thiswillbeimportantforthoselowandmiddleincomeworkerswhopreviouslyhave
neverhadopportunitytosaveinapensionbefore.Automaticenrolmentfrom2012willbringbetween
5-8millionintosavingforthefirsttime.Itisonlyfairthatgenerationswhowillbenefitfromincreasesin
longevityshareinthecosts,andwewillbelookingatoptionstomakethenewsystemmoreautomatic
inensuringfurtherrevisionsinlifeexpectancytodeterminefutureincreasesinstatepensionage.
Withastreamlined,flat-ratepensionupratedbyourtripleguarantee,andmillionsmorepeople
savingfortheirretirement,wecanmakesure,atlast,thatwehaveapensionsystemfitforthe
Twenty-FirstCentury.
27 An age-old problem: developing solutions for funding retirement
Bill Galvin (Chief Executive, The Pensions Regulator)Theageingpopulationpresentspolicy-makersacrossthedevelopedworldwithoneoftheirbiggest
publicpolicychallenges:howtorequire,incentiviseornudgepeopletowardsmakingadequate
provisionfortheirretirement.
TheUKGovernmenthasoptedforapackageofreformsdesignedtoovercomebarrierstosaving:
includingastatepensionthat’sintendedtobefairer,moregenerous,andbetter-suitedtoprovidea
retirementsavingfoundation,coupledwithautomaticenrolmentintoaqualifyingworkplacepension
scheme,toprovideanearuniversalsecondtierofprovision.
ThePensionsRegulatorhasbeengivenacentralroleinmakingauto-enrolmentasuccessbyensuring
thatemployerscomplywiththeirnewduties.Employerswillneedtoautomaticallyenrolstaff,make
contributionsandregisterwithus,aswellasadheringtosafeguardstopreventstaffmembersbeing
discouragedfromsaving.
Thelargestemployerswillbesubjecttotherequirementsfromnextyear,aspartofa‘staging’process
thatwilleventuallyseethesmallestemployersautomaticallyenrollingtheirstaffin2016.
Theregulatorhasabigjobintermsofeducatingemployersofallsizesintheirnewduties,andhelping
themunderstandwhattheyneedtodoandwhen.Weintendtoestablishacultureofcompliance
amongstemployersandsolimittheamountofregulatoryactionweneedtotake.
ButthisisonlypartofourjobinsupportingtheGovernment’sdrivetoensurethatthesecondpillarof
thepensionssystemisenablingbetteroutcomesinretirementformorepeople.
Indefinedcontribution(DC)schemes,memberscarrythemajorityoftherisk,soitisparticularly
importantthatschemesarewell-runanddelivergoodvalue.Automaticenrolmentwillresultina
significantexpansionofthenumbersofpeoplesavingintoDCpensions.
Inlightofthis,werecentlypublishedadiscussiondocumentonDCschemes,lookingatwhatconstitutes
goodoutcomesformembers.Wehavesetoutsixkeyareaswhichwebelievearenecessaryfor
goodoutcomes:
• appropriatedecisionswithregardspensioncontributions;
• appropriateinvestmentdecisions;
• efficientandeffectiveadministration;
• protectionofassets;
• valueformoney;and
• appropriatedecisionsonconvertingprivatepensionsavingsintoaretirementincome.
It’simportantforeffectiveDCprovisionthatthereisnoambiguityoverwhoisactinginmembers’
interestsandhowdecisionsthataffectmembersaretaken.Thisisnotalwaysthecase,particularlyin
contract-basedschemes.Andit’salsocrucialthatthestructuresthatmanagetheseretirementsavings
arecompetent,resilientanddurable.Thiscanbeachallengefortrust-basedschemes.Theexistenceof
manysmallschemes,thewayinwhichdeferredmembersarecateredfor,andhowmembers’fundsare
treatedatretirementareallchallengesthattheindustryneedstoaddress.
what the experts say
28 An age-old problem: developing solutions for funding retirement
Anincreaseinindividualfinancialcapabilitycouldhaveabigeffecthere,forthosewhocanandwantto
takemorecontroloverprovisionfortheirretirement.Thisisalong-termproject,andwewelcomethe
presenceoforganisationssuchasthenewlyformedMoneyAdviceService.
However,intheshortterm,thechallengesfacingtheindustrycanonlybemetwithaffordablepension
provisionthatoffersinbuiltconsumerprotectionforthosememberswhowillbedefaultedinto,through
andoutofschemes.Andthatiswhatwe’rehelpingtheindustrytoworktoward.
Thepensionslandscapeischangingandissettolookverydifferentinthefuture.Thechallengefor
usistomakesurethatthecollectivedecisionsofemployers,alongwiththeiradvisers,trustees,
andtheindustryasawhole,makethereformprocessasuccessandenablegoodoutcomesfor
retirementsavers.
29 An age-old problem: developing solutions for funding retirement
Dr Yvonne Braun (Assistant Director, Savings & Retirement, Association of British Insurers)
The challenges to get people saving more
Whydopeoplenotsavemorefortheirretirement?TheABI’sconsumerresearchroutinelyasksthis
question.Byfarthemostcommonanswerfromrespondentsisthattheyhavenosparemoney.
Whenlookingatthedatabehindthisresponse,wefindthatthisanswerisgivenbyanalmostidentical
percentageofthenon-saversacrossallincomegroups.Soitwouldappearthatthisisalsoaquestion
ofpeople’sspendingpriorities–inotherwords,peopleonaverymodestincomemayindeedstruggle
tomakeendsmeetandhavenomoneytoprovideforthefuture.Peoplehigheruptheincomescale
mayfeelthattheyhavenosparemoney,butthatmayalsobebecausetheyhavechosentospendtheir
disposableincomeelsewhere,ratherthanonsavingforretirement.
Behaviouraleconomists–andcognitivescientists–havelongidentifiedthereasonsforthis:people
haveastrongfocusontheshorttermandfinditmoredifficulttoengagewiththelong-term.41Theolder,
mesolimbicpartofthebrainisresponsiblefordecisionsabouttheshortterm.Thenewerpartofthe
brain,theprefrontalcortex,isresponsiblefordecisionsaboutthelongerterm.Savingforretirement
requiresadecisioninthepresentaboutthefuture.Butinthepresent,theshort-termviewislikelyto
win.Broadlyspeaking,peoplearethereforemorelikelytospendontheircreditcardsthantheyareto
savefortheirretirement,inthesamewaythatresolutions–forexample,tostartgoingtothegymnext
week–areveryhardtokeepwhenthenextweekactuallyarrives.
However,takingdecisionsaboutretirementsavingsisfurthercomplicatedbythefactthatmanypeople
arenotawareofkeydevelopmentsaffectingretirement.Forexample,peopleroutinelyunderestimate
theirlifeexpectancybyassumingtheywilllivetothesameageastheirparents.Thereisalsoconfusion
abouthowmuchthestatepensionwillprovide–althoughtheGovernment’sdecisiontoconsultona
flat-ratesinglestatepensionwillhelpinthisrespect.
Thecomplexityofdecision-makingcanalsoactasadeterrent–forexample,peoplecanendupnot
takingadecisionwhenfacedwithmanydifferentfundstochoosefrominapension.Andpastmis-selling
scandalshaveundoubtedlyunderminedtrustinthepensionindustry.
Ithasalsonothelpedthatformanyyears,definedbenefitprovisionwastheparadigmofpension
provisionintheworkplace–andthenumbersarestilllarge:in2009,6millionpeoplewereinDefined
Benefitpensionschemes,bothpublicandprivate.Asaresult,manypeopledidnothavetoengage
muchwithretirementplanning.Thishasnotcontributedtoaculturewherepeopleengagecloselywith
providingfinanciallyfortheirretirement.
The possible solutions
Weknowthatcognitivebiasessuchaspresentbiasandinertiapreventpeoplefromtakingdecisions
aboutretirementsavings.Itisthereforerighttosetpensionsavingasthedefault,andtheABIisastrong
supporterofautomaticenrolmentintoworkplacepensionsavings.Automaticenrolmentwillbeasocial
revolutionforretirementsavings,theimportanceofwhichishardtooverestimate.
what the experts say
41 see,NicolasBarrpresentation,April2011,http://www.ebrd.com/downloads/research/news/Barr_EBRD_110401.pdf
30 An age-old problem: developing solutions for funding retirement
Automaticenrolmentwillalsotacklethecomplexityofdecision-making.Toqualifyforautomatic
enrolment,pensionschemesmustofferadefaultinvestmentfund.Thiswillbethedestinationfor
peopleunwillingtoengagewithchoosingafund,ordauntedbychoice.TheDWP’sforthcoming
guidancefordefaultfundsmakesitclearthatthesedefaultfundsmustinvolveade-riskingmechanism
–typically,switchingamember’sinvestmentsfrommorevolatiletolessvolatileassetsasthemember
approachesretirement.
