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“If I could change one thing, I would take the negative implications out of telling management the truth.” Jack Welch READY?
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Customer Retention and Recovery

Jan 15, 2015

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Page 1: Customer Retention and Recovery

“If I could change one thing, I would take the negative implications out of telling management the truth.” Jack Welch

READY?  

Page 2: Customer Retention and Recovery

“If I could change one thing, I would take the negative implications out of telling management the truth.” Jack Welch

PREMISE:  A  business  cannot  afford  to  lose  

customers  from  it’s  top  20%  

Page 3: Customer Retention and Recovery

“If I could change one thing, I would take the negative implications out of telling management the truth.” Jack Welch

IF:  Your  business  has  100  customers,  it’s  likely  that  20  of  them  yield,  on  

average,  1,600%  of  the  profit  vs.  the  boMom  80%  

Page 4: Customer Retention and Recovery

“If I could change one thing, I would take the negative implications out of telling management the truth.” Jack Welch

PREMISE:  Pursuing  new  customer  

acquisiQon  is  1,000%  more  costly  

that  keeping  exisQng  customers  

Page 5: Customer Retention and Recovery

“If I could change one thing, I would take the negative implications out of telling management the truth.” Jack Welch

PREMISE:  It  takes  16  new  customers  in  the  boMom  80%  to  

replace  1  customer  in  the  top  20%  

Page 6: Customer Retention and Recovery

“If I could change one thing, I would take the negative implications out of telling management the truth.” Jack Welch

Never  lost  a  key  customer?  No  key  customers  at  risk?  

þ  No  –  have  a  nice  day þ  Yes    -­‐  let’s  keep  going  

Page 7: Customer Retention and Recovery

“If I could change one thing, I would take the negative implications out of telling management the truth.” Jack Welch

What’s  going  on  in  your  

organizaQon?  

Page 8: Customer Retention and Recovery

“If I could change one thing, I would take the negative implications out of telling management the truth.” Jack Welch

Do  you  REALLY  want  to  know?  

Page 9: Customer Retention and Recovery

“If I could change one thing, I would take the negative implications out of telling management the truth.” Jack Welch

How  much  do  you  REALLY  want  (need?)  to  know?  

Page 10: Customer Retention and Recovery

“If I could change one thing, I would take the negative implications out of telling management the truth.” Jack Welch

The  7th  C  of  Credit  

• Character  • Capacity  • Capital  • Collateral  • Condi9ons  • Cash  Flow  • Customers  (s9ckiness,  profitability,  ABC)  

Page 11: Customer Retention and Recovery

“If I could change one thing, I would take the negative implications out of telling management the truth.” Jack Welch

Feedback...  

Basing  decisions  on  

facts...  

Page 12: Customer Retention and Recovery

“If I could change one thing, I would take the negative implications out of telling management the truth.” Jack Welch

Opinion  without  facts  is  opinion  

Page 13: Customer Retention and Recovery

“If I could change one thing, I would take the negative implications out of telling management the truth.” Jack Welch

What  do  you  KNOW  about  your  business?  ?     Where  is  the  business  coming  from?  ?     How  much  does  it  cost  to  get?  ?     How  much  did  it  cost  to  acquire  a  (the)  customer  (CCA)?  ?     How  much  is  a  (that)  customer  worth  to  us  (LTCV)?  ?     What  is  the  value  of  our  salespeople?  ?     What  is  the  value  of  our  customer  service  people?  ?     Are  we  paying  sales  OR  customer  service  too  much  OR  too  liOle?  ?     How  reliable  are  our  sales  forecasts?  ?     How  can  we  make  them  more  accurate?  ?     How  dependent  are  we  on  which  customers?  ?     How  much  are  orders  cos9ng  us?    By  type?    By  customer?  ?     What  opportuni9es  are  we  not  pursuing?    Why?    Why  not?  ?     What  DON’T  you  know?    (too  busy?)  

Page 14: Customer Retention and Recovery

“If I could change one thing, I would take the negative implications out of telling management the truth.” Jack Welch

The  Pareto  Constant  Isn’t…but  it  IS  average  

On  AVERAGE,  20%  of  any  business’s  customers  account  for    80%  of  all  sales.  

