Copyright © 2015, Oracle and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. | The Present and Future Role of Biomarkers in Clinical Development A Partnership Journey towards Precision Medicine Presented by Sponsored by
Dec 13, 2015
Copyright © 2015, Oracle and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. |
The Present and Future Role ofBiomarkers in Clinical DevelopmentA Partnership Journey towards Precision Medicine
Presented by
Sponsored by
Copyright © 2015, Oracle and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. |Oracle Confidential – Internal/Restricted/Highly Restricted 2
Welcome & IntroductionsModerators
• Robert A. Lindberg, PhD, RAC Senior Director, Technology Transfer and Entrepreneur Programs
• MaryAnne Rizk, PhD Global VP, CRO Business Partnerships & Alliances, Oracle Health Sciences
Speakers
• Jeffrey Shuster, PhD - General Manager at the Biomarker Factory
• Thomas Turi, PhD - Vice President of Science & Technology for Covance Central Laboratory Services
• Thomas Povsic, M.D., PhD - Associate Professor of Medicine at Duke University Medical Center
• James Streeter – Global Vice President, Life Science Strategy
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The Present and Future Role ofBiomarkers in Clinical Development
• Importance of Biomarkers in Clinical Trials and Precision Medicine– Cost to Develop New Pharmaceutical Drug Now Exceeds $2.5B– Fit-for-Purpose: How Biomarkers Can Be Leveraged to Improve Return on Investment
(ROI) in Drug Development
• Getting Precise on Precision Medicine– Patient Stratification
• The Collaboration & Partnership Journey– Innovation Solutions to accelerate Drug Development– Leveraging CROs and Sponsor Engagement Strategies
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Cost of drug development has increased in recent years
According to PhRMA1:
• –In 1970, the average cost to develop a drug (including failures) was $140M
• –In late 1990s, the cost was $800M
• –In early 2000s, cost was $1.2B • 10-15 years from discovery to the marketplace
According to a 2013 article in FORBES2:
• –The cost to develop a drug is as high as $5B
1 http://www.phrma.org/sites/default/files/pdf/PhRMA%20Profile%202013.pdf
2 http://www.forbes.com/sites/matthewherper/2013/08/11/how-the-staggering-cost-of-inventing-new-drugs-is-shaping-the-future-of-medicine/
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Why is the cost of drug development going up? High failure rate – 5,000 to 10,000 compounds enter the pipeline for every 1 FDA-approved medicine1 – Even medicines that reach clinical trials have only a 16% chance of being approved. 2
Clinical trials are becoming more complex, less likely to succeed.
• Personalized medicine and accompanying diagnostics development
• more procedures, more data, more numerous and complex eligibility criteria for enrollment, longer study duration. 3
Difficulty recruiting volunteers extends the original timeline of phase 2 to 4 trials by nearly double on average across all therapeutic areas.4– 1 http://www.phrma.org/sites/default/files/pdf/PhRMA%20Profile%202013.pdf
– 2 Tufts Center for the Study of Drug Development. “Large Pharma Success Rate for Drugs Entering Clinical Trials in 1993–2004: 16%.”
– Impact Report 2009; 11(4
– 3 K.A. Getz, R.A. Campo, and K.I. Kaitin. “Variability in Protocol Design Complexity by Phase and Therapeutic Area.” Drug Information Journal 2011; 45(4): 413–420.
– 4 Tufts Center for the Study of Drug Development. “89% of Trials Meet Enrollment, but Timelines Slip, Half of Sites Under-Enroll.” Impact Report 2013; 15(1).
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Reduced profits after approval
• Fierce competition reduces revenue after approval
• After FDA approval, the average effective patent life of a brand name medicine is about 12 years
• Only 2 of every 10 brand name medicines earn sufficient revenues to recoup average R&D costs
1 H.G. Grabowski, et al. “Evolving Brand-name and Generic Drug Competition may Warrant a Revision of the Hatch-Waxman Act.” Health Affairs 2011; 30(11): 2157–2166. 2 J.A. Vernon, J.H. Golec, and J.A. DiMasi. “Drug Development Costs When Financial Risk is Measured Using the Fama-French Three-factor Model.” Health Economics 2009; 19(8): 1002–1005.