However,defaultingpeopleintoworkplacepensionswillnotbeenough–wemustalsoturnthetide
andhelppeopleengagewithsavingfortheirretirement.Inthisrespect,theGovernment’srecent
commitmenttoasingle,flat-ratepensionwillbeveryhelpful.Itwillputpaidtopeople’sconfusion
abouthowmuchtheycanexpectfromthestate,andwillendthemeans-testingtrapwhichundermines
people’smotivationtosavefortheirretirementbecausetheycannotbesuretheywillreapallof
therewards.
Wealsoneedtomakesurepeopleregaintheirtrustinthepensionsindustry,whichhassufferedfrom
mis-sellingscandals.Avitalreformhereistheretaildistributionreview–itwillendtheuntenable
situationofadviserssellingproductstoconsumersonthebasisofthelevelofcommissiontheyreceive,
ratherthanwhatisinconsumers’interest.TheABIstronglysupportsthesereforms.
However,asfarastrustisconcerned,wetakeissuewithsomecommentators’statementsaboutpension
charges.Theyhavedescribedanannualmanagementchargeof1.5%asrepresentativeoftheindustry’s
currentpractices.Thishasnobasisinreality.PensionchargesintheUKarehighlycompetitive
internationally,andtheABI’smembersareroutinelypricingschemesatorbelowNEST’scharges.Itis
timeforthechargesdebatetoreturntothefacts:Ifpeoplestartsavingearly,andremainpersistent,
theircontribution,theemployercontribution,andtaxreliefshould,overtime,allowthemtoaccumulate
atidyretirementfund.
Inthiscontext,wemusttakecarethat8%ofsalarydoesnotbecomethenewsocialnormforretirement
savings.Itwouldbedangerousifpeoplearelulledintoafalsesenseofsecurityandbelievethey
have“sortedout”theirretirementneedsbyautomaticallyenrollingintoapensionschemepaying
theminimumcontribution.WebelieveitisimportantforGovernmenttostartconsideringnow
whatbehaviouraldevicesareavailabletomakepeopleincreasetheircontributions,suchas“save
moretomorrow”.
Thisbringsmetothefinalpoint.Weneedautomaticenrolmenttosucceedifwereallywanttocrack
theproblemofundersavingintheUK.TheABIbelievesthattoachievethis,weneedaconcertedmass
communicationcampaignbyallstakeholders,includingGovernment,themedia,consumerbodiesand
theindustry,toincreasepeople’sawarenessthatitisintheirbestinteresttosavegivenhowlongthey
willspendinretirement.WearereadytoworkwithDWPtoseizethisonceinagenerationopportunity.
31 An age-old problem: developing solutions for funding retirement
Dr Adam Marshall (Director of Policy, British Chambers of Commerce) AnageingpopulationisnotjustaproblemfortheGovernment,butitisalsooneforbusiness.An
increasingnumberofpeopleinretirementandadecreasingnumberinemployment,coupledwithlow
savingsrates,willallchangetheshapeofthelabourmarketandconsumersocietyintheUK.Retirement
willbecomemoreafluidconceptandbusinesswillcreateflexiblejobstotakeadvantageofthisnew
pooloflabour,thatmaynotwanttoworkfull-time,butstillmayhavealottocontributetotheeconomy.
Theso-called‘greypound’willbecomemoreinfluential,andtheprivatesectorshouldmakethemostof
theopportunitiesitpresents.
Businessdoeshavearoletoplayinencouragingsaving.BCCsupportstheprincipleofthe2012reforms,
andacceptsthe3%compulsoryemployercontributionforallqualifyingemployees.Forthefirsttime,
thepensionsindustrywillhaveacommercialincentivetocreateproductsforthosepreviouslyoutside
thenormofprivatesavings,suchasagencyworkers,orotherswithatypicalworkingpatterns.
Butthesereformscomeataprice.Ultimately,thedirectcost(thecontribution)willbeacceptedby
employersasa‘businessasusual’cost,likeNationalInsuranceContributionsorNationalMinimum
Wageuplifts.However,thehighindirectcosts(theadministration,thecomplexityofpayroll,newstarter
proceduresandexternaladvice)willputarealburdenonUKPLC,particularlysmallbusinesses,where
themarginalcostperemployeewillbehigher.
Successfulregulationworksbecausecomplianceiseasyandthelawisstraight-forward.The2012
reformsriskbeingsocomplexthatalargenumberofbusinessesdon’tcomplywiththeregulations,
eitherinfullorinpart.Thiswilldamagethecredibilityofthereforms,andleavemillionsofindividuals
stillwithoutadequatepensionsavings.93%ofUKbusinesseshavelessthan20staff.Theirowner
managersarenotemploymentlaworpensionsexpertsand,formany,hiringandmanagingstaffis
atime-consumingbutnecessarytask,notabusinessfocus.Forthoseemployers,thesereformswill
bebewildering.
Westillhaveafewyearsbeforethesesmallerfirmsaresubjecttotheirnewduties.Thisgives
timefortheActtobecleanedupandthesmallerregulatoryandadministrativeburdensremoved
ormodified.Businesscanunderstandwhytheynowneedtopaya3%pensioncontribution,but
employerswillnotbesounderstandingwhenthecostofthatcontributiontothebusinessisdwarfedby
administrativecosts.
what the experts say
32 An age-old problem: developing solutions for funding retirement
Lawrence Churchill (Chairman, NEST Corporation)Forthoseofusinthepensionsindustryit’seasytomakeassumptionsabouttheknowledgeoftypical
definedcontributionschememembers.
Butbehaviouralresearchhasdemonstratedthatsomeoftheseassumptionsareopentoquestion.
In2006,astudyofWhartonMBAandHarvardcollegestudents’decisionmakinginmutualfund
investingwasconducted.
Theauthorspresentedtheirtestsubjectswithfourmutualfundsthatwereallsubstantiallysimilar:
trackingtheS&P500.Theywereaskedtochooseafundinwhichtoinvest$10,000,followingreceipt
ofstandardinvestmentinformation,forexample,fundprospectuses.Inthecontrolgroupwithoutfee
information,95%oftestsubjectsfailedtominimisefeeswhenpickingfunds,feesweretheonlyreal
differentiatorbetweenthefunds.Inthegroupwithfeeinformation,85%didnotminimisefees.
Bearinmindthatthisgroupwereinthetop2%ofstudentperformersinthecountryandthereforemuch
morecapablethanthepopulationasawhole.
Soevenpeoplewithanelitebusinessbackgroundmanymakeelementarymistakesininvestmentfund
selection.Infact,thereissomeevidencetosuggestthatlowerincomeandlessereducatedgroups,
whilenotnecessarilyinvestmentsavvy,areactuallyverycompetentatmanagingtheirmoney,inthe
formofdailyandweeklybudgets,purelyandsimplybecausetheyhavetobe.Theyliterallycan’tafford
notbeontopoftheircosts.
Behaviouralbiasesaffecteveryonetosomeextent.TheeconomistHarryMarkowitzonceexplainedhow
hepickedhisUSAuniversitypensionfundsportfolio:
Ishouldhavecomputedthehistoricalcovarianceanddrawnanefficientfrontier,insteadI
visualisedmygriefifthestockmarketwentwayupifIwasn’tinit–orifitwentwaydownand
Iwascompletelyinit.Myintentionwastominimisemyfutureregret,sosplitmy[retirementpot]
50/50betweenbondsandequities.
Markowitzexhibitsacoupleofthingstonote:
• Naivediversification–assetallocationbasedonrulesofthumbthatleadstolessthan
optimalresults.
• Regretbias–takingadecisionsoastoavoidfutureregret.
Theintroductionofautomaticenrolmentmeansthattherewillbealargeinfluxofnewpensionsavers
withdifferentfeaturestotraditionalinvestors.
Thetargetgroupisstrikinglydifferenttothepopulationcurrentlysavingintoapension.Whilemedian
earningsinthetargetgrouparearound£20,000medianearningsofthosecontributingtoapensionare
around£30,000.
ThismeansNationalEmploymentSavingsTrust(NEST)futuremembersarelikelytohavelessfamiliarity
withfinancialproductsthanexistingsavers.Thosewithpensionscurrentlyaremorelikelytohavehigher
levelsofsavingsandtoworkinmanagerialorprofessionaljobs.
33 An age-old problem: developing solutions for funding retirement
Theyarealsolikelytohaveahigherlevelofeducation.Theyarealsolikelytobeolder.Assuch,the
averageriskcapacityofthetargetgroupisconsiderablylowerthanthatofthosecurrentlysavinginto
apension.
Ourresearchshowsthatonbalanceourtargetgroupismoreriskaversethanriskseekingwithalarge
proportion(37%)ofthetargetgroupfavouringtakingnoriskwhatsoeverwithretirementsavings.Risk
preferencesalsotrendbyincomewiththoseonlowerincomesbeingmorelikelytoberiskaversethan
thoseonhigherincomes.Ourresearchalsoshowedthatyoungerpeoplehavesomeofthestrongest
reactionstoinvestmentloss.
