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Copyright-A.S. Cebenoyan- 2002 1 Review of Financial Institutions and Markets Finance 201 and Finance 101 Professor Sinan Cebenoyan Hofstra University
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Copyright-A.S. Cebenoyan-20021 Review of Financial Institutions and Markets Finance 201 and Finance 101 Professor Sinan Cebenoyan Hofstra University.

Dec 21, 2015

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Page 1: Copyright-A.S. Cebenoyan-20021 Review of Financial Institutions and Markets Finance 201 and Finance 101 Professor Sinan Cebenoyan Hofstra University.

Copyright-A.S. Cebenoyan-2002 1

Review of Financial Institutions and Markets

Finance 201 and Finance 101

Professor Sinan Cebenoyan

Hofstra University

Page 2: Copyright-A.S. Cebenoyan-20021 Review of Financial Institutions and Markets Finance 201 and Finance 101 Professor Sinan Cebenoyan Hofstra University.

Copyright-A.S. Cebenoyan-2002 2

US Depository Institutions

• Incentives, always incentives!

• Commercial Banks

Size, Structure, and Composition

Balance Sheet and Trends-Regulation

• Thrifts

S&L’s and Savings Banks

Credit Unions

Page 3: Copyright-A.S. Cebenoyan-20021 Review of Financial Institutions and Markets Finance 201 and Finance 101 Professor Sinan Cebenoyan Hofstra University.

Copyright-A.S. Cebenoyan-2002 3

Commercial Banks

• 1985----->>> 14,416

• 1989----->>> 12,744

• 1994----->>> 10,384

• 1998----->>> around 9,000

• Why? Failures and M&A

• Community, Regional, Super Regional, and Money Center Banks

Page 4: Copyright-A.S. Cebenoyan-20021 Review of Financial Institutions and Markets Finance 201 and Finance 101 Professor Sinan Cebenoyan Hofstra University.

Copyright-A.S. Cebenoyan-2002 4

Commercial Banks continued

• Assets: Business Loans (C and I)

Securities

Mortgages

Consumer Loans

Other (LDC)

Page 5: Copyright-A.S. Cebenoyan-20021 Review of Financial Institutions and Markets Finance 201 and Finance 101 Professor Sinan Cebenoyan Hofstra University.

Copyright-A.S. Cebenoyan-2002 5

Commercial Banks continued

• Liabilities: Deposits

transactions

NOW

Savings and Time

Negotiable CD’s

Borrowings and Other

Page 6: Copyright-A.S. Cebenoyan-20021 Review of Financial Institutions and Markets Finance 201 and Finance 101 Professor Sinan Cebenoyan Hofstra University.

Copyright-A.S. Cebenoyan-2002 6

Commercial Banks continued

• Off-Balance Sheet Activities

Fee-related activities

Letters of Credit

Derivatives

Swaps

Page 7: Copyright-A.S. Cebenoyan-20021 Review of Financial Institutions and Markets Finance 201 and Finance 101 Professor Sinan Cebenoyan Hofstra University.

Copyright-A.S. Cebenoyan-2002 7

Regulation

• FDIC

• COC

• The Fed

Page 8: Copyright-A.S. Cebenoyan-20021 Review of Financial Institutions and Markets Finance 201 and Finance 101 Professor Sinan Cebenoyan Hofstra University.

Copyright-A.S. Cebenoyan-2002 8

Thrifts

• Savings and Loans

Long-term mortgages backed by short-term

savings deposits (helped by the yield curve)

after 1979 different Fed targets:

Disintermediation

Regulation Q

DIDMCA

Regulatory Forbearance

Page 9: Copyright-A.S. Cebenoyan-20021 Review of Financial Institutions and Markets Finance 201 and Finance 101 Professor Sinan Cebenoyan Hofstra University.

