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Designing and Conducting Business Surveys for Official Statistics, Tbilisi, Georgia, November 2016 Business Survey Planning Haraldsen & Snijkers, EFTA course, Tbilisi, Nov. 2016 1
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Page 1: Designing and Conducting Business Surveys for Official ... · Designing and Conducting Business Surveys for Official Statistics, Tbilisi, Georgia, November 2016 Business Survey Planning

Designing and Conducting Business Surveys for Official Statistics, Tbilisi, Georgia, November 2016

Business Survey Planning

Haraldsen & Snijkers, EFTA course, Tbilisi, Nov. 2016 1

Page 2: Designing and Conducting Business Surveys for Official ... · Designing and Conducting Business Surveys for Official Statistics, Tbilisi, Georgia, November 2016 Business Survey Planning

Remember this: Process map: Business Survey Life Cycle

1. Specifying Target population

Sample frame (obs)

Sample

Indicators/q’stions

Questionnaire Data collection mode

Fieldwork

Survey communication

Analysis & estimation

Dissemination/Archive

Evaluation (PDCA)

Required output

Data cleaning

2. Designing Building, Testing survey components

3. Collection

4. Processing

5. Analysis, dissemination, archiving

6. Evaluation

Information needs

Reporting unit(s) Response

Testing

Constraints: org.&bus.

Haraldsen & Snijkers, EFTA course, Tbilisi, Nov. 2016 2

Page 3: Designing and Conducting Business Surveys for Official ... · Designing and Conducting Business Surveys for Official Statistics, Tbilisi, Georgia, November 2016 Business Survey Planning

1. Specifying Target population

Sample frame (obs)

Sample

Indicators/q’stions

Questionnaire Data collection mode

Fieldwork

Survey communication

Analysis & estimation

Dissemination/Archive

Evaluation (PDCA)

Required output

Data cleaning

2. Designing Building, Testing survey components

3. Collection

4. Processing

5. Analysis, dissemination, archiving

6. Evaluation

Information needs

Reporting unit(s) Response

Testing

Constraints: org.&bus.

Haraldsen & Snijkers, EFTA course, Tbilisi, Nov. 2016 3

Suppose, within your office, you are commissioned to do a business survey. Data are needed on a new topic, and those data are not available in secondary sources (like registers), so you need to design and conduct a business survey: What is the actual first thing you will do?

Remember this: Process map: Business Survey Life Cycle

Question:

Page 4: Designing and Conducting Business Surveys for Official ... · Designing and Conducting Business Surveys for Official Statistics, Tbilisi, Georgia, November 2016 Business Survey Planning

Key Statement: survey planning

• The survey data are not achieved by itself

• All planning activities are aimed at

producing a pre-agreed level of

quality, at minimum costs and

response burden

• Plan for quality within constraints:

Data quality is not achieved by itself

Quality management

• Identify risks: what can go wrong?

Risk management

Haraldsen & Snijkers, EFTA course, Tbilisi, Nov. 2016 4

A Survey Project Plan is one of the survey components!

Page 5: Designing and Conducting Business Surveys for Official ... · Designing and Conducting Business Surveys for Official Statistics, Tbilisi, Georgia, November 2016 Business Survey Planning

Overview & Take aways

• Planning a survey – basics: - What is a project?

- Project management basics

- Source of project failure

• Planning a business surveys within constraints: - Constraints to consider, specific for business surveys

- the planning process

• An example

• Planning and progress tool

Take aways:

• Issues to take into account when planning a business survey

• Detailed planning issues will be discussed with the various

survey components

Haraldsen & Snijkers, EFTA course, Tbilisi, Nov. 2016 5

Page 6: Designing and Conducting Business Surveys for Official ... · Designing and Conducting Business Surveys for Official Statistics, Tbilisi, Georgia, November 2016 Business Survey Planning

What is a project?

