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Data Management and Analysis Ethnic group statistics from the last two Censuses: New Opportunities, New Pitfall 8 December 2003 Ms. Baljit Bains Senior Research and Statistical Analyst, Ethnic Demography
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Data Management and Analysis Ethnic group statistics from the last two Censuses: New Opportunities, New Pitfall 8 December 2003 Ms. Baljit Bains Senior.

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Page 1: Data Management and Analysis Ethnic group statistics from the last two Censuses: New Opportunities, New Pitfall 8 December 2003 Ms. Baljit Bains Senior.

Data Management and Analysis

Ethnic group statistics from the last two Censuses: New Opportunities, New Pitfall

8 December 2003

Ms. Baljit Bains

Senior Research and Statistical Analyst, Ethnic Demography

Page 2: Data Management and Analysis Ethnic group statistics from the last two Censuses: New Opportunities, New Pitfall 8 December 2003 Ms. Baljit Bains Senior.

Data Management and Analysis

Contents

The Ethnic Question in the Census

How 1991 ethnic categories relate to the 2001 categories

Main issues to overcome

Illustrated case study

What data do we have available and what do we need?

Any possible solutions at this stage

GLA Ethnic Group Population Projections: Future Plans

Page 3: Data Management and Analysis Ethnic group statistics from the last two Censuses: New Opportunities, New Pitfall 8 December 2003 Ms. Baljit Bains Senior.

Data Management and Analysis

Page 4: Data Management and Analysis Ethnic group statistics from the last two Censuses: New Opportunities, New Pitfall 8 December 2003 Ms. Baljit Bains Senior.

Data Management and AnalysisData Management and Analysis

The Ethnic Question in the Census

1991 •10 distinct categories with write-in answers for Black Other and Other

2001 •5 broad categories with sub-sections within each category•16 separate categories in total in 2001

What influences the way the ethnic question is answered?•Individual•Structure of question

Both are susceptible to change over timeBoth are inter-related

Ultimately the census results reflect the way in which a QUESTION was ANSWERED!

Page 5: Data Management and Analysis Ethnic group statistics from the last two Censuses: New Opportunities, New Pitfall 8 December 2003 Ms. Baljit Bains Senior.

Data Management and Analysis

Page 6: Data Management and Analysis Ethnic group statistics from the last two Censuses: New Opportunities, New Pitfall 8 December 2003 Ms. Baljit Bains Senior.

Data Management and Analysis

1991 Ethnic Group Categories

Chinese

All other Ethnic group

Other Asian

Bangladeshi

Pakistani Indian

Black Other

Black African

Black Caribbean

White

Page 7: Data Management and Analysis Ethnic group statistics from the last two Censuses: New Opportunities, New Pitfall 8 December 2003 Ms. Baljit Bains Senior.

Data Management and Analysis

2001 Ethnic Group Categories

White BritishWhite Irish

White Other

Mixed - White/ Black Caribbean

Mixed - White/ Black African

Mixed - White Asian

Mixed - Other

Black/ Black British - Caribbean

Black/ Black British - African

Black/ Black British - Other

Asian/ Asian British - Indian

Asian/ Asian British - Pakistani

Asian/ Asian British - Bangladeshi

Asian/ Asian British - Other Asian

Other Ethnic Group

Chinese

Page 8: Data Management and Analysis Ethnic group statistics from the last two Censuses: New Opportunities, New Pitfall 8 December 2003 Ms. Baljit Bains Senior.

Data Management and Analysis

T h e P a te l F a m ily

A ge : 22B rit ish B o rn

M r P a te lU g an da n B o rn

F a m ily o rig in s : G u ja ra t, In d iaR e lg ion : H in d u ism

A ge : 19B rit ish B o rn

A ge : 17B rit ish B o rn

M rs P a te lB rit ish B o rn

F a m ily O rig in s : G u ja ra t, In d iaR e lig io n : H in d u ism

Page 9: Data Management and Analysis Ethnic group statistics from the last two Censuses: New Opportunities, New Pitfall 8 December 2003 Ms. Baljit Bains Senior.

Data Management and Analysis

What data we need and what data we have

Ideally, Individual level information on respondents and their answers for both 1991 and 2001

In reality what do we have:

Coding frames from 1991 and 2001

Census Commissioned tables

SARs

Longitudinal Survey

Page 10: Data Management and Analysis Ethnic group statistics from the last two Censuses: New Opportunities, New Pitfall 8 December 2003 Ms. Baljit Bains Senior.

