Demographics in Texas: Changes in Household Characteristics and Changes in Family Structure of the Dallas Area Dallas Bar Association - Family Law Section February 9, 2012 Dallas, TX
Demographics in Texas:
Changes in Household Characteristics
and Changes in Family Structure
of the Dallas Area
Dallas Bar Association -
Family Law Section
February 9, 2012
Dallas, TX
Growing States, 2000-2010
2000
Population*
2010
Population*
Numerical
Change
2000-2010
Percent
Change
2000-2010
United States 281,421,906 308,745,538 27,323,632 9.7%
Texas 20,851,820 25,145,561 4,293,741 20.6%
California 33,871,648 37,253,956 3,382,308 10.0%
Florida 15,982,378 18,801,310 2,818,932 17.6%
Georgia 8,186,453 9,687,653 1,501,200 18.3%
North Carolina 8,049,313 9,535,483 1,486,170 18.5%
Arizona 5,130,632 6,392,017 1,261,385 24.6%
2
15.7% of numeric
change in U.S.
8.1% of U.S.
Population
Note: Population values are decennial census counts for April 1, 2000 and April 1, 2010. Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 and 2010 Census Counts.
Percent Change
Due to
Year* Population
Numerical
Change**
Percent
Change
Natural
Increase
Net
Migration
1950 7,711,194 -- -- -- --
1960 9,579,677 1,868,483 24.2 93.91 6.09
1970 11,196,730 1,617,053 16.9 86.74 13.26
1980 14,229,191 3,032,461 27.1 41.58 58.42
1990 16,986,510 2,757,319 19.9 65.85 34.15
2000 20,851,820 3,865,310 22.8 49.65 50.35
2009 24,782,302 3,930,484 18.8 54.04 45.33
2010 25,145,561 4,293,741 20.6
2011 25,674,681 529,120 2.1 54.79 44.99
All values for the decennial dates are for April 1st of the indicated census year.
Values for 2009 and 2011 are for July 1 as estimated by the U.S. Census Bureau.
** Change is from previous decade/time period
Total Population and Components of Population Change in Texas, 1950-2011
3
Note: Residual values are not presented in this table. Source: Derived from U.S. Census Bureau Estimates for dates indicated by the Texas State Data Center.
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
2000 to
2001
2001 to
2002
2002 to
2003
2003 to
2004
2004 to
2005
2005 to
2006
2006 to
2007
2007 to
2008
2008 to
2009
International
State-to-State
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2009 Population Estimates.
Estimated Annual Net Migration to Texas, 2000-2009
Estimated Domestic Migration (2000-2008) by County as a Percentage of 2000 Population
Legend
-20 to -45%
-19 to -10%
-9 to -5%
-4 to 0%
1 to 5 %
6 to 20%
21 to 30%
31 to 65%
5
Source: Population Division, U.S. Census Bureau, March 19, 2009. Map produced by the Texas State Data Center.
Legend
0-1%
1-2.5%
2.5-3.5%
3.5-5%
5-10%
6
Estimated International Migration (2000-2008) by County as a Percentage of 2000 Population
Source: Population Division, U.S. Census Bureau, March 19, 2009. Map produced by the Texas State Data Center.
Percent of Migrants to Texas by Race and Ethnicity, 2000-2009
44%
24% 33%
28%
50% 40%
23% 8% 15%
5% 18% 12%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Net domesticmigration
Internationalmigration
Total
Other
Black
Hispanic
White
67% of all
migrants
(848,702 migrants ) (933,083 migrants)
52% of all migrants were international
Sources: Percentages of domestic and international migrants by race and ethnicity derived from the 2006-2008 American Community Survey. Total numbers of domestic and international migrants between 2000-2009 are from Table 4. Cumulative Estimates of the Components of Resident Population Change for the United States, Regions, States, and Puerto Rico: April 1, 2000 to July 1, 2009, U.S. Census Bureau.
Texas Racial and Ethnic Composition, 2000 and 2010
NH White 53%
NH Black 11%
NH Other
4%
Hispanic or Latino
32%
2000
NH White 45%
NH Black 11%
NH Other 6%
Hispanic or Latino
38%
2010
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 and 2010 Census Counts.
200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000
Under 1 year
5 years
10 years
15 years
20 years
25 years
30 years
35 years
40 years
45 years
50 years
55 years
60 years
65 years
70 years
75 years
80 years
85 years
90 years
95 years
100 to 104 years
Male White, Non-Hispanic Male Hispanic Male Black, Non-Hispanic Male Asian, Non-Hispanic
Male Other, Non Hispanic Female White, Non-Hispanic Female Hispanic Female Black, Non-Hispanic
Female Asian, Non-Hispanic Female Other, Non Hispanic
Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, 2010
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2010 Census Count.
