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Decision Support Systems and Executive Support Systems (1)

Jun 04, 2018

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Sakshi Jindal
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    Decision Support Systems and

    Executive Support Systems

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    Three types of decision

    Structured

    Semi-structured

    Unstructured

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    Structured

    Structured decisions are those which are

    made according to specified procedures of

    rules or structured decisions are those that

    are easily made from a given set of inputs.

    Deciding to send a reminder notice to a

    customer for an overdue balance is

    considered to be structured decision

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    Semi-structured

    Semi-structured decisions are those for which

    information obtained from a computer system

    or information system is only a portion of the

    total knowledge needed to make decision.

    Advertise a new product or how much to

    spend on MIS.

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    Unstructured

    Unstructured decisions are novel, and insignificant.

    There is no cut and dried method for handling theproblem because it hasn't arisen before or because it'sprecise nature and structure are mysterious orcomplex, or because it so important' that it deserves acustom tailored treatment.

    These, types of decisions often , involve a high degreeof freedom.

    They may require a lot of creativity and intuitions fromthe decision maker to tell what factors will come intoplay in an unstructured play.

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    Definition of decision support system

    Decision Support

    Systems (DSS) are a

    specific class of

    computerizedinformation system that

    supports business and

    organizational decision-

    making activities.

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    Objective of DSS

    The objective of Decision Support System (DSS)isto support managers in their work, especiallydecision making.

    Decision support system (DSS) tends to be used inplanning, modelling, analysing alternatives, anddecision making.

    The emphasis is on small, simple models whichcan easily be understood and used by the

    manager rather than complex integrated systemswhich need information specialist to operatethem.

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    Examples

    Typical information that a decision support applicationmight gather and present would be:

    Accessing all of your current information assets,including legacy and relational data sources, cubes,data warehouses, and data marts

    Comparative sales figures between one week and thenext

    Projected revenue figures based on new product salesassumptions

    The consequences of different decision alternatives,given past experience in a context that is described

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    Differences to MIS

    What distinguished MIS from a decision supportsystem (DSS) is flexibility.

    The format and types of information on MIS arepredefined, but the format and types ofinformation in decision support system (DSS) arenot

    In decision support system (DSS), users areprovided with the capabilities to generate their

    own information usually in their own way.

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    Making decision

    Four stages

    1. Intelligence

    2. Design3. Choice

    4. Implementation

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    Intelligence (find what to fix)

    Find or recognize a problem, need, or opportunity (alsocalled the diagnostic phase of decision making). Theintelligence phase involves detecting and interpretingsigns that indicate a situation which needs your attention.

    These "signs" can come in many forms: Consistent customer requests for new-product features

    The threat of new competition

    Declining sales

    Skyrocketing costs An offer from a company to handle your distribution

    needs, and so on

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    Design (find fixes)

    Consider possible ways of solving the

    problem, filling the need, or taking advantage

    of the opportunity. In this phase, you develop

    all the possible solutions you can.

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    Choice (pick a fix)

    Examine and weigh the merits of each solution, estimatethe consequences of each, and choose the best one. The"best" solution may depend on such factors as:

    Cost

    Ease of implementation .

    Staffing requirements

    Timeliness of the solution

    This is the prescriptive phase of decision making; it's thestage at which a course of action is prescribed.

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    Implementation (apply the fix)

    Carry out the chosen solution, monitor the

    results, and make adjustments as necessary.

    Simply implementing a solution is seldom

    enough. Your chosen solution will always needfine-tuning, especially for complex problems

    or changing environments.

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    Applications of DSS

    DSS are men/machine systems and are

    suitable for semi-structured problems.

    The problems must be important to the

    manager and the decision required must be a

    key one.

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    Other criteria

    Large database

    Large amount of computation or data

    manipulation required

    Complex inter-relationships

    Analysis by stages

    Communication

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    Components of DSS

    Interaction of man and machine

    Hardware

    Software Decision maker (user/manager)

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    Functions of DSS

    Information retrieval

    Data reconfiguration

    Calculator activities

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    Information retrieval

    Information retrieval in DSS environment refers

    to the act of extracting information from a

    database for the purpose of making decisions.

    Usually, the sequence of retrievals made by theuser is unanticipated.

