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The 2007 Stone Crabs BBL Champions
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Crabs 2007 Recap

Jul 12, 2016

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Pete Mousseaux

Analysis of the 2007 year with details regarding offensive and pitching metrics.
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Page 1: Crabs 2007 Recap

The 2007 Stone Crabs

BBL Champions

Page 2: Crabs 2007 Recap
Page 3: Crabs 2007 Recap
Page 4: Crabs 2007 Recap
Page 5: Crabs 2007 Recap
Page 6: Crabs 2007 Recap

The Horse Race

• Comparing the Crabs with the two biggest competitors for 1st place– Senator Clintons (1st half of season)– Foo Dogs (2nd half of season)

Page 7: Crabs 2007 Recap

Weekly Standings

455055606570758085

1 7 13 19 25

Crabs Foo Clintons

Crabs add Nathan / Shieldsweek 12 / 13

Foo adds Ibanez week 19

Foo adds Halladay / Youngweek 13

Carmona / Marcum become starters

weeks 3 / 6

AROD,Hunter,Teixeira

ERA, WHIP, catch up on

Clintons

Papelbon –Closer!

Page 8: Crabs 2007 Recap

Points from Average

12345678910111213

1 7 13 19 25

Crabs Foo Clintons

Page 9: Crabs 2007 Recap

Cumulative Average

0.2300.2400.2500.2600.2700.2800.2900.300

1 7 13 19 25

Crabs Foo Clintons

4/1 – 7/1 AVG

Gordon .215

Urbie .200

Patterson .213

Lugo .193

Kendall .2251st Half 2nd Half

Crab’s Batting Avg. .267 .288

Page 10: Crabs 2007 Recap

Weekly Average

0.2000.2200.2400.2600.2800.3000.3200.3400.360

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26

Crabs Foo Clintons

Page 11: Crabs 2007 Recap

Points from Homeruns

12345678910111213

1 7 13 19 25

Crabs Foo Clintons

Page 12: Crabs 2007 Recap

Cumulative Homeruns

0

50

100

150

200

250

1 7 13 19 25

Crabs Foo Clintons

Foo Adds Ibanez Week 19

Page 13: Crabs 2007 Recap

Weekly Homeruns

024681012141618

Crabs Foo Clintons

Teixeira Out Weeks 11 - 14

Page 14: Crabs 2007 Recap

Points from RBIs

12345678910111213

1 7 13 19 25

Crabs Foo Clintons

Page 15: Crabs 2007 Recap

Cumulative RBIs

01002003004005006007008009001000

1 7 13 19 25

Crabs Foo Clintons

Foo Adds Ibanez Week 19

Page 16: Crabs 2007 Recap

Weekly RBIs

01020304050607080

Crabs Foo Clintons

Teixeira Out Weeks 11 - 14

Page 17: Crabs 2007 Recap

Points from Stolen Bases

12345678910111213

1 7 13 19 25

Crabs Foo Clintons

Page 18: Crabs 2007 Recap

Cumulative Stolen Bases

020406080100120140

1 7 13 19 25

Crabs Foo Clintons

Page 19: Crabs 2007 Recap

Weekly Stolen Bases

012345678910111213

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26

Crabs Foo Clintons

Page 20: Crabs 2007 Recap

Points from WHIP

12345678910111213

1 7 13 19 25

Crabs Foo Clintons

Shields joins Crabs week 13

Page 21: Crabs 2007 Recap

Cumulative WHIP1.180

1.280

1.380

1.480

1.580

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26

Crabs Foo Clintons

Shields joins Crabs week 13

Page 22: Crabs 2007 Recap

Weekly WHIP

1.000

1.100

1.2001.300

1.400

1.500

1.6001.700

1.800

1.900