• A project is a goal-oriented set of activities aimed at

delivering a pre-agreed, concrete and clearly specified

result

• Which has to be realized within constraints: money, time,

resources

• Which is produced by a temporary organization unit,

lead by a project manager

• While facing high levels of uncertainty

• A project has a clear stakeholder/client

Haraldsen & Snijkers, EFTA course, Tbilisi, Nov. 2016 6

Clear beginning and ending

In contrast to an ongoing process, but also applies to recurring surveys (tile structure of linked projects)

Page 7: Designing and Conducting Business Surveys for Official ... · Designing and Conducting Business Surveys for Official Statistics, Tbilisi, Georgia, November 2016 Business Survey Planning

Examples of business survey projects

• (Re)designing and conducting a business survey

• (Re)designing a questionnaire

• Introducing a new mode of data collection

• (Re)designing a business survey communication strategy

• (Re)designing a new data collection system

Haraldsen & Snijkers, EFTA course, Tbilisi, Nov. 2016 7

Page 8: Designing and Conducting Business Surveys for Official ... · Designing and Conducting Business Surveys for Official Statistics, Tbilisi, Georgia, November 2016 Business Survey Planning

Project management basics (§4.2)

1. Start with the planning the survey as a project, then

comes the “doing” • Plan people, resources, activities, and money in time, to make

sure that all survey components are ready in time, for the desired levels of data quality (e.g. response rates)

• Conduct risk assessment: an important part of the production process is outside the control of a project manager, and put in place mitigating plans and actions

• Deal with the project environment: balance between specific needs, established standards and production constraints

• Make expectations clear from the beginning

Haraldsen & Snijkers, EFTA course, Tbilisi, Nov. 2016 8

Relevant for

planning business surveys

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Project management basics (§4.2)

2. Manage the project according to the plan: after the

planning comes the doing

3. Control and monitor the survey project

4. Communicate project progress

5. Improve the quality of processes:

apply the PDCA-cycle: Plan – Do – Evaluate – Adjust

Haraldsen & Snijkers, EFTA course, Tbilisi, Nov. 2016 9

Page 10: Designing and Conducting Business Surveys for Official ... · Designing and Conducting Business Surveys for Official Statistics, Tbilisi, Georgia, November 2016 Business Survey Planning

The Project Manager role (§4.2)

• Make things happen: plan, start, and manage the project

• Control and monitor the survey project

• Focus on management tasks

This should be a separate role!

Haraldsen & Snijkers, EFTA course, Tbilisi, Nov. 2016 10

Page 11: Designing and Conducting Business Surveys for Official ... · Designing and Conducting Business Surveys for Official Statistics, Tbilisi, Georgia, November 2016 Business Survey Planning

Three sources of project failure:

The project management principles are aimed at minimizing

project failure, caused by:

1. Organizational factors - Determine internal constraints - Conduct risk assessment and put in place mitigating plans and actions

2. Poorly identified customer needs and inadequately

specified project requirements

- Steps in the planning process

3. Poor planning and control

- SMART planning - Using paradata (process data) to monitor

progress and achieved levels of quality (using indicators)

Haraldsen & Snijkers, EFTA course, Tbilisi, Nov. 2016 11

“Quality is established through processes,

systems and procedures” (Biemer & Lyberg, 2003)

Page 12: Designing and Conducting Business Surveys for Official ... · Designing and Conducting Business Surveys for Official Statistics, Tbilisi, Georgia, November 2016 Business Survey Planning

So, what does planning a survey involve?

1. Specifying Target population

Sample frame (obs)

Sample

Indicators/q’stions

Questionnaire Data collection mode

Fieldwork

Survey communication

Analysis & estimation

Dissemination/Archive

Evaluation (PDCA)

Required output

Data cleaning

2. Designing Building, Testing survey components

3. Collection

4. Processing

5. Analysis, dissemination, archiving

6. Evaluation

Information needs

Reporting unit(s) Response

Testing

Constraints: org.&bus.

1. Project plan

Haraldsen & Snijkers, EFTA course, Tbilisi, Nov. 2016 12

Page 13: Designing and Conducting Business Surveys for Official ... · Designing and Conducting Business Surveys for Official Statistics, Tbilisi, Georgia, November 2016 Business Survey Planning

Planning the survey, includes:

1. Specifying the survey

2. Planning the survey process in detail

3. Specifying required resources: money, people, materials

4. Specifying the timetable

5. Project management issues

6. Risk management issues

Haraldsen & Snijkers, EFTA course, Tbilisi, Nov. 2016 13

Structure of project plan

Page 14: Designing and Conducting Business Surveys for Official ... · Designing and Conducting Business Surveys for Official Statistics, Tbilisi, Georgia, November 2016 Business Survey Planning

