1 Operated by Los Alamos National Security, LLC for NNSA U N C L A S S I F I E D Instituting a Safety Culture in our Instituting a Safety Culture in our Transportation System: Parallel Transportation System: Parallel Visions w/some comments on Visions w/some comments on Los Alamos, New Mexico Los Alamos, New Mexico LA-UR-07-3261 Khalil J. Spencer Chair, LANL Traffic Safety Committee Chair, Los Alamos County Transportation Board Board Member, Bicycle Coalition of New Mexico Information taken from ongoing projects by: National Center for Bicycling and Walking The American Automobile Assn. Foundation LANL’s Traffic Engineering Staff (Charlie Trask, John Bradley… and others
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1Operated by Los Alamos National Security, LLC for NNSA
U N C L A S S I F I E D
Instituting a Safety Culture in our Instituting a Safety Culture in our Transportation System: Parallel Visions Transportation System: Parallel Visions
w/some comments on w/some comments on Los Alamos, New MexicoLos Alamos, New Mexico
LA-UR-07-3261
Khalil J. Spencer
Chair, LANL Traffic Safety CommitteeChair, Los Alamos County Transportation BoardBoard Member, Bicycle Coalition of New Mexico
Information taken from ongoing projects by: National Center for Bicycling and Walking The American Automobile Assn. Foundation LANL’s Traffic Engineering Staff (Charlie Trask, John Bradley… and others
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Some background for this talkSome background for this talk
Presented as invited talk at Pro-bike/Pro-walk 2006 Traffic Justice Project (i.e., I’m not speaking for LANL)
Hence relevance to Bike to Work Day Added LANL crash data (thanks, Charlie Trask and
John Bradley) for relevance to local traffic situation TJP: How do we better protect people, esp. most
vulnerable users: cyclists and pedestrians? Promote justice, i.e., instead of designing cars
which are safe to crash into other cars (crash-mitigation), design transportation so it is safe for all, including the most vulnerable users—those not in cars!
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Present situation at LANL (look at Charlie’s & John’s data)
Scores of crashes (up to 100) per year Many crash-related complaints, injuries, some
debilitating injuries, and three total deaths (1 since 2000)
Many are “at fault” accidents What are the costs to business, i.e., sick time,
traffic delays, lost productivity, worker morale? (Steve Booth research idea)
OSHA: When a worker has an on-the-job crash that results in an injury, the cost to their employer is $74,000. Costs can exceed $500,000 when a fatality is involved.
Can we institute a safety culture that extends to our drive time and reduces the risk?
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LANL/DOE road crashes per year
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Year
No.
of C
rash
es
LANL Crash DataLANL Crash Data
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complaints, injuries, and fatalities
0
10
20
30
40
50
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Year
com
pla
ints
an
d
casu
alti
es
killed
incapacitated
visible injuries
complaints
K
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roadway conditions
0.00%
20.00%
40.00%
60.00%
80.00%
100.00%
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Year
% "
day
tim
e, c
lear
an
d d
ry"
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% of crashes at intersections
0.00%
20.00%
40.00%
60.00%
80.00%
100.00%
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Year
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Accident type codes: some clearly Accident type codes: some clearly involve error or malfeasanceinvolve error or malfeasance
1 Loss of Traction
2Driver
Inattention
3 Poor Visibility
4Too
fast/speeding
5 Right angle
6 Rear-ender
7 Sideswipe
8 Head-on
9 Pedestrian
10 Bicycle
11 Hit and Run
12 Parked Vehicle
13 Rollover
14 Animal
15 DWI
16 Asleep at Wheel
17 Failure to Yield
18 Brake Failure
19 Cross Centerline
20 No Pass Zone
21 Follow too close
22 Evasive action
23 Other
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% of crashes w/mistakes, citations, errors(author's somewhat subjective interpretations from listed
"accident type code")
0.00%20.00%40.00%60.00%80.00%
100.00%
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Year
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U.S. vs. elsewhere: 2005 road fatalities per million population (source: European Conference of Ministers of Transport)
0
50
100
150
200
250
Aus
tralia
Aus
tria
Bel
gium
Can
ada
Cze
chÂ
Rep
ublic
Den
mar
k
Finl
and
Fran
ce
Ger
man
y
Gre
ece
Hun
gary
Icel
and
Irela
nd Italy
Japa
n
Kor
ea
Luxe
mbo
urg
Net
herla
nds
New
 Z
eala
nd
Nor
way
Pol
and
Por
tuga
l
Slo
vakÂ
Rep
ublic Spa
in
Sw
eden
Sw
itzer
land
Turk
ey
Uni
tedÂ
Kin
gdom
Uni
tedÂ
Sta
tes
Rus
sian
 F
eder
atio
n
Slo
veni
a
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Trends not good, either
fatalities per million pop
0
50
100
150
200
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007
US
W. Europe
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Can we do better?Can we do better?