Copyright-A.S. Cebenoyan-2002 9

Thrifts continued

• FSLIC in trouble.>>>>FIRREA (1989)

SAIF under FDIC

RTC

strengthen capital requirements

QTL test

Number of S&Ls down sharply

• Balance Sheet and Recent Trends

Page 10: Copyright-A.S. Cebenoyan-20021 Review of Financial Institutions and Markets Finance 201 and Finance 101 Professor Sinan Cebenoyan Hofstra University.

Copyright-A.S. Cebenoyan-2002 10

Thrifts continued

• Savings BanksNew England

mutual to stock

more diversified than S&Ls (assets)

more reliant on deposits >>less borrow

State regulators

Page 11: Copyright-A.S. Cebenoyan-20021 Review of Financial Institutions and Markets Finance 201 and Finance 101 Professor Sinan Cebenoyan Hofstra University.

Copyright-A.S. Cebenoyan-2002 11

Thrifts continued

• Credit Unions65% of assets in small Consumer loans

hold large amount of Government Sec.’s

Residential mortgages very small

lending funded by savings deposits

NCUA and NCUIF

Page 12: Copyright-A.S. Cebenoyan-20021 Review of Financial Institutions and Markets Finance 201 and Finance 101 Professor Sinan Cebenoyan Hofstra University.

Copyright-A.S. Cebenoyan-2002 12

Insurance Companies

• Life Insurance Companiesdeath, illnesses, and retirement

• Property-Casualty Insurancepersonal injury and liability

accidents, theft, fire...

Page 13: Copyright-A.S. Cebenoyan-20021 Review of Financial Institutions and Markets Finance 201 and Finance 101 Professor Sinan Cebenoyan Hofstra University.

Copyright-A.S. Cebenoyan-2002 13

Life Insurance Companies

• Life Insurance

Ordinary Life (Term, Whole, Endowment

Variable, Universal, VariableUniversal) ---- 58%

Group Life --- 40%

Industrial Life ---- 0.2%

Credit Life ------ 2%

Page 14: Copyright-A.S. Cebenoyan-20021 Review of Financial Institutions and Markets Finance 201 and Finance 101 Professor Sinan Cebenoyan Hofstra University.

Copyright-A.S. Cebenoyan-2002 14

• Other Life Insurer Activities

Annuities

Private Pension Funds

Accident and Health Insurance

• Balance Sheet

Assets>>15.9% Gov.Sec., 65% corp. Bonds and stock, 8% mortgs.,

balance policy and other loans

Liabilities>>53% net policy reserves

• Regulation >> McCarran-Ferguson Act ‘45

Page 15: Copyright-A.S. Cebenoyan-20021 Review of Financial Institutions and Markets Finance 201 and Finance 101 Professor Sinan Cebenoyan Hofstra University.

Copyright-A.S. Cebenoyan-2002 15

Property-Casualty Insurance

• PC Insurance

Fire Insurance

Homeowners

Commercial

Marine

Auto liability+ PD, Liability other

Page 16: Copyright-A.S. Cebenoyan-20021 Review of Financial Institutions and Markets Finance 201 and Finance 101 Professor Sinan Cebenoyan Hofstra University.

Copyright-A.S. Cebenoyan-2002 16

• Balance Sheet and Underwriting Risk

Loss Risk >>>Predictability:

Property(more) vs. liability(less predict.)

Severity vs. Frequency

Long tail(claims later) versus short tailLoss ratio (Losses/Premiums)

Page 17: Copyright-A.S. Cebenoyan-20021 Review of Financial Institutions and Markets Finance 201 and Finance 101 Professor Sinan Cebenoyan Hofstra University.

Copyright-A.S. Cebenoyan-2002 17

Other Financial Institutions

• Securities Firms and Investment Banks

• Finance Companies

• Mutual Funds

Page 18: Copyright-A.S. Cebenoyan-20021 Review of Financial Institutions and Markets Finance 201 and Finance 101 Professor Sinan Cebenoyan Hofstra University.