    For example, the manager may see a few startling

    pieces of information on the display and, as a result of

    these, suddenly produce a report that provides more

    detail about the situation: Drill down

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    Data reconfiguration

    Often managers using a DSS want information ina form other that that in which the data arelogically represented within the computer

    system. The ability to reconfigure data makes it possible

    for managers and other decision makers to lookat existing data from alternative perspectives:

    sorting, exchanging fields, joining, andpresentation graphics using online analyticalprocessing and data warehouse

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    Calculator activities

    Functions

    Functions are pre-stored formulas that enable a user toperform a calculator type task as soon as the function isinvoked

    Analysis Analysisrefer to using a decision support system (DSS) to

    review a set of facts and to assist in drawing conclusionsbased on there facts.

    Statistical Tools: regression and correlation analysis Optimizing tools

    What if analysis (sensitivity analysis)

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    Optimizing tools

    Optimizing toolsare useful for deriving thebest solution in certain structured decisionsusually at tactical and operational levels.

    Optimizing tools are used where it is requiredto optimize the value of a single objective (e.g.production capacity) where the factorsinvoked (e.g. labour hours, machine capacityetc.) are subject to some constraints orlimitation.

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    What if analysis (sensitivity analysis)

    Assessing risk with the help of DSS tools is knownas sensitivity analysis.

    At its simplest this means, holding all the

    variables, bar one, constant and altering that onevariable step and noting the effect on the result.

    For example, a simulation of an investment programmight include factors such as; cost per unit, price per

    unit, volume sold, amount of investment and as on.What if sales growth per month is nil, 1/2%, 1 & 1/2%,2% or minus 1% etc.

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    DSS for the supply chain

    Comprehensive examination of supplymanagement chain

    Searches for most efficient and cost-effectivecombination

    Reduces overall costs

    Increases speed and accuracy of filling customerorders

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    DSS for Customer Relationship

    Management

    Uses data mining to guide decisions

    Consolidates customer information intomassive data warehouses

    Uses various analytical tools to sliceinformation into small segments

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    DSS for customer analysis and

    segmentation

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    Executive support systems (ESS)

    Senior managers use a category

    of information systems called executive support

    systems (ESS)to make decisions.

    ESS serves the strategic level of the organization.

    They address unstructured decisions and create a

    generalized computing and communications

    environment rather than providing any fixedapplication or specific capability

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    Executive Support Systems (ESS) in Perspective

    Tailored to individual executives

    Not to managers in other levels

    Easy to use Drill down capabilities

    Support need for external data

    Can help when uncertainty is high

    Future-oriented

    Linked to value-added processes

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    Executive support systems (ESS)

    ESS is designed to incorporate data about externalevents such as new tax laws or competitors, but theyalso draw summarized information from internal MISand DSS.

    They filter, compress, and track critical data,emphasizing the reduction of time and effort requiredto obtain information useful to executives.

    ESS employs the most advanced graphics software and

    can deliver graphs and data from many sourcesimmediately to a senior executive's.

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    Executive support systems (ESS)

    Unlike the other types of information systems,ESS is not designed primarily to solve specificproblems.

    Instead, ESS provides a generalized computingand telecommunications capacity that can beapplied to a changing array of problems.

    While many DSS are designed to be highlyanalytical, ESS tends to make less use ofanalytical models.

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    Sample questions answered by ESS

    What business should we be in?

    What are the competitors doing?

    What new acquisitions' would protect us fromcyclical business swings?

    Which units should we sell to raise cash for

    acquisitions?

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    Features/Properties of an ESS

    Ease of use The system must be fast and extremely simple to use as it will

    be used by busy executives. The use of touch screens, mouseand icons, popup menus, etc. is normal.

    Access to data There must be unhindered rapid access to data permitting

    vertical and horizontal exploration.

    Data Analysis EIS should provide facilities for such things as ratios, trend

    calculations, and data integration forecasts.

    Quality Presentation The system should provide interesting and understandable

    formats using colours, graphics, and diagrams.

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    Question

    A decision support system (DSS) uses its

    analytical capabilities to solved semi-

    structured and unstructured problems.

    Describe what is the difference between such

    problems

    (5 marks)

    Explain how the functions of a DSS can be used tosolve such problems.

    (25 marks)