Theresearchshowedthatthetargetgrouparelikelytohavenegativeandemotionalresponsesto
investmentloss.Theresearchobserved:disappointment,anger,surpriseandincredulitywhenresearch
participantswereconfrontedwithhypotheticalinvestmentlosses.Losswasalsofeltwithasenseof
immediacyandwasnotconsideredwithinthecontextofalong-termsavingsvehicle.Lossaversion
wasobservedmoststronglyamongtheyoung(whowereoftenthemostriskseeking)andthoseon
lowincomes.
Whenwelookatdesigningadefaultapproachforourmembers,therearethreeareasofriskintension
witheachother–therisksthatpeoplewanttotake(theirriskappetite),theriskspeoplecantake
(theirriskcapacity)andtheriskspeopleneedtotaketodeliveraretirementincome.Thechallengefor
developingtheinvestmentapproachhasbeentobalancethesethreefactors.
Ourapproachmaylookabitdifferentfromthattakenbymanyworkplaceschemesbecausethepeople
thatNESTisdesignedforarenotthetypicaltargetmarketforpensions.
Weneedtomanageourmembers’exposuretorisktoencouragethemtosaveregularlyandbuildup
retirementsavingsovertheirworkinglife.Thekeyaimistogetpeoplesavingandkeepthemsaving–
ourapproachisdesignedtoencouragethat.
Youcanreadmoreaboutareexistingresearchandhowwedevelopedourapproachat
www.nestpensions.org.uk
what the experts say
34 An age-old problem: developing solutions for funding retirement
Steven Cameron (Head of Regulatory Strategy, AEGON)
The challenges
Tomostpeople,deferringconsumptiondoesn’tcomenaturally,particularlywhendisposableincome
isbeingsqueezed.Thismeansrightnow,identifyinganddeliveringeffectiveincentivestosaveis
particularlyimportant.TheCoalitionGovernmenthasintroducedarangeofnewpolicyinitiativesinthis
field,aswellasadvancingmany,suchaspensionsreform,putintrainbythepreviousGovernment.
Butwillthese–eitherindividuallyorcollectively–deliverabreakthroughacrosstheUKinsaving
forretirement?
Toseektoaddressthisquestion,AEGONrecentlycommissionedindependentresearch42intoconsumer
attitudestosaving.Researchinthisfield,particularlydirectwithcustomersregardinghowtheymight
behave,issurprisinglylight.Wewantedtoassessifcurrentincentivesareworkingandtogaininsight
intohowconsumersmight‘behave’facedwithpossiblechangestosavingsincentives,includingtax
breaks,removalofcompulsoryannuitisationandhigherstatepensions.
Weconcludedthatthecurrentsystemofsavingsincentiveshasmanypositivebasicdesignelements,
andthatitcaninfluencebehaviour.Butatthesametime,it’sclearthatthesystemsuffersfromseveral
importantlimitations.
Manyconsumersjustaren’tawareofwhat’sonoffer.Few,forexample,reallyunderstoodtheconceptof
‘taxrelief’butwereattractedtotheconceptofgetting‘top-up’moneyfromGovernment.
Lackofawarenessispartly(butnotentirely)fuelledbythesheercomplexityofthecurrentsystem,
includingtheinteractionbetweenprivatepensionsavingandentitlementtostatebenefits.Butdespite
whatindustrycommentatorsoftenclaim,wefoundthepotentialtoloseoutonmeanstestedbenefits
wasn’tdisincentivisingsavings–becausenoneofthoseweresearchedhadanyawarenessofthis.
Similarly,whileremovingcompulsoryannuitisationwasviewedpositivelybyourconsumers,most
hadn’tbeenawareofthecompulsioninthefirstplace.
There’salsoamajorissuewithlackoftrust–notjustwithfinancialservicesprovidersbutinGovernment
tomaintaincurrentarrangementsandincentives.
Alltheseclearlyhampertheeffectivenessofthecurrentsystem.EconomicmodellingthePensionsPolicy
Institutecarriedoutforusdemonstratedthatevenafterauto-enrolment(whichAEGONsupports)and
othercurrentreforms,mostindividualslookssettoendupwellbelowtheretirementincomelevelsput
forwardbyLordTurnerandothersasadequate.
Afurtherissueisthatindividualsseemmuchmoreattractedtoproperty(inadditiontoafirsthome)asa
meansoflong-termsavings.
42 Towardsmoreeffectivesavingsincentives
35 An age-old problem: developing solutions for funding retirement
The possible solutions
Basedonourresearch,AEGONhasidentifiedarangeofpossiblesolutionstomakingsavingsincentives
moreeffective.
Onerelativelysimplesolutionisforourindustrytochangethewayitdescribespensionstaxrelief.
Thoseweresearchedrespondedfarmorepositivelywhenthiswaspresentedas‘matching’,ora
freecontributionfromtheGovernmenttotop-uptheirsavings.Thisisoneexampleofhowclearer
communicationcanpaydividends.Takingthiswider,webelievethereishugescopetosimplifythe
disclosurematerialcurrentlyprescribedwithinregulationtomakeitmoreempoweringtocustomers.
Anotherkeyfindingwasthemajorinfluenceemployershaveonemployeesavingsbehaviour.The
availabilityofanemployercontributionwascitedasacommontriggertogetpeoplestartingsaving.
IndustryandGovernmentshouldfocusevenmoreonencouragingemployerstosupportpensionsand
maintainvaluableemployercontributions–particularlyaswebegintophaseinpensionsreform.Agood
outcomewouldbealoweroptoutrateonceautomaticenrolmentcommences.Anevenbetteronewould
beforcontributionsfromemployersandemployeestoremainabovethestatutory8%minimum.
Toimproveawarenessandunderstanding,we’dverymuchsupportamasseducationandawareness
campaignoftheadvantages(includingtaxincentives)ofdifferentsavingsproducts.Themoneyadvice
service(formerlyCFEB)couldplayakeyrolehere.
Withinthis,webelievethereneedstobeaspecificfocusonthecosts,benefitsandrisksofproperty
asinvestmentcomparedtootherassetclasses.Thisshouldalsocoverthebenefitsofdiversification
betweenassetclassesandconsiderationsaroundturningcertainassetsintoanincomestream
inretirement.
WhilemanyofthenewinitiativestheGovernmentisproposinghaveclearattractions,wehaveconcerns
thatinitiativeoverloadcaninitself,discourageengagementwithsavings.Frequentchangemakesit
harderforconsumerstobuildandmaintainawarenessandunderstanding.Anditfuelsmistrustwhen
whatpeoplereallywantistohavetrustinastable,reliablesavingsenvironment.
Finally,we’dstronglyencouragepolicymakerstoinvesttimeinresearchinglikelyconsumer(andindeed
employer)behaviour.Wemaywellfindthatthekeytoencouraginggreatersavingsisn’tintroducingstill
morepolicychange–itmightbehelpingconsumerengagebetterwiththecurrentsystem.
what the experts say
36 An age-old problem: developing solutions for funding retirement
Phil Hickley (Senior Public Affairs Manager, AXA UK)
The big challenges
Anumberoffactorsareinplacethatstoppeoplesavingadequatesumsfortheirretirement–many
oftheminteracttoprovideacomplexsetofcircumstancesthatholdpeopleback.Amongthemost
importantwillinclude:affordability,andtheabilityoftoday’sworkforcetosetasideameaningful
contributionfromtheirearningstoprovideanincomeinretirement.InthecoalitionGovernment’s
attemptstodealwiththefiscaldebtthemajorityofpeoplenowhavealowerdisposableincomethan
theydidafewyearsagoandfurthersqueezesareontheway–forexamplemanypeoplewon’tfeelthe
impactofhighernationalinsurancecontributionsorthechangestotaxationandtaxcreditsforalittle
whileyetandsomearestillcomingtotermswithrecentwagefreezes.Higherinflation,andtheimpact
thishasonlivingstandards,alongsidetheneedforanincreasingnumberofouryoungerpopulationto
servicestudentdebtalsoplaytheirpart.
Inclination to saveencapsulatesalltheotherpressuresthatpeopleoftenfeelunder.Evenwhen
theyhavetheavailablefundswithwhichtomakeprovisionfortheiroldage,thebenefitsofinstant
gratificationversuscomfortinoldagewilloftenmeanthatmanyfolkwillhappilytradeuptothenext
electronicgadgetratherthansquirrelmoneyawayforthefuture.Fromsomeearlierresearchwehave
undertakenweknowthattherearemanypeopleonaverageandaboveaverageearningsthatcan’tbring
themselvestojoinadecentemployer’spensionschemebecausethey’llbegivingawaysomeoftheir
hard-earnedwagesnow.