Copyright-A.S. Cebenoyan-2002 18

Securities Firms and Investment Banks

• Size, Structure, + Composition of IndustryNumber of firms

Sizes >>>Merrill Lynch to regionals

Activities: Investing, Investment Banking (IPO, PP)

Market Making, Trading (Position Trading,

Pure Arbitrage, Risk Arbitrage, Program

Trading), Back-Office and Other

Page 19: Copyright-A.S. Cebenoyan-20021 Review of Financial Institutions and Markets Finance 201 and Finance 101 Professor Sinan Cebenoyan Hofstra University.

Copyright-A.S. Cebenoyan-2002 19

• Balance Sheet and Recent TrendsCommissions down after crashes, but up mostly in the 90’s. Underwriting and Holdings of Fixed income securities >>> Risk implications

Assets: Long Positions in Securities and Commodities (26%) and Reverse

repurchase agreements (35%).

Liabilities: Repurchase agreements (47%)

securities and comm. sold short +loans+equity

• Regulation: SEC, NYSE, NASD

Page 20: Copyright-A.S. Cebenoyan-20021 Review of Financial Institutions and Markets Finance 201 and Finance 101 Professor Sinan Cebenoyan Hofstra University.

Copyright-A.S. Cebenoyan-2002 20

Finance Companies

• 2 Major Types:

1) Installment (auto) loans to consumers

2) Consumer+corporate loans, Factoring

• Commercial Paper used in Financing

• No Deposits -->>> Not much regulation

Page 21: Copyright-A.S. Cebenoyan-20021 Review of Financial Institutions and Markets Finance 201 and Finance 101 Professor Sinan Cebenoyan Hofstra University.

Copyright-A.S. Cebenoyan-2002 21

Mutual Funds

• Diversification

• Lower Transaction Costs

• First in Boston, 1924,

360 in 1970

about 8,000 today

Page 22: Copyright-A.S. Cebenoyan-20021 Review of Financial Institutions and Markets Finance 201 and Finance 101 Professor Sinan Cebenoyan Hofstra University.

Copyright-A.S. Cebenoyan-2002 22

Mutual Funds continued

• Short-term fundsTaxable or tax-exempt

Money market mutual funds

• Long Term FundsBond, income, and equity funds

Returns: income and dividends,

capital gains when sold, capital

appreciationMarked-to-Market daily

NAV

open versus closed-end

• REITs

• Balance Sheets:• MMMF 75% in short

term securities (foreign and domestic deposits, RP’s, CP, US gov.secs)

• Long term Funds 63% in stocks, US Treasuries and muni. bonds 23%.

• Regulated by the SEC, and States.

Page 23: Copyright-A.S. Cebenoyan-20021 Review of Financial Institutions and Markets Finance 201 and Finance 101 Professor Sinan Cebenoyan Hofstra University.

Copyright-A.S. Cebenoyan-2002 23

Overview of the Federal Reserve System

• Today, Fed’s duties are:• Conducting the nation’s monetary policy…in

pursuit of full employment and stable prices

• Supervising and regulating Financial Inst.s…safety and soundness…credit rights of consumers

• Maintaining the stability of the fin’l system ...containing systemic risk

• Providing certain fin’l services…major role in operating the nation’s payment system

Page 24: Copyright-A.S. Cebenoyan-20021 Review of Financial Institutions and Markets Finance 201 and Finance 101 Professor Sinan Cebenoyan Hofstra University.

Copyright-A.S. Cebenoyan-2002 24

Background• History of failures.

• December 23, 1913 Wilson signs into law the Federal Reserve Act

• To provide for the establishment of Federal Reserve Banks, to furnish an elastic currency,…,effective supervision…

• Other Acts followed to fill in other needs

Structure of the System•Board of Governors, Washington, D.C.

•12 Regional Federal Reserve Banks

•Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC)

•Board + President of NY Fed+ 4 rotating other presidents

Page 25: Copyright-A.S. Cebenoyan-20021 Review of Financial Institutions and Markets Finance 201 and Finance 101 Professor Sinan Cebenoyan Hofstra University.

