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Countdown to Brexit: 5 potential outcomes and what could happen to sterling As Brexit comes to a head, we take a look at some possible outcomes that may have an impact on the value of the pound. If you are concerned about what the coming months might mean for you, please contact one of our specialists. ChamberIntFX service delivered by Chamber International in partnership with TTT Moneycorp Limited TTT Moneycorp Limited is authorised by the Financial Conduct Authority under the Payment Service Regulations 2017 (reference number 308919) for the provision of payment services. 11-12th December The UK Parliament will vote on PM Theresa May’s deal. The European Parliament will debate and scrutinise the Withdrawal Agreement and vote on a resolution. 29th March 2019 The day the UK is expected to leave the EU. A special summit of the EU27 is expected after the UK formally leaves and enters the "transition" period. 21st December 2020 End of the transition period (assuming a deal is agreed and no extension to the transition period). If a deal has not passed through the European Union and Parliament, the British government is required by law to make a statement within five days on how it intends to proceed. Possible outcomes could include... Deal Second referendum A ‘Leave’ victory may justify a harder Brexit. A ‘Remain’ victory may halt or alter the departure and/or trigger a general election. Campaigns and interim polls may cause further volatility in the pound. General election A pro-Remain party may take power and seek to overturn Brexit. Or a hard-line Brexiteer could take charge with the final departure deal potentially coming into question. No deal The UK will depart the EU with no alternative measures in place. Businesses will face significant barriers to trade, with the Bank of England suggesting Brexit could leave the country worse off than the 2008 financial crisis. Extension Optimism may falter, with the pound's fate tied to Brexit until an agreement is reached. The opportunity to clarify some areas may improve acceptance of the deal.
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Countdown to Brexit: 5 potential outcomes and what could ... Countdown t… · election. Campaigns and interim polls may cause further volatility in the pound. • • • General

Jul 16, 2020

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Page 1: Countdown to Brexit: 5 potential outcomes and what could ... Countdown t… · election. Campaigns and interim polls may cause further volatility in the pound. • • • General

Countdown to Brexit: 5 potential outcomes and what could happen to sterlingAs Brexit comes to a head, we take a look at some possible outcomes that may have an impact on

the value of the pound.

If you are concerned about what the coming months might mean for you, please contact one of our specialists.

ChamberIntFX service delivered by Chamber International in partnership with TTT Moneycorp Limited

TTT Moneycorp Limited is authorised by the Financial Conduct Authority under the Payment Service Regulations 2017 (reference number 308919) for the provision of payment services.

11-12th DecemberThe UK Parliament will vote on PM Theresa May’s deal.

The European Parliament will debate and scrutinise the Withdrawal Agreement and vote on a resolution.

29th March 2019 The day the UK is

expected to leave the EU.

A special summit of the

EU27 is expected after the

UK formally leaves and

enters the "transition"

period.

21st December 2020 End of the transition

period (assuming a deal is

agreed and no extension

to the transition period).

If a deal has not passed through the European Union and Parliament, the British

government is required by law to make a statement within five days on how it intends to

proceed. Possible outcomes could include...

Deal

Second referendumA ‘Leave’ victory may justify a harder

Brexit.

A ‘Remain’ victory may halt or alter the

departure and/or trigger a general

election.

Campaigns and interim polls may

cause further volatility in the pound.

General electionA pro-Remain party may take

power and seek to overturn Brexit.

Or a hard-line Brexiteer could take

charge with the final departure deal

potentially coming into question.

No dealThe UK will depart the EU with no

alternative measures in place.

Businesses will face significant barriers

to trade, with the Bank of England

suggesting Brexit could leave the

country worse off than the 2008

financial crisis.

ExtensionOptimism may falter, with the pound's

fate tied to Brexit until an agreement

is reached.

The opportunity to clarify some areas

may improve acceptance of the deal.