Anotherfeaturethatcurrentlydeterswould-becontributorsfromeitherstartingorincreasingtheir
pensioncontributionstoamoremeaningfullevelisthecomplexityofthecurrentsystemandhowstate
provisioninteractswithpersonalprovision.Whileclearlysuccessfulinbringinganumberofpensioners
outofpoverty,meanstestedbenefitshavealottoanswerforinpreventinganumberoflowertoaverage
earnersbeinggivensufficientencouragementtomakeastartinsavingforapension.Indeed,anyreader
whohappenstoperusethepersonalfinancepagesinanynumberofnewspapersandmagazinesjustto
lookforclarityandguidanceabouttheirownpositioncouldbeforgivenbybeingcompletelybaffledby
whattheyread.
Finally,theprospectofarapidly changing environmentforjobs,lifestyles,leisuretime,familystructure
(withmoreandmorepeoplefacingtheprospectofhelpingtolookafternotjustthemselvesbuttheir
parentsandchildrentoo)willallcontributetopeoples’uncertaintyaroundtheneedtocontributetoa
pension.Manypeoplewillcontinuetochancetheirarmbelievingthattheirinheritedwealth–mostlyin
theformofpropertyownership–coupledwithcontinualGovernmenttinkeringwiththesystemwillbe
enoughto‘getthemby’.
Clearlyformostthiswillbeamisguidedapproach.
The possible solutions
Knowledgethatthesavingsgaphasbeeninplaceformanyyearswillleadtoaconclusionthatany
numberofattemptstocloseitandencouragegreatersavingforacomfortableretirementhavealready
beentried;mosthavefailed.The‘reward’structureintheformoftaxreliefisinplaceandwhilewe
mightdebatecomplexityandsimplicity,fewcanarguethattaxreliefinitselfisofinsufficientvalueto
encouragepeoplefrommakingprovisioniftheyhavetheinclinationtodoso.
37 An age-old problem: developing solutions for funding retirement
Overmanyyearstraditionaloccupationalpensionsintheformoffinalsalaryordefinedbenefitschemes
havebeenindeclineforanynumberofreasons.Throughoutthisdecline,however,wehaveretained
anddevelopedoptionsallowingmoremoderncompanyschemes–setuponamoneypurchasebasis–
throughtogrouppersonalschemes,SIPPsandrightdowntoindividualpersonalpensions.Alongside
numerousinvestmentpossibilitiestheinfrastructureisinplacetoabletosupportgrowthinpension
provision,yetinthemainitisnothappeningsowhatmorecanbedone?
ThecoalitionGovernmenthasmadeausefulstartinratifyingearlierattemptstogetpeopleinto
workplaceschemesfrom2012withthelaunchofNESTandautoenrolmentiscertainlytherightpolicy
approachtogettingthesavingshabitkick-started.Whatwe’llneedtoavoidthoughistheideathata
combined8%contributiononasegmentofearningswillprovideanythinglikethelevelneededtosecure
acomprehensivepensioninretirementtomatchmostpeoples’aspirations.
Educationmustfeaturestronglyinhowwemightclosethesavingsgap.Rightnowouryoungpeopleare
notsufficientlypreparedonleavingtheeducationsystemtobeabletounderstandandmanagetheir
financialaffairseffectivelyorwithanyconfidence.Longbeforetheycontemplatestartingapension
they’relikelytoneedtomakefundamentaldecisionsaroundsomeofthebasicslikecontributing
toafamilybudget,payingoffastudentdebt,housingcostsandsavingfornecessitieswellbefore
theyconsidersavingforsomeluxuriesandtheyaresimplynotequippedtobeabletodoso.Better
financialeducationmustbethewayforwardfromtheclassroomthroughfurthereducationandinto
theworkplace.
Whileithasbeenmanyyearsinthemakingwearestartingtobuildthefabricofafinancialeducation
serviceforouradultpopulationalthoughIdon’tproposeinthisshortarticletodebateitsmeritsand
howitmightbeimprovedfurthertosecurebetterfinancialprospectsforpeopleatlarge.
Wherewearemissingatrickisbylargelyignoringtheeducationsystemandtheroleitcanhavein
equippingthefuturegenerationwiththebasictoolsthatwillenablethemtomakeinformedjudgements
abouttheirfinancesthatwillleadtoaclosingofthesavingsgapmorenaturallyandwithoutfurther
tinkeringbetweencarrotandstick.
what the experts say
38 An age-old problem: developing solutions for funding retirement
Dr Ros Altmann (Director General, Saga Group)
The challenges
TheinadequaciesofUKretirementsavingshavebeenwell-documented.Estimatesofthe‘SavingsGap’
runintomanybillionsofpounds.Itisclearthatpeoplehavegenerallylostconfidenceinpensionsand,
inmanycases,theysimplydonotwanttoengage.Evenwhenthereisanemployercontributiononoffer,
workersoftenstilldeclinethechancetojoincompanypensionschemes.
Thisleavesmillionsofpeopleatriskofanimpoverishedoldage,tryingtosurviveonjustastate
pensionandperhapsmeans-testedtop-upsinlaterlife.Inordertoovercomethechallengesofpensions
inadequacy,itisimportanttorecognisewhatthebarrierstopensionsavingreallyare.
Firstly,thestatepensionsystemitselfunderminesprivatepensionsaving.Asnearlyhalfofpensioners
endupentitledtomeans-testedPensionCreditwhentheyretire,pensionscouldbeanunsuitable
investmentforsignificantnumbersofworkers,especiallythoseonmoderateincomeswhocannotbe
suretheywillnotbemeans-testedinretirement.PensionCreditwilltakeawaymuchorallofanyprivate
pensionincome,somanypeoplewillbebetteroffsavinginanISA,ratherthanapension.
Secondly,manypeoplehavesomuchdebt,orsuchinadequateincomesrelativetothelifestylethey
wanttoachievenow,thattheyfeeltheyjustcannotaffordtoputmoneyintoapension.
Thirdly,incentivesforpensionsaving,otherthanfortop-ratetaxpayers,donotseemthatattractive.
Manyyoungerpeople,whomayenduponhigherratetaxinfuture,particularlythoseindebt,who
donotalreadyownahome,couldfindthattheywillbebetteroffnotcontributingtoapensionatthe
moment.Betterandclearerincentivesareneeded.
Fourthly,thelevelofhousepriceshasbeenaproblemforpensionsaving,withmanyyoungerpeople
findinghousingsoexpensiveandhavingtotakeonsomuchmortgagedebt,thattheycannotaffordto
putmoneyintoapensionaswell.
Fifthly,thenatureofthepensionsvehicleitselfisaproblem.Pensionsare-a‘lockedbox’–thisis
bothastrengthandaweakness.Ofcourse,thefactthatpeoplecannotaccesstheirmoneyuntillater
lifehastheadvantagethattheycannotspenditbeforeretirementanditshouldbethereinfutureto
helpsupporttheiroldage.However,thedisadvantageisthatformanyyoungpeoplecontributingtoa
pensionfeelslikehavingtheirhard-earnedmoney‘confiscated’fromthemandputintoaninvestment
whichchargesfeeseachyear,mayormaynotdowellandeveniftheydesperatelyneedthemoney,they
cannotgetitback.Thisputsthemoffcontributinginthefirstplace.
Finally,withsuchhighlevelsofdebtamongallagegroups,itisnotclearthatpensionsavingshould
betheirfirstpriority,butiftheydonotstartsavingearlyandgettingintothathabit,thereisariskthey
neverwill.Allthesefactors,alongwithsuccessivescandalsovertheyearsandthecomplexityofthe
wholesystem,haveledtoinadequateretirementsavingsintheUK.
The possible solutions
Rename private pensions: Pensionsreallyneedan‘imagemakeover’,inordertohelppeoplefeelmore
positivetowardstheidea.Theword‘pension’oftenhasnegativeconnotationsnowadays.Itconjuresup
theimageofbeingold,whichmanypeopleresistandmyfirstsuggestedsolutionistorenameprivate
pensions.Weshouldabolishtheword‘pension’foranythingotherthanwhatthestatepayspeoplein
theiroldage.
39 An age-old problem: developing solutions for funding retirement
Radically redesign state pensions:AstheGovernmentisproposingtoradicallyreformthestate
pension,payingadecentflat-rateminimumof£140aweekintoday’smoney,futuregenerationswill
eventuallybeabletounderstandthatthereisonlyacertainamounttheywillgetfromthestate.Therest
isuptothemandiftheywantmore,theywillhavetodosomesaving.Wecanthencomeupwithmore
creativesavingsvehiclesthatwillbecalledsomethingotherthan‘pensions’.
Design more flexible products – for lifetime savings: Theindustrycoulddesignmoreflexibleproducts,
for‘lifetimesavings’whichwillhelppeoplesavefortheiroldagebuthavesomeaccesstotheirmoneyif
theyreallyneedit.Thiswouldhelppeoplecontributeorputinmoreinthefirstplace.
