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Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 13 Internation al Trade in Goods and Assets
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Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 13 International Trade in Goods and Assets.

Mar 26, 2015

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Page 1: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 13 International Trade in Goods and Assets.

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

Chapter 13

International Trade in Goods and Assets

Page 2: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 13 International Trade in Goods and Assets.

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 13-2

Chapter 13 Topics

• A two-good model of a small open economy.

• The benefits from trade, and the macroeconomic effects of a change in the terms of trade.

• A two-period small open economy model: the current account.

• Production, investment, and the current account.

Page 3: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 13 International Trade in Goods and Assets.

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 13-3

A two-good model of a small open economy

• Production possibilities frontier.

• Indifference curves of the representative consumer.

• Illustrate equilibrium when there is not trade, and when the SOE is a price-taker on world markets.

Page 4: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 13 International Trade in Goods and Assets.

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 13-4

Figure 13.1 Production Possibilities Frontier for the SOE

Page 5: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 13 International Trade in Goods and Assets.

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 13-5

Figure 13.2 Indifference Curves of the Representative Consumer in the SOE

Page 6: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 13 International Trade in Goods and Assets.

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 13-6

Equation 13.1

In equilibrium the consumer maximizes when his or her marginal rate of substitution equals the relative price of the two goods.

Page 7: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 13 International Trade in Goods and Assets.

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 13-7

Equation 13.2

Optimal behavior by firms implies that the marginal rate of transformation is equal to the relative price of the two goods in equilibrium.

Page 8: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 13 International Trade in Goods and Assets.

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 13-8

Figure 13.3 Equilibrium in the SOE with No Trade

Page 9: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 13 International Trade in Goods and Assets.

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 13-9

Equation 13.3

Representative consumer’s budget constraint when there is trade with the rest of the world:

Page 10: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 13 International Trade in Goods and Assets.

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 13-10

Figure 13.4 Production and Consumption in the SOE with Trade

Page 11: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 13 International Trade in Goods and Assets.

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 13-11

The Effects of Trade

Welfare must increase for the SOE when trade opens up, no matter which good the SOE initially imports.

Page 12: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 13 International Trade in Goods and Assets.

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 13-12

Figure 13.5 An Increase in Welfare When Good a Is Imported

Page 13: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 13 International Trade in Goods and Assets.

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 13-13

Figure 13.6 An Increase in Welfare When Good b Is Imported

Page 14: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 13 International Trade in Goods and Assets.

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 13-14

An Increase in the terms of trade

• Effects depend on which good is initially imported.

• Income and substitution effects are an important element in analyzing the implications of a change in the terms of trade.

Page 15: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 13 International Trade in Goods and Assets.

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 13-15

Figure 13.7 An Increase in the Terms of Trade when Good a Is Initially Imported

Page 16: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 13 International Trade in Goods and Assets.

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 13-16

Figure 13.8 An Increase in the Terms of Trade when Good b Is Initially Imported

Page 17: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 13 International Trade in Goods and Assets.

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 13-17

A Two-Period Small Open Economy Model

• Two periods – current period and future period.

• Representative consumer with exogenous current-period and future-period incomes.

• The SOE is a price-taker on world credit markets – the real interest rate is exogenous.

• The current account surplus here is equal to savings in the SOE, as there is no investment.

Page 18: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 13 International Trade in Goods and Assets.

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 13-18

Equation 13.4

The representative consumer’s lifetime budget constraint:

Page 19: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 13 International Trade in Goods and Assets.

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 13-19

Equation 13.5

The government’s intertemporal budget constraint:

Page 20: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 13 International Trade in Goods and Assets.

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 13-20

Figure 13.9 The Two-Period Small Open-Economy Model

Page 21: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 13 International Trade in Goods and Assets.

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 13-21

Figure 13.10 Deviations from Trend in the Current Account Surplus and GDP

Page 22: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 13 International Trade in Goods and Assets.

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 13-22

Figure 13.11 Government Spending and Taxes

Page 23: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 13 International Trade in Goods and Assets.

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 13-23

Figure 13.12 The Twin Deficits?

Page 24: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 13 International Trade in Goods and Assets.

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 13-24

A Small Open Economy Model with Production and Investment

• Works the same as the real intertemporal model, except the real interest rate is determined on world credit markets, and given to the SOE.

• Current account surplus always adjusts so that the aggregate supply and aggregate demand curves intersect at the world real interest rate.

Page 25: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 13 International Trade in Goods and Assets.

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 13-25

Figure 13.13 A Small Open-Economy Model with Production and Investment

Page 26: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 13 International Trade in Goods and Assets.

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 13-26

Figure 13.14 An Increase in the World Real Interest Rate

Page 27: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 13 International Trade in Goods and Assets.

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 13-27

Figure 13.15 A Temporary Increase in Government Spending

Page 28: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 13 International Trade in Goods and Assets.

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 13-28

Figure 13.16 A Permanent Increase in Government Spending

Page 29: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 13 International Trade in Goods and Assets.

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 13-29

Figure 13.17 An Increase in Current Total Factor Productivity

Page 30: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 13 International Trade in Goods and Assets.

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 13-30

Figure 13.18 An Increase in Future Total Factor Productivity

Page 31: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 13 International Trade in Goods and Assets.

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 13-31

Figure 13.19 Investment as a Percentage of GDP

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Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 13-32

Figure 13.20 An Increase in the Capital Stock