1 •Daily Operations Briefing Monday, August 12, 2013 As of 8:30 a.m. EDT
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•Daily Operations Briefing Monday, August 12, 2013
As of 8:30 a.m. EDT
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Significant Activity: Aug 9 – 12
Significant Events: Flash Flooding – CO (Aug 9)
Tropical Activity:
• Atlantic – Tropical cyclone activity is not expected during the next 48 hours
• Eastern Pacific – Area 1 (30%); Area 2 (10%)
• Central Pacific – Area 1 (10%)
• Western Pacific – No activity threatening U.S. territories
Significant Weather:
• Slight risk of severe thunderstorms – portions of KS & OK
• Heavy Rain Southern Mississippi Valley
• Critical Fire Weather Areas: portions of MT, ID & OR
• Red Flag Warnings: MT, ID, OR
• Space Weather: No storms observed or predicted past next 24 hrs
Earthquake Activity: M 4.8 - Hawaii
Declaration Activity: FMAG approved for Mile Post 10 Fire in WA (Aug 10)
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Updates at 2:00 am/pm and 8:00 am/pm EDT
Atlantic – Tropical Outlook
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http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo_epac.shtml
This product is updated at approximately 5 AM, 11 AM, 5 PM, and
11 PM PDT from May 15 to November 30. Special outlooks may be
issued as conditions warrant.
Eastern Pacific – Tropical Outlook
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Eastern Pacific – Area 1
As of 8:00 a.m. EDT
• Located 1,175 miles SW of the southern tip of Baja
California, Mexico
• Environmental conditions are expected to be marginally
conducive for development over the next several days
• Moving W at around 15 mph
• Probability of tropical cyclone development:
• Next 48 hours: Medium chance (30%)
• Next 5 days: Medium chance (40%)
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Eastern Pacific – Area 2
As of 2:00 a.m. EDT
• Area of low pressure located 1,200 miles ESE of the Big
Island of Hawaii
• Moving W at about 15 mph over the next few days
• Showers and thunderstorms remain disorganized
• Development of this disturbance, if any, should be slow to
occur
• Probability of tropical cyclone development:
• Next 48 hours: Low chance (10%)
• Next 5 days: Low chance (10%)
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http://www.prh.noaa.gov/hnl/cphc/
This product is updated at approximately 5 AM, 11 AM, 5 PM, and
11 PM PDT from May 15 to November 30. Special outlooks may be
issued as conditions warrant.
Central Pacific – Tropical Outlook
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http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/noaa/noaad1.pdf
National Weather Forecast
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Active Watches/Warnings
http://www.nws.noaa.gov/largemap.php
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Observed Precipitation: August 3-10
Observed 7-day Precipitation Percent of Normal
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http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/d13_fill.gif
Precipitation Forecast Days 1-3
DAY 1
DAY 2
DAY 3
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http://water.weather.gov/ahps/forecasts.php?current_color=flood¤t_type=all&fcst_type=fcst&conus_map=d_map
River Forecast – 7 Day
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http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html
Convective Outlooks Days 1 – 3
Day 1 Day 2
Day 3
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http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/fire_wx/fwdy1.html
Critical Fire Weather Areas Days 1 – 8
Day 3-8
Day 1 Day 2
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http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/threats/threats_ie.php
Hazard Outlook: August 12 – 16
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www.spaceweather.com
http://www.swpc.noaa.n/index.html
http://
Space Weather
NOAA Scales Activity (Range: 1/minor to 5/extreme)
Past
24 Hours Current
Next
24 Hours
Space Weather Activity: None None None
• Geomagnetic Storms None None None
• Solar Radiation Storms None None None
• Radio Blackouts None None None
Sunspot Activity
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/drap/global.html http://spaceweather.com/
HF Communication Impact
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Flash Flooding – Colorado August 9
Heavy rains over the Waldo Canyon burn scar area produced
flash flooding and mudslides in Manitou Springs, CO (El Paso,
County)
• One home destroyed; several homes & businesses damaged
• One fatality, 3 injuries (media reports 3 individuals are missing)
State/Local Response:
• City of Manitou Springs & El Paso County declared States of
Emergency
• No shelters are open (ESF-6; 7:00 a.m. EDT Aug 12)
• Local damage assessments are ongoing
• CO State EOC is at normal operations
FEMA Response:
• Region VIII remains at Watch/Steady State
• No requests for FEMA assistance
Colorado
= El Paso County
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M 4.8 Earthquake
• Occurred Sunday, August 11 at 11:54 a.m. EDT
• 6 mi SSW of Volcano, HI
• 29 mi SSW of Hilo, HI
• Depth of 20 miles
• USGS issued a Green PAGER alert, indicating:
• Population exposed to Weak-to-Light shaking
• Low likelihood of casualties and damage
• No tsunami generated
• No damage or injury reported/identified
Earthquake Activity – Hawaii
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U.S. Wildland Fire Preparedness Levels
As of August 12, 2013
National Preparedness Level: 4 Description: Three or more Geographic Areas are experiencing incidents requiring Type 1 and 2 IMTs. Competition exists
between Geographic Areas. Nationally, 60 percent of Type 1 and 2 IMTs and crews are committed.