Lottery:Iwouldliketoseealotteryattachedtotheselong-termsavingstoo,sothatanyoneputting
moneyinwouldbeenteredforaprizeof,say,£1million,eachmonth.Thattapsintothepsycheofmany
peoplewhoprobablywanttofeelthattheremaybesomethinginitforthemtoday,notjustinsomevery
distantfuture.
Moreuseofinsurance:Thereisclearlyinsufficientattentionbeingpaidtotheneedtoinsureagainst
verybadoutcomesinlaterlife.Whetheritisinsuranceagainstillnessesthatcurtailearningsor
insuranceagainsttheneedforexpensivelong-termcare,itwouldmakesensetotieinpensionprovision
withaninsuranceoverlay.
Inconclusion,thereisanurgentneedtorethinkpensionsandbothGovernmentandthefinancial
industryhavecrucialrolestoplayinhelpingindividualsprepareforabetterretirement.Pensionsalone,
however,willnotsolvealltheproblemsfacedbyourageingpopulationanditwillbeessentialtohelp
peopleplantoworklonger–preferablypart-timeforanumberofyears–aswell.
what the experts say
40 An age-old problem: developing solutions for funding retirement
Ronnie Morgan ACII, DipPFS and Robin Nimmo (Strategic Insight Managers, Scottish Life)
The challenges
Muchhasbeenwrittenonthesubjectofthesavingsgapandmanyreasonsforithavebeenputforward:
• Poorperceptionofpensionsandofthesavingsindustry
• Complexproducts
• Longevityimprovements,leadingtoreducedannuityrates
• Interactionofsavingsandmeans-testedbenefits
• Fearoflockingmoneyawayforthelong-term
• Taxincentivesbeingskewedtowardsthewealthy
Whileeachoftheseplaysapart,thecruxofthemattercouldbesimpler:asanation,wedon’twantto,
orfeelwehaveto,saveforourretirement.Oratleastwedon’twanttosaveatthelevelrequired.
What reasons are there for this?
• Agenerationinwhichmanybelievethestatewillprovide;thatit’stheirrightundertheWelfare
State.Peoplewereledtobelievethatthestatewouldlookafterthemfrom“cradletograve”.
Withthismindset,howlikelywouldtheybetoteachtheirchildrenaboutthenecessitytosave
forretirement?
• Aviewthatyouremployerwouldlookafteryou,particularlyifyouworkedinthepublicsector.
• Agenerationofconsumers–savingsrateshavefallenandlevelsofpersonaldebthaverisen.Itcould
becomemoresociallydesirabletospendthantosave,fuelledbyskilledproductmarketingandeasy
availabilityofcredit.
Duetoanumberoffactors–principallychangingdemographics,longevityandchangingemployer/
employeerelations–neitherthestatenoremployerswillbeprovidingasmuchtowardretirementaswas
previouslythecase.Thismeanseveryonewillhavetoeitherworklonger,orsavemorewhileworking,or
acombinationofthese.
Thegovernmenthasalreadydecidedthattheagefromwhichthestatepensionispaidwillbeincreased.
Buttheotherpartoftheequationisdowntoindividualsandemployers.Peoplemustsavefortheir
retirementatanappropriatelevel.
Tohelpmakethishappenthereareafewkeycomponents:
1. Getcrystalclearabouttherealityofthesituation.Ifwedon’tsaveforretirement,lifemaybe
veryhard.
2. Showclearlyhowmuchshouldbesavedtogetareasonableoutcome.
3. Reinvigoratethesavingsculture;makepeoplefeelgoodaboutsavingfortheirretirementandshow
thatexcessivespendinganddebtareunacceptable.
Financialeducationmustbeattheheartofthis.
Weneedtomakesurefuturegenerationshaveagoodgraspoffinancialmatters.Thiscanbeachieved
throughthenationalcurriculumandalsobymeansofvoluntarygroups.Financialbusinesseshavean
importantroleinthis,tohelpensureasavingsculturetakeshold.
41 An age-old problem: developing solutions for funding retirement
Forthosewhoareheadingtowardsretirement,wemustalsomakefinancialeducationandassistance
available,otherwisewemayhavealostgeneration;peoplewhobelievedtheydidnotneedtosavefor
retirement,butweresadlymistaken.
AsforgenerationX,canwemakeani-SAasdesirableasani-Pod?
The possible solutions
TheUKhasanestimatedsavingsgapof£27bnaccordingtotheAssociationofBritishInsurers.Butwhat
arethepossiblesolutionsforreducingthisgap?Putbluntly,ifIndividualswanttoavoidalowincomein
retirement,theywillneedtosavemoreorworklonger.
Mostindividualsarenotawareofhowmuchtheyneedtosave,ortheythinktheStatewilllookafter
themintheirretirement.Suchperceptionsneedtochange.Individualsneedtobeinformed,inclearand
simpleterms,whattheyarelikelytogetfromtheState.Andtheyneedtobeeducatedontheneedto
save,howtosaveandwheretheycangethelporadviceonsavingforretirement.Suchmessagescould
bedeliveredthroughtheworkplaceaspartofautomaticenrolment.
Asimplifiedadviceprocessisneededtoincreasetakeupratesforsavingsproducts.Someindividuals
arenotwillingtopayforadvice,yettheyneedhelpinchoosingsuitableproducts.Amethodof
streamliningthecurrentadviceprocessisneeded,keepingcoststoaminimumwhilestillproviding
appropriaterecommendations.
Manyindividualsdonotwanttosaveinpensionproductsbecausetheydon’twanttolockmoneyaway
untiltheirretirement.Aproductthatcombinesthebestelementsofapensionwiththeaccessibility
of,say,anIndividualSavingsAccount(ISA)couldhelpreducethesavingsgap.Individualscouldthen
savefortheirretirementinconfidence,knowingthattheycanaccesssomeoftheirsavingsincertain
circumstances,forexampletobuytheirfirsthomeorincaseoffinancialhardship.
TheGovernmentprovidesgeneroustaxconcessionsonpensionandISAproducts,yetthesebenefits
areseldomfullyunderstoodorappreciatedbyindividuals.Howmanypeopleunderstandtaxreliefon
pensioncontributions?Asimplermethodofincentivisingindividualstosavemayhavegreaterimpact.A
Governmentmatchedpaymentsystemcouldbeonepossibleway.Foreach£1anindividualcontributes
totheirpensionplan,theGovernmentcouldpayin£1uptoacertainoveralllimit.Suchstructuresare
simpleforpeopletounderstandandmanywillalreadybefamiliarwiththemfromtheiremployer’s
pensionscheme.
Automaticenrolmentisbeingintroducedfrom2012.Thiswillgosomewaytowardshelpingtoreduce
thesavingsgap.Butit’sunlikelytoprovideindividualswithanadequateincomeinretirement,
especiallyifcontributionsaresetatneartotheminimumlevels.Individualswillneedtomakeadditional
savingsthroughtheschemeorbyothermeans.
Thesesuggestionscouldallhelptoreducethesavingsgap;butcompulsionmaybetheonlywayof
eliminatingitcompletely.Automaticenrolmentisagoodstart.Individualscouldbecompelledtosave
throughremovaloftheopt-outwhileminimumcontributionlevelscouldbeincreasedfromthecurrent
lowlevelsoveraperiodoftime.Thedownsidewithcompulsionisthatitislikelytobeviewedbymany
individualsandemployersasanadditionaltax,somethingwhichisunlikelytobewelcomed.
what the experts say
42 An age-old problem: developing solutions for funding retirement
David Nish (Chief Executive, Standard Life)Theneedtoimprovelong-termsavingsintheUKisoneofthemostimportantissuesfacingsociety.One
infiveBritonslivingtodaycanexpecttoseetheir100thbirthdayandretirementsnowcommonlyextend
acrossthreetofourdecades.Whilstthisistobecelebrated,itmeanspeoplewillneedtosavemoreif
theyaretoenjoyfinancialsecurityinlaterlife.
Atpresent,toomanypeoplearefailingtosavesufficientlyorarenotsavingatall.StandardLife’slatest
researchwiththeLifeAcademycharityshowsthatonly51%ofadultsareactivelyinvestingintheir
financialfuture.
Solvingthisproblemwillnotbeeasy;thereisnoquickfix.Aprogrammeofsustainablechangeis
requiredoverthecourseof10to20yearsandtheindustrywillneedtoworkwithpolicymakersand
otherstakeholdersasneverbeforetoachievetherequiredoutcome.
Thispartnershipapproachisalreadybeginningtotakeshape.Awelcomepoliticalconsensusis
emergingaroundtheneedtoincreaselevelsoflong-termsavingandthereformsnecessarytodeliver
it.TheproposeduniversalStatepensionwillsimplifysavingandprovideastrongfoundationonwhich
individualscanbuildprivateprovision.Furthermore,thelaunchofautomaticenrolmentandNESTin
2012willplayasignificantrole.Itwillbringmillionsofindividualsintolong-termsavingsandformthe
basisofaninclusiveandsustainableworkplacepensionssystem.
