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Determining the Determining the Feasibility of the Feasibility of the Recovery of Woody Recovery of Woody Biomass Biomass Bob Rummer, US Forest Bob Rummer, US Forest Service Service Mark Engle, Four Corners Mark Engle, Four Corners Consulting Consulting
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Determining the Feasibility of the Recovery of Woody Biomass Bob Rummer, US Forest Service Mark Engle, Four Corners Consulting.

Dec 13, 2015

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Page 1: Determining the Feasibility of the Recovery of Woody Biomass Bob Rummer, US Forest Service Mark Engle, Four Corners Consulting.

Determining the Determining the Feasibility of the Feasibility of the

Recovery of Woody Recovery of Woody BiomassBiomass

Bob Rummer, US Forest ServiceBob Rummer, US Forest Service

Mark Engle, Four Corners Mark Engle, Four Corners ConsultingConsulting

Page 2: Determining the Feasibility of the Recovery of Woody Biomass Bob Rummer, US Forest Service Mark Engle, Four Corners Consulting.

FeasibilityFeasibility

TechnicalTechnical– PerformancePerformance– Meeting constraintsMeeting constraints

EconomicEconomic– Market values of goods and Market values of goods and

servicesservices– Costs of operationCosts of operation

Intr

od

ucti

on

Page 3: Determining the Feasibility of the Recovery of Woody Biomass Bob Rummer, US Forest Service Mark Engle, Four Corners Consulting.

Determining FeasibilityDetermining Feasibility

Contractors bidding on a Contractors bidding on a projectproject

Grantors or investorsGrantors or investors Wood purchasersWood purchasers Resource managersResource managers Policy makersPolicy makers

Intr

od

ucti

on

Page 4: Determining the Feasibility of the Recovery of Woody Biomass Bob Rummer, US Forest Service Mark Engle, Four Corners Consulting.

Current Current ConditionCondition

Desired Desired FutureFuture

Forest Operation• How to treat

Prescription• What to treat

Forest Products andEcosystem Services

Intr

od

ucti

on

Page 5: Determining the Feasibility of the Recovery of Woody Biomass Bob Rummer, US Forest Service Mark Engle, Four Corners Consulting.

OutlineOutline

Technical feasibility issuesTechnical feasibility issues Needs and constraintsNeeds and constraints Biomass system Biomass system

technologytechnology Performance estimationPerformance estimation

Economic feasibility issuesEconomic feasibility issues Business planningBusiness planning

Intr

od

ucti

on

Page 6: Determining the Feasibility of the Recovery of Woody Biomass Bob Rummer, US Forest Service Mark Engle, Four Corners Consulting.

PrescriptionPrescription

Piece sizePiece size SpeciesSpecies Volume per acreVolume per acre Acres per landingAcres per landing Residual spacingResidual spacing UtilizationUtilization Terrain (slopes, riparian)Terrain (slopes, riparian) Additional workAdditional work

Need

s a

nd

Con

str

ain

ts

Page 7: Determining the Feasibility of the Recovery of Woody Biomass Bob Rummer, US Forest Service Mark Engle, Four Corners Consulting.

Prescription ConstraintsPrescription Constraints

Soil disturbanceSoil disturbance Residual damageResidual damage Exclusions (arch sites, nesting)Exclusions (arch sites, nesting) Operating seasonOperating season Activity fuelsActivity fuels NoiseNoise

Need

s a

nd

Con

str

ain

ts

Page 8: Determining the Feasibility of the Recovery of Woody Biomass Bob Rummer, US Forest Service Mark Engle, Four Corners Consulting.

Example: WUIExample: WUI

Work hours limited 700-1700Work hours limited 700-1700 Road impacts (no steel Road impacts (no steel

grousers)grousers) Unit size <5 acUnit size <5 ac Landings limitedLandings limited Terrain relatively flatTerrain relatively flat Control risk to publicControl risk to public High visibilityHigh visibility

Need

s a

nd

Con

str

ain

ts

Page 9: Determining the Feasibility of the Recovery of Woody Biomass Bob Rummer, US Forest Service Mark Engle, Four Corners Consulting.

