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Cycle Candles Trading Workshop
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Cycle Candles Trading Workshop - Amazon S3 · •What are we going to cover today? • Review, MQ CycleFinder and MQ Cycle Candles • Identifying Trend Based on Price Action •

Sep 03, 2018

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Page 1: Cycle Candles Trading Workshop - Amazon S3 · •What are we going to cover today? • Review, MQ CycleFinder and MQ Cycle Candles • Identifying Trend Based on Price Action •

Cycle Candles

Trading Workshop

Page 2: Cycle Candles Trading Workshop - Amazon S3 · •What are we going to cover today? • Review, MQ CycleFinder and MQ Cycle Candles • Identifying Trend Based on Price Action •

Risk Disclaimer

Trading or investing carries a high level of risk, and is not suitable for all persons. Before deciding to trade or invest you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and ability to tolerate risk. This content is subject to change at any time without notice, and is provided for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. BaseCampTrading.com has taken reasonable measures to ensure the accuracy of the information contained herein; however, BaseCampTrading.com does not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or from an inability to access such information or any delay in or failure of the transmission or the receipt of any instruction or notification in connection therewith. Any past performance results are shown for illustration and example only, are hypothetical and as such have many inherent limitations. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Page 3: Cycle Candles Trading Workshop - Amazon S3 · •What are we going to cover today? • Review, MQ CycleFinder and MQ Cycle Candles • Identifying Trend Based on Price Action •

CFTC Rule 4.41 (Hypothetical Disclaimer)

U.S. Government Required Disclaimer - Commodity Futures Trading Commission Futures and Options trading has large potential rewards, but also large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in the futures and options markets. Don't trade with money you can't afford to lose. This is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, stocks or options on the same. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

CFTC RULE 4.41 - HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.

NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL, OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE DISCUSSED WITHIN THIS SITE, SUPPORT AND TEXTS. OUR COURSE(S), PRODUCTS AND SERVICES SHOULD BE USED AS LEARNING AIDS ONLY AND SHOULD NOT BE USED TO INVEST REAL MONEY. IF YOU DECIDE TO INVEST REAL MONEY, ALL TRADING DECISIONS SHOULD BE YOUR OWN.

Page 4: Cycle Candles Trading Workshop - Amazon S3 · •What are we going to cover today? • Review, MQ CycleFinder and MQ Cycle Candles • Identifying Trend Based on Price Action •

• What are we going to cover today? • Review, MQ CycleFinder and MQ Cycle Candles • Identifying Trend Based on Price Action • Trading Cycles Within the Context of an Established Trend • Trading Candlesticks with Trend • Trading Candlesticks Counter-Trend • Trading the Double Doji Candlestick Pattern • Getting Your Mind Right, Trading Psychology

Page 5: Cycle Candles Trading Workshop - Amazon S3 · •What are we going to cover today? • Review, MQ CycleFinder and MQ Cycle Candles • Identifying Trend Based on Price Action •

Identifying Price

Action Trends

Page 6: Cycle Candles Trading Workshop - Amazon S3 · •What are we going to cover today? • Review, MQ CycleFinder and MQ Cycle Candles • Identifying Trend Based on Price Action •

• When we are looking at price action to identify trend direction, it is important to remember, we ONLY look at pivot points. We do not look at one price bar in relation to the previous price bar.

Page 7: Cycle Candles Trading Workshop - Amazon S3 · •What are we going to cover today? • Review, MQ CycleFinder and MQ Cycle Candles • Identifying Trend Based on Price Action •

• Definition of an up trend: • _______+_______=_______

• Definition of a down trend: • _______+_______=_______

• Anything else is considered consolidation or reversal.

Page 8: Cycle Candles Trading Workshop - Amazon S3 · •What are we going to cover today? • Review, MQ CycleFinder and MQ Cycle Candles • Identifying Trend Based on Price Action •

Down Trend

Page 9: Cycle Candles Trading Workshop - Amazon S3 · •What are we going to cover today? • Review, MQ CycleFinder and MQ Cycle Candles • Identifying Trend Based on Price Action •

Up Trend

Page 10: Cycle Candles Trading Workshop - Amazon S3 · •What are we going to cover today? • Review, MQ CycleFinder and MQ Cycle Candles • Identifying Trend Based on Price Action •

What is the Trend Here?

Page 11: Cycle Candles Trading Workshop - Amazon S3 · •What are we going to cover today? • Review, MQ CycleFinder and MQ Cycle Candles • Identifying Trend Based on Price Action •

Down Trend

Page 12: Cycle Candles Trading Workshop - Amazon S3 · •What are we going to cover today? • Review, MQ CycleFinder and MQ Cycle Candles • Identifying Trend Based on Price Action •

What is the Trend Here?

