Determination of ARIES- CS Plasma & Device Parameters and Costing J. F. Lyon, ORNL ARIES-CS Review Oct. 5, 2006
Determination of ARIES-CS Plasma & Device
Parameters and Costing
J. F. Lyon, ORNL
ARIES-CS Review Oct. 5, 2006
2
Topics
• Factors that determine the ARIES-CS device parameters
• Optimization/Systems Code: device and plasma parameters, and costing
• Results for the reference case
• Sensitivity to parameter variations, blanket & shielding models, and different magnetic configurations
3
Goal: Stellarator Reactors Similar in Size to Tokamak Reactors
• Need a factor of 2-4 reduction compact stellarators
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
0 4 8 12 16 20 24
Average Major Radius <R> (m)
Stellarator Reactors
HSR-5
HSR-4SPPS
CompactStellaratorReactorsARIES
AT ARIESRS
FFHR-1
MHR-S
Circle area ~ plasma areaTokamak Reactors
4
3 Plasma and Coil Configurations Studied
NCSXARE
• only the quasi-axisymmetric type of compact stellarators were studied
MHH2
5
R Depends on Available Plasma-Coil Space
• Need adequate space between plasma edge and coil center for blanket, shielding, vacuum vessel, coil, etc. R/min = constant R = [R/min]
• NCSX-type plasmas close to coils only over small part of the wall area
– allows a tapered blanket and shielding to reduce R– extent depends on R; impacts the T breeding ratio
• Approach not possible for MHH2 configurations because coils are ≈ same distance from plasma everywhere
R = 7.5 m
6
Factors Determining the Device Parameters
• Component cost depends on plasma surface area (~ R2)– for approx. fixed thicknesses, volumes of blanket,
shield, coil structure, vacuum vessel ~ wall area ~ R2
– volume of coils ~ LcoilIcoil/jcoil ~ R1.2
• Minimum R is determined by constraints on– acceptable power flux at wall (~ 1/R2) for radiation
(wall limit) and neutrons (lifetime issue -- could modify wall where flux too high)
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8
d = (cross section)1/2
, m
MHH2-16
MHH2-8
square coil packcross section (k = 1)
NCSXcases
– space needed between plasma edge and coil center for blanket, shielding, vacuum vessel, coil, etc. and tritium breeding ratio > 1.1
• Coil sets with a larger plasma-coil
space min allow smaller R =
[R/min], but require more
convoluted coils, resulting in larger
Bmax/Baxis, hence lower Baxis
7
Topics
• Factors that determine the ARIES-CS device parameters
•Optimization/Systems Code: device and plasma parameters, and costing
• Results for the reference case
• Sensitivity to parameter variations, blanket & shielding models, and different magnetic configurations
8
Systems Optimization Code• Minimizes Cost of Electricity for a given plasma and coil geometry using a nonlinear constrained optimizer
• Iterates on a number of optimization variables
– plasma: Ti, ne, conf. multiplier; coils: coil
width/depth, clearances
– reactor variables: Baxis, R
• Large number of constraints allowed (=, <, or >)
– Pelectric = I GW, and n limits, max. conf. multiplier, coil
j vs Bmax < 16 T, radial and coil-coil space, TBR > 1.1,
max. neutron wall power density, fraction of power radiated, -particle loss rate, etc.
• Large number of fixed parameters for – plasma and coil configuration, plasma profiles,
– transport model, helium accumulation and impurity levels,
– SC coil model (j,Bmax), blanket/shield concepts, and
– engineering parameters, cost component algorithms
9
Cost Model Includes Full Geometry
• Min. distance for blanket & shielding Rmin from R/min
• Tritium breeding ratio vs R, shield thickness ~ ln(pn), etc.
