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TGS Will Ashby Director, Finance Western Hemisphere & Investor Relations Cowen Ultimate Energy Conference, 02 December 2014
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Cowen Ultimate Energy Conference, 02 ... - blog.tgs.com Reports... · TGS Will Ashby Director, Finance Western Hemisphere & Investor Relations Cowen Ultimate Energy Conference, 02

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Page 1: Cowen Ultimate Energy Conference, 02 ... - blog.tgs.com Reports... · TGS Will Ashby Director, Finance Western Hemisphere & Investor Relations Cowen Ultimate Energy Conference, 02

TGS

Will AshbyDirector, Finance Western Hemisphere & Investor Relations

Cowen Ultimate Energy Conference, 02 December 2014

Page 2: Cowen Ultimate Energy Conference, 02 ... - blog.tgs.com Reports... · TGS Will Ashby Director, Finance Western Hemisphere & Investor Relations Cowen Ultimate Energy Conference, 02

2

All statements in this presentation other than statements of historical fact, areforward-looking statements, which are subject to a number of risks, uncertainties,and assumptions that are difficult to predict and are based upon assumptions as tofuture events that may not prove accurate. These factors include TGS’ reliance ona cyclical industry and principal customers, TGS’ ability to continue to expandmarkets for licensing of data, and TGS’ ability to acquire and process dataproducts at costs commensurate with profitability. Actual results may differmaterially from those expected or projected in the forward-looking statements.TGS undertakes no responsibility or obligation to update or alter forward-lookingstatements for any reason.

Forward-Looking Statements

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This is TGS

Leading and global provider of multi-client seismic data

Traded on Oslo Stock Exchange, in OBX Index (25 most liquid shares at the OSE)

Market Cap: ~$2.5 billion

TGS Main Offices Leading provider of multi-client seismic

data and related geoscientific products to the oil & gas industry

Main offices: Houston and OsloRegional offices: London, Perth, Calgary, Singapore and Rio de Janeiro

Fundamental values: Unmatched Quality and Service, Growth for Stakeholders

Approximately 900 employees

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TGS Competitive Advantage

Asset light business model Flexibility Investment decisions not driven by vessel utilization Vendor neutral philosophy allows access to capacity

and technology as needed

Quality Balance sheet People and culture Data processing Geoscience

Global Geographically diverse data library Leadership in mature basins Leadership in frontier basins

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Diversified Portfolio With Different Characteristics

Return targetsReturn targets

Prefunding requirementsPrefunding

requirements

Project characteristics

Project characteristics

Illustrative IRR / cash profile

Illustrative IRR / cash profile

Characteristics

+ 1.7X 2.0X – 2.5X + 2.5X

70 – 120% 40 – 60% 20 – 40%

• Awarded acreage• Onshore areas • Fewer clients• Farm-ins / relinquishments• Low downside risk

IRR: High

TGS multi-client project portfolio

0 1 2 3 4

Cash Sales

0 1 2 3 4

Cash Sales

0 1 2 3 4

Cash Sales

IRR: High / Medium IRR: Medium

• Mainly open acreage• Regular license rounds• Established multi-client areas• Many clients• Medium risk

• Open acreage• Early stage• Geo knowledge• Many potential clients• Medium / high risk

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0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

ROCE WACC

TGS Performs in all Cycles

Average EBIT margin above 40% - stable EBIT – performance through the cycles

ROCE significantly above WACC – substantial value creation in any industry cycle

*Peer group includes CGG, Geokinetics, ION Geophysical, PGS, Western Geco, Dolphin, Polarcus Source Platou Markets and TGS

EBIT margin vs. Seismic peers Return on Capital Employed

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Financials

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243179

34

118

214 223

66

184

0

50

100

150

200

250

Q42012

Q12013

Q22013

Q32013

Q42013

Q12014

Q22014

Q32014

Cash Flow from Operations

Key Financials

65 56 43 43 44 74 60 51

204

127 155 138218 137 137 130

13

29 12 9

10

11 8 9

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

Q42012

Q12013

Q22013

Q32013

Q42013

Q12014

Q22014

Q32014

Net Revenues

Prefunding Late sales Proprietary

281 211 210 191 271 222 205 190

11889 98

80120

94 82 71

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

020406080

100120140

Q42012

Q12013

Q22013

Q32013

Q42013

Q12014

Q22014

Q32014

EBIT before non-recurring items

EBIT EBIT Margin

95126 110 111

92129 114

93

0100200300400500600700800900

0

25

50

75

100

125

150

Q42012

Q12013

Q22013

Q32013

Q42013

Q12014

Q22014

Q32014

Clo

sing

NB

V

Inve

stm

ent

Multi-client NBV and Investments (operational)

