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The Future of Business: The Phone Call Dean Bubley, Disruptive Analysis June 2015 [email protected] @disruptivedean
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Dean Bubley – The Future of Business: The Phone Call

Aug 15, 2015

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Page 1: Dean Bubley – The Future of Business: The Phone Call

The Future of Business:The Phone Call

Dean Bubley, Disruptive Analysis

June 2015

[email protected] @disruptivedean

Page 2: Dean Bubley – The Future of Business: The Phone Call

Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015

1876 was a good year for inventions

June 2015

Alexander Graham BellNikolaus Otto

(+Daimler & Maybach)

Page 3: Dean Bubley – The Future of Business: The Phone Call

In the beginning – “Proxi-phone”

Near voice

Page 4: Dean Bubley – The Future of Business: The Phone Call

Distant voice [Tele-phone]

>130 years ago

Transformative change

4 billion users>10 trillion minutesc$1Trillion market

Page 5: Dean Bubley – The Future of Business: The Phone Call

But now…. “Peak Phone”

Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015June 2015

136%

74%

63%

40% 38%

15% 15%5% 5% 1% 0%

0%-7% -7%

-12% -14% -14%-20%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

140%

160%

IND CHN BRA RUS POL SGP FRA AUS JPN ITA KOR

GER NED USA ESP SWE UK

Source: Ofcom, IHS, Disruptive Analysis

Aggregate Fixed+Mobile Outgoing Voice Telephony Volumes, Minutes, 2013 vs. 2008

UK phone minutes fell

another 5% in 2014

Page 6: Dean Bubley – The Future of Business: The Phone Call

Old distant voice [Tele-phone]

InterruptiveOne-size fits allSession-based

Limited contextUnnatural etiquette Heavily regulated

Expensive

>130 years ago

Pretty good for the 19th century... but for 2015?

Page 7: Dean Bubley – The Future of Business: The Phone Call

Services fragmentation: The best tool for the job

Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2014June 2015

Page 8: Dean Bubley – The Future of Business: The Phone Call

Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015

The question nobody bothers asking

June 2015

Why do people make phone calls anyway?

Page 9: Dean Bubley – The Future of Business: The Phone Call

Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015

“Calls” are jacks-of-all trades. Many use-cases:

Conference

Meeting up

Gossip

B2C Cust Svc

B2B internal

Spam

Flirting

Voicemail

Wasting time

June 2015

Diagram is illustrative, not actual data

Page 10: Dean Bubley – The Future of Business: The Phone Call

Paris telephony - opera

Page 11: Dean Bubley – The Future of Business: The Phone Call

Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015

Three routes to the future

June 2015

Better User-Interaction

Context & Purpose

Embedded Comms

Tech Enablers

Apps & browsersWebRTCSensors

Audio processingCloud PaaS

Security & cryptoMachine learning

4G / 5G / WiFiAnalytics & Big Data

UI tools & APIs

Page 12: Dean Bubley – The Future of Business: The Phone Call

Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015

Embedded communications

June 2015

In-app In-Browser In-Thing

Page 13: Dean Bubley – The Future of Business: The Phone Call

Key enabler of embedded comms: WebRTC

Source: Disruptive Analysis 2014 Edition WebRTC Report, March’15 Update

Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015June 2015

Page 14: Dean Bubley – The Future of Business: The Phone Call

Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015

No context

June 2015

Photo by Staffage via: kaboompics.com

Page 15: Dean Bubley – The Future of Business: The Phone Call

Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015

Communications using Context

June 2015

App-context Analytic-contextSensor-context

Page 16: Dean Bubley – The Future of Business: The Phone Call

Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015June 2015

Click here to speak to an agent

Browsing for:

Darren Delaney

= Magician

HOT SALES PROSPECT!!

Hand off call with context

data to affiliate

Context

Page 17: Dean Bubley – The Future of Business: The Phone Call

Dean Bubley

www.disruptive-analysis.com

disruptivewireless.blogspot.com

@disruptivedean

[email protected]

Skype:disruptiveanalysis

Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015June 2015