200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000
Under 1 year
5 years
10 years
15 years
20 years
25 years
30 years
35 years
40 years
45 years
50 years
55 years
60 years
65 years
70 years
75 years
80 years
85 years
90 years
95 years
100 to 104 years
Male White, Non-Hispanic Female White, Non-Hispanic
10
Texas Population Pyramid by White (non-Hispanic), 2010
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2010 Census Count.
200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000
Under 1 year
5 years
10 years
15 years
20 years
25 years
30 years
35 years
40 years
45 years
50 years
55 years
60 years
65 years
70 years
75 years
80 years
85 years
90 years
95 years
100 to 104 years
Male Hispanic Male Black, Non-Hispanic Male Asian, Non-Hispanic Male Other, Non Hispanic
Female Hispanic Female Black, Non-Hispanic Female Asian, Non-Hispanic Female Other, Non Hispanic
11
Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, 2010
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2010 Census Count.
Texas White (non-Hispanic) and Hispanic Populations by Age, 2010
0
50000
100000
150000
200000
250000
Po
pu
lati
on
Age
White (non-Hispanic)
Hispanic
12 Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2010 Census Count.
Percent Change
-21% - -10.1%
-10% - -0.1%
0% - 24.9%
25% - 54.9%
55% - 81.8%
Number of People
82 - 9,999
10,000 - 24,999
25,000 - 99,999
100,000 - 999,999
1,000,000 - 4,092,459
Total Population by County, 2010
13
Total Population Population % Change, 2000 to 2010
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2010 P.L. 94-171 Redistricting Data. Maps produced by the Office of the State Demographer.
79 counties lost
population over
the decade
Percent Change
-51.4% - -10.1%
-10% - -0.1%
0% - 24.9%
25% - 54.9%
55% - 62.1%
Less than 100 population
Percent Change in Population by County, 2000 to 2010
14
Non-Hispanic White Hispanic
Percent Change
-29.4% - -0.1%
0% - 24.9%
25% - 54.9%
55% - 99.9%
100% - 165.7%
Less than 100 population
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 and 2010 P.L. 94-171 Redistricting Data. Maps produced by the Office of the State Demographer.
Percent Change
-49% - -10.1%
-10% - -0.1%
0% - 24.9%
25% - 74.9%
75% - 3000%
Less than 100 population
Percent Change in Population by County, 2000 to 2010
15
Non-Hispanic Black Non-Hispanic Asian
Percent Change
-27.9% - -10.1%
-10% - -0.1%
0% - 24.9%
25% - 54.9%
55% - 697%
less than 100 population
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 and 2010 P.L. 94-171 Redistricting Data. Maps produced by the Office of the State Demographer.
Source: Texas State Data Center. 2008 Population Projections.
Year
Projected Population Growth in Texas, 2000-2040
16
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
20
00
20
02
20
04
20
06
20
08
20
10
20
12
20
14
20
16
20
18
20
20
20
22
20
24
20
26
20
28
20
30
20
32
20
34
20
36
20
38
20
40
Anglo
Black
Hispanic
Other
Source: Texas State Data Center. 2008 Population Projections, 2000-2007 Migration Scenario. 17
Projected Racial and Ethnic Population Percentages for Texas, 2000-2040
Percent Population Change for Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington Metro Area Counties, 1980-2010
1980-1990 1990-2000 2000-2010 Collin 82.63 86.22 59.12 Dallas 19.05 19.76 6.73 Delta 0.37 9.68 -1.80 Denton 91.11 58.29 53.04 Ellis 42.56 30.75 34.35 Hunt 16.46 19.04 12.45 Johnson 43.63 30.51 19.02 Kaufman 33.85 36.56 44.92 Parker 45.23 36.60 32.13 Rockwall 76.24 68.25 81.84 Tarrant 35.92 23.60 25.09 Wise 30.49 40.70 21.18
18
Note: Population values are decennial census counts for April 1. Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 1980 - 2010 Census Counts.
Components of Change for Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington MSA, 2000 to 2009
County
Population Births-Deaths
Migration
2000 2009 Change Foreign Domestic
Collin 491,675 791,631 299,956 74,478 26,253 195,084
Dallas County 2,218,899 2,451,730 232,831 266,362 210,742 -270,188
Delta County 5,327 5,410 83 -67 -2 180
Denton County 432,976 658,616 225,640 63,268 15,076 144,388
Ellis County 111,360 151,737 40,377 10,632 2,895 27,189
Hunt County 76,596 82,831 6,235 3,282 1,604 1,843
Johnson County 126,811 156,997 30,186 8,773 2,041 19,912
Kaufman County 71,313 103,038 31,725 5,675 1,550 24,166
Parker County 88,495 114,919 26,424 4,188 797 21,740
Rockwall County 43,080 81,391 38,311 5,386 930 31,444
Tarrant County 1,446,219 1,789,900 343,681 166,565 72,330 114,035
Wise County 48,793 59,415 10,622 2,599 986 7,269
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 Census Counts. 2009 Population Estimates.