Kyle Canyon, NVKyle Canyon, NVN

eed

s a

nd

Con

str

ain

ts

Page 10: Determining the Feasibility of the Recovery of Woody Biomass Bob Rummer, US Forest Service Mark Engle, Four Corners Consulting.

Los Alamos, NMLos Alamos, NMN

eed

s a

nd

Con

str

ain

ts

Page 11: Determining the Feasibility of the Recovery of Woody Biomass Bob Rummer, US Forest Service Mark Engle, Four Corners Consulting.

Products and MarketsProducts and Markets

Current wood usersCurrent wood users– ProductsProducts– Market sizeMarket size

Merchandizing Merchandizing operationsoperations– SizeSize– Processing or conversionProcessing or conversion

Need

s a

nd

Con

str

ain

ts

Page 12: Determining the Feasibility of the Recovery of Woody Biomass Bob Rummer, US Forest Service Mark Engle, Four Corners Consulting.

Generic Technical SolutionsGeneric Technical Solutions

FunctionsFunctions– Felling, skidding, processing, Felling, skidding, processing,

loadingloading SystemsSystems

– Ground-basedGround-based Whole tree or tree lengthWhole tree or tree length Log lengthLog length

– CableCable– HelicopterHelicopter

Syste

m T

ech

nolo

gy

Page 13: Determining the Feasibility of the Recovery of Woody Biomass Bob Rummer, US Forest Service Mark Engle, Four Corners Consulting.

Biomass RecoveryBiomass Recovery

Added component of multi-Added component of multi-product harvestingproduct harvesting

Biomass harvesting smallwoodBiomass harvesting smallwood Biomass harvesting Biomass harvesting

brush/understorybrush/understory Short-rotation woody cropsShort-rotation woody crops

Syste

m T

ech

nolo

gy

Page 14: Determining the Feasibility of the Recovery of Woody Biomass Bob Rummer, US Forest Service Mark Engle, Four Corners Consulting.

Multi-product harvestMulti-product harvestS

yste

m T

ech

nolo

gy:

Road

sid

e

85%85%

15%15%

Page 15: Determining the Feasibility of the Recovery of Woody Biomass Bob Rummer, US Forest Service Mark Engle, Four Corners Consulting.

Clean chips + biomassClean chips + biomass

20%20%

80%80%

Syste

m T

ech

nolo

gy:

Road

sid

e

Page 16: Determining the Feasibility of the Recovery of Woody Biomass Bob Rummer, US Forest Service Mark Engle, Four Corners Consulting.

Biomass ProcessingBiomass ProcessingS

yste

m T

ech

nolo

gy:

Road

sid

e

Page 17: Determining the Feasibility of the Recovery of Woody Biomass Bob Rummer, US Forest Service Mark Engle, Four Corners Consulting.

Mobile ConversionMobile ConversionS

yste

m T

ech

nolo

gy:

Road

sid

e

Page 18: Determining the Feasibility of the Recovery of Woody Biomass Bob Rummer, US Forest Service Mark Engle, Four Corners Consulting.

Recovering ResiduesRecovering Residues

Chipping/grinding with Chipping/grinding with harvestingharvesting

Chipping/grinding separatelyChipping/grinding separately Hauling residues Hauling residues Keep the chipper busyKeep the chipper busy Can get complexCan get complex Don’t haul slash very farDon’t haul slash very far

Syste

m T

ech

nolo

gy:

Road

sid

e

Page 19: Determining the Feasibility of the Recovery of Woody Biomass Bob Rummer, US Forest Service Mark Engle, Four Corners Consulting.

Forwarding or skiddingForwarding or skidding

Payload = 1/3 solid Payload = 1/3 solid woodwood

Syste

m T

ech

nolo

gy:

In-w

ood

s

Page 20: Determining the Feasibility of the Recovery of Woody Biomass Bob Rummer, US Forest Service Mark Engle, Four Corners Consulting.

