COMPANY CONFIDENTIAL An Introduction to World Energy: Mark Burns Independent Energy Consultants January 2007
Mar 26, 2015
COMPANY CONFIDENTIAL
An Introduction to World Energy:
Mark Burns
Independent Energy Consultants
January 2007
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CONFIDENTIAL
An eBay for Energy…
World Energy brings together the intelligence and tools to enable energy buyers to procure energy more efficiently while reducing cost and limiting risk.
ENERGYCOSTS
CONFIDENCE
• Have procured over $1,600,000,000 in electricity, natural gas, fuels, wholesale power, green credits and financial instruments
• Ranked #1 by Retail Energy Analyst KEMA of 280 Aggregators, Brokers and Consultants
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… but More than Just Auctions
• Market Rules Intelligence
• Future Price Trend Analysis
• Aggregation Marketing
• Load Pulling, Database Build
• Tariff Analysis
• Supplier Sourcing and Vetting
• Contract Terms Analysis
• RFP Structuring– Products– Contract Terms– Green Power Mix– Tranche Architecting– Signatory
• Solicitation Development
• Process and Project Management
• Reverse Auction Price Discovery
• Decision Analysis
• Contracting Support
• Process Audit and Compliance Documentation
• On-going Contract, Site and Usage Monitoring
• On-going Support
• Management Reporting
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Intelligence & Tools = Success
Where
State by State Deregulation and
Commodity Volatility Drive Purchasing
Viability
When
Price Trends and Customer Risk Profile Signal Market Timing
How
Price Discovery Tool and
Supplier Depth Determine Final
Cost
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World Energy
• Ranked #1 by KEMA
• 5x nearest competitor
• $1.6 Billion in Energy
• 24,000,000,000 kWh Electricity
• 52,000,000 dth Natural Gas
• 300 clients saving $200,000,000
• 100 deregulated utility markets
• 9 Government Awards
World Energy – By the Numbers
Exchange
• 1000+ Auctions 18 months
• 200+ unique suppliers
• 450 registered users
• 3-7 suppliers bid 5-15 times
• Winning supplier outbids 20%
• 0 defeats to Paper-based RFP
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World EnergyLeader in On-line Procurement
Government
Property Management, Industrial, and Commercial
United Nations
Veterans Affairs
Social Security
Dept of Justice
MarylandDistrict of ColumbiaMassachusetts Pennsylvania Montgomery County
EPA
General Services Administration
HomelandSecurity
Federal, State and Local Government Agencies and many Fortune 500™ companies trust World Energy with the online procurements
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Market Leader: Awards
• Over the Past 4 years we have enabled clients to be recognized by their peers and superiors in winning 9 prestigious awards
• Awards for either – Use of innovative technology
– Procuring green power
– Business best practices
• Winners include
– Boyd Rutherford, Secretary of State, MD
– Linda Collins, Director, NGAP
– GSA Region 2
– Energy Center of Expertise
– Large Northeast Utility
Louis R. Harris, Jr. Award
Presidential Award
Innovative Technology Award
GSA Environmental Award
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Market Leader: Awards
• Over the Past 4 years we have enabled clients to be recognized by their peers and superiors in winning 8 prestigious awards
• Awards for either – Use of innovative technology
– Procuring green power
– Business best practices
• Winners include
– Boyd Rutherford, Secretary of State, MD
– Linda Collins, Director, NGAP
– GSA Region 2
– Energy Center of Expertise
– Large Northeast Utility
Louis R. Harris, Jr. Award
Presidential Award
Innovative Technology Award
GSA Environmental Award
Named “Outstanding Program”
in June 2005 for any cost saving program
of any kind in any of the 50 states
at NASCA/NASFA joint conference.
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Market Intelligence Module
• Platform contains market analysis for all deregulated markets
• Wholesale Pricing trends
• Market Characteristics
– Switch Rules
– Regulatory History
– Rate Classes
• Current Go-to-Market recommendation
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Gas OnlyElectricity and GasLimited / No Competition
AlbertaOntario
Broadest Market Coverage
World Energy’s broad market coverage (37 States, 100+ Utilities)
enables us to support Clients with locations across the country
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Why the Exchange beats Paper RFPs
• Hybrid Anglo-Dutch Auction Design
– Direct Entry vs Proxy Bid
– Fixed End time vs “Popcorn” bidding
• Suppliers are required to bid to see current winning auction price
• Strategies to prevent gaming
– Number of auction participants not revealed
– Bid history not revealed
– Leading supplier not revealed
• Consistent terms enable true apples-to-apples comparison
• Exacting tariff analysis creates Price-to-Compare benchmarks to alert suppliers to maximum acceptable bid
• “RFP Architecting” - Multiple short duration auctions on same or similar loads divine the pricing of different parameters and contract terms
• Rapid Awards minimize supplier exposure, causing them to apply lower risk premiums to bids
Engineering and Design Operations and Process
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Why the Exchange beats Paper RFPs
• Hybrid Anglo-Dutch Auction Design
– Direct Entry vs Proxy Bid
– Fixed End time vs “Popcorn” bidding
• Suppliers are required to bid to see current winning auction price
• Strategies to prevent gaming
– Number of auction participants not revealed
– Bid history not revealed
– Leading supplier not revealed
• Opening Price on average 15-20% above Price-to-Compare to ensure maximum participation
• Price-to-Compare benchmarks to alert suppliers to maximum acceptable bid
• “RFP Architecting” - Multiple short duration auctions on same or similar loads to divine the pricing of different parameters and contract terms
• Rapid Awards minimize supplier exposure, causing them to apply lower risk premiums to bids
Engineering and Design Operations and Process
In designing our auction, we studied all the
literature and best practices and have been in
contact with the world’s leading economists -
from MIT, U Chicago and Oxford – including Paul
Klemperer and Steve Levitt, author of
Freakonomics.