PL 4
PL 3
PL 2
PL 3
PL 2
PL 1 PL 5
Minimal Extreme
PL 2
PL 4
PL 1
PL 1
PL 1
PL 3
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http://activefiremaps.fs.fed.us/lg_fire2.php
Monday, August 12, 2013
• National Preparedness Level: 4
• Initial Attack Activity: Moderate (190 new fires)
• New Large Fires: 6
• Large Fires Contained: 0
• Uncontained Large Fires: 32
• Area Command Teams committed: 0
• NIMOs committed: 1
• Type 1 IMT(s) Committed: 8
• Type 2 IMT(s) Committed: 17
National Fire Activity
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Milepost 10 Fire – Washington
Fire
Name Location Acres burned
%
Contained
Est. Full
Containment FMAG Approved
Structures Lost /
Threatened
Fatalities /
Injuries
Mile Post 10 Chelan County 6,000 15% TBD August 10, 2013 0 / 230 0 / 0
Situation
• Fire began August 9, presumably due to lightning (InciWeb)
• Located 8 miles south of Wenatchee (pop. 32,562)
• Mandatory evacuations for 150 residents in four communities
• One shelter is open with no occupants
Response
• 350 total personnel; Type-1 IMT assumes command today
• WA State EOC is at Normal Operations
• Region X RRCC at Watch/Steady State; Bothell MOC is monitoring
= Chelan County
Washington
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Wildfire Summary
Fire Name
(County) FMAG #
Acres
burned
% Contained Est. Containment
date
Evacuations Structures
Threatened Structures Destroyed
Fatalities /
Injuries
Oregon (1)
Douglas Complex (Douglas County)
FEMA-5037-FM-OR
July 28, 2013 45,411 48% Voluntary 545 4 0/7
Washington (1)
Milepost 10 (Chelan County)
August 10, 2013 6,000 15%
(+15) Mandatory 230 0 0/0
California (1)
Silver Fire (FINAL)
(Riverside County)
FEMA-5041-FM-CA
August 7, 2013
20,292
(+1,292) 90% (+20)
August 12, 2013 None 0 48 0/12
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FMAG Requests and Declarations
Action (since last report) Total FMAG No. and State
Requests DENIED 2 Grouse Mountain Fire, OR
Elk Complex Fire, ID
Requests APPROVED 1 Milepost 10 Fire, WA
As of August 9, 2013 FY2013 FY2012*
FMAGs Approved 21 32
FMAGs Denied 7 15
* Cumulative FMAG figures as of this date in FY2012
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Disaster Requests & Declarations
Declaration Requests in Process Requests APPROVED
(since last report)
Requests DENIED
(since last report)
0 Date Requested 0 2
AZ – DR Yarnell Hill Fire Request: July 9, 2013
Amend: July 12, 2013 August 9, 2013
PA – DR Severe Storms, Straight-line Winds, Tornadoes, and
Mudslides July 25, 2013 August 8, 2013
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Open Field Offices as of August 12, 2013
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OFDC Cadre Member Status
Federal Coordinating Officer
Deployed Detailed Available Not Available Total
24 2 10 1 37
Total Available Type 1 Type 2 Type 3 Type 4
12* 2 6 2 2
* All Type 1 FCOs are available unless deployed to a Level 1 event
Federal Disaster Recovery Coordinator
Deployed Available Pending Hire On Board Positions
7 2 1 9 10
As of: 08/9/2013
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MCOV Fleet / Deployment Status
Fully Mission Capable 50 Partially Mission Capable 0 Non-Mission Capable 5 Total Not Deployed 55