Investment NBV

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9

20% 40%

60%

3 %

18%

63%

18%13%

0%

28%

16%

4% 5% 4% 4%

38%

0% 1% 2%4%

19%

27%

48%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

pre-2010 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 WIP

Net revenues Net book value

Q3 2014 Net Revenues vs. Net Book Value per Vintage

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Investments per Vintage (at end Q3 2014)

299

153

270

381 386

522

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 WIP

Original investments Maximum allowed NBV (year-end) Net Book Value

100%

40%

2%8%

100%

20% 10%

60%

69%

18%

51%

37%

13%0%

0%

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11

837

1318

365

75264

31784160

Assets Equity and Liability

Strong Balance Sheet Backing TGS Strategy

Multi-client Library

Receivables

Cash

Other

Goodwill

Equity

Non-current liabilities

Current liabilities Cash balance per Q3 2014 represents 264 MUSD

Dividend of 145 MUSD paid in June 2014 Strong balance sheet provides excellent

opportunities to continue growth M&A Strong credit quality attracts prefunding Flexibility

No interest bearing debt and strong cash balance

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Strong Cash Generation Supports Dividend Growth

4

5

6

88.5

3.0%3.2%3.4%3.6%3.8%4.0%4.2%4.4%4.6%4.8%5.0%

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013Dividend NOK Dividend yield

* Dividend yield calculated based on share price at day of announcement

In addition to an increased dividend, the Board has authorized a share buy back program of USD 30 million of which approximately USD 20.7 million has been implemented at end of Nov 2014

Dividend and share buy back program represent approximately USD 175 million in cash returns to shareholders NOK 10.3 per share

Dividend per share (NOK) and Dividend Yield* 2014 Dividend Yield vs. OSX Index*

8.07.3

4.9

2.3 2.0 1.8 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.6

0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0

Dia

mon

d O

ffsho

re

Tran

soce

an

TGS

Hel

mer

ich

& P

ayne

Tide

wat

er

Nat

iona

l Oilw

ell V

arco

Oce

anee

ring

Sch

lum

berg

er

Cor

e La

bora

torie

s

Hal

libur

ton

Row

an C

os

Bak

er H

ughe

s

Nab

ors

Indu

strie

s

Cam

eron

Wea

ther

ford

Oil

Sta

tes

Inte

rnat

iona

l

Div

iden

d yi

eld

%

* The OSX Index (PHLX Oil Service Sector Index) is a price weighted index composed of companies involved in the oil services sector.

Page 13: Cowen Ultimate Energy Conference, 02 ... - blog.tgs.com Reports... · TGS Will Ashby Director, Finance Western Hemisphere & Investor Relations Cowen Ultimate Energy Conference, 02

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2014 Operational Highlights

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Geographically Diverse portfolio of 3D Projects2014 3D Acquisition Francisco – 6,700 km2 long-offset, deep

water Gulf of Mexico

Olho de Boi, Brazil – 5,000 km2 in partnership with Dolphin

HFCE14 – 3,100 km2 Hoop Basin

P-CableTM – approx. 500 km2 high resolution in partnership with WGP

Brendan Basin – 2,500 km2 West of Shetland

Erlend Basin – 900 km2 West of Shetland

Nerites – 8,300 km2 Great Australian Bight

Nerites Season 2 - 13,000 km2 Great Australian Bight

Huzzas – 2,100 km2 Barrow sub-basin, Northwest Australia

BR-13 – 2,200 km2 Benin

SL Block 4a Extension – 1,000 km2 Sierra Leone

Diversified portfolio of 3D projects in prolific basins

Panfilo – 11,500 km2 long-offset deep water Gulf of Mexico

Declaration – 6,061 km2 M-WAZ Central Gulf of Mexico

Nessie FAN – 54 blocks full azimuth nodal Gulf of Mexico Shelf

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Active year for 2D Seismic Projects