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How can use of biomarkers increase ROI?
• “Biomarker” = a laboratory measurement that reflects the activity of a disease process1
• Quantitatively correlates with disease progression.
• Examples include: – Blood pressure – Cholesterol – Fasting glucose – Positron emission tomography (PET)
• –Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)
1 Russell Katz, Biomarkers and Surrogate Markers: An FDA Perspective, NeuroRx, Apr 2004; 1(2): 189–195. doi: 10.1602/neurorx.1.2.189
Importance of Biomarkers in Clinical Trials and Precision Medicine
Jeffrey Shuster, [email protected]
Bringing Biomarkers to Clinical Practice
Translational Medicine in Diagnostics
A diagnostic is of use if it changes clinical practice.
Biomarkers in Clinical PracticeUtilities of Biomarkers
Disease diagnosis Prognosis, for selection of treatment Predictive, for optimizing therapy Companion diagnostics
Specimen obtainment and assay technology must be suitable for use in clinical practice
Studies must identify and validate
biomarkers in clinical materials
Areas of Interest for Biomarkers
Chronic disease
Cardiovascular Diabetes Mental health Cancer Arthritis Autoimmune diseases
Acute illness Cardiovascular events Infectious disease Cancer Toxicology Trauma
Health Nutrition Aging Microbiomes Immune system
functions Performance training
Translational Medicine in Diagnostics
Biomarker Study Components
1. Clinical need
What is the medical need for a new test over and above current clinical practice?
2. Patient population to be tested
What patient criteria will a physician use to order the test?
3. Actionable in clinical practice
Based on the test result, what will the physician do differently than he/she does today?
4. Number of patients
How many patients are estimated to be tested and how often?
Four Questions
Bringing Biomarkers to Clinical Practice
A diagnostic is of use if it changes clinical practice.
A focus on the utility of the biomarker Diagnostic, prognostic, predictive, or companion Screening in the general population Screening in at risk populations Diagnosis in symptomatic patients
One biomarker may have more than one utility and can be used in multiple tests and
product lines.
Patient stratification to prescribe drug treatment Drug efficacy Drug side effects/toxicity
Example - Focus on the utility of the biomarkerProstate-Specific Antigen (PSA) Biomarker for Prostate Cancer
1979: Discovery of PSA (Wang et al., Invest. Urol. 17:159-63)
1980: PSA levels in serum as a biomarker of prostate cancer (Kuriyama et al., Cancer Res. 40:4658-62)
1986: FDA approval for PSA test as a monitoring test for patients already diagnosed with prostate cancer
1994: FDA approval for PSA test (with DRE) as a screening test for prostate cancer in asymptomatic men
Experimental Design
Have the right specimens, and have enough of them
Pre-define the target patient population
Do not settle for samples of convenience
o You cannot make a good test with bad specimens
In translational work, very careful attention to detail is necessary in
sourcing specimens
Make sure you understand all possible confounding variables
Understand the possible limitations of retrospective studies
Quality assurance for all samples in experimental design
Understand potential regulatory affairs issues up front
Example - Experimental Design
Biomarkers for Early Detection of Ovarian Cancer
Study 1 100.0 95.0
Study 2 86.5 93.0
Study 3 95.3 99.4
Study 4 74.0 97.0
Reported Reported SensitivitySpecificity
Discovery Experimental Design, Case-control,Cancer vs. non-cancer*
Attention to detail is necessary in sourcing specimens
Test Utility for Early Detection,≤ 12 months before Diagnosis**
CA125 64.6 95.0
Panel A 32.8 95.0
Panel B 64.6 95.0
Panel C 25.4 95.0
Panel D 52.3 95.0
at 95%Specificity
Sensitivity
**ref. Cancer Prev Res 2011;4 (3)*1. Petricoin et al., Lancet. 2002, 359(9306):572-7 2. Gorelik et al., Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev. 2005, 14(4):981-7 3. Visintin et al., Clin Cancer Res. 2008, 14(4):1065-72 4. Zhang et al. Cancer Res. 2004, 64(16):5882-90
Consider Design Options Early
Enlist biostatisticians throughout the discovery phase
Plan biomarker discovery as close to clinical specimens as possible
If the test will need clinical parameters
Include the clinical parameters in the discovery phase Does the new test out-perform current state of care
Sensitivity, specificity, PPV, NPV
ROC analysis, area under the curve
Calibration, reclassification
Costs of false positive and false negative results
Test Performance
Test performance requirements are based on the medical need.