The  20%  group  represents  a  4:1  ra9o  of  your  results,  in    the  reverse,  the  80%  group  produces  20%  of  results.  

Hence,  the  results  raQo  is  4/.25  or  a  16:1  raQo  of  return.  

A  dollar    spend  on  each  group  with  equal  effec9veness,  will  yield  $4.00  from  the  20%  group  and  25¢  from  the  80%  group  

 .  

Page 15: Customer Retention and Recovery

“If I could change one thing, I would take the negative implications out of telling management the truth.” Jack Welch

Why  80/20  =  16:1  •  If, on average, 20% of any business’s customers account for

80% of all sales….then…. •  The 20% group represents a 4:1 ratio of your results (80÷20) •  In the reverse, the 80% group produces 20% of your results, or

a .25:1 ratio (20÷80). •  Hence, the results ratio between average accounts (or

members of each 80/20 group) is 4/.25 and this represents a 16:1 ratio of return.

•  In terms of where you spend your time and money, a dollar spent on each group with equal effectiveness, will yield $4.00 from the 20% group and 25¢ from the 80% group (because it will have to spread over 4 times as many customers with less revenue each….essentially a 4:1 ratio with results magnified 4X).

• If your customer revenue contribution ratio was 90/10, the resulting contribution ratio would be an astounding 81:1

Page 16: Customer Retention and Recovery

“If I could change one thing, I would take the negative implications out of telling management the truth.” Jack Welch

Where  to  apply  the  effort…or,  what  happens  if  you  don’t…  Annual Sales Profit %

15,000,000.00$                   $900,000.00 6%number  of  customers 200

average  sales 75,000.00$                                   4,500.00$                                top  20%  of  sales 12,000,000.00$                   720,000.00$                         80%

average  top  20% 300,000.00$                               18,000.00$                            bottom  80%  of  sales 3,000,000.00$                       180,000.00$                         20%

average  bottom  80% 18,750.00$                                   1,125.00$                                

#  of  80%  customers  to  replace  one  20%  customer  =  16

Annual Sales Profit %7,500,000.00$                       $450,000.00 6%

number  of  customers 150average  sales 50,000.00$                                   3,000.00$                                

top  20%  of  sales 6,000,000.00$                       360,000.00$                         80%average  top  20% 150,000.00$                               9,000.00$                                

bottom  80%  of  sales 1,500,000.00$                       90,000.00$                             20%average  bottom  80% 9,375.00$                                       562.50$                                        

#  of  80%  customers  to  replace  one  20%  customer  =  16

#  of  customers  down  by  25%      Average  sales  down  by  33%      Profits  down  by  50%      

Page 17: Customer Retention and Recovery

“If I could change one thing, I would take the negative implications out of telling management the truth.” Jack Welch

What’s  wrong  with  the  math?  

•  If, on average, 20% of customers account for 80% of sales….for that ratio to result in a 16:1 profit contribution ratio….

•  The assumption is that all customers are equal and all transactions are equal, in terms of time, effort and costs.

•  The assumption is bad ( i.e., MAY be bad as it is not based on the facts) but it is extremely useful to determine factually HOW bad.

•  Big customers often don’t produce big orders but lots of small ones resulting in a higher total order cost.

•  Big customers often know their impact on your business and demand more (and costlier) attention.

•  Big customers may have no potential for growth only decline, while small customers may have great future potential.

Page 18: Customer Retention and Recovery

“If I could change one thing, I would take the negative implications out of telling management the truth.” Jack Welch

Focus….but  how?  Ø Concentrate  on  leveraging  ALL  your  resources….people,  9me  and  money  

Ø Where  is  the  leverage  point?  

Ø THAT’s  the  first  decision…..  

Ø What  20%  of  your  (or  your  firms’)  ac9ons  create  80%  of  the  results?  

