POWER TO THE PEOPLE Use your data for a better forecast for yourself and society. TREND Solar panels Solar parks 1500 MWp 6000 – 9000 MWp CONVENTIONAL SOLAR FORECASTING METHODS iCarus creates a unique forecast by combining data from an entire network of solar energy systems, enabling a more accurate short term forecast, both locally and globally. THE ICARUS FORECAST 2025 + 15:00 2010 2015 2020 2005 Amount Watt IMBALANCE Current forecasting methods use weather forecasts to create an output forecast. This is a very time consuming process with few data points on the ground and many assumptions (interpolation, conversion to power curve...). This method leads to a forecast error, which in turn leads to higher imbalance cost. Incidentally, the forecast error increases significantly with locality. ICARUS DELIVERS A MORE ACCURATE, LOCAL AND TOPICAL FORECAST. The rapid increase in installed MWp already causes local challenges in grid management. With the increase in number of installed systems, the number of sensors for iCarus’ method also increases, positively influencing our accuracy. 26 6:00 18:00 Output forecast 15:00 Watt 6:00 18:00 Actual output Forecast error 15:00 Watt 6:00 18:00 Radboud University 200.000+ DATA POINTS SOLAR PANEL SYSTEMS 15:00 Watt 6:00 18:00 Forecast error WEATHER STATIONS + SATELLITE DATA JOINT OPEN SOURCE ALGORITHM DEVELOPMENT