Current Research in Smoke Modeling Scott Goodrick U.S. Forest Service Southern Research Station Athens, GA.

Current Research in Smoke Modeling

Scott GoodrickU.S. Forest Service Southern Research StationAthens, GA

SHRMC

Southern High Resolution Modeling Consortium

Partnership of Forest Service, Universities and other organizations

Focus on research & development for fire, meteorology and smoke.

Research

Fire Weather Smoke Plume Dynamics Fire Behavior Air Quality Fire & Climate

Fire Weather

Fire Weather

Fire Weather

Fire Weather

Fire Weather

Fire Weather

Fire Weather

Smoke Plume Dynamics

Fire Behavior

Fire Behavior

0

70

14

0

21

0

28

0

35

0

42

0

49

0

56

0

63

0

70

0

77

0

84

0

91

0

98

0

10

50

11

20

11

90

12

60

505

365

225

85

Time(s)

Hei

gh

t (m

)

-4--2 -2-0 0-2 2-4 4-6 6-8 8-10 10-12 12-14

Tools

www.shrmc.org/smoke

Operational by October 15, 2007

Isopleths of smoke particulateConcentration predicted for a given hour.

BlueSky

BlueSky - A framework for predicting fire and smoke effects that integrates components for fuel load fuel moisture fuel consumption emissions dispersion/trajectories Developed and managed by the USDA

Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station, AirFIRE team.

BlueSky

Designed as a tool to aid prescribed fire managers in making go/no-go decisions with regard to smoke management

Provides hourly surface PM2.5 concentrations and smoke plume trajectories depicting direction and height of the plume

PB-Piedmont

Predicts nocturnal smoke movement and potential for visibility hazards

Contact: Gary Achtemeier [email protected]

Air Quality Predictions

Southern Smoke Simulation System Look at particulate and ozone Designed for prescribed fires in the

south

Case studies Working with

managers to improve tools and best management practice

Hourly PM2.5 Concentration at Asheville, NC18 March 2006

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

2200

Time

Co

nce

ntr

atio

n (

ug

/m3)

Observed

4 Core

www.shrmc.org/smoke

[email protected]