34
10
Unit Costs Used to Determine Component Costs from Volumes
• Used ARIES-AT and ARIES-RS costing algorithms (based on a tenth-of-a kind power plant)
• Costs/kg used for each material in L. ElGuebaly's blanket and shielding models
• Inflation index used to keep costs on the same year basis
• Cost/kA-m vs jSC and Bmax from L. Bromberg
• Studied sensitivity to machining complexity cost factor for each major system (blankets, shielding, manifolds, vacuum vessel, coils)
• L.Waganer's analysis supports 85% availability assumption
11
12
Determination of Modular Coil Parameters
• Maximizing toroidal width of the winding pack reduces radial depth– constrained by minimum coil-coil spacing R
• Use all space available between vacuum vessel and coil winding surface, which minimizes the coil cost
– jcoil and Bmax decrease; cost decreases faster than coil volume
increases
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
4.5
5
0.3 0.35 0.4 0.45 0.5 0.55 0.6
Coil Pack Depth d (m)
0
5
10
15
4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18
Conductor Cost($/kA-m)
Bmax
(T)
Current Density
(10-kA/mm2) Nb
3Sn
NbTiTa
13
Plasma Models for Calculating Performance
• Plasma modeling assumptions– E = H x EISS95 where EISS95 = 0.079 a2.21R0.65PMW
–0.59n190.51B0.830.4
– ISS-95 confinement multiplier H determined from power balance
– Hollow ne(r) with center/peak = 0.8 (LHD, W 7-AS)
– T(r) ~ parabolic1.5 approx. same p(r) used in MHD calculations
He*/E = 6 for calculating helium accumulation
• Targeted various plasma metrics (optimization constraints)– ignited plasma -- no auxiliary power input
= 5% (no reliable instability limit, high equilibrium limit)
– fraction of alpha-particle power lost ≤ 5%
– fraction of alpha-particle power radiated ≥ 75% (determines %Fe impurity needed)
– density ≤ 2 x Sudo value = 0.5(PB/Ra2)1/2 (3 in LHD)
• Test sensitivity to assumptions and constraints
14
Constraints on Plasma n and T(some conflicting)
= 5% nT/Baxis2
n < 2nSudo Baxis0.5
• Reduced -particle losses 5% higher nR/T2
• Acceptable nHe (from He*/E = 6) for fuel dilution
• Maximum multiplier on E n0.51B0.84; reduced saddle-point power
• Pfus [PE = 1 GW] n2f1(T) ~ n2T2 (approx.)~ rms2Baxis2
• Pradiation n2f2(T) ~ n2; target 75% of Pe,I; choose nZ
• Operating point on stable branch of ignition curve
• Te,edge set by connection length and Te,divertor < 20 eV
15
Magnetic Configuration Optimization Provides Basic Information (4)
-particle loss rate depends on plasma n and T
• So need to determine Raxis and Baxis, also n and T
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.08
0.1
0.12
0.14
0.16
0.18
0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1
nR/T2
~ collisionality
16
Operating Point Moves to Higher T with Lower Pstartup as ISS95 Multiplier
H Increases
H = 2
H = 2.15
H = 2.5H = 3
T (keV)
n (1020 m–3)
xx
illustrative,a differentreactorexample
17
ne(r) Hollow in Stellarators at Low *
• Assume ne = ne0[(1 – (r/a)12)(0.66 + 0.34(r/a)2) + nedge/ne0],
• Te = Te0[(1 – (r/a)2)1.5 + Tedge/Te0]
• p(r/a) very close to that used for stability calculation
PNBI
= 1 MW, Ti(0) = 1.3 keV ECH, T
e(0)
= 1.5 keV
PNBI
= 6.5 MW, Ti(0) = 1.9 keV
LHD W 7-AS
18
Density, Temperature & Pressure Profiles
r/a
centra
l
dip
1.7%
3.9%
9.7%
17%
25%
35%
exper.
10%
to
30%
r/ar/a
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1
pressure profiles
for Te ~ parabolic
1.5
Ku and Lyonpressureprofiles
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1
ne = n
e0[(1 – (r/a)
12)(f
0 + (1 – f
0)(r/a)
2) + n
edge/n
e0]
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1
1.52
1
Te profiles
parabolicn
10-7
10-6
10-5
0.0001
0.001
0.01
0.1
1
0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1r/a
nFe
~ ne26
Fe
19
Treatment of Impurities• ne = nDT + ZnZ, so impurities reduce Pfusion through
•reduced nDT2 and 2 (~ ne + nDT)2; Pfusion ~ nDT
2 ~2B4
•reduced Te (hence Ti) through radiative power loss
•requires higher B or H-ISS95 or larger R to compensate
• carbon (ZC = 6) for low Z & iron (ZFe = 26) for high Z
Standard corona
model: line radiation and electron-ion recombination
pradiation ~ nenZ f(Te)
Choose nZ ~ ne
0.001
0.01
0.1
1
10
100
1000
0.1 1 10T
e (keV)
Fe
C
ImpurityBremsstrahlung
H Brems-strahlung
20
Power Flow Fractions
Pfusion
Pneutron
P
P,loss
Divertor
First
Wall
Pradiatio
n
Pparticle
80%
20%
Prad,
div.