High hazard industries (HHI) mitigate risks, drive down accidents, reduce corporate & public risk
What if we used a HHI model to manage traffic safety?
Tanker catches fire, causes Calif. road collapseFallen interchange connects highways to Oakland-San Francisco Bay Bridge – from MSNBC.com
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What is a “safety culture” What is a “safety culture” and how would it work?and how would it work?
A worldview that asserts that safety is not a goal, but a core value that must be preserved in the workplace
Not sacrificed to expediency Core values drive goals and
objectives, not the other way around.
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Parallel Visions: AAA Foundation Parallel Visions: AAA Foundation
and NCBW and NCBW AAA Foundation: promote a “safety culture.” (develop) a Safety
Culture Index (SCI), with which to quantify the present state of affairs ...
(focus) upon developing safety cultures in highway safety agencies at the state and local levels
National Center for Bicycling and Walking: redefine societal perspective on motor vehicle
crashes, reducing their occurrence, and… significantly decreasing the …number of injuries and fatalities.
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But the problem…context!But the problem…context! Chapter 9: Fragments of a Movement—
(Lisa Lewis, Partnership for Safe Driving)
“Many…movements (for roadway safety) … have something in common…organizing around a single problem…without awareness of or concern for the context in which it is occurring…”
A Safety Culture provides such a context
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So how does one achieve a So how does one achieve a safety culture?safety culture?
Competing visions of safety: “Garbage Can” (Cohen, et al. 1972) model—safety is
one of the competing, sometimes incompatible interests at the table (i.e., the present traffic situation).
High Reliability model: safety is a compelling interest and core value.
(see Scott D. Sagan, The Limits of Safety, Charles Perrow, Normal Accidents
In a safety culture, safety is a core value. All aspects of an endeavor are constrained by how they influence safety (nuclear, airline, chemical industries)
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ALARA: ALARA: borrowed from the nuke borrowed from the nuke industry —sets minimizing injury as a industry —sets minimizing injury as a core valuecore value
“As Low As Reasonably Achievable” ALARA asks and we answer before we start: how
do we minimize accident/injury while accomplishing the goals of the organization?
Goals must be worth the residual risks after mitigation
Integrated approach: examine all aspects of a problem for the risk analysis before endeavor goes forward.
Retains focus on safety as core value in spite of other competing values (faster, cheaper, sexier, bigger)
Translates into tangible concepts in accident minimization, as follows…
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ALARA ToolsALARA Tools Substitution of a less dangerous device such
as a bicycle, transit, Corolla (i.e., a small car) Reduced exposure: lower VMD requirements
for same connectivity--smart P&Z Engineering Controls that protect and control
without user input: Antilock Brake Systems, Stability Management Systems, speed governors linked to GPS
Administrative Controls that elucidate hazards and social engineering (speed laws, driving tests)
Personal Protective Equipment such as seat belts, helmets. Use indicates awareness of safety.
Realistic, often-repeated training and drills to ensure competency in a crisis: real driver ed.
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Weaknesses of these “tools” if not Weaknesses of these “tools” if not
seen as parts of a safety cultureseen as parts of a safety culture Inconsistent with “closed course, don’t try this at home” or
“"The (Nissan) Frontier sends a message: 'Get out of my way'."
Unsafe driving in North American automobile commercials, P. C. Shin, D. Hallett, M. L. Chipman, C. Tator and J. T. Granton Jour. of Public Health Vol. 27, No. 4, pp. 318–325
Create passive behavior, i.e., the gizmo will protect me “ Engineered controls can be expensive (SMS) or seen as
consequences for violating them Vehicle structure mismatch can defeat defensive measures
(i.e., body-on-frame truck vs. unibody subcompact) Low quality of driver training & licensing not reflective of
real world safe driving requirements, (none required for bike-walk)
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Safety culture: behavioral-Safety culture: behavioral-based based
Get inside people’s heads! Civil, not defensive driving (society, not
“me”) Change risky behavior before it leads to
an incident 40,000 dead and 2.5 million injured per
year. Convince people that they have a stake in the outcome: their lives or those of their loved ones
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Some behavior that needs to change: inattention to driving and speeding
(Apr. 2006) Virginia Tech Transportation Institute and NHTSA report on inattention
almost 80 percent of crashes and 65 percent of near-crashes involved some form of driver inattention within three seconds of the event*.