Sofar,sogood.Butweneedtogofurthertodeliverthefundamental,long-termrebalancingofthe
economytowardssavingthatissovitaltothecountry’sfuturewell-being.Inparticular,weneedtodo
threekeythings:
• Makesavingmoreattractiveandmoreengagingbyfocusingoncustomers’needs;
• Increaselevelsoffinancialcapabilityandinclusion;and
• Increaseconsumers’trustinlong-termsavingandthefinancialsector.
Asanindustry,weneedtodesignproductstosuitconsumers.Forexample,workingwithpolicymakers,
weshouldexplorewaystobringISAs–anextremelypopularformofsaving–andpensionscloser
together.Thiswouldhelptocreateasimplerandmoreflexibleapproachtolong-termsavings.
Butitisnotenoughsimplytoprovideconsumer-focusedproducts.Ifpeoplearetousetheseproducts
weneedtoincreaselevelsoffinancialengagementandinclusion.Thiswillrequireasustained
investmentinfinancialcapabilityacrosssocietytoequippeoplewiththeskillstomakesound
financialdecisions.
Simplifyingsavingandimprovingfinancialcapabilityshouldhelptobolsterconsumerconfidenceinthe
industry.Buttosecuregreaterlevelsoftrust,theindustrymustbecomemoretransparentanddeliver
betteroutcomesforcustomers.That’swhyStandardLifesupportstheRetailDistributionReview,which
willprovideindividualswithgreaterclarityandcontroloverthecostofadvice.
Byworkingcloselywithpolicymarkerstheindustryhasauniqueopportunitytotransformthesavings
landscapeanddeliverrealbenefitsforsocietyasawhole.Forthesakeofthisandfuturegenerationswe
mustseizeit.
43 An age-old problem: developing solutions for funding retirement
Professor Phillip Booth (Editorial and Programme Director, Institute of Economic Affairs)
The big challenges
Thestatehasmoreorlesstakenovertheroleofprovidingincomeinoldageforthemajorityofthe
population.Thoseinthebottom60%oftheincomedistributionreceivemostoftheirincomeinoldage
fromthegovernmentinoneformoranother.Fewofthemhaveanyincentivetosupplementtheirincome
bysaving.
Weneedclearerthinkingabouttherelativeadvantagesofstateandprivateretirementprovision.There
arecontinualcomplaintsthatprivatesavingcanneverbesufficientforretirementbecauseannuity
ratesaresopoor.Also,definedbenefitschemesareclosingdownbecausethecostsoffundingdecent
provisionarerising.Instead,peoplesuggest,weshouldhavemorestateprovision–especiallyfor
peopleonlowincomes.
Unfortunately,therisksdonotgoawaywhenthestateprovidespensions–theyarehiddenandoften
becomesystemic.IfweaddpensionsandhealthobligationstoBritain’sfuturenationaldebtthenthe
totaldebtburdenwearepassingtothenextgenerationcomestoabout500%ofnationalincome.This
isaveryrealburdenthatarisesfromthisgenerationmakingpromisestoitselfwithoutputtingasidethe
meanstomeetthosepromisesthroughsaving.
Thefactisthat,ifwewishtoberetiredfor20yearsormoreandworkforonly40years,wehavetomake
bigsacrificesduringourworkinglifetopayforourretirement.Lowannuitiesfromprivatesavingare
simplyanindicatorofthebasiceconomicfactsoflife.
Ofcourse,itistruethatprivatesavingforretirementleadstorisksarisingfromlowinvestmentreturns
andincreasinglongevity.Thoseriskscanbemanaged,however.Iflifeexpectancyatretirement
increasesandannuitypricesrise,thenindividualsfaceexactlytherightincentivestoworkforlonger,
workpart-timepastretirementageandsavemoreintheyearsbeforeretirement.Thismaynotbeideal,
butthesituationiscontrollableandtheincentivesrunintherightdirection.Ontheotherhand,whenthe
stateprovidesuswithourretirementincomesriskscanbesystemicandself-reinforcing.Forexample,if
longevityincreases,therewillbemorepensionersandtheymaythenusetheirvotingpowertoincrease,
ratherthandecrease,pensions.Thetaxesthatarenecessarytofinancethehigherpensionbillwill
discourageandnotencouragetheworkandenterprisenecessarytofinancehigherlivingstandardsin
oldage.Furthermore,statepensionsystemsrelyontheworkingpopulationnotshrinkingrelativetothe
retiredpopulationandyetthereareabsolutelynoincentiveswithinstatepensionsystemstoensurethe
populationstabilitythatisneeded.
So,inshort,weneedtoreturntothedebatewewerehavingtwodecadesagoandmovetomoreprivate
pensionprovision.Stateprovisiondoesnotreducethecostsortherisk–itmerelybrushesthemunder
thecarpet.
what the experts say
44 An age-old problem: developing solutions for funding retirement
The possible solutions
InFebruarytheInstituteofEconomicAffairspublishedapaperwhich,amongstotherthings,made
proposalsforlong-termreformsofthepensionsystem43.PensionsMinisterStephenWebbisonpublic
recordashavingdescribedtheshort-termproposalsinthepaperas“loathsome”.Fortunately,the
Treasuryseemstohaveamorereceptiveviewofthelonger-termproposalsdiscussedinthatpaper:
indeed,threeoutoffourofthemwerementionedinthebudgetasprovidingthebasisforreform.
Theviewexpressedinthatpaperisthatthestatepensionsystemshouldbereformedalongthe
followinglines:
• TheBasicStatePensionandthesecondstatepensionshouldbemergedintoonepension.
• Thecontributoryprincipleshouldbemaintained.
• Pensionageshouldbechangedsothatlifeexpectationatretirementremainsconstantandthis
processshouldbede-politicised.
• Peopleshouldbeabletocontractoutofthisgovernmentschemewithanactuariallyfairrebateto
investinapersonalscheme.
Thecurrentarrangementwithtwoseparatestatepensionswithdifferentuprating,qualificationand
indexingrulesisbizarreandmustbeadisincentivetosaveduetothecomplexityanduncertaintythe
systemscreate.Thecontributoryprincipleshouldbereinforcedbecauseitenablespeopletounderstand
theirstatepensionentitlementasitaccrues–theycanthereforemakerationalsavingsdecisions.Fixing
lifeexpectationatretirementwillconsiderablyde-riskthestatepensionsystemandallowpeopletosave
innovelways,withagreaterdegreeofcertainty.Forexample,theycouldsaveforabridgingincome
betweentheirdesiredretirementageandstatepensionage.
Ifwetakethesethreereformstogether,costswouldbereducedsufficientlytoallowastatepension
tobepaidatalevelatwhichmeanstestingwouldbeminimal.Incentivestosavewouldthereforebe
restoredrightacrosstheearningsspectrum.Ofcourse,allowingpeopletocontractoutofthestate
systemautomaticallyprovidesastrongincentivetosave.
Unfortunately,thoughthegovernmenthasindicatedthatitwillfollowthefirstthreeprinciplesof
reform,itlooksasifcontractingoutwillbeabolishedandnotextended.Insteadofallowingpeopleto
contractoutofpartofthestatepensionthegovernmentwill,instead,provideahigherstatepensionfor
everybody.Thecontracted-outrebateswhicharecurrentlysavedinprivateschemeswillbespentbythe
governmentwipingoutupto£8bnofsavingatastroke.Thisisnotthewaytogo.Instead,theprinciple
ofcontractingoutofthestatepensionschemeshouldbeextendedtoalloweverybodytosaveprivately
fortheirfuturepensionincome.
43 BoothP.M.(2010),Sharing the Burden: how the older generation should suffer its share of the cuts,DiscussionPaperNo.34,InstituteofEconomicAffairs,London.
45 An age-old problem: developing solutions for funding retirement
Chris Curry (Research Director, Pensions Policy Institute)ThelandscapeforretirementsavingintheUKhasbeenchangingfastsincetheelectionoftheCoalition
GovernmentinMay2010.Andthatprovidesperhapsthefirstbigchallengeinthecomingyears.
Retirementsaversarehavingtotryandaccountforchangesinthetaxationofpensions,theoptions
surroundingtakingpensionincome,changesintheadviceregime,changesinStatePensionAges,and
changesinpublicsectorpensions,nottomentionpossiblefurtherchangessurroundingthewhole
structureofthestatepensionsystemandearlyaccesstoprivatepensionsaving.
Thisstateoffluxinthepolicyenvironmentwillhaverealworldimpactsonsavers,insomecases
increasingoptionsandflexibility,butalsoincreasingtheneedforhelpandadvice.Untiltheretirement
savingsframeworkreachessomethingapproachingstability,itisgoingtobedifficultforpeopletowork
outwhattheyoughttobedoing.
Ofcourse,auto-enrolmentwillhelptoovercomesomeofthebarrierstodecisionmaking,withinertia
meaningthatunlesspeopleactivelychoosenotto,manyofthemwillbepensionsavingbydefault.
