Debiasing 89

DEBIASING

Presented by:

Mahsa KarimpourAmirhosein SemsarzadeFateme Askarzadeh

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Bridge The Gap

Descriptive

Behavior

Normative

Behavior

Debiasing

Strategies

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Debiasinghttp://www3.interscience.wiley.com/cgi-

bin/summary/117866045/SUMMARY?CRETRY=1&SRETRY=0

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accountability

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Motivational

Strategies

Cognitive

Strategies

Technological

Strategies

Adoption &

Diffusion

incentive

Motivational

Strategies

Cognitive

Strategies

Technological

Strategies

Adoption

& Diffusion

INCENTIVES

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TEST

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INCENTIVES

Motivational

Strategies

Cognitive

Strategies

Technological

Strategies

Adoption

& Diffusion

Motivational

Strategies

Cognitive

Strategies

Technological

Strategies

Adoption &

Diffusion

Advantages

Greater effort

Accuracy

Better performance

Need to look consistent

to others

Preventing biases

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Motivational

Strategies

Cognitive

Strategies

Technological

Strategies

Adoption &

Diffusion

Potential Problems

Give the people what

they wants

Justification-base

Decision Bias

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COGNITIVE STRATEGY

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Motivational

Strategies

Cognitive

Strategies

Technological

Strategies

Adoption &

Diffusion

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CONSIDER THE OPPOSITE

What are some reasons that my initial judgment

might be wrong?

.سال سن داشت.... و .... مارتین لوترکینگ در چه سنی از دنیا رفت؟ فکر می کنم بین-

.پیامبر.... و حداکثر .... کتاب آسمانی چند پیامبر در عهد عتیق جمع آوری شده؟ حداقل -

.کیلومتر...... و حداکثر ..... فاصله هوایی بین لندن و توکیو چقدر است؟ حداقل -

.ماه... ماه و حداکثر... جنین فیل، قبل از تولد چند ماه در شکم مادر می ماند؟ حداقل -

درصد 90برای هر سوال بازه مورد را بگونه ای انتخاب کنید که با احتمال

.پاسخ شما صحیح باشد

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Martin Luther died at 39.

17 books

9585 kilometers

22 monthes

Motivational

Strategies

Cognitive

Strategies

Technological

Strategies

Adoption &

Diffusion 15

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• Training in rulesExperience

Training

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• Training in Biases

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• Training in representation

Motivational

Strategies

Cognitive

Strategies

Technological

Strategies

Adoption

& Diffusion

• Training in Represantation

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TECHNOLOGICAL

STRATEGIES

Motivational

Strategies

Cognitive

Strategies

Technological

Strategies

Adoption &

Diffusion

Error-checking system

Synergy

Reducing errors in prediction and estimation

Increase sample size of experience

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Social Influence processes

undermine groups effectiveness

o Free riding

o Withhold private judgments

oAnchoring

Motivational

Strategies

Cognitive

Strategies

Technological

Strategies

Adoption &

Diffusion 21

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Experts can be replaced by models based on their judgments

Theses models can make better prediction than experts .

Motivational

Strategies

Cognitive

Strategies

Technological

Strategies

Adoption &

Diffusion

LINEAR MODELS

& STATISTICAL TECHNIQUES

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Motivational

Strategies

Cognitive

Strategies

Technological

Strategies

Adoption &

Diffusion

Compliance

Induced by reward and coercion

Internalization

Understanding of a practice and intrinsic motivation to use it

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The higher you are, the

harder you fall !f

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