* ~1 football field at 60 mph
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Inattentive driving
Breaking news 4:29 pm: One dead in Highway 14 collision(6/27/07 Santa Fe New Mexican)
Santa Fe Sheriff Solano said a 16-year-old boy was headed south on N.M. 14 at 2:30 p.m. when he reached down to grab something he dropped on the floorboard. His truck drifted into the northbound lanes and hit a Honda Accord head-on, killing the 47-year-old woman who was driving.
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Speeding and Motorist miscalculation
Most motorists underestimate the distance needed to stop.
The effect this difference has on the outcome of a crash or emergency situation can mean the difference between life and death.
With acknowledgements to Bob McQuinn for this slide
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AccountabilityAccountability
Instead of auto “no fault”, use airline and nuke model: zero accidents are the goal and people & systems accountable for harm done
Long-term paradigm-shift in DWI is a potential model
Use of devices such as legally-certified EDR’s (automotive black boxes) to provide better crash data & better understanding of why crashes happened, assign responsibility fairly
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What would an ALARA-What would an ALARA-based safety program look based safety program look like?like?
A theme: crash prevention, not “crash control” Most vulnerable users define safety standards
(“Vision Zero” model—Sweden) Parts not ends in themselves, but part of a whole Accountability and recurrent training, certification Evaluate risk factors for a clear understanding of
how traffic works BEFORE operational decisions are made.
Ownership: not imposed, but buy-in
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What would an ALARA-based What would an ALARA-based safety program look like?safety program look like?
Constant review and improvement (feedback)
“High reliability organization” rather than a “garbage can” of competing and incompatible interests, which means…
Traffic engineers, marketers, law enforcement, lawmakers, health professionals, safety modelers, advocates, P&Z, end-users all on same page.
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Traffic Safety Locally: Diamond Drive, Los Traffic Safety Locally: Diamond Drive, Los Alamos, NMAlamos, NM
Downtown + res
High School + UNM
Middle School + resGrade
school + res
Grade school + res
to LANL
res
res
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Original Diamond Drive Profile-no Original Diamond Drive Profile-no shoulders or ADA sidewalks: “car is shoulders or ADA sidewalks: “car is king”king”
Don’t fall...
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New Diamond Profile—shared sovereignty? Bike lanes, ADA sidewalks, bus pullouts & ped crossing island shelters
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At the local level: At the local level: EducationEducation
One principle employer (LANL) & school district. If these institute a safety-culture based drive-bike-walk training program, would cover lion’s share of residents
Police Chief has regular community safety meetings
Safety op-eds by LAPD, BSC, T-Board
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At the local level, At the local level, EnforcementEnforcement
Low crime,so police can concentrate on traffic, since it could be people’s greatest risk.
LAPD has recently increased patrols, underage alcohol sales stings, and DWI checks
MANY have DOE security clearances. These are revocable for bad character. Fines (esp. speeding) > $250 must be reported. Can this be used as a “stick” to hold LANL drivers to a higher standard?
Make LANL employment contingent on safe site-wide driving behavior
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At the local level, At the local level, EngineeringEngineering
Diamond re-design in consideration of hazards (HS, College, and LANL on same main drag) (Co Bike Plan, “complete streets”)
Safety as high priority. (roundabouts vs. signalized intersections)
County’s new transit system (less dangerous device, alternatives for youth and elderly).
Large, higher speed roads (Trinity Drive) should not be a design feature of urban areas unless they are both grade separated and do not impede other modes or community access.
Effective traffic calming
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Central Ave: 85%-ile < posted 25 Central Ave: 85%-ile < posted 25 mph speed limitmph speed limit
Bulbouts & lane width reduction in commercial/government district
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The concern for human life and health is an absolutely mandatory element in the design and functioning of the road transport system. This means that a road traffic safety mode of thinking must be clearly integrated into all the processes that affect safety within the road transport system. The level of violence that the human body can tolerate without being killed or seriously injured shall be the basic parameter in the design of the road transport.