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Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 10 A Monetary Intertemporal Model: Money, Prices, and Monetary Policy
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Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 10 A Monetary Intertemporal Model: Money, Prices, and Monetary Policy.

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Page 1: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 10 A Monetary Intertemporal Model: Money, Prices, and Monetary Policy.

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

Chapter 10

A Monetary Intertemporal Model: Money, Prices, and Monetary Policy

Page 2: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 10 A Monetary Intertemporal Model: Money, Prices, and Monetary Policy.

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 10-2

Chapter 10 Topics

• What is money?

• Monetary Intertemporal Model

• Real and nominal interest rates

• Neutrality of money

• Monetary policy: targets and rules

Page 3: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 10 A Monetary Intertemporal Model: Money, Prices, and Monetary Policy.

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 10-3

What is Money?

• Medium of exchange

• Store of value

• Unit of account

Page 4: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 10 A Monetary Intertemporal Model: Money, Prices, and Monetary Policy.

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 10-4

Table 10.1 Monetary Aggregates, July 2006 (in $Billions)

Page 5: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 10 A Monetary Intertemporal Model: Money, Prices, and Monetary Policy.

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Equation 10.1

Inflation rate:

Page 6: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 10 A Monetary Intertemporal Model: Money, Prices, and Monetary Policy.

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Equation 10.2

Fisher relation:

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Equation 10.3

Approximate Fisher relation:

Page 8: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 10 A Monetary Intertemporal Model: Money, Prices, and Monetary Policy.

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 10-8

Figure 10.1 Real and Nominal Interest Rates, 1934-2006

Page 9: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 10 A Monetary Intertemporal Model: Money, Prices, and Monetary Policy.

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 10-9

Monetary Intertemporal Model

• Type of cash-in-advance model.

• Representative consumer, representative firm, and government.

• Consumers and firms require cash on hand to purchase goods, or can expend resources to use the services of banks to carry out transactions.

Page 10: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 10 A Monetary Intertemporal Model: Money, Prices, and Monetary Policy.

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Timing of Events – Morning Session

• In the morning, consumers have money and bond balances, M-

c and B-c , carried forward

from last period.

• Pay taxes T in real terms.

• Buy bonds Bc.

• Withdraw the remaining money, WDc.

Page 11: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 10 A Monetary Intertemporal Model: Money, Prices, and Monetary Policy.

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Equation 10.4

Consumer’s currency withdrawal at the beginning of the day:

Page 12: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 10 A Monetary Intertemporal Model: Money, Prices, and Monetary Policy.

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Timing of Events – Afternoon Session

• In the afternoon, the bank ATM machine is closed. No way to withdraw money any more. This makes the services of bank the only option.

• Receive wage income and dividend income.• Choose a real amount X of the total real income to pay for

consumption purchase. So PX is the nominal quantity of income spent on consumption via services of bank.

• Services of bank are costly, H(X) in real terms. • Total expenditure of consumption purchase is a sum of PX and

WDc. That is, PC = PX + WDc .

Page 13: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 10 A Monetary Intertemporal Model: Money, Prices, and Monetary Policy.

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 10-13

Equation 10.5

Consumer’s cash-in-advance constraint:

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Timing of Events – Evening Session

• In the evening, carry forward what remains after all purchases are made and all income is received during the day.

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Equation 10.6

Money balances held by the consumer at the bank at the end of the day:

PY: income and dividend income.

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Figure 10.2 The Cost of Banking Services

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Equation 10.7

The marginal benefit for the consumer of using more banking services:

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Equation 10.8

Consumer’s end-of-day money holdings:

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Equation 10.9

Marginal cost for the consumer of using more banking services:

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Equation 10.10

Determine the optimal choice of X:

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Equation 10.11

Optimal choice of X, simplified:

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Figure 10.3 The Consumer’s Optimal Choice of Banking Services

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Figure 10.4 The Effect of an Increase in R on the Consumer’s Optimal Choice of Banking Services

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Equation 10.12

The optimal choice of X is an increasing function of the nominal interest rate, R:

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Representative Firm - Morning

• Begin with zero money balance (transfer to workers as wage and dividend income last period).

• Buy bond in the morning session.

• Withdraw the remaining money to pay for investment purchases.

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Equation 10.13

Firm’s currency withdrawal at the beginning of the day:

Page 27: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 10 A Monetary Intertemporal Model: Money, Prices, and Monetary Policy.

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Firm’s Behavior - Afternoon

• Use an amount Xf of the total real revenue Y to pay for investment purchase via services of bank, which incurs real costs H (Xf).

• The total nominal purchase of investment goods, PI, is a sum of WDf + PXf .

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Equation 10.14

Firms’ cash-in-advance constraint:

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Firm’s Behavior - Evening

• Transfer what remains after all purchases are made.

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Equation 10.15

Direct deposit made by the firm to the consumer’s bank:

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Equation 10.16

Simplified direct deposit to the consumer:

A = PY – PXf – H (Xf )

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Choice of Banking Services

• Like what happens to consumers, the optimal amount of banking service is determined by marginal costs = marginal benefits.

• The firms and consumers choose the same quantity of banking service.

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Government

• Responsible for fiscal and monetary policy.

• Purchase G goods.

• Pay nominal interest and principal on government bond outstanding from last period.

• Finance G and payments by taxes, issuing new government bonds, and printing money.

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Equation 10.17

Government budget constraint:

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Competitive Equilibrium

• Consider only three markets: for current goods, for current labor, and money market.

• Focus on money market equilibrium.

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Equation 10.18

Income-Expenditure identity:

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Equation 10.19

Substitute using cash-in-advance constraints and government budget constraint:

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Equation 10.20

Credit market clears in previous period:

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Equation 10.21

Current credit market clears:

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Equation 10.22

Money market clears in previous period:

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Equation 10.23

In equilibrium, then:

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Equation 10.24

Rewrite given the choice of banking services by the consumer and the firm:

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Equation 10.25

“Money demand” relationship:

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Equation 10.26

Nominal money demand function:

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Equation 10.27

Nominal money demand using the Fisher relation:

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Equation 10.28

Nominal money demand assuming the inflation rate equals zero (harmless assumption for our purposes here):

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Equation 10.29

Money supply equals money demand:

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Figure 10.5 The Nominal Money Demand Curve in the Monetary Intertemporal Model

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Figure 10.6 The Effect of an Increase in Current Real Income on the Nominal Money Demand Curve

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Figure 10.7 The Current Money Market in the Monetary Intertemporal Model

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Figure 10.8 The Complete Monetary Intertemporal Model

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Figure 10.9 A Level Increase in the Money Supply in the Current Period

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The Neutrality of Money

• In the monetary intertemporal model, a level increase in the money supply increases the price level and the nominal wage in proportion to the money supply increase, but has no effect on any real macroeconomic variable.

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Figure 10.10 The Effects of a Level Increase in M—The Neutrality of Money

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Increase in Total Factor Productivity

• If z increases, this increases money demand (Y increases and r falls), which causes the price level to fall.

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Figure 10.11 Short-Run Analysis of a Temporary Decrease in Total Factor Productivity

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Figure 10.14 An Increase in the Cost of Banking Services

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Figure 10.15 The Effect of an Increase in the Cost of Banking Services on the Choice of Banking Services

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Figure 10.16 A Shift in the Demand for Money