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Conservation and Current Production Margins: Is Water Quality Compatible With My Cost Structure?
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Conservation and Current Production Margins · City of Cedar Rapids, Miller Creek & Benton-Tama WQI Projects Middle Cedar Watershed Management Authority Midwest Ag RCPP Iowa Department

May 15, 2020

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Page 1: Conservation and Current Production Margins · City of Cedar Rapids, Miller Creek & Benton-Tama WQI Projects Middle Cedar Watershed Management Authority Midwest Ag RCPP Iowa Department

Conservation and Current Production Margins:

Is Water Quality Compatible With My Cost Structure?

Page 2: Conservation and Current Production Margins · City of Cedar Rapids, Miller Creek & Benton-Tama WQI Projects Middle Cedar Watershed Management Authority Midwest Ag RCPP Iowa Department

No

Questions?

Page 3: Conservation and Current Production Margins · City of Cedar Rapids, Miller Creek & Benton-Tama WQI Projects Middle Cedar Watershed Management Authority Midwest Ag RCPP Iowa Department

3

Jason Gomes• CCA• Northeast and East Central

Iowa• Independent Agronomy

Services, NRCS Technical Service Provider

North Iowa Agronomy Partners, LLC• Agronomy, Nutrient

Management, Soil Sampling, Crop Planning, Product Recs, etc.

• Conservation Planning, Technical Assistance and Outreach in Upper/Middle Cedar Watersheds

Page 4: Conservation and Current Production Margins · City of Cedar Rapids, Miller Creek & Benton-Tama WQI Projects Middle Cedar Watershed Management Authority Midwest Ag RCPP Iowa Department

Current Projects:

Middle Cedar Partnership ProjectCity of Cedar Rapids, Miller Creek & Benton-Tama WQI Projects

Middle Cedar Watershed Management Authority

Midwest Ag RCPPIowa Department of Ag and Land Stewardship

Page 5: Conservation and Current Production Margins · City of Cedar Rapids, Miller Creek & Benton-Tama WQI Projects Middle Cedar Watershed Management Authority Midwest Ag RCPP Iowa Department

Our Role

• Technical Assistance• Conservation Planning• Outreach

• Facilitate access to financial assistance

Page 6: Conservation and Current Production Margins · City of Cedar Rapids, Miller Creek & Benton-Tama WQI Projects Middle Cedar Watershed Management Authority Midwest Ag RCPP Iowa Department

6

T-Charts & Partial Budgets

Compares total benefits/total costs

Quantifiable economic outcomes only – excludes social, environmental costs/benefits

Page 7: Conservation and Current Production Margins · City of Cedar Rapids, Miller Creek & Benton-Tama WQI Projects Middle Cedar Watershed Management Authority Midwest Ag RCPP Iowa Department

Net Returns:N-Rate: $5-7/ac

5-10% N Load Reduction

VRT Phos w/ Zero Rate: $6/ac17% Phos. Load Reduction

Cover Crop following Corn: $15-35/ac Cost Shareminus $14-24/ac variable costs31% N Load Reduction29% Phos Load Reduction

Page 8: Conservation and Current Production Margins · City of Cedar Rapids, Miller Creek & Benton-Tama WQI Projects Middle Cedar Watershed Management Authority Midwest Ag RCPP Iowa Department

8

Nitrogen Rates

Page 9: Conservation and Current Production Margins · City of Cedar Rapids, Miller Creek & Benton-Tama WQI Projects Middle Cedar Watershed Management Authority Midwest Ag RCPP Iowa Department

• Total N Rates• Measure total

applied nitrogen

• Eliminate “wasted” N (DAP, MAP)

• Use a nitrification inhibitor for Fall N

• Net Savings: $5-7/ac

• % Nitrate-N Reduction: 5-10%

Page 10: Conservation and Current Production Margins · City of Cedar Rapids, Miller Creek & Benton-Tama WQI Projects Middle Cedar Watershed Management Authority Midwest Ag RCPP Iowa Department

Historic Rainfall:

10

Page 11: Conservation and Current Production Margins · City of Cedar Rapids, Miller Creek & Benton-Tama WQI Projects Middle Cedar Watershed Management Authority Midwest Ag RCPP Iowa Department

Phosphorus Rates

• Optimum = 25% Chance of Profitable Yield Response• High = Less than 5% Chance of a Profitable Yield Response

Page 12: Conservation and Current Production Margins · City of Cedar Rapids, Miller Creek & Benton-Tama WQI Projects Middle Cedar Watershed Management Authority Midwest Ag RCPP Iowa Department

Phosphorus Rates

• Optimum = 25% Chance of Yield Response

• High = Less than 5% Chance of Yield Response

• NE Iowa: Fall P2O5 - $0.47/lb Spring P2O5 - $0.514

Page 13: Conservation and Current Production Margins · City of Cedar Rapids, Miller Creek & Benton-Tama WQI Projects Middle Cedar Watershed Management Authority Midwest Ag RCPP Iowa Department

2008-2017 Mehlich3 P Test Values (Ag Source Labs, Ellsworth)

All of Iowa

N East Iowa NIAP

2017 Average AverageAverage

Spring Avg 44.0 43.7 47.8Fall Avg 40.3 42.8 41.8Annual Avg 41.5 43.2 43.0

3633 32 33

37 3943 42

3842

20

25

30

35

40

45

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017P,

ppm

Iowa Soil Phosphorus Averages

Page 14: Conservation and Current Production Margins · City of Cedar Rapids, Miller Creek & Benton-Tama WQI Projects Middle Cedar Watershed Management Authority Midwest Ag RCPP Iowa Department

Nutrient Management:How do tighter margins drive decisions?

Nitrogen

Higher N rates, fall application, and additional drainage tile as a response to climate uncertainty.

Full rate of N-Serve = $10-11/ac, Fall NH3 = $0.28/unit N.

Phosphorus

Soil as a “bank” for excess fertility. If I can eliminate chemical fertility as a yield limiting factor, why wouldn’t I?

Tax liability management.

How accurate are soil tests anyway?

Page 15: Conservation and Current Production Margins · City of Cedar Rapids, Miller Creek & Benton-Tama WQI Projects Middle Cedar Watershed Management Authority Midwest Ag RCPP Iowa Department
Page 16: Conservation and Current Production Margins · City of Cedar Rapids, Miller Creek & Benton-Tama WQI Projects Middle Cedar Watershed Management Authority Midwest Ag RCPP Iowa Department

What’s the point?

Farmers are responding to the market signals and incentives that make the most sense for their business.

What structural changes would be required to incentivize conservation?

Page 17: Conservation and Current Production Margins · City of Cedar Rapids, Miller Creek & Benton-Tama WQI Projects Middle Cedar Watershed Management Authority Midwest Ag RCPP Iowa Department

Outcome-Based Payments

Diversity

ScaleEvery advantage in the market favors scaling up farm size.

Land Market Correction or disincentives for opportunity hoarding.

Page 18: Conservation and Current Production Margins · City of Cedar Rapids, Miller Creek & Benton-Tama WQI Projects Middle Cedar Watershed Management Authority Midwest Ag RCPP Iowa Department

Questions?

Jason [email protected]

(319) 230-5495