Page 13: Cycle Candles Trading Workshop - Amazon S3 · •What are we going to cover today? • Review, MQ CycleFinder and MQ Cycle Candles • Identifying Trend Based on Price Action •

Up Trend

Page 14: Cycle Candles Trading Workshop - Amazon S3 · •What are we going to cover today? • Review, MQ CycleFinder and MQ Cycle Candles • Identifying Trend Based on Price Action •

Review CycleFinder

and Cycle Candles

Indicators

Page 15: Cycle Candles Trading Workshop - Amazon S3 · •What are we going to cover today? • Review, MQ CycleFinder and MQ Cycle Candles • Identifying Trend Based on Price Action •

What is the MQ Cycle Finder

Page 16: Cycle Candles Trading Workshop - Amazon S3 · •What are we going to cover today? • Review, MQ CycleFinder and MQ Cycle Candles • Identifying Trend Based on Price Action •
Page 17: Cycle Candles Trading Workshop - Amazon S3 · •What are we going to cover today? • Review, MQ CycleFinder and MQ Cycle Candles • Identifying Trend Based on Price Action •

What is the MQ Cycle Candles

Page 18: Cycle Candles Trading Workshop - Amazon S3 · •What are we going to cover today? • Review, MQ CycleFinder and MQ Cycle Candles • Identifying Trend Based on Price Action •

Trading Cycles

Within the Context

of an Established

Trend

Page 19: Cycle Candles Trading Workshop - Amazon S3 · •What are we going to cover today? • Review, MQ CycleFinder and MQ Cycle Candles • Identifying Trend Based on Price Action •

• With all the setups we trade, we want to start with analyzing the price chart itself. The first things we want to look for are; Is the market in a trend? If yes, what direction?

• Once we identify if the market is currently trending, this will give us directional bias on if we want to trade long or short.

Page 20: Cycle Candles Trading Workshop - Amazon S3 · •What are we going to cover today? • Review, MQ CycleFinder and MQ Cycle Candles • Identifying Trend Based on Price Action •

• Once we have identified the trend, we want to create an IF/Then statement for when to enter a trade.

• IF trend is up, THEN we go long on start of new minor up cycle AFTER retracement.

• IF trend is down, THEN we go short on start of new minor down cycle AFTER retracement.

Page 21: Cycle Candles Trading Workshop - Amazon S3 · •What are we going to cover today? • Review, MQ CycleFinder and MQ Cycle Candles • Identifying Trend Based on Price Action •

• Now, we do not want to enter just on the start of a new cycle, we also want to see a break of the previous bar’s high (if going long) or break of previous bar’s low (if going short) this will make sure we have the market actually start moving our way and keep us on the right side of the mountain.

• The initial stop is placed below the low (in up trend) or above the high (in down trend) of previous pivot. Market should start moving our direction fairly quickly.

Page 22: Cycle Candles Trading Workshop - Amazon S3 · •What are we going to cover today? • Review, MQ CycleFinder and MQ Cycle Candles • Identifying Trend Based on Price Action •
Page 23: Cycle Candles Trading Workshop - Amazon S3 · •What are we going to cover today? • Review, MQ CycleFinder and MQ Cycle Candles • Identifying Trend Based on Price Action •

• When we go to exit the trade, we have several options (pick the one that fits your trading personality) • Trail stop based on consecutive higher lows (in long position)

or consecutive lower highs (in short position) • Exit based on major cycle change • Target support or resistance from larger timeframe • Target 2/1 or 3/1 of your average risk

Page 24: Cycle Candles Trading Workshop - Amazon S3 · •What are we going to cover today? • Review, MQ CycleFinder and MQ Cycle Candles • Identifying Trend Based on Price Action •
Page 25: Cycle Candles Trading Workshop - Amazon S3 · •What are we going to cover today? • Review, MQ CycleFinder and MQ Cycle Candles • Identifying Trend Based on Price Action •
Page 26: Cycle Candles Trading Workshop - Amazon S3 · •What are we going to cover today? • Review, MQ CycleFinder and MQ Cycle Candles • Identifying Trend Based on Price Action •
Page 27: Cycle Candles Trading Workshop - Amazon S3 · •What are we going to cover today? • Review, MQ CycleFinder and MQ Cycle Candles • Identifying Trend Based on Price Action •
Page 28: Cycle Candles Trading Workshop - Amazon S3 · •What are we going to cover today? • Review, MQ CycleFinder and MQ Cycle Candles • Identifying Trend Based on Price Action •
Page 29: Cycle Candles Trading Workshop - Amazon S3 · •What are we going to cover today? • Review, MQ CycleFinder and MQ Cycle Candles • Identifying Trend Based on Price Action •

Trading

Candlesticks

within the Context

of an Established

Trend

Page 30: Cycle Candles Trading Workshop - Amazon S3 · •What are we going to cover today? • Review, MQ CycleFinder and MQ Cycle Candles • Identifying Trend Based on Price Action •

• Another way of timing entries into an existing trend is by using candlestick patterns.