What is the consequence of a false positive test ? Of a false negative?
Positive NegativeGold Standard
Nega
tive
Pos
itive
Test
Res
ult TP
FN
FP
TN
Sensitivity = TP / (TP+FN)
Specificity = TN / (TN+FP)
PPV = TP / (TP+FP)
NPV = TN / (TN+FN)
Rule In test [high specificity]
Rule Out test [high sensitivity]
Sensitivity, Specificity, andPositive and Negative Predictive Values
If the test has
95% sensitivity
95% specificity
it looks like this:
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
0.40
0.45
0.50
0.55
0.60
0.65
0.70
0.75
0.80
0.85
0.90
0.95
1.00
0% 5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
55%
60%
65%
70%
75%
80%
85%
90%
95%
100%
Prevalence
PPV -NPV
PPV NPV
Positive Predictive Value
= 0.70
Diabetes screening in patients > 20 years of age
0.00
0.10
0.20
0.30
0.40
0.50
0.60
0.70
0.80
0.90
1.00
1.10
1.20
0.00
01
0.00
10
0.01
00
PPV NPV
or like this:
Positive Predictive Value
= 0.004
Ovarian cancer screening in asymtomatic women age 50
Biomarkers in Clinical Trials
A Few Preliminary Questions on theUse of Biomarkers in Clinical Trials
At what stage of your clinical trial would you use a biomarker? Would you use a non-validated biomarker in a clinical trial? Would you not use a validated biomarker in a clinical trial?
Clinical Trials with Biomarkers
Year first received Trials with "biomarker" TrialsPercent with "biomarker"
2015 (to June 30, 2015) 1035 11598 8.9%2014 2100 23270 9.0%2013 1835 20444 9.0%2012 1685 19639 8.6%2011 1616 18228 8.9%2010 1625 17736 9.2%2009 1618 17156 9.4%2008 1341 17020 7.9%2007 1092 13397 8.2%2006 860 10932 7.9%2005 795 12907 6.2%2004 178 1797 9.9%2003 124 1664 7.5%2002 115 1589 7.2%2001 96 1349 7.1%2000 91 1986 4.6%
In 2005, the International Committee of Medical Journal Editors (ICMJE) began to require trial registration as a condition of publication.
Some metrics
(data from clinicaltrials.gov, 08/07/2015)
Biomarkers in Clinical TrialsIntegral, Integrated, or Exploratory
Integral: Required for trial to proceedPatient inclusion/exclusion criteria
Assignment to specific trial arm
Continue/discontinue treatment
IntegratedValidation of biomarker to be used in future trials
Experimental design and statistical analysis pre-specified
ExploratoryBiomarker discovery/ mechanistic studies/ hypothesis generation
Which Biomarker Technology?
Gene-by-gene Genome sequencingGene panels
Film image Digital image analysisDigital imaging
Western blot Mass SpectrometryELISA
Microarray RNA-seqRT-qPCR
IHCH&E FISH
Provides Best and Economic Use and
Suitable with Regulatory Requirements
and...
Biomarkers in Clinical TrialsUse of Analytically Validated
AssaysAccuracy and Precision
Sample obtainment and processing
Defined and obtainable standards
Qualified reagents
Analytical sensitivity
Analytical specificity
Stability
Example: Biomarkers in Clinical Trials
Use of Analytically Validated AssaysValidation of a multiplex assay for simultaneous
quantification of amyloid-β peptide species in human plasma with utility for measurements in studies of Alzheimer's disease therapeuticsLachno et al., J Alzheimers Dis. 2012;32(4):905-18Abstract. The aim of this study was to validate the INNO-BIA plasma amyloid-β (Aβ) forms assay for quantification of Aβ1-40 and Aβ1-42 according to regulatory guidance for bioanalysis and demonstrate its fitness for clinical trial applications. Validation parameters were evaluated by repeated testing of human
EDTA-plasma pools. In 6 separate estimates, intra-assay coefficients of variation (CV) for repeated testing of 5 plasma pools were≤9% and relative error (RE) varied between –35% and +22%.