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26

Crabs Foo Clintons

Shields joins Crabs week 13

Page 23: Crabs 2007 Recap

Points from ERA

12345678910111213

1 7 13 19 25

Crabs Foo Clintons

Shields joins Crabs week 13

Page 24: Crabs 2007 Recap

Cumulative ERA2.500

3.000

3.500

4.000

4.500

5.000

5.500

6.000

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26

Crabs Foo Clintons

Shields joins Crabs week 13

Page 25: Crabs 2007 Recap

Weekly ERA1.900

2.900

3.900

4.900

5.900

6.900

7.900

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26

Crabs Foo Clintons

Shields joins Crabs week 13

Page 26: Crabs 2007 Recap

Points from Saves

12345678910111213

1 7 13 19 25

Crabs Foo Clintons

Foo - Street out 7-17 = 17 lost saves

Nathan joins week 12Jenks joins week 22

Page 27: Crabs 2007 Recap

Cumulative Saves

010203040506070

1 7 13 19 25

Crabs Foo Clintons

Foo - Street out 7-17 = 17 lost saves

Nathan joins week 12

Jenks joins week 22

Page 28: Crabs 2007 Recap

Weekly Saves

01234567

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26

Crabs Foo Clintons

Foo - Street out 7-17 = 17 lost Saves

Nathan joins week 12Jenks joins week 22

Page 29: Crabs 2007 Recap

Points from Wins

12345678910111213

1 7 13 19 25

Crabs Foo ClintonsStarting keepers earn15 wins, 5.061 era, 1.491 whip

Clemmons joins week 11 = 4 wins

Page 30: Crabs 2007 Recap

Cumulative Wins

0153045607590105120

1 7 13 19 25

Crabs Foo Clintons

Starting keepers earn15 wins, 5.061 era, 1.491 whip

Clemmons joins week 11 = 4 wins

Page 31: Crabs 2007 Recap

Weekly Wins

0123456789

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26

Crabs Foo Clintons

Clemmons joins week 11 = 4 wins

Page 32: Crabs 2007 Recap

The 2007 Crabs

Page 33: Crabs 2007 Recap

Catchers

Player Contract AVG HR RBI SB

Jason Kendall ($6,1,A) .242 3 45 3

Mike Redmond ($1,OP,K) .289 1 32 0

Mike Piazza ($19,1,T) .273 3 11 0

Jamie Burke ($1,1,F) .250 1 2 0

Page 34: Crabs 2007 Recap

Corner Infielders

Player Contract AVG HR RBI SB

Mark Teixeira ($45,1,A) .306 30 105 0

Alex Rodriguez ($45,1,A) .314 54 156 24

Alex Gordon ($30,1,A) .210 5 16 6

Kevin Millar ($10,1,T) .255 11 40 1

Page 35: Crabs 2007 Recap

Corner Infielders

Player Contract AVG HR RBI SB

Chris Gomez ($10,1,W) .500 0 0 0

Sean Casey ($10,1,W) .210 0 2 0

Troy Glaus ($27,2,T) .371 3 8 0

Daric Barton ($7,1,F) .349 3 5 0

Page 36: Crabs 2007 Recap

Middle Infielders

Player Contract AVG HR RBI SB

Dustin Pedroia ($6,2,K) .317 8 50 7

Yuniesky Betancourt ($3,2,K) .289 9 67 5

Julio Lugo ($18,1,A) .237 8 73 33

Juan Uribe ($11,1,A) .211 6 25 1

Page 37: Crabs 2007 Recap

Outfielders

Player Contract AVG HR RBI SB

Tori Hunter ($26,2,K) .287 28 107 18

Michael Cuddyer ($5,2,K) .296 8 42 2

Cory Patterson ($4,2,K) .213 1 18 13

Jose Guillen ($11,1,A) .295 19 81 3

Page 38: Crabs 2007 Recap

Outfielders

Player Contract AVG HR RBI SB

Vernon Wells ($28,OP,T) .115 2 5 0

Shannon Stewart ($10,1,W) .302 10 29 4

Marcus Thames ($10,1,T) .225 9 27 1