MCOV FLEET STATUS MCOV DISASTER SUPPORT DEPLOYMENTS
Location Units
Assigned Available
FMC Deployed
Committed PMC Unavailable DR-State OPCON
En
Route Unit Prep
Open
Request Notes:
MERS Maynard 3 1 0 0 2 0 0 0
MERS Frederick 8 8 0 0 0 0 0 0
MERS Thomasville 14 13 0 0 1 0 0 0
DC Ft Worth 20 18 0 0 2 0 0 0
MERS Denver 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
MERS Bothell 4 4 0 0 0 0 0 0
Sacramento 4 4 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOTAL 55 50 0 0 5 TOTAL 0 0 0 0
Included in above totals, units in route for turn-in. 0 0
Data as of: 08/11/13 @ 1500
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Active IA Disasters - Referral Status & Awards
Data as of: 08/11/13 @ 1500 # Max Grants = Applicants awarded maximum IHP ($31,900 as of FY 2013)
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IA Registration Statistics
IA Registrations and IHP Amounts as of August 11, 2013 @ 1500
DR/EM # - State Registrations Approved
Applicants Total HA Approved
Total ONA
Approved Total IHP Approved
4117 - OK 15,047 3,502 $9,536,356 $4,277,667 $13,814,023
4122 - AK 348 237 $1,044,801 $1,426,914 $2,471,714
Totals 15,395 3,739 $10,581,157 $5,704,581 $16,285,738
48 hour change +25 +9 +$37,746 +$16,517 +$54,263
NPSC Call Data for August 8, 2013
Total Calls Answered (Help Line + Registration Intake) 3,878
Average time to answer call 13 seconds
Maximum / Minimum time to answer a call 33 seconds / 10 seconds
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Housing Inspection Statistics
Inspection Data as of August 11, 2013 @ 1500
DR # - State Inspectors Inspections
Assigned
Inspections
Completed
Inspection %
Complete
Turnaround Time
(Days)
4117 - OK 6 8,115 8,035 99.01% 1.9
4122 - AK 1 368 348 94.57% 3.0
TOTAL 7 8,483 8,383 98.82% 2.0
48 hour change +1 +24 +18 -0.07% 0.0
Workforce Type Total Available To
Deploy Deployed
Committed To Other
Activities or Exempt
from Deployment
Operational Readiness
Reservist 6,348 3,584 (53%) 2,135 (35%) 629 (12%) Mission Capable
Cadre of On-Call Response
Employees (CORE) 2,564 959 (40%) 1,590 (60%) 15 (0%) Mission Capable
Permanent Full Time (PFT) 4,990 1,968 (40%) 532 (10%) *2,490 (50%) Mission Capable
FEMA Corps 309 0 (0%) 161 (54%) 148 (46%) Mission Capable
DHS Surge Capacity Force 3,876 1,622 (40%) 0 (0%) ** 2,254 (60%) Awaiting DHS/FEMA Activation
Workforce Totals 18,087 8,133 (45%) 4,418 (24%) 5,536 (31%)
= <70% Deployed/Mission Capable = 70% - 79% Deployed/Partially Mission Capable
= >80% Deployed
= >80% Committed to Other Activities- Awaiting DHS/FEMA Activation
*This number will continue to be refined as Directorates/Regions identify and solidify the number of personnel required to support “mission critical home station”, and Emergency Relocation Group personnel
**Deployable based on FEMA’s need for DHS activation Employees may be committed to other activities or exempt from deployment based on: leave status, training, travel related issues, or personnel status as ERG or mission critical home station employee
FEMA Workforce Status Report
Data as of 8/9/13
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IMAT Status National Teams
Team Status Team Status Team Status
Blue/White East West