region
5%
75%
20%75%
25%
Prad,
edge 50%
50%
50%
50%
Prad,sol
11%
89%
11%
89%
Blankets,
Shields
Pelectric
Ppumps, BOP
Pelec,gross
Pthermal
116%
90%
21
Topics
• Factors that determine the ARIES-CS device parameters
• Optimization/Systems Code: device and plasma parameters, and costing
• Results for the reference case
• Sensitivity to parameter variations, blanket & shielding models, different magnetic configurations
22
Summary for Reference ARE CaseNCSX plasma with ARE coils; modified LiPb/FS/He with SiC inserts (tapered
blanket/shield) ; H2O-cooled internal vacuum vessel
FINAL DESIGN
major radius (m) 7.75
field on axis (T) 5.70
volume avg. density (1020 m–3) 3.58
density averaged temp (keV) 5.73
coil dimensions (m x m) 0.19 x 0.74
VARIABLES selected for iterationmajor radius 5.0
20.0field on axis 3.0
10.0ion density 1.0
10.0ion temperature 1.0
50.0coil width 0.01
5.0confinement multiplier 0.10 9.0
nFe/ne (%) 0
0.02
following CONSTRAINTS were selected:target
final
ignition = 1 target 1.00 1.00
electric power (GW) 1.0 1.00
tritium breeding ratio ≥ 1.1 1.115
R/Rmin ≥ 1 1.002
max. neut. wall load (MW/m2) 5-6 5.26
max. volume averaged beta 5% 5%
maximum density/nSudo ≤ 2 1.88
max. confinement multiplier 2.0 1.48
min. port width (m) 2.0 4.08
core radiated power fraction ≥ 75% 75%
maximum -particle loss rate 5% 5%maximum field on coils (T) 16
15.1
jcoil/jmax (Bmax) ≤ 1
1.00FIGURE OF MERIT
Cost of Electricity (2004 $) 81.5 mills/kW-hr
23
Typical Systems Code Results
Plasma Parameterscentral ion temp (keV)
8.63central ion density (1020 m–3)
7.83central elec. density (1020 m–3)
8.09fraction fuel to electrons
0.94confinement time, taue (sec)
0.96stored plasma energy (MJ)
430volume averaged beta (%)
5.0beta star (%)
8.2fraction carbon impurity
0fraction iron impurity
0.008 %fraction helium
2.93 %Z effective
1.11
Power Balancenet electric power (MW) 1000
gross electric power (MW) 1167.5
fusion power (MW) 2365.9
thermal power (MW) 2659.5
heating power (MW) 472.3
power in neutrons (MW) 1893.6
radiated power (MW) 354.2
fuel bremsstrahlung (MW) 240.4
iron radiation (MW) 112.9
synchrotron radiation (MW) 0.9
conduction power (MW) 94.5
fusion power to plasma (MW) 472.3
fraction alpha power lost 5.0 %
radiated power fraction 75.0 %
max neut wall flux (MW/m2) 5.26
24
Cost Element Breakdown (2004 M$)
Cost 20 (Land) 12.8 constant
Cost 21 (Structure) 264.3
Cost 22 (Reactor Plant Equip.) 1642
Cost 23 (Turbine Plant) 294.2 (thPth)0.83 +
constant
Cost 24 (Electric Plant) 133.8 (thPth)0.49
Cost 25 (Misc. Plant Eq.) 67.7 (thPth)0.59
Cost 26 (Spec. Matls.) 164.3 VLiPb
Cost 27 (Heat Rejection) 53.3 Pth – (thPth)
Cost 90 (Total Direct Cost) 2633
Costs 91-98 = construction, home office, field office, owner’s costs,
project contingency, construction interest, construction escalation
Cost 99 (Total Capital Costs) 5080 = Costs 90 thru 98
= 1.93 x Cost 90
25
CoE Breakdown (2004 mills/kW-hr)
Capital return 65.9
Operations & maintenance 10.0
Replacements 4.91
Decommissioning allowance 0.61
Fuel 0.04
Total CoE 81.5
Total CoE (1992 $) 66.4
26
Stellarator Geometry-Dependent Components only Part of the Cost
Fractions of reactor core costmodular coil
12.5%
coil structure 19.9%
blanket, first/back wall 8.7%
shield and manifolds 26.5%
vacuum system + cryostat 13.7%
plasma heating 2.9%
power supplies 6.8%
• Reactor core is 37.8% of total direct cost, which includes other reactor plant equipment and buildings
• Total direct cost is 51.8% of total capital cost
• Replaceable blanket components only contribute small % to COE
• a 30% increase in the cost of the complex components only results in a 8% increase in the total capital cost; 50% 13% increase
27
Component Mass Summary (tonnes)