Jacoby Ellsbury ($5,1,F) .366 2 15 8

Page 39: Crabs 2007 Recap

Designated Hitters

Player Contract AVG HR RBI SB

David Ortiz ($17,OP,T) .167 2 4 0

Trot Nixon ($15,1,T) .273 0 0 0

Darin Erstad ($12,1,T) .111 0 1 0

Jason Michaels ($10,1,W) .220 1 4 0

Page 40: Crabs 2007 Recap

Pitchers

Player Contract W SV ERA WHIP

Nate Robertson ($4,2,K) 9 0 4.762 1.475

Brandon McCarthy ($5,2,K) 4 0 5.901 1.570

Odalis Perez ($5,2,K) 2 0 5.287 1.469

Jonathan Papelbon ($10,2,K) 1 37 1.851 0.771

Page 41: Crabs 2007 Recap

Pitchers

Player Contract W SV ERA WHIP

B. J. Ryan ($12,OP,K) 0 3 12.461 2.538

Fausto Carmona ($5,1,A) 19 0 3.056 1.209

Shaun Marcum ($1,1,A) 12 1 4.132 1.245

Brandon Morrow ($3,1,A) 3 0 3.904 1.724

Page 42: Crabs 2007 Recap

Pitchers

Player Contract W SV ERA WHIP

Luis Vizcaino ($1,1,A) 2 0 6.353 1.588

Kyle Snyder ($1,1,A) 0 0 3.858 .429

Glen Perkins ($5,1,F) 0 0 3.000 1.286

Matt Thornton ($10,1,W) 1 1 3.649 1.459

Page 43: Crabs 2007 Recap

Pitchers

Player Contract W SV ERA WHIP

Lenny Dinardo ($1,1,F) 2 0 2.298 1.245

Manny Delcarmen ($1,1,F) 0 1 2.160 1.044

George Sherrill ($10,1,W) 0 0 0.000 0.500

Santiago Cassilla ($1,1,F) 3 2 4.822 1.393

Page 44: Crabs 2007 Recap

Pitchers

Player Contract W SV ERA WHIP

Kevin Slowey ($25,1,F) 2 0 5.510 1.776

Cha Seung Baek ($5,1,T) 0 0 0.000 0.000

Roger Clemens ($45,1,F) 4 0 4.382 1.342

Jason Hammel ($2,1,F) 1 0 5.400 0.900

Page 45: Crabs 2007 Recap

Pitchers

Player Contract W SV ERA WHIP

Joe Nathan ($32,OP,T) 1 23 1.488 0.756

James Shields ($10,2,T) 6 0 4.365 1.231

Andrew Brown ($10,1,W) 1 0 7.839 1.839

Bobby Jenks ($10,OP,T) 0 5 2.531 0.938

Page 46: Crabs 2007 Recap

Pitchers

Player Contract W SV ERA WHIP

Kyle Farnsworth ($1,1,F) 0 0 0.000 0.000

Jeremy Bonderman ($12,OP,W) 0 0 0.000 0.000

Bobby Seay ($1,1,F) 0 0 0 0.818

Page 47: Crabs 2007 Recap

The 2008 Crabs

Page 48: Crabs 2007 Recap

Catchers

Player Contract AVG HR RBI SB

Jamie Burke ($1,2)

Page 49: Crabs 2007 Recap

Corner Infielders

Player Contract AVG HR RBI SB

Alex Rodriguez($45,2)

Daric Barton ($7,2)

Page 50: Crabs 2007 Recap

Middle Infielders

Player Contract AVG HR RBI SB

Dustin Pedroia ($6,OP)

Yuniesky Betancourt ($3,OP)

Julio Lugo ($18,2)

Page 51: Crabs 2007 Recap

Outfielders

Player Contract AVG HR RBI SB

Tori Hunter ($26,OP)

Jacoby Ellsbury ($5,2)

Page 52: Crabs 2007 Recap

Designated Hitters

Player Contract AVG HR RBI SB

Page 53: Crabs 2007 Recap

Pitchers

Player Contract W SV ERA WHIP

James Shields ($10,OP)

Fausto Carmona ($5,2)

Shaun Marcum ($1,2)

Cha Seung Baek ($5,2)

Page 54: Crabs 2007 Recap

Pitchers

Player Contract W SV ERA WHIP

Nate Robertson ($4,2)

Manny Delcarmen ($1,2)

Bobby Seay ($1,2)

Jonathan Papelbon ($25,1OF3)

Page 55: Crabs 2007 Recap

Pitchers

Player Contract W SV ERA WHIP

Page 56: Crabs 2007 Recap

Lessons Learned

Page 57: Crabs 2007 Recap

Preparation

• Goals• RotoLab• Plan

• Utilize Rotowire• More Mach-scenarios• Shields• No pitcher > $5• No $1 Slots for O’