ForwidderForwidderS

yste

m T

ech

nolo

gy:

In-w

ood

s

Page 21: Determining the Feasibility of the Recovery of Woody Biomass Bob Rummer, US Forest Service Mark Engle, Four Corners Consulting.

Biomass BundlingBiomass BundlingS

yste

m T

ech

nolo

gy:

In-w

ood

s

Page 22: Determining the Feasibility of the Recovery of Woody Biomass Bob Rummer, US Forest Service Mark Engle, Four Corners Consulting.

In-woods biomass harvestIn-woods biomass harvestS

yste

m T

ech

nolo

gy:

In-w

ood

s

Page 23: Determining the Feasibility of the Recovery of Woody Biomass Bob Rummer, US Forest Service Mark Engle, Four Corners Consulting.

In-woods residue collectionIn-woods residue collection

Very sensitive to volume per Very sensitive to volume per acreacre

Concentration by previous Concentration by previous workwork

Payload is criticalPayload is critical Generally can’t pay for itselfGenerally can’t pay for itself

Syste

m T

ech

nolo

gy:

In-w

ood

s

Page 24: Determining the Feasibility of the Recovery of Woody Biomass Bob Rummer, US Forest Service Mark Engle, Four Corners Consulting.

1980—Nicholson Koch1980—Nicholson KochS

yste

m T

ech

nolo

gy:

Sw

ath

Page 25: Determining the Feasibility of the Recovery of Woody Biomass Bob Rummer, US Forest Service Mark Engle, Four Corners Consulting.

Texas A&M MesquiteTexas A&M Mesquite

Photo: Texas A&M UnivSyste

m T

ech

nolo

gy:

In-w

ood

s

Page 26: Determining the Feasibility of the Recovery of Woody Biomass Bob Rummer, US Forest Service Mark Engle, Four Corners Consulting.

Swath HarvestersSwath Harvesters

Sensitive to volume per acreSensitive to volume per acre Less sensitive to small piece Less sensitive to small piece

sizesize Takes everythingTakes everything Cleaning machinesCleaning machines Alternative to masticationAlternative to mastication How to move the chips?How to move the chips?

Syste

m T

ech

nolo

gy:

Sw

ath

Page 27: Determining the Feasibility of the Recovery of Woody Biomass Bob Rummer, US Forest Service Mark Engle, Four Corners Consulting.

WT to chipperWT to chipperS

yste

m T

ech

nolo

gy:

Fu

el Th

inn

ing

Page 28: Determining the Feasibility of the Recovery of Woody Biomass Bob Rummer, US Forest Service Mark Engle, Four Corners Consulting.

Photo: BLM, Alturas

Syste

m T

ech

nolo

gy:

Fu

el Th

inn

ing

Page 29: Determining the Feasibility of the Recovery of Woody Biomass Bob Rummer, US Forest Service Mark Engle, Four Corners Consulting.

Fuel ThinningFuel ThinningS

yste

m T

ech

nolo

gy:

Fu

el Th

inn

ing

Page 30: Determining the Feasibility of the Recovery of Woody Biomass Bob Rummer, US Forest Service Mark Engle, Four Corners Consulting.

Biomass ThinningBiomass Thinning

Low-value productLow-value product Generally facing smaller Generally facing smaller

diametersdiameters Many special treatmentsMany special treatments Tend to be lower system Tend to be lower system

outputoutput

Syste

m T

ech

nolo

gy:

Fu

el Th

inn

ing

Page 31: Determining the Feasibility of the Recovery of Woody Biomass Bob Rummer, US Forest Service Mark Engle, Four Corners Consulting.

Put a number on Put a number on ProductivityProductivity

Need to know outputNeed to know output Need to know time requiredNeed to know time required

Perf

orm

an

ce E

sti

mati

on

Productivity = output / time

Page 32: Determining the Feasibility of the Recovery of Woody Biomass Bob Rummer, US Forest Service Mark Engle, Four Corners Consulting.