Phase 47 – 23,026 km deep water Gulf of Mexico

Phase 51 - 28,273 km deep water Gulf of Mexico

NF101 Tail of the Bank - 2,474 km Eastern Canada

Chukchi Sea - 3,626 km

West Greenland - 27,700 km

North Sea Renaissance (NSR) - 10,825 km

Mid Norway (MNR) - 90,350 km

Barents Sea South East - 18,326 km (NPD data)

Madagascar - 20,330 km

Namibia - 10,167 km

Malta - 5,613 km

2014 2D Reprocessing

2014 2D Acquisition Newfoundland Labrador - >30,000 km

partnership with PGS

Snipe Phase 52 - 12,000 km long offset ultra-deep water Gulf of Mexico

NBR14 - 9,300 km long offset extension, eastern Barents Sea

Northeast Greenland - 12,000 km (multi-year)

MS-14 Madagascar - 1,950 km in partnership with BGP

AN-14 and CSM-14, Madagascar - 8,800 km

New Zealand - 17,000 km Reinga, Northland and Taranaki basins

Mexico - Vessels secured for entry into Mexico and U.S. Atlantic (subject to permit)

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2014 Land Acquisition Cheyenne – 1,800 km2 multi-client 3D project in Colorado

focused on liquid plays in Mississippian and Pennsylvanian intervals

Rush Creek – 440 km2 multi-client 3D project in Texas focused on Granite Wash, Hogshooter, Cleveland Sands, Atoka and Tonkawa geological trends. Builds on existing 160 km2 3D survey recently purchased by TGS

Pendryl – 400 km2 multi-client 3D project in Central Alberta focused on emerging Duvernay play

Washout Creek – 65 km2 high density multi-client 3D / 3C project addressing multiple plays in Central Alberta

Waterford –295 km2 multi-client high resolution, wide aperture survey targeting the emerging Utica play and other intervals

Freeport – 1,777 km2 multi-client high resolution, wide aperture survey targeting the emerging Utica play and other intervals

Loyal – 1,526 km2 multi-client survey in the Oklahoma STACK play fairway which includes the prolific Woodford Shale

Kaybob-Bigstone – 722 km2 multi-client survey in West Central Alberta which will expand TGS’ coverage of the emerging Devernay play

TGS Continues to Invest Onshore North America

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TGS applies appropriate technologies to address imaging challenges associated with specific geologies and operating environments

TGS acquires complementary data products to expand and enhance its geoscience data library

Enhancing Value through Technology

Clari-FiTM Data Processing(Images courtesy of TGS)

CSEM(Images courtesy of EMGS / TGS)

P-WaveTM

(Images courtesy of WGP / TGS)Ocean Bottom Nodes

(Images courtesy of Fairfield)

P-Cable High res 3D (Hoop NE) Normal MC3D (Hoop NE)

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Well Log Coverage by Country

TGS owns and manages a global well log database Strong synergies with multi-client seismic data business

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Outlook

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Macro Outlook Near-term uncertainty in exploration spending has been increased by

negative oil price development Likely that energy companies will continue their efforts to reduce capital

expenditures and become more selective when prioritizing investments

EUR Awaiting official announcement of the Norwegian 23rd Licensing Round 2014 season of Greenland 13,000 km multi-year program to complete in Q4

NSA BOEM has commenced process to develop next five year leasing program in

U.S (2017-2022) TGS expanding library in core Central GOM region with Nessie FANTM, Ogo

FANTM, Declaration multi-WAZ, Panfilo 3D and Snipe Phase 52 2D programs Sectors announced for Newfoundland Labrador’s new Scheduled Land

Tender system Vessels secured for entry into Mexico & U.S Atlantic (subject to permit) Onshore investment continues during Q4 and 2015 (including Utica, SCOOP

and Duvernay plays)

AMEAP 13,000 km2 Nerites Season 2 expected to commence Q4 2014 17,000 km 2D multi-client survey in Northwest New Zealand Awaiting further Africa license round announcements

Outlook

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License Round Activity and TGS Positioning