20%  80%  

Page 19: Customer Retention and Recovery

“If I could change one thing, I would take the negative implications out of telling management the truth.” Jack Welch

Becoming  more  profitable  doesn’t  change    the  contribuQon  mix  of  your  customers  

Annual Sales Profit %15,000,000.00$                   $900,000.00 6%

number  of  customers 200average  sales 75,000.00$                                   4,500.00$                                

top  20%  of  sales 12,000,000.00$                   720,000.00$                         80%average  top  20% 300,000.00$                               18,000.00$                            

bottom  80%  of  sales 3,000,000.00$                       180,000.00$                         20%average  bottom  80% 18,750.00$                                   1,125.00$                                

#  of  80%  customers  to  replace  one  20%  customer  =  16

Annual Sales Profit %15,000,000.00$                   $1,350,000.00 9%

number  of  customers 200average  sales 75,000.00$                                   6,750.00$                                

top  20%  of  sales 12,000,000.00$                   1,080,000.00$                 80%average  top  20% 300,000.00$                               27,000.00$                            

bottom  80%  of  sales 3,000,000.00$                       270,000.00$                         20%average  bottom  80% 18,750.00$                                   1,687.50$                                

#  of  80%  customers  to  replace  one  20%  customer  =  16

Page 20: Customer Retention and Recovery

“If I could change one thing, I would take the negative implications out of telling management the truth.” Jack Welch

Cause...  

And  affect...  

Page 21: Customer Retention and Recovery

“If I could change one thing, I would take the negative implications out of telling management the truth.” Jack Welch

Lonely  at  the  top…  

Page 22: Customer Retention and Recovery

“If I could change one thing, I would take the negative implications out of telling management the truth.” Jack Welch

Feedback  is  good….do  you  REALLY  want  it?  

Page 23: Customer Retention and Recovery

“If I could change one thing, I would take the negative implications out of telling management the truth.” Jack Welch

Playing  BINGO  with  sales?  S A L E S

"We're  on  target  to  meet  quota."

"We'll  never  lose  that  customer."

"If  we  deliver  that  order  late,  we'll  lose  all  our  

business  with  them."

"We  have  to  lower  our  prices."

"The  customer  doesn't  care  about  

guarantees."B

"The  customer  just  got  a  new  

purchasing  agent  that  had  a  

relationship  with  our  competitor."

"Our  customers  will  only  buy  new  

products."

"The  competitor  told  the  customer  that  they  can  deliver  in  10  

days."

"You  can  tell  me  the  truth."

"If  you  don't  bring  in  your  quota  

three  months  in  a  row,  you  will  be  terminated."

I

"The  customer  loves  me."

"Our  customer  service  is  hurting  

our  sales."

"We'll  never  get  that  customer  

back."

"We've  got  the  wrong  

salesperson  on  that  account."

"We've  got  to  meet  or  beat  the  competitor's  

price."

N

"If  there  was  something  wrong,  

I'd  tell  you."

"We  don't  need  to  lower  our  prices."

"We've  got  all  the  right  products."

Our  customers  are  not  interested  in  new  products  /  

services."

Our  competitor  has  better  pricing."

G

"Our  competitor  has  better  products."

"The  previous  Account  Executive  

ruined  this  account."

"I  can  never  meet  quota  with  that  

territory  (customer)."

"We  offer  better  value  than  the  

competition  so  we  don't  need  to  compete  on  price/"

"If  there  was  anything  wrong,  

I'd    know."O

Page 24: Customer Retention and Recovery

“If I could change one thing, I would take the negative implications out of telling management the truth.” Jack Welch

Employee  Training?  

Page 25: Customer Retention and Recovery

“If I could change one thing, I would take the negative implications out of telling management the truth.” Jack Welch

Are  your  people  talking  to  each  other?  ………….  are  they  listening?  

Page 26: Customer Retention and Recovery

“If I could change one thing, I would take the negative implications out of telling management the truth.” Jack Welch

 “I  want  people    around  me  who  will  tell  me  the  truth  …  even  if  it  costs  them  their  job.  “  Samuel  Goldwyn  

Page 27: Customer Retention and Recovery

“If I could change one thing, I would take the negative implications out of telling management the truth.” Jack Welch

A  teachable  moment  

Page 28: Customer Retention and Recovery

“If I could change one thing, I would take the negative implications out of telling management the truth.” Jack Welch

Where  would  everyone  rather  be?    Why?  