TheGovernmentestimatesthatthiscouldincreasethenumberofpeoplesavinginapensionbyupto
8million–averywelcomeincrease.Butthisgivesrisetoasecondbigchallenge–ensuringthatauto-
enrolmentworkswellgiventheeconomicenvironmentinwhichitisbeingintroduced.Whentheideaof
auto-enrolmentwasfirstproposedin2005,individualsmaynothavenoticedormindedthereduction
intake-homepayinthemonthsafterauto-enrolment.However,inthecurrenteconomicbackgroundof
stagnatingpay,higherinflationandlessjobsecurity,morepeoplethanpreviouslyexpectedcouldopt-
outofpensionsavingastheyworkhardtomanagetheirmoney,ormightprefertosaveforarainyday
inthenearfutureratherthaninretirement.Itwillbeimportanttoensurethatauto-enrolmentworksas
wellasitcan,toavoiddilutingtheundoubtedbenefits.
Opt-outratescouldbefurtherincreasedifreturnsonpensionsavingfundsinthefirstfewyearsafter
auto-enrolmentarenothigh,andpeopledonotseegainsintheirembryonicpensionfunds.Andthis
leadsontothenextbigchallenge:thepeoplemostlikelytoneedhelpunderstandingthebenefits
andvaluesoflong-termsavingarenotthesophisticatedinvestorsorhighnetworthindividualswho
traditionallyhavebeenservedbyadvisors.Theywillbelowtomedianearningindividuals,whomaybe
savingrelativelysmallamountsincashterms,buttowhompensionsavingscouldmakeasignificant
differencetothelevelofincometheyhavetoliveonintheirretirement.Peoplewho,havingbeen
auto-enrolled,willnothavehadtomakeanydecisionsaboutsavingcouldsuddenlyhavetomakevery
importantdecisionsabouthowtobestturntheirpensionfundintoanincome.Findingawaytohelp
theseindividualsthroughtheincreasinglycomplexandeverchangingsavingslandscapeisperhapsthe
biggestretirementsavingchallengewecurrentlyface.
what the experts say
46 An age-old problem: developing solutions for funding retirement
Dr Patrick Nolan (Chief Economist, Reform)
Time to grasp the nettle on the cost of an aging population
Nooneshouldbesurprisedbythefactthatthepopulationisgettingolder.Fordecadesresearchershave
beenstudyingthesetrendsandinvestigatingtheirimplicationsforrelativelygenerouswelfarestates,
likethatoftheUK.Somecountrieshaveevenundertakenmajorreformtomanagethesefuturecosts.
YetrelativelylittlehasbeendoneintheUKtofaceuptothesedemographicchangesandrecentpolicies
willincrease,notreduce,thelongertermcostofentitlements.Thereasonforthisispolitical–with
governmentsbeingunwillingtoriskabacklashamongthelargenumberofpensionerswhovote.
Anapproachofdenialanddelayisnolongeraffordable.Thebiggestchallengeinencouragingactionon
populationageingisthatpeoplethinkthatdealingwiththeproblemcanbeputoff.Oftenitisseenas
aproblemfor2040or2050,whichiswellbeyondtheattentionspanofmanypolicymakersandmedia
commentators.Buttheeffectsofpopulationageingwillbefeltmuchearlierthanthat.TheOECDhas,for
example,recentlyestimatedthattheworkingagedpopulationwillpeakin2015.Indeed,asthePensions
PolicyInstitutehasshown,between2009and2015thenumberofpeopleofstatepensionageorolder
islikelytogrowby457,000andlifeexpectancyat65willincreasefrom21.0to21.7years.Thismeans
thatfromaroundtheendofthisParliamentarytermpolicymakerswillnolongerbeabletorelyona
growingworkingagepopulationtohelpfundincreasinglyexpensiveentitlements.Programmesthatare
currentlyunaffordableareonlygoingtobecomemoreso.
Yetthecaseformovingquicklyisnotjustafiscalone.Peoplealsoneedtobegiventimetoprepare
forchangesinpolicyframeworks.Foranychangetherewillbeagroupofpeoplewhoarerelatively
disadvantagedinthetransition.Thiswillincludepeoplewhoarebelowbutclosetoretirementage
andsowillhaverelativelylittletimetochangetheirplans.Giventhisitmaybetemptingtodelay
anychangestoensurethatthesepeopledonotloseout,butthiswouldincreasefutureproblems.
Populationageingmeansthatmorepeoplewouldbecaughtinthetransitionifthechangeisdelayed
andthatthegroupofloserswouldbelarger.
Whiletheremaybelittlecasefordelayingachangethefactthattheselosersarecreatedmeansthatthe
transitiontoanynewpolicyframeworkwillrequirecarefulconsideration.Thisincludesconsideringhow
toimprovethelabourmarketoutcomesoftheover55sandwhethertocontinuetoapply(grandfather)
existingentitlements.Yetthereislittleevidencethattransitionalissueshavebeengivenserious
considerationintheUK.Insteadtheapproachtakenhasinvolvedshoringupsupportforchangeby
makingthesystemasawholeless,notmore,affordable.Thisisanincoherentapproachthatwillcost
futuregenerationsdearly.
SomecommentatorsmayarguethattheCoalitionhasgraspedthenettleonthesecosts.Ithas,for
example,shiftedforwardtheincreaseintheretirementageandproposedreformofpublicsector
pensions.Yetanysavingsfromthesechangeswillbeswampedbypromisesmadeelsewhere.Shifting
forwardtheincreaseintheretirementagewill,forexample,onlysavemoneyuntil2024,afterwhich
theagewillbebackonitsearliertrajectory.Incontrast,decisionssuchasindexingthestatepensionto
wagegrowthnotpricegrowthwillcontinuetogrowincostandwillalonemeanthatthecostofpensions
willbesome£20billionhigher(intoday’smoney)in2050.
47 An age-old problem: developing solutions for funding retirement
Likewise,proposalstointroduceauniversalstatepensionfornewrecipientsalsohavethepotentialto
significantlyincreasecosts.Thereisaviewthatauniversalpensioncouldreducethecostofpension
benefitsthroughavoidingtheproblemsofmeans-testingdiscouragingsavingsandthepotentialloss
ofbenefitsfromcontributionstoNationalEmploymentSavingsTrust(NEST)pensions.Whileitisclear
thatpeopleintheUKneedtoincreasetheirsavings,theexperiencewithuniversalpensionsincountries
likeNewZealandhighlightsthattheintroductionofthispolicyisunlikelytoprovideasilverbullet.The
universalpensioninNewZealandisamajorreasonforthelowhouseholdsavingsratesinthatcountry.
Incentivestosavearereducedwhenpeopleknowthattheywillreceiveabenefiteveniftheymakeno
preparationfortheirownretirement.
TheCoalition’splanswillnotputthesystemofretirementsupportontoafiscallysustainablefootingand
willmakethechoicesfacingfuturegenerationsevenharder.
what the experts say
48 An age-old problem: developing solutions for funding retirement
Wendy van den Hende (Chief Executive, Personal Finance Education Group)PFEG(PersonalFinanceEducationGroup)isanindependentcharityhelpingschoolstoplanandteach
personalfinancerelevanttostudents’livesandneeds.Itsmissionistoensurethatallyoungpeople
leavingschoolhavetheconfidence,skillsandknowledgeinfinancialmatterstoparticipatefully
insociety.
Thiscontributionwill,therefore,focusonissuesrelatedtochildrenandyoungpeopleandtheir
financialeducation.
The big challenges
Manychildrenaregrowingupinfamiliesandcommunitiesthatgrapplewithpoorlevelsoffinancial
awareness,lackofinformationaboutrelevantproductsandservices,under-developedfinancialskills,
unstablepersonalfinancialcircumstancesandcompetingpressuresonspending.
Onechallengeisawidespreadlackofawarenessoftheneedforfinancialeducationinadditionto
provisionoffinancialadvice.Financialeducationshouldbeseenasaneffectiveearlyinterventionto
preventfutureproblemswithunmanagedpersonaldebtandpoorpreparationforretirement.
Thereisaneedtoincreaseunderstandingthatfinancialcapabilityisalifelongprocess–acontinuum
alongwhichpeoplemovethroughoutlife.Financialeducationisessentialtohelpyoungchildrenbegin
thejourneyalongthecontinuum.
Childrenareinteractingwithmoneyissuesearlierandearlier.Weknowthattheyareengagedwith
financialservicesandproductsfromaveryyoungage–childrenhavemobilephonesfromaged8,they
arepurchasingitemsonlinefrom10–eitherusingparents’cards,orincreasingly,prepaidones.They
havetomakecomplexdecisionswhentheyareyoungandinexperienced–aboutwhetherauniversity
educationwillbeagoodinvestment,whethertheywillthenearnenoughtopaybacktheloan,whether
ornottotakeoutcreditcardsorstorecards.