Europe / Russia• Norway APA – awards 1H 2015, next round

2H 2014 (expected)• Norway 23rd Concession – 2H 2015 (bids due)• United Kingdom – 2015 (expected)• Greenland – Three rounds planned 2016-18

Africa, Middle East, Asia Pacific• Madagascar – 2015 (expected)• Sierra Leone – 2015 (expected)• Liberia – Harper Basin 2015 (expected)• Australia – Feb 2015 & Apr 2015 (bids due)• Indonesia – 2015 (expected)

North & South America • Central GOM – Mar 2015 (5-Year Plan)• Western GOM – Aug 2015 (5-Year Plan)• Alaska Offshore - 2016 & 2017 (5-Year Plan)• Newfoundland & Labrador – Scheduled Land Tenure system• Canada Onshore – at least monthly• Brazil - mid-2015 (expected)• Mexico – 2015 (Round 1 phased across 2015)

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Backlog

117 110 124

211242

188143 146

185

281

213 224

134 153 178

260

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

Q42010

Q12011

Q22011

Q32011

Q42011

Q12012

Q22012

Q32012

Q42012

Q12013

Q22013

Q32013

Q42013

Q12014

Q22014

Q32014

Historical Backlog (MUSD) 2010 - 2014

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Capacity Secured for 2014 EURAMEAP

NSA

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov DecCGG AlizeBGP ProspectorSanco SwiftPolar DuchessSanco SwordGeo CaspianGeco EaglePolarcus NailaBergen Surveyor (P-CableTM)

Polarcus AlimaPolarcus AdiraCGG StagSeisTM Crew

AustraliaAustralia

BGP ChallengerGeo ArcticSanco SpiritAtlantic ExplorerAkademik ShatskiyAtlantic Guardian (CSEM)

Polar Prince (Seafloor Sampling)

Juliana (Seafloor Sampling)

Aquila ExplorerOsprey ExplorerColorado Crews 1 & 2Texas CrewCanada CrewCanada Crew 2Ohio CrewOklahoma Crew

Canada PGS JVCanada PGS JV

Gulf of MexicoGulf of Mexico

CheyenneCheyenne

Rush CreekRush Creek

PendrylPendryl

Brazil JVBrazil JV

BeninBenin

AustraliaAustralia

WOCWOC

MadagascarMadagascar

MadagascarMadagascar

NW EuropeNW Europe

JVJV

NW Europe JVNW Europe JV

NW EuropeNW Europe

NW EuropeNW Europe

FreeportFreeportWaterfordWaterford

Canada PGS JVCanada PGS JV

NW Eur EMGS JVNW Eur EMGS JV

Canada JVCanada JV

GreenlandGreenland

NW Eur JVNW Eur JV

JVJV

New ZealandNew Zealand

Gulf of MexicoGulf of Mexico

Sierra LeoneSierra Leone

AusAus

Ogo FANNessie FAN Gulf of Mexico JVGulf of Mexico JV

Gulf of MexicoGulf of Mexico

3D &

WAZ

OB

N2D

& O

ther

Land

Cre

w

Kaybob-BigstoneKaybob-Bigstone

Kaybob-BigstoneKaybob-Bigstone

Gulf of MexicoGulf of Mexico

LoyalLoyal

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Summary

2014 on track with Q3 revenues of 190 MUSD Q3 2014 Operating profit of 71 MUSD, 38% of net revenues Q3 2014 multi-client investments of 93 MUSD (55% prefunding) Strong backlog entering into 2015 Near term uncertainty in exploration spending

Important events expected in 2014 including Norwegian 23rd Exploration Round blocks

Long-term future of asset-light, focused multi-client business remains strong

Guidance for 2014 unchanged: Multi-client investments 390 – 460 MUSD

Average pre-funding 45 – 55%

Average multi-client amortization rate 40 – 46%

Net revenues 870 – 950 MUSD

Contract revenues approximately 5% of total revenues

Page 25: Cowen Ultimate Energy Conference, 02 ... - blog.tgs.com Reports... · TGS Will Ashby Director, Finance Western Hemisphere & Investor Relations Cowen Ultimate Energy Conference, 02

Thank you

©2013 TGS-NOPEC Geophysical Company ASA. All rights reserved.

Will AshbyDirector, Finance Western Hemisphere & Investor Relations