Median Age and Change in Median Age, 2000-2010 in Select Metroplex Counties
20
County Median Age
2000 Median Age
2010 Change in Median
Age 2000-2010
Collin 32.9 35.0 2.1
Dallas 31.1 32.5 1.4
Denton 31.0 33.0 2.0
Ellis 33.2 35.0 1.8
Grayson 37.2 39.5 2.3
Hunt 35.5 37.8 2.3
Johnson 34.3 36.3 2.0
Kaufman 34.9 35.4 0.5
Parker 36.5 38.9 2.4
Rockwall 35.3 35.9 0.6
Tarrant 32.3 33.4 1.1
Wise 35.5 38.4 2.9
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 and 2010 Census Counts.
Average Family Size in North Texas Counties, 2010
21
Anderson
Angelina
ArcherBaylor
Bell
Bosque
Brazos
Brown
Burleson
Burnet
Callahan
Camp
Cherokee
Clay
Coleman
Collin
Comanche
Cooke
Coryell
Dallas
Delta
Denton
EastlandEllis
Erath
Falls
Fannin
Franklin
Freestone
Grayson
Gregg
Grimes
Hamilton
Henderson
Hill
Hood
Hopkins
Houston
Hunt
Jack
Johnson
Kaufman
Lamar
LampasasLeon
Limestone
Llano
McCulloch
McLennan
Madison
Mason
Milam
Mills
Montague
Morris
Nacogdoches
Navarro
PaloPinto
Parker
Polk
Rains
RedRiver
Robertson
Rockwall
Rusk
SanJacinto
San Saba
Shackelford
Smith
Somervell
StephensTarrant
ThrockmortonTitus
Trinity
Upshur
VanZandt
Walker
WichitaWilbarger
Williamson
Wise
Wood
Young
Population 2010
Sheet1$.avgfamsz10
2.6 - 2.8
2.81 - 3.0
3.01 - 3.2
3.21 - 3.4
3.41 - 4.0
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2010 Decennial Census, SF1 . Maps produced by the Office of the State Demographer.
Average Family Size in Select Metroplex Counties, 2000-2010
22
County Average Family
Size 2000 Average Family
Size 2010
Change in Average Family Size 2000-2010
Collin 3.18 3.25 0.07 Dallas 3.34 3.41 0.07 Denton 3.18 3.24 0.06 Ellis 3.31 3.31 0.00 Grayson 3.00 3.02 0.02 Hunt 3.08 3.12 0.04 Johnson 3.20 3.22 0.02 Kaufman 3.24 3.29 0.05 Parker 3.11 3.09 -0.02 Rockwall 3.23 3.29 0.06 Tarrant 3.22 3.29 0.07 Wise 3.14 3.16 0.02
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 and 2010 Decennial Census, SF1 .
Percent of Households that are Married Couple Families in North Texas Counties, 2000-2010
23
Anderson
Archer
Bosque
Brown
Cherokee
Clay
Collin
Comanche
Cooke
Coryell
Dallas
Delta
Denton
EastlandEllis
Erath
Falls
Fannin
Franklin
Freestone
Grayson
Hamilton
Henderson
Hill
Hood
Hopkins
Houston
Hunt
Jack
Johnson
Kaufman
Lamar
Lampasas
Leon
LimestoneMcLennanMills
Montague
Navarro
PaloPinto
Parker
Rains
RedRiver
Rockwall
Smith
Somervell
Stephens
Tarrant
VanZandt
Wichita
Wise
Wood
YoungPopulation 2010
Sheet1$.PctMCFam10
43-48
48.1-52
52.1-56
56.1-62
62.1-68
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 and 2010 Decennial Census, SF1 . Maps produced by the Office of the State Demographer.
24
Anderson
Archer
Bosque
Brown
Cherokee
Clay
Collin
Comanche
Cooke
Coryell
Dallas
Delta
Denton
Eastland Ellis
Erath
Falls
Fannin
Franklin
Freestone
Grayson
Hamilton
Henderson
Hill
Hood
Hopkins
Houston
Hunt
Jack
Johnson
Kaufman
Lamar
Lampasas
Leon
LimestoneMcLennanMills
Montague
Navarro
PaloPinto
Parker
Rains
RedRiver
Rockwall
Smith
Somervell
Stephens
Tarrant
VanZandt
Wichita
Wise
Wood
Young
Population 2010
Sheet1$.ChgpctMCfam00_10
-5 to -4.2
-4.19 to -3.0
-2.9 to -2.0
-1.9 to 0
0.1 to 1.0
Change in Percent of Households that are Married Couple Families in North Texas Counties, 2000-2010
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 and 2010 Decennial Census, SF1 . Maps produced by the Office of the State Demographer.