total modular coil mass 4097 conductor mass
553 coil structure mass 3544 strongback
1443 inter-coil shell 2101
total blanket, first, back wall 1019 first wall mass
63.1 divertor mass
76.5 front full blanket mass
441 front blanket back wall
187 second blanket mass
130 tapered blanket mass
941
total vacuum vessel mass 1430 full blanket vac vessel mass 1123 tapered vac vessel mass 307
primary structure mass 2885
shield mass and back wall 2805 ferritic steel shield mass
1685 tapered FS shield mass
109 tapered back wall mass
71.0 tapered WC shield mass
941 penetration shield mass
266
mass of manifolds and 1345
hot structure
Total nuclear island 10,962
Cryostat mass 1333Mass of LiPb in core
3221
28
Component Cost Summary (2004 M$)
total mod coil + str cost 323 mod coil SC cost
103 mod coil winding cost 22.1 coil structure cost
198 strongback
80.8 inter-coil shell 118
total blanket, first/back wall 102 first wall cost
6.5 divertor cost 7.9 front full blanket cost
38.3 front blanket back wall cost 31.5 second blanket cost
7.2 tapered blanket cost 10.6
total vacuum vessel cost 64.0 full blanket vac vessel cost 50.2 tapered vacuum vessel cost 13.8
primary structure cost 83.3
shield cost and back wall 135 ferritic steel shield cost
65.4 tapered FS shield cost
4.7 tapered back wall cost
30.5 tapered WC shield cost 34.5 penetration shield cost
20.7
cost of manifolds and 108hot structure
total nuclear island cost 753
cryostat cost 59.8
cost of LiPb in core 65.7
nuclear island + core LiPb 849
29
Comparing Masses with AT, RS & SPPS
30
Comparison of General Plant Costs (1992 $)
• Only Reactor Plant Equip. contains stellarator costs
31
Topics
• Factors that determine the ARIES-CS device parameters
• Optimization/Systems Code: device and plasma parameters, and costing
• Results for the reference case
•Sensitivity to parameter variations, blanket & shielding models, and different magnetic configurations
32
Variations about the Reference Case
• Variations that affect the size and cost of the reactor– pn,wall limit – Bmax on modular coils
– component complexity factor – full vs tapered blanket/shield
– advanced blanket case – ARIES-AT, -RS assumptions– SNS configuration, R/a variation – MHH2 configuration
• Variations that affect the plasma parameters (base case) limit – density “limit” n/nSudo
-particle loss fraction – ISS-95 confinement multiplier
– fraction of power radiated – fraction of SOL power radiated
– density profile – temperature profile– edge Te
33
pn,wall,max Has Impact on Rmin• pn,wall,max = 5.26 MW/m2 in
code at which R = Rmin set by the required plasma-coil space
• As pn,wall decreases, R and the COE increase
Baxis falls to keep Pfusion constant for fixed
• The COE increase is partly offset by the reduced cost of coil and structure
• Will examine lower pn,wall for the report, which can help design issues
5
5.5
6
6.5
7
7.5
8
8.5
9
4.2 4.4 4.6 4.8 5 5.2
pn,wall,max
(MW/m2)
Bmax
/2 (T)
Baxis
(T)
<R> (m)
0.1 COE (1992 mills/kWhe)
<R>min
(m)
34
Bmax Has Modest Impact on R and Costs
• Bmax cannot increase above 15.1 T
because pn,wall at a targeted limit
• As Bmax decreases
Baxis decreases, but R3Baxis4 is ≈ constant to keep Pfusion
fixed for same
– cost varies fastest with R, so slow increase in R results in slow decrease in Baxis
– coil cost decreases, which partly offsets increase due to larger R
– pn,wall falls, increases
lifetime
• Possibility of even lower Bmax may
allow use of NbTi and reduced costs
4
5
6
7
8
9
12 12.5 13 13.5 14 14.5 15 15.5
Bmax
(T)
Baxis
(T)
pn,wall
(MW/m2)
<R> = <R>min
, (m)
0.1 COE (1992 mills/kWhe)
35
= 5% Is not a Hard Constraint
• As decreases below 5% R = Rmin and decreases,