If you have a system …If you have a system …

Gross production estimateGross production estimate– simplesimple– Includes all effects, delaysIncludes all effects, delays– Only applies to specific Only applies to specific

conditionsconditions Do your own time studyDo your own time study

– Small sample of only productive Small sample of only productive timetime

– Measure things that affect timeMeasure things that affect time

Perf

orm

an

ce E

sti

mati

on

Page 33: Determining the Feasibility of the Recovery of Woody Biomass Bob Rummer, US Forest Service Mark Engle, Four Corners Consulting.

Example: skiddingExample: skidding

Key variable is distanceKey variable is distance

Perf

orm

an

ce E

sti

mati

on

Page 34: Determining the Feasibility of the Recovery of Woody Biomass Bob Rummer, US Forest Service Mark Engle, Four Corners Consulting.

Get your dataGet your data

Skidder Production

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

0 100 200 300 400

Distance (ft)

Cyc

le T

ime (

min

)

Perf

orm

an

ce E

sti

mati

on

Page 35: Determining the Feasibility of the Recovery of Woody Biomass Bob Rummer, US Forest Service Mark Engle, Four Corners Consulting.

Summarize ResultsSummarize Results

Watch skidding for a truckloadWatch skidding for a truckload Total volume skidded/# turnsTotal volume skidded/# turns

– Volume per turnVolume per turn Total timeTotal time Calculate the average skid Calculate the average skid

distancedistance

Perf

orm

an

ce E

sti

mati

on

“Skidder got 20 tons per hour at an average skid distance of 300 ft”

Page 36: Determining the Feasibility of the Recovery of Woody Biomass Bob Rummer, US Forest Service Mark Engle, Four Corners Consulting.

Unknown MachineUnknown Machine

Look at spec sheets for Look at spec sheets for payloadpayload

Estimate operational speedsEstimate operational speeds

Perf

orm

an

ce E

sti

mati

on

“Feller-buncher can cut 2 trees/min that are 250 lbs each for a productivity of 15 tons per hour”

Page 37: Determining the Feasibility of the Recovery of Woody Biomass Bob Rummer, US Forest Service Mark Engle, Four Corners Consulting.

Be CarefulBe Careful

How many productive hours How many productive hours can you get in a year?can you get in a year?

Did you see all work tasks?Did you see all work tasks? What limited production?What limited production? Don’t overlook overheadDon’t overlook overhead

Perf

orm

an

ce E

sti

mati

on

Page 38: Determining the Feasibility of the Recovery of Woody Biomass Bob Rummer, US Forest Service Mark Engle, Four Corners Consulting.

Look at the Whole SystemLook at the Whole System

System output is limited by slowest System output is limited by slowest operationoperation

Perf

orm

an

ce E

sti

mati

on

Felling

$75/hr$75/hr

20 tons/hr20 tons/hr

Skidding

$75/hr$75/hr

12 tons/hr12 tons/hr

Loading

$50/hr$50/hr

80 tons/hr80 tons/hr

Page 39: Determining the Feasibility of the Recovery of Woody Biomass Bob Rummer, US Forest Service Mark Engle, Four Corners Consulting.

Technical FeasibilityTechnical Feasibility

Meets required performanceMeets required performance Estimate of production rateEstimate of production rate Some idea of how output is Some idea of how output is

affected by key factorsaffected by key factors

Perf

orm

an

ce E

sti

mati

on

Now the key question is, “Can you make money with it?”

Page 40: Determining the Feasibility of the Recovery of Woody Biomass Bob Rummer, US Forest Service Mark Engle, Four Corners Consulting.

Why is feasibility an issue?Why is feasibility an issue?

Constraints generally decrease Constraints generally decrease optionsoptions

Constraints not treated as tradeoffsConstraints not treated as tradeoffs There are unsolvable problemsThere are unsolvable problems New product New product

opportunities/requirementsopportunities/requirements ““There be monsters …”There be monsters …”

– Wide range of risks/unknownsWide range of risks/unknowns