The 2007 Stone Crabs BBL Champions
The 2007 Stone Crabs
BBL Champions
The Horse Race
• Comparing the Crabs with the two biggest competitors for 1st place– Senator Clintons (1st half of season)– Foo Dogs (2nd half of season)
Weekly Standings
455055606570758085
1 7 13 19 25
Crabs Foo Clintons
Crabs add Nathan / Shieldsweek 12 / 13
Foo adds Ibanez week 19
Foo adds Halladay / Youngweek 13
Carmona / Marcum become starters
weeks 3 / 6
AROD,Hunter,Teixeira
ERA, WHIP, catch up on
Clintons
Papelbon –Closer!
Points from Average
12345678910111213
1 7 13 19 25
Crabs Foo Clintons
Cumulative Average
0.2300.2400.2500.2600.2700.2800.2900.300
1 7 13 19 25
Crabs Foo Clintons
4/1 – 7/1 AVG
Gordon .215
Urbie .200
Patterson .213
Lugo .193
Kendall .2251st Half 2nd Half
Crab’s Batting Avg. .267 .288
Weekly Average
0.2000.2200.2400.2600.2800.3000.3200.3400.360
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26
Crabs Foo Clintons
Points from Homeruns
12345678910111213
1 7 13 19 25
Crabs Foo Clintons
Cumulative Homeruns
0
50
100
150
200
250
1 7 13 19 25
Crabs Foo Clintons
Foo Adds Ibanez Week 19
Weekly Homeruns
024681012141618
Crabs Foo Clintons
Teixeira Out Weeks 11 - 14
Points from RBIs
12345678910111213
1 7 13 19 25
Crabs Foo Clintons
Cumulative RBIs
01002003004005006007008009001000
1 7 13 19 25
Crabs Foo Clintons
Foo Adds Ibanez Week 19
Weekly RBIs
01020304050607080
Crabs Foo Clintons
Teixeira Out Weeks 11 - 14
Points from Stolen Bases
12345678910111213
1 7 13 19 25
Crabs Foo Clintons
Cumulative Stolen Bases
020406080100120140
1 7 13 19 25
Crabs Foo Clintons
Weekly Stolen Bases
012345678910111213
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26
Crabs Foo Clintons
Points from WHIP
12345678910111213
1 7 13 19 25
Crabs Foo Clintons
Shields joins Crabs week 13
Cumulative WHIP1.180
1.280
1.380
1.480
1.580
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26
Crabs Foo Clintons
Shields joins Crabs week 13
Weekly WHIP
1.000
1.100
1.2001.300
1.400
1.500
1.6001.700
1.800
1.900
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26
Crabs Foo Clintons
Shields joins Crabs week 13
Points from ERA
12345678910111213
1 7 13 19 25
Crabs Foo Clintons
Shields joins Crabs week 13
Cumulative ERA2.500
3.000
3.500
4.000
4.500
5.000
5.500
6.000
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26
Crabs Foo Clintons
Shields joins Crabs week 13
Weekly ERA1.900
2.900
3.900
4.900
5.900
6.900
7.900
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26
Crabs Foo Clintons
Shields joins Crabs week 13
Points from Saves
12345678910111213
1 7 13 19 25
Crabs Foo Clintons
Foo - Street out 7-17 = 17 lost saves
Nathan joins week 12Jenks joins week 22
Cumulative Saves
010203040506070
1 7 13 19 25
Crabs Foo Clintons
Foo - Street out 7-17 = 17 lost saves
Nathan joins week 12
Jenks joins week 22
Weekly Saves
01234567
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26
Crabs Foo Clintons
Foo - Street out 7-17 = 17 lost Saves
Nathan joins week 12Jenks joins week 22
Points from Wins
12345678910111213
1 7 13 19 25
Crabs Foo ClintonsStarting keepers earn15 wins, 5.061 era, 1.491 whip
Clemmons joins week 11 = 4 wins
Cumulative Wins
0153045607590105120
1 7 13 19 25