Page 58: Crabs 2007 Recap

Auction

• Arod - $45 Bargain• Carmona• Marcum• Guillen

• Gordon• Urbie• Rios• Accardo• Morrow• Laptop

Page 59: Crabs 2007 Recap

FAAB / Waivers

• Clemmons Analysis• Ellsbury• Delcarman• Dinardo/Casilla• Stewart• Bonderman

• Embre• Slowey• Rivera• McGowan

Page 60: Crabs 2007 Recap

Administration

• “Pre-Mondays”• Actually Using CTR

• No Spreadsheet• RotoLab CM• Gave up too Early on

– Avg– ERA, WHIP

• Mondays• Chasing Wins• Erstad > Thames

Page 61: Crabs 2007 Recap

Trades• Trade #1

– Play Teams Off Each Other

– Baek• Trade #2

– Shields!– Hurts Multiple Teams

• Trade #3– The Gaul to Ask

• Built Relationships

• Blast More Emails• Do Our Own Poles• Gave up too Early on

– Avg– ERA, WHIP

Page 62: Crabs 2007 Recap

More

• The Last Six Weeks • Pete Explosion – Trade 2

• Pete Explosion– Foo’s in First

Page 63: Crabs 2007 Recap
Page 64: Crabs 2007 Recap

Beavers• Posada C (14,OP)• Garko 1B (8,2)• Tejada SS (35,OP)• Blake OF (4,OP)• Cabrera OF (1,2)• Figgins OF (18,2)

• Vazquez SP (15,2)• Benoit RP (2,2)• Betancourt RP (7,OP)

Page 65: Crabs 2007 Recap

Foo• Martinez C (27,2)• Pena 1B (5,2)• Fields OF (10,2)• Lowell 3B (8,2)• Ordonez OF (17,OP)• Crede 3B (10,OP)

• Halladay SP (38,OP)• Hernandez SP (30,OP)• Matsuzaka SP (28,2)• McGowan SP (10,2)• Neshek RP (4,2)• Putz RP (12,1OF2)• Street RP (13,OP)• Loewen SP (10,OP)

Page 66: Crabs 2007 Recap

Caesars• Urbie SS (11,2)• Peralta SS (14,2)• G.Anderson OF (10,OP)• Catalanooto OF (2,2)• Sheffield OF (25,2)• Sosa OF (6,2)• Thomas DH (3,OP)

• Rodney RP (2,OP)• Santana SP (45,OP)• Bedard SP (29,2)

Page 67: Crabs 2007 Recap

Maulers• Laird C (3,OP)• Rodriguez C (13,OP)• Upton 3B (14,2)• Guillen SS (25,2)• Cabrera SS (4,2)• Jeter SS (29,OP)• Gutierrez OF (1,2)• Markakis OF (10,OP)

• RP (2,OP)• SP (45,OP)• SP (29,2)

Page 68: Crabs 2007 Recap

Trade Analysis – Foo / Skinners– Foo Totals 79 W, 1192.1 INN, 1548 H+BB, 520 ER– Halladay (6/25 – 9/30) 8 W, 135 INN, 171 H+BB, 52 ER– Foo w/out Halladay 71 W, 1057.1 INN, 468 H+BB, 468 ER

– ERA up from 3.925 to 3.983 No impact on standings• Skinners improvement not a factor

– Saves have no change No impact on standings– Wins down from 79 to 71 Possible 2 point flip w/ Crabs (73)

• Skinners pass both Foo and Crabs• So Skinners 68 -> 76 not a factor

– WHIP up from 1.298 to 1.302 No impact on standings

– Foo Totals 227 HR, 994 RBI, 102 SB, 1712 H, 5977 AB– Young (6/25 – 9/30) 5 HR, 46 RBI, 5 SB, 105 H, 315 AB– Foo w/out Young 222 HR, 948 RBI, 97 SB, .284 AVG– Kendrick (6/25 – 9/30) 2 HR, 26 RBI, 2 SB, 61 H, 171 AB– Foo w/out Young + Kendrick 224 HR, 974 RBI, 99 SB, .286 AVG

– AVG .286 to .286 No impact– HR 228 to 224 Possible 2 point flip w/ Crabs (227)– RBIs 994 to 974 No impact– SB 102 to 99 No impact

Page 69: Crabs 2007 Recap

ToDos

• K’s• Runs• Keeper Lists – all teams• Trade Analysis

Page 70: Crabs 2007 Recap

2008 Goals

• .285 AVG• 240 HR• 950 RBI• 125 SB

• 950 Runs

• 3.900 ERA• 1.290 Whip• 80 Wins• 35/70 Svs

• 1100 Ks