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Day 1 Notes. Probability is the measure of how likely an event is (written as a ratio)

Jan 05, 2016

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Page 1: Day 1 Notes. Probability is the measure of how likely an event is (written as a ratio)

Day 1 Notes

Page 2: Day 1 Notes. Probability is the measure of how likely an event is (written as a ratio)

Probability

is the measure of how likely an

event is (written as a ratio)

Page 3: Day 1 Notes. Probability is the measure of how likely an event is (written as a ratio)

Probability of an Probability of an eventevent

The number of ways the event can occur divided by the total number of possible outcomes

P(A) = The number of ways an event can occur

Total number of possible outcomes

Page 4: Day 1 Notes. Probability is the measure of how likely an event is (written as a ratio)

P(odd) =

Example#1: You roll a six-sided die whose sides are numbered from 1 through 6. a) What is the probability of rolling an ODD number?

36

.5

Page 5: Day 1 Notes. Probability is the measure of how likely an event is (written as a ratio)

P(“t”) =

b) What is the probability of rolling a number that starts with the letter “t”?

26

.33

Page 6: Day 1 Notes. Probability is the measure of how likely an event is (written as a ratio)

Example #2: A jar contains 6 red, 5 green, 8 blue and 3 yellow marbles.

P(red) =

P(green) = P(blue) = P(yellow) =

622

522

822

322

.27

.23 .36 .14

Page 7: Day 1 Notes. Probability is the measure of how likely an event is (written as a ratio)

Example#2: A jar contains 6 red, 5 green, 8 blue and 3 yellow marbles.

P(orange) = 0 0

Page 8: Day 1 Notes. Probability is the measure of how likely an event is (written as a ratio)

Example #3: A deck of cards contains 52 cards made up of 4 different suits – Hearts, Diamonds, Spades, and Clubs.

a) What is the probability of drawing a heart?

13

P Heart52

.25

Page 9: Day 1 Notes. Probability is the measure of how likely an event is (written as a ratio)

b) What is the probability of drawing a 3?

c) What is the probability of drawing a face card?

4

P a 352

.08

12

P face52

.23

Page 10: Day 1 Notes. Probability is the measure of how likely an event is (written as a ratio)

Practice #4 The table gives the handedness and eyedness of a randomly selected group of 100 people.

Right-Right-EyedEyed

Left-Left-EyedEyed

Right-Right-HandedHanded

57 31

Left-Left-HandedHanded

6 6

a) What is the probability of getting a left-handed person?

12100

.12

Page 11: Day 1 Notes. Probability is the measure of how likely an event is (written as a ratio)

Right-Right-EyedEyed

Left-Left-EyedEyed

Right-Right-HandedHanded

57 31

Left-Left-HandedHanded

6 6b) What is the probability of getting

someone who is left-eyed?37

100

Practice #4 The table gives the handedness and eyedness of a randomly selected group of 100 people.

.37

Page 12: Day 1 Notes. Probability is the measure of how likely an event is (written as a ratio)

c) What is the probability of getting someone who is left-handed and is also left-eyed?

Right-Right-EyedEyed

Left-Left-EyedEyed

Right-Right-HandedHanded

57 31

Left-Left-HandedHanded

6 6

6100

Practice #4 The table gives the handedness and eyedness of a randomly selected group of 100 people.

.06

Page 13: Day 1 Notes. Probability is the measure of how likely an event is (written as a ratio)

d) What is the probability of getting someone who is right-handed and is also right-eyed?

Right-Right-EyedEyed

Left-Left-EyedEyed

Right-Right-HandedHanded

57 31

Left-Left-HandedHanded

6 6

57100

Practice #4 The table gives the handedness and eyedness of a randomly selected group of 100 people.

.57

Page 14: Day 1 Notes. Probability is the measure of how likely an event is (written as a ratio)

You Try!!

e)

f) 31100

.31

.8888100

Page 15: Day 1 Notes. Probability is the measure of how likely an event is (written as a ratio)

Practice #5The chart shows favorite subjects of students based on their gender.

MathMath SciencSciencee

EnglisEnglishh

SSSS

MaleMale 46 42 13 25FemalFemalee

12 21 45 36

a) What is the probability that a randomly chosen student likes Social Studies the most?

61240

.25

Page 16: Day 1 Notes. Probability is the measure of how likely an event is (written as a ratio)

MathMath SciencSciencee

EnglisEnglishh

SSSS

MaleMale 46 42 13 25FemalFemalee

12 21 45 36

b) What is the probability that a randomly chosen student is female?

Practice #5The chart shows favorite subjects of students based on their gender.

.475114240

Page 17: Day 1 Notes. Probability is the measure of how likely an event is (written as a ratio)

MathMath SciencSciencee

EnglisEnglishh

SSSS

MaleMale 46 42 13 25FemalFemalee

12 21 45 36c) What is the probability that a

randomly chosen student both likes science and is a male?

Practice #5The chart shows favorite subjects of students based on their gender.

.17542240

Page 18: Day 1 Notes. Probability is the measure of how likely an event is (written as a ratio)

MathMath SciencSciencee

EnglisEnglishh

SSSS

MaleMale 46 42 13 25FemalFemalee

12 21 45 36d) What is the probability that a

randomly chosen student likes social studies and is a female?

Practice #5The chart shows favorite subjects of students based on their gender.

.1536240

Page 19: Day 1 Notes. Probability is the measure of how likely an event is (written as a ratio)

You Try!!

e)

f) 45240

.1875

.2458240

Page 20: Day 1 Notes. Probability is the measure of how likely an event is (written as a ratio)

Day 2 Notes

Page 21: Day 1 Notes. Probability is the measure of how likely an event is (written as a ratio)

Probability TablesProbability Tables

Page 22: Day 1 Notes. Probability is the measure of how likely an event is (written as a ratio)

A Little Vocabulary  Athletics

Music/Arts

SGA Other Total

Male   Male total

Female Female

total

Total Athletics

totalMusic/arts

totalSGA total

Other total

Table total

Page 23: Day 1 Notes. Probability is the measure of how likely an event is (written as a ratio)

Joint Probability

individual celltable total

Page 24: Day 1 Notes. Probability is the measure of how likely an event is (written as a ratio)

Marginal Probability

column or row totaltable total

Page 25: Day 1 Notes. Probability is the measure of how likely an event is (written as a ratio)

Conditional Probability

individual cellspecified row or column

Page 26: Day 1 Notes. Probability is the measure of how likely an event is (written as a ratio)

Example 1•Using the table below, what is

the joint probability of a female that is involved in SGA?

  Athletics

Music/Arts

SGA Other Total

Male 10 5 1 2 18 Femal

e5 6 0 1 12

Total 15 11 1 3 30

0/30 = 0

Page 27: Day 1 Notes. Probability is the measure of how likely an event is (written as a ratio)

Example 2•Using the table below, what is

the marginal probability of choosing someone who is involved with athletics?

  Athletics

Music/Arts

SGA Other Total

Male 10 5 1 2 18 Femal

e5 6 0 1 12

Total 15 11 1 3 30

15/30 = .50

Page 28: Day 1 Notes. Probability is the measure of how likely an event is (written as a ratio)

Example 3•Using the table below, what is

the conditional probability given that a person is male, that they are involved in Music/Arts?

  Athletics

Music/Arts

SGA Other Total

Male 10 5 1 2 18 Femal

e5 6 0 1 12

Total 15 11 1 3 30

5/18 = .28