Cathal Walsh Chair in Statistics HRB Research Leader Health Decision Science Model Calibration Identify Utility of Decision Makers Evidence Synthesis BIG DATA ?
Apr 12, 2017
Cathal WalshChair in Statistics
HRB Research Leader Health Decision Science
Model CalibrationIdentify Utility of Decision Makers
Evidence Synthesis
BIGDATA
?
Real Decisions!
“Just because they haven’t seen it there, doesn’t mean it isn’t
present.”
BIGDATA =
= small data
Model FreeN=“All”
N=“All”?Others, however, especially pattern detection problems …, cannot be based on a sample. Moreover, in some cases one has the entire data set available (in the numerical examples above, all of the Wal-Mart transactions for a year will be available, not merely a sample of them).
(Hand et al, 2000.)
Who did the counting? What did they count, and why? How did they go about it?
Statistics as construction (Best 2005)
Model Free? Human Decisions:
Probability of Death
S(T=5 | M,X, Diet) vs S(T=5 | M,X, No Diet)
Boiled Model Syndrome
Glimcher (2004)
Bias? (Meng 2016)
Variability of Measure
Sample Size
Random Sampling?
I = indicator variable for Sample