Percent and Change of Households that are Married Couple Families in Select Metroplex Counties, 2000-2010
25
County
Percent of Families with
Married Couple 2000
Percent of Families with
Married Couple 2010
Change in the Percent of
Married-Couple Families
Collin 62.1 59.5 -2.6 Dallas 46.9 43.6 -3.3 Denton 57.9 55.6 -2.3 Ellis 64.8 61.2 -3.6 Grayson 55.2 52.0 -3.2 Hunt 56.2 53.2 -3.0 Johnson 64.7 60.0 -4.7 Kaufman 63.1 60.9 -2.2 Parker 65.6 62.0 -3.6 Rockwall 71.0 67.4 -3.6 Tarrant 52.6 50.2 -2.4 Wise 66.1 62.3 -3.8
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 and 2010 Decennial Census, SF1 .
26
Anderson
Archer
Bell
Bosque
Camp
Cherokee
Clay
Collin
Comanche
Cooke
Coryell
Dallas
Delta
Denton
Eastland
Ellis
Erath
Falls
Fannin
Franklin
Freestone
Grayson
Hamilton
Henderson
Hill
Hood
Hopkins
Houston
Hunt
Jack
Johnson
Kaufman
Lamar
LampasasLeon
LimestoneMcLennan
Mills
Montague
Navarro
PaloPinto
Parker
Rains
RedRiver
Robertson
Rockwall
San Saba
Smith
Somervell
Stephens Tarrant
Titus
Trinity
Upshur
VanZandt
Wichita
Wise
Wood
Young
Percent of Households Headed by a Single Female* in North Texas Counties, 2010
Population 2010
Sheet1$.pctfemhhh10
9.3-10
10.1-12
12.1-13.5
13.51-15
15.1-16
*Note: No spouse present. Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2010 Decennial Census, SF1. Maps produced by the Office of the State Demographer.
27
Anderson
Archer
Bosque
Brown
Cherokee
Clay
Collin
Comanche
Cooke
Coryell
Dallas
Delta
Denton
Eastland Ellis
Erath
Falls
Fannin
Franklin
Freestone
Grayson
Hamilton
Henderson
Hill
Hood
Hopkins
Houston
Hunt
Jack
Johnson
Kaufman
Lamar
Lampasas
Leon
LimestoneMcLennanMills
Montague
Navarro
PaloPinto
Parker
Rains
RedRiver
Rockwall
Smith
Somervell
Stephens
Tarrant
VanZandt
Wichita
Wise
Wood
Young
Population 2010
Sheet1$.Chgpctfemhhh00_10
-1-0
0.1-1.0
1.1-1.15
1.251-1.5
1.51-1.75
1.751-2.1
Change in Percent of Households Headed by a Single Female* in North Texas Counties, 2000-2010
*Note: No spouse present. Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 and 2010 Decennial Census, SF1. Maps produced by the Office of the State Demographer.
Percent of Households Headed by Single Females* in Select Metroplex Counties, 2000-2010
County Percent of Family
Households that are Female Headed, 2000
Percent of Family Households that are
Female Headed, 2010
Change in Percent of Family Households
that are Female Headed 2000-2010
Collin 7.5 9.6 2.1
Dallas 14.1 16.0 1.9 Denton 8.6 10.2 1.6 Ellis 11.0 12.4 1.4 Grayson 11.4 12.2 0.8 Hunt 11.0 12.2 1.2 Johnson 10.0 11.5 1.5 Kaufman 11.3 12.4 1.1 Parker 8.7 9.4 0.7
Rockwall 8.0 9.3 1.3 Tarrant 12.2 13.8 1.6 Wise 8.2 9.5 1.3
28 *Note: No spouse present. Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 and 2010 Decennial Census, SF1 .
Demographics and Destiny
29
Texas and DFW Demographics
• Growing more and faster than all states, DFW is grower faster than most (if not all) metro-areas
• Growth driven by natural increase and migration variable across the metro-area
• Increasing diversity driven by growth of Hispanic population
• Declines in percentage of traditional nuclear family households
• Increases in family size and families headed by single females
30
Contact
Office: (512) 463-8390 or (210) 458-6530
Email: [email protected]
Internet: http://osd.state.tx.us
Lloyd Potter, Ph.D.
31