Copyright-A.S. Cebenoyan-2002 25

Three Major Tools Fed uses to conduct Monetary policy:

•Open Market Operations - FOMC

•Reserve Requirements - Board has sole authority

•The Discount Rate - Board approves any change by a Fed bank

Banking Supervision

•shared with OCC + FDIC

•All member banks + BHCs + Foreign activities of member banks, US activities of foreign banks, Edge Act corporations

Page 26: Copyright-A.S. Cebenoyan-20021 Review of Financial Institutions and Markets Finance 201 and Finance 101 Professor Sinan Cebenoyan Hofstra University.

Copyright-A.S. Cebenoyan-2002 26

Federal Reserve Banks•12 regional feds with 25 branches: Operate the nationwide payments system, distribute the nation’s currency and coin, supervise, regulate member banks and BHCs, and serve as Banker to the US Treasury.

Page 27: Copyright-A.S. Cebenoyan-20021 Review of Financial Institutions and Markets Finance 201 and Finance 101 Professor Sinan Cebenoyan Hofstra University.

Copyright-A.S. Cebenoyan-2002 27

Why are Financial Intermediaries Special?

• Flow of Funds in a world without FI’s

Householdsnet savers

Corporationsnet borrowers

Cash

Equity and debt claims

•Monitoring costs (covenants)

•Liquidity

•Price Risk

Page 28: Copyright-A.S. Cebenoyan-20021 Review of Financial Institutions and Markets Finance 201 and Finance 101 Professor Sinan Cebenoyan Hofstra University.

Copyright-A.S. Cebenoyan-2002 28

• Flow of funds in a world with FI’s

HouseholdsFI

(brokers)

-----------FI

(asset-transformers)

Corporations

Cash

Deposits and insurance policies

Cash

Equity + Debt

… …

•Brokerage Function reduce transaction costs, imperfections etc..

•Asset transformer: purchase Primary Securities and sell deposits, insurance policies,etc.(Secondary securities)

Page 29: Copyright-A.S. Cebenoyan-20021 Review of Financial Institutions and Markets Finance 201 and Finance 101 Professor Sinan Cebenoyan Hofstra University.

Copyright-A.S. Cebenoyan-2002 29

• Information Costs

FI does the monitoring to reduce agency costs

hence a delegated monitor

economies of scale

frequent monitoring in Bank Loans allows the FI to gather information constantly (insider?)

Reduction of imperfections and information asymmetries

• Liquidity and price risk

Through diversification, FI’s offer highly liquid and

low price -risk contracts on the liability side of their

B/S while investing in relatively illiquid and higher

price-risk securities of corporations on the asset side.

Page 30: Copyright-A.S. Cebenoyan-20021 Review of Financial Institutions and Markets Finance 201 and Finance 101 Professor Sinan Cebenoyan Hofstra University.

Copyright-A.S. Cebenoyan-2002 30

• Reduced Transaction Costs

Bulk asset purchases reduce costs (mutual funds and pension funds)

Bid-ask spreads are lower in large quantity purchases

• Maturity Intermediation

Other Aspects• Transmission of Monetary Policy• Credit Allocation (residential mortgages, farming loans…)

• Intergenerational Wealth Transfers (Time Intermediation)

• Payment Services

check clearing and wire transfers

Page 31: Copyright-A.S. Cebenoyan-20021 Review of Financial Institutions and Markets Finance 201 and Finance 101 Professor Sinan Cebenoyan Hofstra University.

Copyright-A.S. Cebenoyan-2002 31

Risks of Financial Intermediation• Interest Rate Risk: The risk incurred by an FI when the

maturity of its assets and liabilities are mismatched.

0 Liabilities 1

0 1 2

Assets

Suppose the cost of Funds (liabilities) is 9 %, and interest return on

assets is 10%. Profit spread of 1%. But there is Refinancing Risk -The Risk that the cost of rolling over or reborrowing funds will rise above the returns being earned on asset investments.