Regional Teams Team Status Team Status Team Status
Region I Region V Region VIII ND/SD/SRST*
Region II Region VI-1 OK Region IX-1
Region III Region VI-2 AR Region IX-2
Region IV-1 Region VII Region X
Region IV-2 *SRST – Standing Rock Sioux Tribe
= Assigned/Deployed
= Not Mission Capable
= Available/Mission Capable
= Available/Partially Mission Capable
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Urban Search & Rescue INCIDENT SUPPORT TEAMS (Red-White-Blue) – Monthly On Call Rotation
JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC
WEST CENTRAL EAST
Team Status Team Status Team Status
CA-TF1 Available AZ-TF1 Available FL-TF1 Available
CA-TF2 Available CO-TF1 Available FL-TF2 Available
CA-TF3 Available IN-TF1 Available MA-TF1 Available
CA-TF4 Available MO-TF1 Available MD-TF1 Available
CA-TF5 Available NE-TF1 Available NY-TF1 Available
CA-TF6 Available NM-TF1 Non-operational PA-TF1 Conditionally
Available
CA-TF7 Available NV-TF1 Conditionally
Available VA-TF1 Available
CA-TF8 Available TN-TF1 Available VA-TF2 Available
WA-TF1 Available TX-TF1 Available OH-TF1 Available
UT-TF1 Available
= Assigned/Deployed = Out-of-Service
= Available/Mission Capable = Available/Partially Mission Capable
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Region RRCC Regional Watch Center
I Watch/Steady State Maynard MOC (24/7)
II Watch/Steady State 24/7
III Watch/Steady State 24/7
IV Watch/Steady State 24/7
V Watch/Steady State 24/7
VI Watch/Steady State Denton MOC (24/7)
VII Level III 24/7
VIII Watch/Steady State Denver MOC (24/7)
IX Watch/Steady State 24/7
X Watch/Steady State Bothell MOC (24/7)
RRCC / Regional Watch Center Status
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National Team Status
Team/Status Current Location Remarks
National Watch Center Washington, DC Watch/Steady State
NRCC Washington, DC Not Activated
HLT Miami, FL Activated
DEST Washington, DC Not Activated
Mission Capable Partially Mission Capable Not Mission Capable
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Date Exercise Event Capability Focus Target Audience/
FEMA Participation Location
8/10-16 Vibrant Response 13.2 Functional Exercise Type I, IND
ARNORTH, FEMA
Region V, Denver MERS,
FEMA HQ NRCC SimCell
(limited staffing)
Camp Atterbury,
IN and FEMA HQ
8/13-15
National Exercise
Program (NEP)
Capstone Exercise* /
Alaska Shield 14
Midterm Planning
Meeting/MSEL Writing Multiple
State of Alaska,
FEMA HQ, FEMA Region
X, inter-agency reps
Anchorage, AK
8/14
NEP Capstone
Exercise* / Eagle
Horizon 14
Initial Planning Meeting COOP/COG
FEMA National Continuity
Programs, inter-agency
reps
Washington, DC
8/22 NEP Capstone
Exercise* / NUWAIX 14
Incident Management
Workshop Consequence Management
DOE/NNSA, inter-agency
reps TBD, Colorado
* The 2013 NEP Capstone Exercise will be held from March 27-April 10, 2014 and consists of five main exercises: Alaska
Shield 2014, Ardent Sentry 2014, Nuclear Weapon Accident Incident Exercise (NUWAIX) 2014, Eagle Horizon 2014, and
Long-Term Recovery Tabletop Exercise
FEMA Exercise Branch 30-day Outlook
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Regional Comparison
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