• If we are trying to trade with the trend, normally we want to have both major and minor cycle filters turned on with the MQ CycleCandlestick indicator.

• If we are looking to time our entries into a trend that has large swings for pivots, we can turn off the major cycle and just use the minor cycle.

Page 31: Cycle Candles Trading Workshop - Amazon S3 · •What are we going to cover today? • Review, MQ CycleFinder and MQ Cycle Candles • Identifying Trend Based on Price Action •

• Just like with the other strategies we discussed, the first thing we want to do is analyze the price action and determine the price trend, then we use indicators to confirm setups.

• Remember, the number one thing we can do to increase our probabilities of success is to make sure we are on the right side of the underlying price action trend. Trade the right side of the market.

Page 32: Cycle Candles Trading Workshop - Amazon S3 · •What are we going to cover today? • Review, MQ CycleFinder and MQ Cycle Candles • Identifying Trend Based on Price Action •

• One thing to keep in mind when trading candlestick setups, the candle has to TRIGGER, meaning the following price bar must break the high or low of the candlestick in order to initiate a trade.

• We never want to assume that a market is going to move our direction, make is prove itself by triggering.

Page 33: Cycle Candles Trading Workshop - Amazon S3 · •What are we going to cover today? • Review, MQ CycleFinder and MQ Cycle Candles • Identifying Trend Based on Price Action •
Page 34: Cycle Candles Trading Workshop - Amazon S3 · •What are we going to cover today? • Review, MQ CycleFinder and MQ Cycle Candles • Identifying Trend Based on Price Action •
Page 35: Cycle Candles Trading Workshop - Amazon S3 · •What are we going to cover today? • Review, MQ CycleFinder and MQ Cycle Candles • Identifying Trend Based on Price Action •
Page 36: Cycle Candles Trading Workshop - Amazon S3 · •What are we going to cover today? • Review, MQ CycleFinder and MQ Cycle Candles • Identifying Trend Based on Price Action •
Page 37: Cycle Candles Trading Workshop - Amazon S3 · •What are we going to cover today? • Review, MQ CycleFinder and MQ Cycle Candles • Identifying Trend Based on Price Action •
Page 38: Cycle Candles Trading Workshop - Amazon S3 · •What are we going to cover today? • Review, MQ CycleFinder and MQ Cycle Candles • Identifying Trend Based on Price Action •

Trading

Candlesticks

Counter-Trend

Page 39: Cycle Candles Trading Workshop - Amazon S3 · •What are we going to cover today? • Review, MQ CycleFinder and MQ Cycle Candles • Identifying Trend Based on Price Action •

• Another great way to use candlestick patterns is to identify potential reversal points. If we are looking for reversals, we do not want to just take every single candlestick setup, we need to apply filters.

• If you are looking for counter trend reversal candles, we need to turn off the major cycle filter in agreement setting.

Page 40: Cycle Candles Trading Workshop - Amazon S3 · •What are we going to cover today? • Review, MQ CycleFinder and MQ Cycle Candles • Identifying Trend Based on Price Action •

• Additionally, we want to make sure the cycle finder is weakening (if going short) or strengthening (if going long)

• We can use the cycle finder to identify divergences in major cycles. Similar to how we would look for divergences on a momentum indicator like MQ Momentum or MACD.

• If we can have a candlestick pattern + a cycle divergence + a minor cycle in agreement, then we have a high probability reversal pattern.

Page 41: Cycle Candles Trading Workshop - Amazon S3 · •What are we going to cover today? • Review, MQ CycleFinder and MQ Cycle Candles • Identifying Trend Based on Price Action •

• A divergence occurs when price and major cycle are no longer agreeing on the direction of the market.

• When we are looking for divergences, we want to look at price pivots and momentum pivots.

Page 42: Cycle Candles Trading Workshop - Amazon S3 · •What are we going to cover today? • Review, MQ CycleFinder and MQ Cycle Candles • Identifying Trend Based on Price Action •
Page 43: Cycle Candles Trading Workshop - Amazon S3 · •What are we going to cover today? • Review, MQ CycleFinder and MQ Cycle Candles • Identifying Trend Based on Price Action •
Page 44: Cycle Candles Trading Workshop - Amazon S3 · •What are we going to cover today? • Review, MQ CycleFinder and MQ Cycle Candles • Identifying Trend Based on Price Action •
Page 45: Cycle Candles Trading Workshop - Amazon S3 · •What are we going to cover today? • Review, MQ CycleFinder and MQ Cycle Candles • Identifying Trend Based on Price Action •
Page 46: Cycle Candles Trading Workshop - Amazon S3 · •What are we going to cover today? • Review, MQ CycleFinder and MQ Cycle Candles • Identifying Trend Based on Price Action •
Page 47: Cycle Candles Trading Workshop - Amazon S3 · •What are we going to cover today? • Review, MQ CycleFinder and MQ Cycle Candles • Identifying Trend Based on Price Action •