Page 32: Copyright-A.S. Cebenoyan-20021 Review of Financial Institutions and Markets Finance 201 and Finance 101 Professor Sinan Cebenoyan Hofstra University.

Copyright-A.S. Cebenoyan-2002 32

• Reinvestment Risk - The risk that the returns on funds to be reinvested will fall below the cost of funds

01

2 Liabilities

0 1 Assets

FI borrows at 9%, and invests in an asset yielding 10%. But at what rate will reinvestment take place?

Market Value Risk: As interest rates rise market value of assets or liabilities will fall. Moreover, mismatching maturities by holding longer term assets than liabilities implies when rates rise asset MVs fall more than liabilities. This could lead to economic loss and insolvency.

Page 33: Copyright-A.S. Cebenoyan-20021 Review of Financial Institutions and Markets Finance 201 and Finance 101 Professor Sinan Cebenoyan Hofstra University.

Copyright-A.S. Cebenoyan-2002 33

• Market Risk - The Risk incurred in the trading of assets and liabilities due to changes in interest rates, exchange rates, and other asset prices.

– Barings Bank lost $1.2 billion on its trading position (buying Futures on the Nikkei index and betting the index would rise)

• Credit Risk - The risk that the promised cash flows from loans and securities held by FIs may not be paid in full.

Virtually, all types of FIs face this risk. However, those that make loans or buy bonds with long-maturities are more exposed (banks, thrifts, and life insurance co.s). Default of a borrower puts both the principal and the interest payments at risk. – Diversification helps. Firm Specific Credit Risk is reduced, while

the FI is still exposed to Systematic Credit Risk

Page 34: Copyright-A.S. Cebenoyan-20021 Review of Financial Institutions and Markets Finance 201 and Finance 101 Professor Sinan Cebenoyan Hofstra University.

Copyright-A.S. Cebenoyan-2002 34

• Off-Balance-Sheet Risk - The Risk incurred by an FI due to activities related to contingent assets. While all FIs, to some extent, engage in Off-Balance-Sheet activities, mostly larger banks have drawn attention.– For example: A letter of Credit which is a guaranty issued by an FI

for a fee (makes it attractive) on which payment is contingent on the default of the agent that purchases the letter of credit. Nothing appears on the B/S but the fee appears on the income statement.

• Technology and Operational Risk– Purpose of technology is to lower operating costs, increase profits

and capture new markets for the FI.– Economies of Scale: The degree to which an FI’s average unit costs

of producing financial services fall as its output of services increase– Economies of Scope:The degree to which an FI can generate cost

synergies by producing multiple financial service products.– Technology Risk occurs when technological investments do not

produce the anticipated cost savings.

Page 35: Copyright-A.S. Cebenoyan-20021 Review of Financial Institutions and Markets Finance 201 and Finance 101 Professor Sinan Cebenoyan Hofstra University.

Copyright-A.S. Cebenoyan-2002 35

- Operational Risk : The risk that existing technology or support systems may malfunction or break down.

•Foreign Exchange Risk: The risk that exchange rate changes can affect the value of an FI’s assets and liabilities located abroad. If a U.S. FI is net long in foreign currency denominated assets, any depreciation of the foreign currency against the US dollar would lead to a loss for the U.S. FI . If a net short position prevails, then an appreciation of the foreign currency would lead to a loss.

- Even if we match the amounts of the assets and liabilities, we would still not be fully hedged if we have exposure to foreign interest rate risk from a maturity mismatch (simple maturity matching does not lead to a good hedge either, we need to match durations, but more on that later).

•Country or Sovereign Risk: The risk that repayments from foreign borrowers may be interrupted because of interference from foreign governments.

•Liquidity Risk : The risk that a sudden surge in liability withdrawals may leave an FI in a position of having to liquidate assets in a very short period of time and at low prices. ( Fire-Sale ) (RUNRUN!)

•Insolvency Risk: Not having enough capital to offset a decline in asset values.