Step 1: Specifying the survey (§4.3.1)

Haraldsen & Snijkers, EFTA course, Tbilisi, Nov. 2016 14

Page 15: Designing and Conducting Business Surveys for Official ... · Designing and Conducting Business Surveys for Official Statistics, Tbilisi, Georgia, November 2016 Business Survey Planning

Step 1: Specifying the survey

1. Specifying Target population

Sample frame (obs)

Sample

Indicators/q’stions

Questionnaire Data collection mode

Fieldwork

Survey communication

Analysis & estimation

Dissemination/Archive

Evaluation (PDCA)

Required output

Data cleaning

2. Designing Building, Testing survey components

3. Collection

4. Processing

5. Analysis, dissemination, archiving

6. Evaluation

Information needs

Reporting unit(s) Response

Testing

Constraints: org.&bus.

Haraldsen & Snijkers, EFTA course, Tbilisi, Nov. 2016 15

Page 16: Designing and Conducting Business Surveys for Official ... · Designing and Conducting Business Surveys for Official Statistics, Tbilisi, Georgia, November 2016 Business Survey Planning

Step 1: Specifying the survey (§4.3.1)

• Consult with stakeholder, determine: - Survey objectives, target population and information needs

- Deliverables and desired levels of quality (e.g. response rates)

- Budget, timeframe, and response burden

- Survey specifications

Signed tender

• Consult with survey organization: - Determine constraints

Establish business case: pre-plan go/no-go?

• Appoint project manager

Haraldsen & Snijkers, EFTA course, Tbilisi, Nov. 2016 16

Page 17: Designing and Conducting Business Surveys for Official ... · Designing and Conducting Business Surveys for Official Statistics, Tbilisi, Georgia, November 2016 Business Survey Planning

Constraints to take into account

• Survey deliverables: the quality of the results, survey

specifications, delivery date Check if this can be achieved

• People, material resources, money, time Apply project

management principles

• Quality considerations: effects of methodologies on data

quality Have the quality framework in mind

• The business context: response process and response

burden Study the process that is outside of control and

reduce risks upfront

• Survey production environment Check and consider

upfront

Haraldsen & Snijkers, EFTA course, Tbilisi, Nov. 2016 17

Especially relevant when planning

business surveys

Page 18: Designing and Conducting Business Surveys for Official ... · Designing and Conducting Business Surveys for Official Statistics, Tbilisi, Georgia, November 2016 Business Survey Planning

Study the business context

What do want to know upfront about the businesses you are

going to study?

• What data are available Questionnaire

• What terminology and definitions are used

• Where are the data (one/many departments)

• Format of the data (spread sheet, other format) & Mode

• Whom to contact Communication strategy

• Arguments for getting survey participation

• Other surveys they get (multi-surveyed businesses)

• When to inform businesses about the survey, so they have enough time to get prepared

• When are the data available Fielding survey & Frequency

Haraldsen & Snijkers, EFTA course, Tbilisi, Nov. 2016 18 Remember: business survey response process

Input for:

Page 19: Designing and Conducting Business Surveys for Official ... · Designing and Conducting Business Surveys for Official Statistics, Tbilisi, Georgia, November 2016 Business Survey Planning

Study the business context

Example:

Redesign of Survey on Financial Position of businesses

• 2013-2014: new data model was developed, based on data

requirements

• End of Q1 in 2017: Fielding of new survey

• At the end of 2014: Planning of survey was discussed

- What is needed to reach this deadline?

- Including a feasibility study (business context)

Haraldsen & Snijkers, EFTA course, Tbilisi, Nov. 2016 19

This has to be planned in and carried out at an early stage, in order to reduce risks. Otherwise risks will be pushed downstream.

Page 20: Designing and Conducting Business Surveys for Official ... · Designing and Conducting Business Surveys for Official Statistics, Tbilisi, Georgia, November 2016 Business Survey Planning

The survey production environment

(§4.3.2.2)

If working in a survey or statistical organization,

you will need to consider the survey production

environment that you are working in.