The Double Doji

Breakout Setup

Page 48: Cycle Candles Trading Workshop - Amazon S3 · •What are we going to cover today? • Review, MQ CycleFinder and MQ Cycle Candles • Identifying Trend Based on Price Action •

• Doji patterns are showing neutrality • Double Doji’s are showing miniature consolidation • We’re looking for a breakout of the consolidation with the

Double Doji Setup

Page 49: Cycle Candles Trading Workshop - Amazon S3 · •What are we going to cover today? • Review, MQ CycleFinder and MQ Cycle Candles • Identifying Trend Based on Price Action •

• Rules for Trading The Double Doji Breakout

• Identify 2 Consecutive Doji’s • Mark the top and bottom of the doji’s (this is your breakout

range) • Wait for a break above or below the upper/lower end of the

range by 2-3 ticks (at a minimum) • If MQ Cycle Finder is in agreement with breakout, then you

have a potential trade setup (either long or short) • Stop Is Placed Above/Below End of Range

Page 50: Cycle Candles Trading Workshop - Amazon S3 · •What are we going to cover today? • Review, MQ CycleFinder and MQ Cycle Candles • Identifying Trend Based on Price Action •

• First Exit Opportunity is for Scalping Exit – Close when Minor

Cycle Changes in Opposite Direction • Second Exit Opportunity is for Larger Move – Exit when Major

Cycle Changes

Page 51: Cycle Candles Trading Workshop - Amazon S3 · •What are we going to cover today? • Review, MQ CycleFinder and MQ Cycle Candles • Identifying Trend Based on Price Action •

• What is a double doji?

• The double doji occurs when you have two (2) double doji’s • It needs to happen at the top of an up move or at the bottom

of a down move • We do not want to trade this in a sideways/choppy market

Page 52: Cycle Candles Trading Workshop - Amazon S3 · •What are we going to cover today? • Review, MQ CycleFinder and MQ Cycle Candles • Identifying Trend Based on Price Action •

Step 1: Identify 2 Consecutive Doji’s

Step 2: Mark Top & Bottom of Doji’s (Your Break Out Range)

Step 3: Look for a Break Through the Border of Your Breakout Range(s).

Step 4: Confirm that MQ Cycle Finder is in Agreement with Breakout

Step 5: Place Stop Above or Below End or Range

Step 6: Exit at MQ Cycle Finder Change

Page 53: Cycle Candles Trading Workshop - Amazon S3 · •What are we going to cover today? • Review, MQ CycleFinder and MQ Cycle Candles • Identifying Trend Based on Price Action •
Page 54: Cycle Candles Trading Workshop - Amazon S3 · •What are we going to cover today? • Review, MQ CycleFinder and MQ Cycle Candles • Identifying Trend Based on Price Action •
Page 55: Cycle Candles Trading Workshop - Amazon S3 · •What are we going to cover today? • Review, MQ CycleFinder and MQ Cycle Candles • Identifying Trend Based on Price Action •
Page 56: Cycle Candles Trading Workshop - Amazon S3 · •What are we going to cover today? • Review, MQ CycleFinder and MQ Cycle Candles • Identifying Trend Based on Price Action •
Page 57: Cycle Candles Trading Workshop - Amazon S3 · •What are we going to cover today? • Review, MQ CycleFinder and MQ Cycle Candles • Identifying Trend Based on Price Action •
Page 58: Cycle Candles Trading Workshop - Amazon S3 · •What are we going to cover today? • Review, MQ CycleFinder and MQ Cycle Candles • Identifying Trend Based on Price Action •
Page 59: Cycle Candles Trading Workshop - Amazon S3 · •What are we going to cover today? • Review, MQ CycleFinder and MQ Cycle Candles • Identifying Trend Based on Price Action •
Page 60: Cycle Candles Trading Workshop - Amazon S3 · •What are we going to cover today? • Review, MQ CycleFinder and MQ Cycle Candles • Identifying Trend Based on Price Action •
Page 61: Cycle Candles Trading Workshop - Amazon S3 · •What are we going to cover today? • Review, MQ CycleFinder and MQ Cycle Candles • Identifying Trend Based on Price Action •
Page 62: Cycle Candles Trading Workshop - Amazon S3 · •What are we going to cover today? • Review, MQ CycleFinder and MQ Cycle Candles • Identifying Trend Based on Price Action •
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