Inter-assay CV (n = 36) ranged from 5% to 17% and RE varied from –17% to +8%. Dilutional linearity was not demonstrated for either analyte using diluent buffer, but dilution with immuno-
depleted plasma by 1.67-fold gave results within 20% of target. Analyte stability was
demonstrated in plasma at 2–8◦C for up to 6 h. Stability during frozen storage up to 12 months and through 3 freeze-thaw cycles at ≤–70◦C was also demonstrated in 5 of 6 individuals but deteriorated thereafter. Neither semagacestat nor LY2811376 interfered with the assay but solanezumab
at 500 mg/L reduced recovery of Aβ1-42 by 53%. Specimens from a Phase I human volunteer study of the β-secretase inhibitor LY2811376 were tested at baseline and at intervals up to 12 h after single oral doses, demonstrating a clear treatment effect. During 1,041 clinical assay runs from semagacestat
studies over 10 months, the CV for plasma quality control pools at three levels were≤15% and RE were <10%. In conclusion, the INNO-BIA plasma assay was successfully validated and qualified for use in clinical research.
Abstract. The aim of this study was to validate the INNO-BIA plasma amyloid-β (Aβ) forms assay for quantification of Aβ1-40 and Aβ1-42 according to regulatory guidance for bioanalysis and demonstrate its fitness for clinical trial applications. Validation parameters were evaluated by repeated testing of human EDTA-plasma pools. In 6 separate estimates, intra-assay coefficients of variation (CV) for repeated testing of 5 plasma pools were≤9% and relative error (RE) varied between –35% and +22%. Inter-assay CV (n = 36) ranged from 5% to 17% and RE varied from –17% to +8%. Dilutional linearity was not demonstrated for either analyte using diluent buffer, but dilution with immuno-depleted plasma by 1.67-fold gave results within 20% of target. Analyte stability was demonstrated in plasma at 2–8◦C for up to 6 h. Stability during frozen storage up to 12 months and through 3 freeze-thaw cycles at ≤–70◦C was also demonstrated in 5 of 6 individuals but deteriorated thereafter. Neither semagacestat nor LY2811376 interfered with the assay but solanezumab at 500 mg/L reduced recovery of Aβ1-42 by 53%. Specimens from a Phase I human volunteer study of the β-secretase inhibitor LY2811376 were tested at baseline and at intervals up to 12 h after single oral doses, demonstrating a clear treatment effect. During 1,041 clinical assay runs from semagacestat studies over 10 months, the CV for plasma quality control pools at three levels were≤15% and RE were <10%. In conclusion, the INNO-BIA plasma assay was successfully validated and qualified for use in clinical research.
BRAF V600E mutation in melanoma Vemurafinib and Dabrafenib
Example: Integral Biomarkers in Oncology
Clinical Trials
Example: Integral Biomarkers in Oncology Clinical Trials
Phase 1 - NCT00405587, Solid TumorsPaired melanoma biopsies must have a V600E+ BRAF mutation
Phase 2 - NCT00949702, MelanomaBRAF V600E positive mutation (by Roche CoDx BRAF mutation assay)
Phase 3 - NCT01006980, Melanomapositive for BRAF V600E mutation
Phase 4 - NCT01307397: MelanomaBRAF V600 mutation determined by Cobas 4800 BRAF Mutation Test
Vemurafenib Dabrafenib
Phase 1 - NCT01262963, Solid TumorsBRAF mutation-positive tumor (V600 E/K mutation) as determined via relevant genetic testing
Phase 2 - NCT01153763, MelanomaBRAF mutation-positive (V600 E/K) as determined via central testing with a BRAF mutation assay
Phase 2 -NCT01336634, Lung Cancer.BRAF V600E mutation confirmed in a CLIA-certified laboratory (or equivalent)
Phase 3 - NCT01584648, MelanomaBRAF V600E/K mutation-positive using the bioMerieux (bMx) investigational use only (IUO) THxID BRAF Assay (IDE: G120011).
