Decision-Making for Alternative Futures...Quality Battery Investment Eligible users ABOUT US WSP is one of the world’s leading professional services consulting firms. We are dedicated

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Decision-Making for Alternative

FuturesExploring System Dynamics

to Guide New Mobility Decisions Today

PART 1 – SCENARIO DEVELOPMENT PART 2 – SYSTEM DYNAMICSPART 3 – MODELLING

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An international team of WSP experts in data and system analysis, transport modelling, and system dynamics modelling has created an interactive web-based tool to inform transport decisions embracing new mobility. This new multidimensional system dynamics tool from The WSP Scenario Planning Toolbox is enabling transport practitioners and WSP experts to collaboratively explore how different factors can shape the behavior and development of transport systems.

Key Features — Builds on insights from the WSP scenario development process introduced in 2018

— Supports long-term future-ready infrastructure plans for growing and evolving cities around the world

— Can be adapted to local and regional conditions — Easy-to-understand visualizations show:

— quantified outputs that demonstrate how endogenous and exogenous factors interact over time to impact the adoption of automated, electric and connected vehicles, and shared mobility services.

— how the adoption of one new mobility technology affects uptake of the others, and how policy levers can impact integration of new mobility into transport networks.

Pressing QuestionsCentral to an assessment of the impact of new mobility technologies is the ability to understand how, why and at which rates key market-share levels could be reached. The WSP system dynamics tool incorporates key parameters, such as policy and population changes, consumer behavior, and marketing and incentives, to address questions such as:

What decisions are needed today to guide the adoption of electric vehicles (EVs), connected and automated vehicles (CAVs), and shared mobility services?

How can we use policy levers to manage the uptake of EVs and CAVs?

What are the main factors that will bring about a “tipping point” for mass uptake of EVs and CAVs?

How would an increase in EV and CAV uptake impact the market for shared mobility services?

How do we create and distribute a robust charging network that supports EV uptake?

Electric vehicle fleet share for different scenarios and every ten years

Scenario 1

Scenario 2

Scenario 3

Decade 1

Decade 2

Decade 3

Decade 4

Decade 5

On the HorizonWe will extend the insights and outcomes from the system dynamics process to specific real-world environments through traffic and infrastructure modelling, which will complete the three-part WSP Scenario Planning Toolbox. Our ongoing efforts will continue to explore new mobility developments in different settings—street, city or transport network—to provide a more comprehensive perspective on new mobility in our transportation systems.

If you would like to book a demo to experience The WSP Scenario Planning Toolbox, contact [email protected].

Collaborative JourneyA range of public- and private-sector players must work together today to create flourishing cities and places for tomorrow. The WSP Scenario Planning Toolbox will drive this collaborative journey by bringing together diverse thinking toward effective action. For example:

— Transport network operators can leverage outputs from system dynamics to improve policy enactment and ultimately regulation, which often does not keep pace with rapid technology development.

— Transportation system managers increasingly rely on data analysis experts to provide quantifiable, data-based evidence to design and operate multimodal strategies.

— Government capital infrastructure planning can incorporate results of what-if scenario testing made possible through system dynamics analysis to better allocate budgets and understand budget needs in the coming decades.

ConnectedAutomated

Vehicles

ElectricVehicles Ride-Hailing

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Safety Improvement

CAV # of crashesCAV Maintenance& Insurance Costs

CAV Penetration

Total VKTCar Sales

EV Sales

Range Anxiety

Battery Range

Car Mileage

Car Operational Costs

Charging Infrastructure

Ride-Hailing Price

Ride-Hailing Trips

EV Subsidies Exposure to Ride-Hailing

Public Transport Quality

Battery Investment

Eligible users

ABOUT US

WSP is one of the world’s leading professional services consulting firms. We are dedicated to our local communities and propelled by international brainpower. We are technical experts and strategic advisors including engineers, technicians, scientists, architects, planners, surveyors and environmental specialists, as well as other design, program and construction management professionals. We design lasting solutions in the Transportation & Infrastructure, Property & Buildings, Environment, Power & Energy, Resources and Industry sectors, as well as offering strategic advisory services. With approximately 49,000 talented people globally, we engineer projects that will help societies grow for lifetimes to come.

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wsp.com/newmobility

[email protected]

WSP Global Inc.1600, René-Lévesque Blvd. W.16th FloorMontreal, QuebecH3H 1P9

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© 2019 WSP Global Inc. All rights reserved.The contents of this publication may not be reproduced by any means in whole or in part, without prior written consent from the publisher.