eases space constraints but increases the COE
– pn,wall falls, increases
lifetime
– Bmax increases to the 16 T
limit
• Above = 5% R is fixed because pn,wall at
a limit
– slower decrease in the COE; decreasing Bmax impact on
cost of coils and structure less than the penalty associated with larger R at lower
4
5
6
7
8
9
4 5 6 7 8
<>%
Bmax
/2( )T
Baxis
( )T
p,n wall
( /MWm2)
< >R ( )m0.1 (1992 /COE mills kWh
e)
< >Rmin
( )m
36
Tapered/Full and Advanced Blanket Cases
• Reference tapered blanket/ shield (min = 131 cm)
min = 172 cm if no tapered
region
• Advanced blanket case, similar to that for AT– higher th (55-60% vs 42%)
– min = 130 cm
• Not analyzed in detail yet, will be in final report
37
Magnetic Configurations and Blanket/ Shield Options Are
Being Studied
*for LiPb/FS/He case; LiPb/SiC will be lower because thermal higher(a) to keep same neutron wall power density(b) requires better confinement, higher if same Baxis
38
Summary• The ARIES-CS device parameters determined by plasma-coil space, neutron wall loading, TBR, Bmax/B on coils and j vs Bmax in coils
• Optimization/Systems code gives integrated optimization for device and plasma parameters, and costing
• Reference case comparable with previous reactor studies
• Parameters sensitive to NWL and blanket shield options
Additional Material
40
Cost Element Breakdown
COST COMPONENTS in 2004 year M$
Cost 20 (Land) = 12.82 constant
Cost 21.1 (site improvements) = 22.65 constant
Cost 21.2 (reactor building) = 67.73 Vreactor building
0.62
Cost 21.3 (turbine building) = 41.52 (thPth)0.75 +
constant
Cost 21.4 (cooling system) = 10.01 (thPth)0.3
Cost 21.5 (PS building) = 12.27 constant
Cost 21.6 (misc. buildings) = 102.5 constant
Cost 21.7 (vent. stack) = 2.42 constant
Cost 21 (Structure) = 264.3 (incl. 2% spares)
Pth = Pn x gloem + P
41
Cost Element Breakdown (2004 M$)
Cost 22.1.1.1 (FW) 6.49Cost 22.1.1.3 (BL + BW) 80.35Cost 22.1.1 (Bl/BW & 1st wl.) 86.85 8.72%Cost 22.1.2 (Sh/BW/man) 263.8 26.47%Cost 22.1.3 mod coils 124.4Cost 22.1.3 VF coils 0.00 (to be
added)Cost 22.1.3 divertor 7.89Cost 22.1.3 mod coil struct 198.5Cost 22.1.3 (coils + str) 322.9 32.40%Cost 22.1.4 (Heating) 28.60 constant
20 MWCost 22.1.5 (Primary Str.) 83.27 core
volumeCost 22.1.6 (Vac. Sys.) 136.3 cryostatCost 22.1.7 (Power Sup.) 67.95 constantCost 22.1.8 (Imp. Control) 6.79Cost 22.1.9 (Dir. Ener. Conv. 0Cost 22.1.10 (ECH) = 0
Cost 22.1 (Core) = 996.4
42
Cost Element Breakdown (2004 M$)
Cost 22.2.1 prim. coolant 298.9 Pth0.55
Cost 22.2.2 interm. coolant 0.00
Cost 22.2.3 sec. coolant 65.83 Pth0.55
Cost 22.2 (Heat transport) 448.0
Cost 22.3 aux. cooling 3.51 PthCost 22.4 rad. waste 6.25 PthCost 22.5.1 fuel injection 14.02 constantCost 22.5.2 fuel processing 16.45 constantCost 22.5.3 fuel storage 7.01 constantCost 22.5.4 atm T recover. 3.33 constantCost 22.5.5 H2O T recover. 7.01 constantCost 22.5.6 BL T recover. 7.01 constantCost 22.5 fuel handling 54.82 constant
Cost 22.6 other plant equip 57.02 PthCost 22.7 I&C 44.19
constant
Cost 22 (Reactor Plant) 1642 (inc. 2% spare parts)
43
44
45
Further Modeling of Impurities Is Possible
• Present approach
– assumes nC = fCne & nFe = fFene; fZ
is constant thruout plasma, so nZ(r) has the same (slightly
hollow) profile as ne(r)
• Alternative: neoclassical model for impurity profiles
– nZ(r) = ne(r) x fZ (ne/ne0)Z
[Te/Te0]–Z/5
– ignore [Te/Te0]–Z/5 term --
probably is not applicable in stellarators
nZ(r) more peaked near edge since
ne(r) is hollow for regime of
interest
nZ(r) peaked at center if ne(r)
peaked
C
Fe
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1
nC ~ n
e6
r/a
no T screening
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1
nFe
~ ne
26
r/a
no T screening