A Few Additional Questions
If a biomarker result is required for use of a drug and
If biomarker positive patients respond to a drug, and
If biomarker negative patients are harmed by a drug
What is the consequence of a false positive test ? Of a false negative?
PD-1 Antibodies in Oncology
Example: Integral and Integrated Biomarkers in Immuno-oncology Clinical
Trials
Pembrolizumab and Nivolumab
Example: Integral and Integrated Biomarkers in Immuno-oncology Clinical Trials
*from Garon et al., Pembrolizumab for the treatment of non-small-cell lung cancerN Engl J Med. 2015 May 21;372(21):2018-28.
Biomarker
Response
Pembrolizumab in lung cancer*
Example: Integral and Integrated Biomarkers in Immuno-oncology Clinical Trials
Biomarker / Response
*from Robert et. al., Nivolumab in Previously Untreated Melanoma without BRAF MutationN Engl J Med. 2015 Jan 22;372(4):320-30
Nivolumab in melanoma*
"In the subgroup with positive PD-L1 status,
the objective response rate was 52.7%
(95% CI, 40.8 to 64.3) in the nivolumab group"
"In the subgroup with negative or indeterminate PD-L1 status,
the objective response rate was 33.1%
(95% CI, 25.2 to 41.7) in the nivolumab group"
Immuno-oncologyPD-1 Antibodies
Questions for consideration:
If 40-50% of biomarker positive patients respond to a drug, and
If 10-20% of biomarker negative patients respond to a drug,
How would this test be useful in future clinical trials?
In clinical practice?
What is the consequence of a false positive/negative test ?
Biomarkers in Alzheimer's Disease
Example: Alzheimer's Disease Integral and Integrated Biomarkers
in Clinical Trials
Phase 3 - NCT00905372: Progression of Alzheimer's DiseaseChange from baseline to endpoint in plasma A Beta
Phase 3 - NCT00904683: Progression of Alzheimer's DiseaseChange from Baseline to Week 80 in Plasma Amyloid Beta Levels
Solanezumab
Phase 1 - NCT00397891Total plasma amyloid-beta (x-40) was determined using a validated ELISA method
Phase 3 - NCT00575055Bapineuzumab in Patients With Mild to Moderate Alzheimer's Disease (ApoE4 Carrier)
Phase 3 - NCT00574132Bapineuzumab in Patients With Mild to Moderate Alzheimer's Disease (ApoE4 Non-Carrier)
Bapineuzumab
Importance of Biomarkers in Clinical Trials and Precision MedicineSummary
• Diagnostic, Prognostic, Predictive, and/or Companion
• Drug Efficacy: On Target, Clinical Response
• Drug Side Effects/Toxicity
• Patient Stratification
• Integral, Integrated, or Exploratory
Focus on Biomarker Utility
Some Questions in the Use of Biomarkers in Clinical Trials
1. At what stage of your clinical trial would you use a biomarker?
2. Would you use a non-validated biomarker in a clinical trial?
3. Would you not use a validated biomarker in a clinical trial?
4. If a high percentage of biomarker positive patients respond to a drug, and a low percentage of biomarker negative patients respond to a drug,
How would this test be useful in clinical trials? In clinical practice?
5. What is the consequence of a false positive test ? Of a false negative?
Importance of Biomarkers in Clinical Trials and Precision Medicine
Jeffrey Shuster, [email protected]
Bringing Biomarkers to Clinical Practice
Copyright © 2015, Oracle and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. |
Oracle Health Sciences
Strategic Vision for Precision Medicine James StreeterGlobal Vice President Life Sciences StrategyOctober 16th, 2015
@OracleHealthSci#PrecisionMedicine
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Safe Harbor StatementThe following is intended to outline our general product direction. It is intended for information purposes only, and may not be incorporated into any contract. It is not a commitment to deliver any material, code, or functionality, and should not be relied upon in making purchasing decisions. The development, release, and timing of any features or functionality described for Oracle’s products remains at the sole discretion of Oracle.