Haraldsen & Snijkers, EFTA course, Tbilisi, Nov. 2016 20

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Haraldsen & Snijkers, EFTA course, Tbilisi, Nov. 2016 21

Page 22: Designing and Conducting Business Surveys for Official ... · Designing and Conducting Business Surveys for Official Statistics, Tbilisi, Georgia, November 2016 Business Survey Planning

Constraints

Elements of a business

survey production

environment:

• These constraints have

to be checked upfront

• They are input for

(planning) the

survey process

• See pp. 139-140

Haraldsen & Snijkers, EFTA course, Tbilisi, Nov. 2016 22

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Haraldsen & Snijkers, EFTA course, Tbilisi, Nov. 2016 23

Page 24: Designing and Conducting Business Surveys for Official ... · Designing and Conducting Business Surveys for Official Statistics, Tbilisi, Georgia, November 2016 Business Survey Planning

Haraldsen & Snijkers, EFTA course, Tbilisi, Nov. 2016 24

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Haraldsen & Snijkers, EFTA course, Tbilisi, Nov. 2016 25

This is the picture for one survey! However:

for business surveys, the designs are not independent of each other, but related!

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Haraldsen & Snijkers, EFTA course, Tbilisi, Nov. 2016

The survey production environment

Investigate what other surveys your

businesses get and how these designs are

related:

• Data asked for (overlap in data requests)

• Timing of surveys

• Response Burden (workload) of surveys

26

Take into account that businesses may be multi-surveyed!

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Haraldsen & Snijkers, EFTA course, Tbilisi, Nov. 2016 27

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Haraldsen & Snijkers, EFTA course, Tbilisi, Nov. 2016 28

Page 29: Designing and Conducting Business Surveys for Official ... · Designing and Conducting Business Surveys for Official Statistics, Tbilisi, Georgia, November 2016 Business Survey Planning

Plan for quality within constraints

Identify:

• Optimal survey design

• Trade-offs between quality and constraints (costs and

response burden):

- How do constraints affect the survey design?

- The consequences of these trade-offs regarding quality

• Decisions that need to be taken, and identify the risks for

the various options,

document

these decisions

Haraldsen & Snijkers, EFTA course, Tbilisi, Nov. 2016 29

Page 30: Designing and Conducting Business Surveys for Official ... · Designing and Conducting Business Surveys for Official Statistics, Tbilisi, Georgia, November 2016 Business Survey Planning

Step 2: Plan the survey in detail (§4.3.2)

Haraldsen & Snijkers, EFTA course, Tbilisi, Nov. 2016 30

Page 31: Designing and Conducting Business Surveys for Official ... · Designing and Conducting Business Surveys for Official Statistics, Tbilisi, Georgia, November 2016 Business Survey Planning

Step 2: Plan the survey in detail

• Plan all stages of the survey: Plan the entire survey process up to and including survey

deliverables and survey evaluation, including how it will be

monitored and managed.

• Write the project plan

Haraldsen & Snijkers, EFTA course, Tbilisi, Nov. 2016 31

Page 32: Designing and Conducting Business Surveys for Official ... · Designing and Conducting Business Surveys for Official Statistics, Tbilisi, Georgia, November 2016 Business Survey Planning

Step 2: Project plan (Fig. 4.3)

Results of step 2: project plan, with the following sections: 1. Statement of the survey

- Objectives, deliverables, specifications, constraints

2. The survey in detail

- Work breakdown structure of activities

3. Required resources

- needed human and material resources,

money based on work breakdown structure

4. The timetable

- who is doing what and when core of the plan

5. Project management

- how the survey will be planned, managed, controlled and monitored

6. Risk management

Haraldsen & Snijkers, EFTA course, Tbilisi, Nov. 2016 32

Page 33: Designing and Conducting Business Surveys for Official ... · Designing and Conducting Business Surveys for Official Statistics, Tbilisi, Georgia, November 2016 Business Survey Planning

Step 2: Plan the survey in detail (Fig. 4.2)

What the

business survey

project plan

needs to cover

Haraldsen & Snijkers, EFTA course, Tbilisi, Nov. 2016 33

Planned in step 2 (discussed in next sessions)

Desired quality Business context Response burden

Page 34: Designing and Conducting Business Surveys for Official ... · Designing and Conducting Business Surveys for Official Statistics, Tbilisi, Georgia, November 2016 Business Survey Planning

Step 2: planning the survey

1. Specifying Target population

Sample frame (obs)

Sample

Indicators/q’stions

Questionnaire Data collection mode

Fieldwork

Survey communication

Analysis & estimation

Dissemination/Archive

Evaluation (PDCA)

Required output

Data cleaning

2. Designing Building, Testing survey components

3. Collection

4. Processing

5. Analysis, dissemination, archiving

6. Evaluation

Information needs

Reporting unit(s) Response

Testing

Constraints: org.&bus.