Crabs Foo Clintons
Starting keepers earn15 wins, 5.061 era, 1.491 whip
Clemmons joins week 11 = 4 wins
Weekly Wins
0123456789
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26
Crabs Foo Clintons
Clemmons joins week 11 = 4 wins
The 2007 Crabs
Catchers
Player Contract AVG HR RBI SB
Jason Kendall ($6,1,A) .242 3 45 3
Mike Redmond ($1,OP,K) .289 1 32 0
Mike Piazza ($19,1,T) .273 3 11 0
Jamie Burke ($1,1,F) .250 1 2 0
Corner Infielders
Player Contract AVG HR RBI SB
Mark Teixeira ($45,1,A) .306 30 105 0
Alex Rodriguez ($45,1,A) .314 54 156 24
Alex Gordon ($30,1,A) .210 5 16 6
Kevin Millar ($10,1,T) .255 11 40 1
Corner Infielders
Player Contract AVG HR RBI SB
Chris Gomez ($10,1,W) .500 0 0 0
Sean Casey ($10,1,W) .210 0 2 0
Troy Glaus ($27,2,T) .371 3 8 0
Daric Barton ($7,1,F) .349 3 5 0
Middle Infielders
Player Contract AVG HR RBI SB
Dustin Pedroia ($6,2,K) .317 8 50 7
Yuniesky Betancourt ($3,2,K) .289 9 67 5
Julio Lugo ($18,1,A) .237 8 73 33
Juan Uribe ($11,1,A) .211 6 25 1
Outfielders
Player Contract AVG HR RBI SB
Tori Hunter ($26,2,K) .287 28 107 18
Michael Cuddyer ($5,2,K) .296 8 42 2
Cory Patterson ($4,2,K) .213 1 18 13
Jose Guillen ($11,1,A) .295 19 81 3
Outfielders
Player Contract AVG HR RBI SB
Vernon Wells ($28,OP,T) .115 2 5 0
Shannon Stewart ($10,1,W) .302 10 29 4
Marcus Thames ($10,1,T) .225 9 27 1
Jacoby Ellsbury ($5,1,F) .366 2 15 8
Designated Hitters
Player Contract AVG HR RBI SB
David Ortiz ($17,OP,T) .167 2 4 0
Trot Nixon ($15,1,T) .273 0 0 0
Darin Erstad ($12,1,T) .111 0 1 0
Jason Michaels ($10,1,W) .220 1 4 0
Pitchers
Player Contract W SV ERA WHIP
Nate Robertson ($4,2,K) 9 0 4.762 1.475
Brandon McCarthy ($5,2,K) 4 0 5.901 1.570
Odalis Perez ($5,2,K) 2 0 5.287 1.469
Jonathan Papelbon ($10,2,K) 1 37 1.851 0.771
Pitchers
Player Contract W SV ERA WHIP
B. J. Ryan ($12,OP,K) 0 3 12.461 2.538
Fausto Carmona ($5,1,A) 19 0 3.056 1.209
Shaun Marcum ($1,1,A) 12 1 4.132 1.245
Brandon Morrow ($3,1,A) 3 0 3.904 1.724
Pitchers
Player Contract W SV ERA WHIP
Luis Vizcaino ($1,1,A) 2 0 6.353 1.588
Kyle Snyder ($1,1,A) 0 0 3.858 .429
Glen Perkins ($5,1,F) 0 0 3.000 1.286
Matt Thornton ($10,1,W) 1 1 3.649 1.459
Pitchers
Player Contract W SV ERA WHIP
Lenny Dinardo ($1,1,F) 2 0 2.298 1.245
Manny Delcarmen ($1,1,F) 0 1 2.160 1.044
George Sherrill ($10,1,W) 0 0 0.000 0.500
Santiago Cassilla ($1,1,F) 3 2 4.822 1.393
Pitchers
Player Contract W SV ERA WHIP
Kevin Slowey ($25,1,F) 2 0 5.510 1.776
Cha Seung Baek ($5,1,T) 0 0 0.000 0.000
Roger Clemens ($45,1,F) 4 0 4.382 1.342
Jason Hammel ($2,1,F) 1 0 5.400 0.900
Pitchers
Player Contract W SV ERA WHIP
Joe Nathan ($32,OP,T) 1 23 1.488 0.756
James Shields ($10,2,T) 6 0 4.365 1.231
Andrew Brown ($10,1,W) 1 0 7.839 1.839
Bobby Jenks ($10,OP,T) 0 5 2.531 0.938
Pitchers
Player Contract W SV ERA WHIP
Kyle Farnsworth ($1,1,F) 0 0 0.000 0.000
Jeremy Bonderman ($12,OP,W) 0 0 0.000 0.000
Bobby Seay ($1,1,F) 0 0 0 0.818
The 2008 Crabs
Catchers
Player Contract AVG HR RBI SB
Jamie Burke ($1,2)
Corner Infielders
Player Contract AVG HR RBI SB
Alex Rodriguez($45,2)
Daric Barton ($7,2)
Middle Infielders
Player Contract AVG HR RBI SB
Dustin Pedroia ($6,OP)
Yuniesky Betancourt ($3,OP)
Julio Lugo ($18,2)