Inschoolscompetingpressuresoncurriculumtimeandaccountabilitymeasuresthatencourageschools
tofocusonacquisitionoflargenumbersofqualificationscansqueezethetimeforessentiallearning
forlife.
Wheretheneedforfinancialeducationisrecognisedanadditionalchallengeistoequipteacherswith
theconfidenceandcompetencetoteachit.
Mostofallthereisahugechallengeinmotivatingschool-agedchildrenandyoungpeopletothinkabout
long-termplanning.Retirementseemsaverylongwayawaywhenyouhavenotyetembarkedupon
workinglife.Alongsidethisaretheinfluencesonspendingexperiencedbyyoungerage-groups–the
pressuresofconsumeropportunityandchoicecompetewiththeneedtoplanahead.
The possible solutions
Clearlytheultimateaimmustbetodevelopafinanciallycapablesociety.Financialeducationforchildren
andyoungpeopleisessentialtothis.
49 An age-old problem: developing solutions for funding retirement
Education
Thesinglemosteffectivelong-termsolutionistodevelopinschoolsasystematicprogrammeoffinancial
educationwhoseaimistoenableyoungpeopletodevelop:
• knowledgeandunderstandingtoinformjudgmentsanddecisionsaboutmanagingmoneyintheir
presentandfuturelives
• appropriateattitudesthatarereflectedintakingpersonalresponsibilityformoneymanagement,
questioningtheclaimsofsomefinancialproductsandevaluatingavailableinformationbeforetaking
financialdecisions
• financialskillsthataredemonstratedthroughday-to-daymoneymanagementandplanningfor
futurefinancialneeds,suchasbudgetingforweeklyhouseholditems,monitoringbankaccountsand
creditcardsandcheckingwhethersavingsandinvestmentsaremeetingfinancialgoals.
Sucheducationmuststartassoonaschildrenbeginschoolandcontinueuntiltheyleavefulltime
education.Earlylearningprovidesafirmfoundationonwhichtodeveloppositivefinancialattitudesand
buildfurtherknowledgeandskills.
Financialeducationwillenablethemtothriveratherthanmerelysurviveastheymoveinto
independence.
Supporting saving
Aswellaslearningwhysavingisimportantwemustgetchildrensavingfromanearlyage.Onlybydoing
so,canwebesurethatthesavinghabitisestablishedandembeddedasawayoflife.
Schoolbanksaremakingacome-backbutsomeschoolshavedifficultyinfindingabanktosupport
them.Supportforschoolbanks–preferablywithyoungpeoplehelpingtorunthem–wouldlinkfinancial
educationwithfinancialaction.
Outsideschool,nowthattheChildTrustFundhasbeendiscontinued,weneedtolookagainat
incentivesforyoungerchildrenandtheirparents.Istherearoleforthefinancialsectorinpromoting
savingsschemesforchildrenasacorporateresponsibilityactivity–notforprofitschemes–ratherthan
commercialones?
Oncetheyhavesavedasyoungchildren,incentivescouldbeprovidedforteenagerstosavefor
universityeducation,foracartotraveltoworkorinanticipationoflivingindependently.Withsavingfor
thefutureestablisheditwillbeeasiertoencouragesavingforretirement.
what the experts say
50 An age-old problem: developing solutions for funding retirement
44 http://www.fsa.gov.uk//pubs/other/fincap_baseline.pdf45 http://www.moneyadviceservice.org.uk/_assets/downloads/pdfs/20100709_transforming_financial_behaviour_summary.pdf
Jackie Spencer (Later Life Policy Advisor, Money Advice Service) ThebiggestchallengefacingtheUKinsavingforretirementismanypeoplearepoorlyequippedtoplan
aheadandmakeinformedchoicesaboutfinancialproducts.
TheFSAcarriedoutalarge-scalesurveyintothefinancialcapabilityoftheUKpopulationwhichwas
publishedin2006.Evidencefromthissurveyshowsthatlargenumbersofpeople,fromallsections
ofsociety,arenottakingbasicstepstoplanahead,suchassavingsufficientlyfortheirretirementor
puttingmoneyasideforarainyday.44
Respondentsunderstatepensionagewereaskedabouttheprovisiontheyhadmadepersonallyfortheir
retirementandalsowhethertheywouldbeabletomakeendsmeetonthestatepensionalone.
• Overfourinfive(81%)saidthatgovernmentpensionwouldnotprovidethemwiththestandardof
livingthattheywouldhopeforinretirement.
• Despitethis,onlytwoinfiverespondents(42%)whowerenotyetretiredhadacurrentpersonalor
occupationalpension.
• Theresultsindicatedthatoverathird(37%)ofthosewhofeltthatthegovernmentprovisionwould
beinsufficientdidnothaveanyadditionalpensionprovision,indicatingarelativelysmalldegreeof
planningaheadinthiscontext.
• Overtwoinfivepeople(42%)puttheircurrentstandardoflivingbeforetheirretirementplanning,
agreeingwiththestatement‘Iwouldratherhaveagoodstandardoflivingtodaythanplanfor
retirement’.
Asmanypeoplehavelowfinancialcapability,increasingsavingsforretirementwilldependonproviding
goodfinancialeducationandadviceaboutmoney,toequippeopletounderstandtheirfinancialchoices.
Webelievethatourprovisionoffree,unbiasedmoneyadvicethroughtheMoneyAdviceServicewillbe
essentialtohelppeoplemanagetheirmoneybetter,andsoimprovethequalityoftheirlives.
InJuly2010,theMoneyAdviceServicepublishedTransformingFinancialBehaviourresearchwhichis
designedtolearnhowwecanusethefindingsfrompsychologyandsociologyalongsidemoretraditional
policyinterventionstofosterbehaviouralchange,andinparticular,tofindpracticalwaystocreatean
environmentthatsupportsenduringfinancialcapability.45Thefindingsunderlinetheneedforfinancial
educationandadvice(aswellasinformation)tosupportpeopleinmakinggoodmoneydecisions.These
learningsfrombehaviouralscienceareincorporatedintoournewon-linetool,theMoneyAdviceService
healthchecktobelaunchedinmid2011.Thison-linehealthcheckwillprovideapersonalactionplanto
helppeopleidentifyandaddresstheirmoneyprioritiesneedssuchassavingforretirement.
53 An age-old problem: developing solutions for funding retirement
Conclusion and CII viewFromtheresearchconductedandstakeholdercontributionsreceiveditseemsclearthat,apriorand
necessaryconditionforincreasedsavingsisforthegeneralpublictobeconvincedthatsavingmoreis
intheirlong-termbestinterests,andfurther,thatlegislationwillbeenactedtoensurepromisesfrom
suppliersarekept.FromtheCII’sperspectivetherearethreeareasinparticularwherewethinkmore
effortmustbemadeinordertomeetthisnecessaryconditionforincreasedsavings.
• Thescaleoftheproblemismassive–elderlypeoplewhohavenotsavedandwhocannotrelyon
thestatefacethepossibilityofhavingtousevirtuallyalloftheiraccumulatedwealthiftheywish
toachieveanadequateincomeandpayforlong-termcarecostsduringretirement.Thisfrightening
messagemustbecommunicatedtothegeneralpublicbyGovernment,industryandconsumer
bodiestolettheconsumerknowjustwhatisatstakeiftheychoosetodonothing.
• TrustisakeyissueandtheindustrymustembracereformssuchastheRetailDistributionReview
andtheforthcomingsimpleproductsregimewhicharebothaimedatimprovinglevelsoftrust
aroundfinancialservicesandproducts.Ontheflipside,theaimsandsuccessesofsuchreformsmust
bewellpublicisedortheywillhavelittleeffectinchangingconsumerattitudesandbehaviours.
• Thegeneralpublicneedscertaintyaboutthefuturesavingslandscape.Thisishardtoachievegiven
theconstantlychangingmacroeconomicandpoliticalenvironmentintheUKandabroad.However,
GovernmentandOppositionmustdotheirbesttoprovidecertaintyaboutfuturerules–making
cross-partysupportforthelatestsetofreformsimportant.Withmajorreformsonthewaypolitical
consensusmustthereforenotjustbestruckontheanalysisoftheproblemsbutonthesolutions
aswell.ButmoremustbedonetoinvestigatehowtheGovernmentcanguaranteeasecureand
predictablelong-termsavingsenvironmentoverthedecadestocome.
Itisclearthatweareatacrucialjunctureforsecuringmajorreformstoprovisionforretirement.Future
generationsmustbeabletolookbackatthismomentasawatershedwhenwemadethenecessary
changestofairlyaddressthelongevity‘timebombs’andnotwhentheimpetusfordeepandmeaningful
reformwasspurred.
conclusion and CII view
56 An age-old problem: developing solutions for funding retirement
CIILaurence Baxter
HeadofPolicy&Research
CharteredInsuranceInstitute
20Aldermanbury
London
EC2V7HY
Email:
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