1. Project plan

Haraldsen & Snijkers, EFTA course, Tbilisi, Nov. 2016 34

Page 35: Designing and Conducting Business Surveys for Official ... · Designing and Conducting Business Surveys for Official Statistics, Tbilisi, Georgia, November 2016 Business Survey Planning

Step 2: Planning the survey in detail

Combine the planning for all survey components and stages:

1. List and number all activities in a work breakdown structure

table with activities

start with last activity: delivery of survey results, work backward

2. Determine critical path: no delays afforded

questionnaire design: start ASAP!

3. Prepare a timetable with milestones:

final delivery date of survey results

start and end of fieldwork

start and end of development of survey components

4. Plan the survey on a real-life calendar

5. Communicate the plan to those involved and revise, get sign-off

Remember: the plan is likely to change!

Haraldsen & Snijkers, EFTA course, Tbilisi, Nov. 2016 35

Page 36: Designing and Conducting Business Surveys for Official ... · Designing and Conducting Business Surveys for Official Statistics, Tbilisi, Georgia, November 2016 Business Survey Planning

Three rules of thumb

• Do things right from the start, otherwise you are pushing

problems and costs downstream!

• Do not underestimate the time needed for DBT activities:

multiply estimated time by 1.5 or 2

• Plan for quality within constraints: quality is not achieved by

itself use the total survey error framework

Haraldsen & Snijkers, EFTA course, Tbilisi, Nov. 2016 36

Page 37: Designing and Conducting Business Surveys for Official ... · Designing and Conducting Business Surveys for Official Statistics, Tbilisi, Georgia, November 2016 Business Survey Planning

Survey planning and Total Survey Framework

Haraldsen & Snijkers, EFTA course, Tbilisi, Nov. 2016 37

Page 38: Designing and Conducting Business Surveys for Official ... · Designing and Conducting Business Surveys for Official Statistics, Tbilisi, Georgia, November 2016 Business Survey Planning

To conclude: planning a survey is …

• a complex process: planning and developments efforts rise

with survey complexity

• not a linear process: it is an iterative process, going back and

forth, making amendments to the plan. The project plan is

very likely going to change

• It requires communication skills, ingenuity, and creativity

Haraldsen & Snijkers, EFTA course, Tbilisi, Nov. 2016 38

Page 39: Designing and Conducting Business Surveys for Official ... · Designing and Conducting Business Surveys for Official Statistics, Tbilisi, Georgia, November 2016 Business Survey Planning

After the planning comes the “doing”

Finalizing the project plan:

• Discuss with everybody involved

• Get commitment and approval

Getting started:

• Kick-off meeting

• The project is running

• Everybody is expected to do their jobs according to

the plan

Haraldsen & Snijkers, EFTA course, Tbilisi, Nov. 2016 39

Page 40: Designing and Conducting Business Surveys for Official ... · Designing and Conducting Business Surveys for Official Statistics, Tbilisi, Georgia, November 2016 Business Survey Planning

Planning and progress tool (Fig.4.7)

To summarize:

A tool to assist the planning process and monitor progress

Progress Status Overview:

• Work breakdown structure for a business survey:

- are all activities planned?

• Overview of milestones:

- to monitor the survey progress: to be ticked off during the

various survey stages

Haraldsen & Snijkers, EFTA course, Tbilisi, Nov. 2016 40

Page 41: Designing and Conducting Business Surveys for Official ... · Designing and Conducting Business Surveys for Official Statistics, Tbilisi, Georgia, November 2016 Business Survey Planning

Planning and progress tool (Fig.4.7)

Haraldsen & Snijkers, EFTA course, Tbilisi, Nov. 2016 41