Outfielders
Player Contract AVG HR RBI SB
Tori Hunter ($26,OP)
Jacoby Ellsbury ($5,2)
Designated Hitters
Player Contract AVG HR RBI SB
Pitchers
Player Contract W SV ERA WHIP
James Shields ($10,OP)
Fausto Carmona ($5,2)
Shaun Marcum ($1,2)
Cha Seung Baek ($5,2)
Pitchers
Player Contract W SV ERA WHIP
Nate Robertson ($4,2)
Manny Delcarmen ($1,2)
Bobby Seay ($1,2)
Jonathan Papelbon ($25,1OF3)
Pitchers
Player Contract W SV ERA WHIP
Lessons Learned
Preparation
• Goals• RotoLab• Plan
• Utilize Rotowire• More Mach-scenarios• Shields• No pitcher > $5• No $1 Slots for O’
Auction
• Arod - $45 Bargain• Carmona• Marcum• Guillen
• Gordon• Urbie• Rios• Accardo• Morrow• Laptop
FAAB / Waivers
• Clemmons Analysis• Ellsbury• Delcarman• Dinardo/Casilla• Stewart• Bonderman
• Embre• Slowey• Rivera• McGowan
Administration
• “Pre-Mondays”• Actually Using CTR
• No Spreadsheet• RotoLab CM• Gave up too Early on
– Avg– ERA, WHIP
• Mondays• Chasing Wins• Erstad > Thames
Trades• Trade #1
– Play Teams Off Each Other
– Baek• Trade #2
– Shields!– Hurts Multiple Teams
• Trade #3– The Gaul to Ask
• Built Relationships
• Blast More Emails• Do Our Own Poles• Gave up too Early on
– Avg– ERA, WHIP
More
• The Last Six Weeks • Pete Explosion – Trade 2
• Pete Explosion– Foo’s in First
Beavers• Posada C (14,OP)• Garko 1B (8,2)• Tejada SS (35,OP)• Blake OF (4,OP)• Cabrera OF (1,2)• Figgins OF (18,2)
• Vazquez SP (15,2)• Benoit RP (2,2)• Betancourt RP (7,OP)
Foo• Martinez C (27,2)• Pena 1B (5,2)• Fields OF (10,2)• Lowell 3B (8,2)• Ordonez OF (17,OP)• Crede 3B (10,OP)
• Halladay SP (38,OP)• Hernandez SP (30,OP)• Matsuzaka SP (28,2)• McGowan SP (10,2)• Neshek RP (4,2)• Putz RP (12,1OF2)• Street RP (13,OP)• Loewen SP (10,OP)
Caesars• Urbie SS (11,2)• Peralta SS (14,2)• G.Anderson OF (10,OP)• Catalanooto OF (2,2)• Sheffield OF (25,2)• Sosa OF (6,2)• Thomas DH (3,OP)
• Rodney RP (2,OP)• Santana SP (45,OP)• Bedard SP (29,2)
Maulers• Laird C (3,OP)• Rodriguez C (13,OP)• Upton 3B (14,2)• Guillen SS (25,2)• Cabrera SS (4,2)• Jeter SS (29,OP)• Gutierrez OF (1,2)• Markakis OF (10,OP)
• RP (2,OP)• SP (45,OP)• SP (29,2)
Trade Analysis – Foo / Skinners– Foo Totals 79 W, 1192.1 INN, 1548 H+BB, 520 ER– Halladay (6/25 – 9/30) 8 W, 135 INN, 171 H+BB, 52 ER– Foo w/out Halladay 71 W, 1057.1 INN, 468 H+BB, 468 ER
– ERA up from 3.925 to 3.983 No impact on standings• Skinners improvement not a factor
– Saves have no change No impact on standings– Wins down from 79 to 71 Possible 2 point flip w/ Crabs (73)
• Skinners pass both Foo and Crabs• So Skinners 68 -> 76 not a factor
– WHIP up from 1.298 to 1.302 No impact on standings
– Foo Totals 227 HR, 994 RBI, 102 SB, 1712 H, 5977 AB– Young (6/25 – 9/30) 5 HR, 46 RBI, 5 SB, 105 H, 315 AB– Foo w/out Young 222 HR, 948 RBI, 97 SB, .284 AVG– Kendrick (6/25 – 9/30) 2 HR, 26 RBI, 2 SB, 61 H, 171 AB– Foo w/out Young + Kendrick 224 HR, 974 RBI, 99 SB, .286 AVG
– AVG .286 to .286 No impact– HR 228 to 224 Possible 2 point flip w/ Crabs (227)– RBIs 994 to 974 No impact– SB 102 to 99 No impact
ToDos
• K’s• Runs• Keeper Lists – all teams• Trade Analysis
2008 Goals
• .285 AVG• 240 HR• 950 RBI• 125 SB
• 950 Runs
• 3.900 ERA• 1.290 Whip• 80 Wins• 35/70 Svs
• 1100 Ks