Copyright © 2015, Oracle and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. |
Oracle Health Sciences
Strategic Vision for Precision Medicine James StreeterGlobal Vice President Life Sciences StrategyOctober 16th, 2015
@OracleHealthSci#PrecisionMedicine
Copyright © 2015, Oracle and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. | 42
Safe Harbor StatementThe following is intended to outline our general product direction. It is intended for information purposes only, and may not be incorporated into any contract. It is not a commitment to deliver any material, code, or functionality, and should not be relied upon in making purchasing decisions. The development, release, and timing of any features or functionality described for Oracle’s products remains at the sole discretion of Oracle.
Copyright © 2015, Oracle and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. |
Industry Trends
More than half of clinical trials already have a molecular biomarker component
Significant reduction in cost of genome sequencing
Increase in real world data
Time
Cost
Patient stratification to identify population subsets most likely to respond to a therapy
70%
Provider
61%
Pharma
54%
Payer
Will you use secondary health data within the next 2 years?
Aggregation and analysis of Big Data
Cloud technologies are enhancing R&D collaboration
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Accelerated Drug Discovery Through Biomarkers
Targets ALK protein, mutated in 7% of lung cancers
Crizotinib (Xalkori)
FDA approved from a trial of only 255 patients with the biomarker
3 years from biomarker mutation discovery to approval
Ivacaftor (Kalydeco)
Phase-III trial approval based on 161 subjects (Placebo 78; Ivacaftor 83)
10.5% mean absolute improvement in lung function
Fo
rmu
late
d T
oR
esu
lts
First in class targeted cancer therapeutic
Targets the BCR-ABL protein only occurring in Chronic Myelogenous Leukemia (CML)
Imatinib (Gleevec)
Now considered standard of care for Myelogenous Leukemia (CML)
Indication expanded to Gastrointestinal Stromal Tumors (GIST) with KIT mutations
Targets CFTR G551D mutation, present in 5% of cystic fibrosis patients
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Biomarker Uses in Drug Development
Discover Develop Deliver
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Requirements for Incorporating Molecular Analytics
Integrates with EDC
Systematic way to manage genomic data generated in a clinical trial
Genomic profile and analysis reporting
Single study and cross-study analysis of biomarkers
Integrates with well-established public domain data for joint analysis with your own data
a
Individual Clinical Trial
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Oracle Products enabling Precision Medicine
Specimen
Enrolled Patient
Genomic profiling Molecular data analysis for
statisticians FDA submission
Laboratory
Doctor / NurseClinical Data
Molecular measurements
InForm AMA(Advance Molecular Analysis)
InForm/DMW (Study Data)
IRT(Enrollment Decisions)
Data Warehouse(Data Models)
Cohort Explorer
(Data Analysis)
Purchased or Public Domain Data
Big Data(Prescription, Institutional, Government, etc.)
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Case Studies from Leading Molecular Data Initiatives
• To support Total Cancer Care program• 19 hospitals, 10 states, 90k cancer patients
• To power Moon Shots program• To change 8 cancer types from terminal to chronic diseases
• $100M personalized medicine effort• UPMC strategy – Science Driven, Patient-centric Care
• To power Center for Individualized Medicine (CIM)• Translational Research & Clinical use of 100k genomes
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MD Anderson
Background / Needs Results With OracleMoon Shots initiative to cure 6
cancers in 5 years
Single platform for clinical and genomic data aggregation and analysis
Scalability to address data growth
One source of truth for all data
CASE
STU
DY
In less than 6 months, deployed a reporting environment that contains in excess of 1 million patients many thousands with genomic tests
Reduced time to run complex cohort identification queries from weeks to minutes in self service mode
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Strategic Vision for Precision Medicine
Post linked and processed data is also warehoused and openly available
Increase tools and data linkage to increase the precision
Patient consent and biomarker collection is standard of care and industry shared
A world wide Genomic/Biomarker data warehouse
Is standard for Drug Discovery and Clinical Trials and Submission
Patients provides additional life long device data
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+1.800.633.0643
www.oracle.com/healthsciences
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The Present and Future Role ofBiomarkers in Clinical DevelopmentA Partnership Journey towards Precision Medicine
Presented by
Sponsored by