Do You Know Your COST OF CAPITAL?? Harvard Business Review July- August 2012
Jun 14, 2015
Do You Know Your COST OF CAPITAL??
Harvard Business Review July-August 2012
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Cost Of Capital
• Cost of Capital - The return the firm’s investors could expect to earn if they invested in securities or Project with comparable degrees of risk.
• Capital Structure - The firm’s mix of long term financing and equity financing.
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• The cost of capital represents the overall cost of financing to the firm
• The cost of capital is normally the relevant discount rate to use in analyzing an investment
• The overall cost of capital is a weighted average of the various sources:
• WACC = Weighted Average Cost of Capital
• WACC = After-tax cost x weights
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Harvard Business Review
• Choose to Invest massive Amount.
• Corporates strategy & Companies Competitiveness for future.
• Develop Employment & Economy growth.
• Opportunities vary across industries & Companies.
• Fair Evaluation Of financial return.
• Conducted a Survey by Association for Financial Profession.
• Comprising about More then 300 Top Financial Officers assumptions they use in financial model to Quantify investment.
• 80% Use Discounted cash Flow analysis to estimates the values.
• 90% Use CAPM Model to estimate Cost Of equity.
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CAPM MODEL
)( fmf RRβRkj Cost ofcapital Risk-free
return
Average rate of returnon common stocks
(WIG)
Co-varianceof returns against
the portfolio(departure from the
average)B < 1, security is safer than WIG average
B > 1, security is riskier than WIG average
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CAPM APPROACH
Advantage: Evaluates risk, applicable to firms that don’t pay dividends
Disadvantage: Need to estimate
• Beta
• the risk premium (usually based on past data, not future projections)
• use an appropriate risk free rate of interest
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Core Six Questions
• Q 1. What’s Your Forecasting Time Horizon?
• Q 2. What’s Your Cost Of Debt?
• Q 3. What’s Your Risk Free Rate?
• Q 4. What’s the Equity – Market Risk Premium?
• Q 5. What’s Your Beta Period?
• Q 6. What’s Your Debt-to-Equity Ratio?
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5 Yrs.46%
10 Yrs.34%
15 Yrs.
6%
Other14%
Investment Time Horizon
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Current Rate On Outstanding Debt
37%
Forecasted Rate On New Issuance*
34%
Average Historical Rate29%
Cost Of Debt
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Cost Of Debt –The effective rate that a company pays on its debt.
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16%
5%
12%
46%
4%
11%
6%
Risk Free Rate
90 days
52 weeks
5 years
10 years
20 years
30 years
others
Risk Free Rate –The risk-free rate represents the interest an investor would expect from an absolutely risk-free investment over a specified period of time.
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11%
23%
49%
17%
Equity Market Premium
< 3%
3%-4%
5%-6%
7% or >7%
Equity Market Premium -The excess return that an individual stock or the overall stock market provides over a risk-free rate.
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What's your beta period?
29%
13%
15%
41%
2%
Beta Period Or Risk Of Company Stock
1
2
3
5
others
Beta - Sensitivity of a stock’s return to the return on the market portfolio
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CurrentBook Debt
To Equity30%
Targeted Book Debt to Equity28%
Current Market Debt
To Equity23%
Current Book Debt To Current Market Equity
19%
Debt-To-Equity Ratio
Debt-to-equity Ratio-It indicates what proportion of equity and debt the company is using to finance its assets.
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Thank You..