Page 29: Customer Retention and Recovery

“If I could change one thing, I would take the negative implications out of telling management the truth.” Jack Welch

Home  /  Work?  

Page 30: Customer Retention and Recovery

“If I could change one thing, I would take the negative implications out of telling management the truth.” Jack Welch

Know  (and  make  sure  your  people  know)    the  consequences  to  commitment  

Page 31: Customer Retention and Recovery

“If I could change one thing, I would take the negative implications out of telling management the truth.” Jack Welch

Awareness  

The  FIRST  step  in  the  soluQon  

Page 32: Customer Retention and Recovery

“If I could change one thing, I would take the negative implications out of telling management the truth.” Jack Welch

The  Abilene  Paradox  …  why  it’s  difficult  to  manage  

Organiza9ons  frequently  take  ac9ons  in  contradic9on  to  what  they  really  want  to  do  and  therefore  defeat  the  very  purposes  they  are  trying  to  achieve.  It  also  deals  with  a  

major  corollary  of  the  paradox,  which  is  that  the  inability  to  manage  agreement  is  a  

major  source  of  organiza=on  dysfunc=on.  

Page 33: Customer Retention and Recovery

“If I could change one thing, I would take the negative implications out of telling management the truth.” Jack Welch

The  challenge  in  managing  “agreement”….  Leaving  Abilene…  

Chris  Argyris  in  Interven'on  Theory  and  Method:  A  Behavioral  Science  View  (Addison-­‐  Wesley,  1970)  gives  an  excellent  descrip9on  of  the  process  of  “owning  up”  and  being  “open,”  both  of  which  are  major  skills  required  if  one  is  to  assist  his  organiza9on  in  avoiding  or  leaving  Abilene.  

ü     Gegng  feedback…..see  Jack  Welch’s  quote  at  boOom  of  slide  ü     Segng  the  stage  to  enable  feedback…see  source  below  ü     Recognizing  if  you  really  do  that  ü     Finding  someone  who  can  (  and  trus9ng  to  listen  )  ü     Rewarding  feedback,  including  “not  punishing”  ü     Being  aware  of  where  you  are  (  are  you  IN  Abilene?)  ü     Being  sure  that  you  are  correct  about  your  loca9on…  

 i.e.,  stopping  to  ask  direc9ons.  

Page 34: Customer Retention and Recovery

“If I could change one thing, I would take the negative implications out of telling management the truth.” Jack Welch

Is  SALES  EVERYone’s  job?      Form  DOH!  To  DUH!  and  in  between…  

"      Sales  "      Marke9ng  "      Product  Development  "      Manufacturing  "      Management  "      Shipping  "      Quality  Assurance  "      Tech  Support  "      Recep9on  "      Purchasing  "      Human  Resources  "      Finance  "      Customer  Service  

Page 35: Customer Retention and Recovery

“If I could change one thing, I would take the negative implications out of telling management the truth.” Jack Welch

“Seek  the  advice  of  a  good  consultant”  

Page 36: Customer Retention and Recovery

“If I could change one thing, I would take the negative implications out of telling management the truth.” Jack Welch

Who  knows  what  to  do???  

Page 37: Customer Retention and Recovery

“If I could change one thing, I would take the negative implications out of telling management the truth.” Jack Welch

If  you  knew  what  to  do,  who  would  do  it?  

The  Leadership  Conundrum  

Page 38: Customer Retention and Recovery

“If I could change one thing, I would take the negative implications out of telling management the truth.” Jack Welch

SO....  1.   Get  the  facts  2.   PriorQze  3.   Plan  4.   Act  5.   Measure  6.   Repeat  

Page 39: Customer Retention and Recovery

“If I could change one thing, I would take the negative implications out of telling management the truth.” Jack Welch

OR....  Do  it  yourself...    What’s  the  cost  of  NOT  doing  it?