Data Management and Analysis

What end product would we like?

Moving from 1991 to 2001 - possibly backwards too

Matrix of 2001 categories and how they are apportioned to 1991

Formulae

Grossing factors

Usability and ease

Page 11: Data Management and Analysis Ethnic group statistics from the last two Censuses: New Opportunities, New Pitfall 8 December 2003 Ms. Baljit Bains Senior.

Data Management and Analysis

GLA Population Projections by Ethnic Group

Page 12: Data Management and Analysis Ethnic group statistics from the last two Censuses: New Opportunities, New Pitfall 8 December 2003 Ms. Baljit Bains Senior.

Data Management and Analysis

Main Issues to overcome

How many groups shall we project for? 10/16

Detail – SYA/Sex/LBs

Geographies

Comparability with 1991 census data

Still reliant on country of birth data – getting weaker with time

Special groups – recent migrants

Page 13: Data Management and Analysis Ethnic group statistics from the last two Censuses: New Opportunities, New Pitfall 8 December 2003 Ms. Baljit Bains Senior.

Data Management and Analysis

Non White Ethnic Groups in Greater London

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

350,000

400,000

450,000

500,000

Whi

te a

nd B

lack

Carib

bean

Whi

te a

nd B

lack

Afric

an

Whi

te a

nd A

sian

Othe

r Mixe

d

Indi

an

Pakis

tani

Bang

lades

hi

Blac

k Ca

ribbe

an

Blac

k Af

rican

Othe

r Blac

k

Chin

ese

Othe

r Eth

nic

Grou

p

Othe

r Asia

n

Population

Page 14: Data Management and Analysis Ethnic group statistics from the last two Censuses: New Opportunities, New Pitfall 8 December 2003 Ms. Baljit Bains Senior.

Data Management and Analysis

Suggested ethnic groupings A

0

50000

100000

150000

200000

250000

300000

350000

400000

450000

500000M

ixed

Indi

an

Pakis

tani

Bang

lades

hi

Blac

k Ca

ribbe

an

Blac

k Af

rican

Othe

r Blac

k

Chin

ese

Othe

r Eth

nic

Grou

p +

Othe

rAs

ian

popu

latio

n

White and Black Caribbean

White and Black African

White and Asian

Other Mixed

Indian

Pakistani

Bangladeshi

Black Caribbean

Black African

Other Black

Chinese

Other Ethnic Group

Other Asian

Page 15: Data Management and Analysis Ethnic group statistics from the last two Censuses: New Opportunities, New Pitfall 8 December 2003 Ms. Baljit Bains Senior.

Data Management and Analysis

Suggested Ethnic Groupings B

0

50000

100000

150000

200000

250000300000

350000

400000

450000

500000

Indian Pakistani Bangladeshi Other Asian+ Mixed:White and

Asian

BlackCaribbean

BlackAfrican

Other Black+ Mixed:White and

BlackCaribbean +

Mixed:White and

BlackAfrican

Chinese OtherEthnic

Group +Mixed:OtherMixed

Indian

Pakistani

Bangladeshi

Other Asian

White and Asian

Black African

Black Caribbean

Other Black

White and Black Caribbean

White and Black African

Chinese

Other Ethnic Group

Other Mixed

Page 16: Data Management and Analysis Ethnic group statistics from the last two Censuses: New Opportunities, New Pitfall 8 December 2003 Ms. Baljit Bains Senior.

Data Management and Analysis

Incorporate new data where we can

Coding frames from 1991 and 2001

Hospital Episode Statistics (HES) for fertility

Census Commissioned tables help link births across ethnic groups - work in progress

Page 17: Data Management and Analysis Ethnic group statistics from the last two Censuses: New Opportunities, New Pitfall 8 December 2003 Ms. Baljit Bains Senior.

Data Management and Analysis

Additional Work

Outside the model

Special cases: recent migrants, ASVS, groups not projected

Developing ethnic data with other experts in the field

• Ethnic Data Users Group• Guidance/collaboration with ONS

Page 18: Data Management and Analysis Ethnic group statistics from the last two Censuses: New Opportunities, New Pitfall 8 December 2003 Ms. Baljit Bains Senior.

Data Management and Analysis

Contact details:

Ms. Baljit BainsData Management and Analysis Group

Greater London AuthorityCity Hall

5th East, Post Point 14The Queen’s Walk

LondonSE1 2AA

Tel: 020 7983 4613

Email: [email protected]