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Approach to Yield Lowest Price
% o
f Tota
l S
avin
gs
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Dynamic Auction vs Traditional Methods: Suppliers bidding creates a more competitive atmosphere and demonstrates real time bidding dynamics; shrinking time suppliers hold their prices causing them to bid more aggressively.
Direct Bid Entry vs Proxy Bid: Causes suppliers to lower their bid by more than the minimum amount to win.
Fixed End Time vs Overtime Format: Having a hard stop causes the last bid to be “blind” and for suppliers to put their best bid as their last.
25%
35 -40%
35 -40%
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Reverse Auction Process
Auction RFP’sare posted for Energy Consumers
EnergySuppliers BidCompetitivelyfor Contracts
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Reverse Auction Process
Auction RFP’sare posted for Energy Consumers
EnergySuppliers BidCompetitivelyfor Contracts
“The auction saves between 7 and 9% versus the paper-based RFP process we formerly used with our
clients.”Eric Hoegger, Cargill Energy Management
Going head-to-head with a traditional RFP run by my consultant, the World Energy Exchange
delivered a price 18% lower than my consultant’s paper process.”
Ford Motor Company
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Reverse Auction Process
Auction RFP’sare posted for Energy Consumers
EnergySuppliers BidCompetitivelyfor Contracts
“Our incumbent supplier tried to discourage us going to auction by delivering a pre-emptive renewal price. We made them participate in the auction, and not only did
they better their price in the auction, but another supplier bid even lower, saving me $90,000 versus if I
had accepted the incumbent’s pricing proposal.”Millipore Corporation
“We call our suppliers and negotiate a fair price, then we run it through an auction to get the best price.”
Boeing in The World is Flat
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Supplier Margins
Sources: Restructuring Today, Supplier Annual Reports, World Energy Supplier Survey, Sales Interviews
Mils
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Sole Source Traditional RFP Auction
High End of Range
Low End of Range
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Supplier Margins
Sources: Restructuring Today, Supplier Annual Reports, World Energy Supplier Survey, Sales Interviews
Mils
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Sole Source Traditional RFP Auction
High End of Range
Low End of Range
“We can bid up to 20 cents lower [per decatherm for natural gas] because I have lower operational costs due to the quality of the data World Energy
provides.”Natural Gas Supplier
“I build in less risk premium in my price because World Energy closes deals so quickly after
conclusion of the auction.”Electricity Supplier
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Supplier Margins
Sources: Restructuring Today, Supplier Annual Reports, World Energy Supplier Survey, Sales Interviews
Mils
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Sole Source Traditional RFP Auction
High End of Range
Low End of Range
“I know where I stand as the auction ends, so if I don’t win I can quickly liquidate any positions I’ve
taken to cover my risk.”Electricity Supplier
“The World Energy Exchange is Brutally Efficient at Driving Margins to the Bare Minimum.”
Manager C+I Marketing, National Energy Supplier
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Product and Feature Breadth
• Commodities– Electricity– Natural Gas– Fuels (Heating Oil, Diesel,
Propane, Jet Fuel, Gasoline)– Green Credits (RECs,
Emission Credits)– Financial or Physical
• Pricing Products– Fixed– Index– Heat Rate– Capacity– Block– Baseload, no capacity– % of the system
• Auction Features– Closed Auction– Fixed End Time– Blind Bidding– Bids lower than
opening price
• Event Type– Reverse Auction– Forward Auction
• Procurement Type– Retail– Wholesale
• Account Type– Full Service– Self Serve
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Multiple RFPs to Test Pricing Dynamics
• Term
• Rate Class
• Load Profile
• % Green Mix
• Utility Territory
• Pricing Product
– Fixed
– Indexed
– Block
– Baseload
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RFP Architecting
Intelligent sequencing of RFPs yields bidding behavior that favors the customer
After losing the first RFP, Supplier 3 submits a last bid 2.8 mils lower than the current lowest bid and 1.9 mils lower than the
second lowest bid.
Auction1
Auction2
Supplier 1
Supplier 1Supplier 1
Supplier 3
Supplier 3
Supplier 3
Supplier 1
Supplier 5
Supplier 1
Supplier 4
Supplier 1
Supplier 4
Supplier 2
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Elements of a Successful Procurement
• Documented process for Sarbanes-Oxley compliance
• Best of Breed Reverse Auction Process
– Proven to Secure the Lowest Price in the Market
– Provides an Array of Pricing Parameters
• Market Expertise and Pricing Knowledge
• Energy Procurement Experience
Delivered Using a State of the Art Web-Enabled Software Suite Specifically Designed for Energy Procurement Management
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Auction Scenario 1
• 104 m kWh
• Various Terms run to test pricing
• 12 Bid Auction
• Great pricing yields 9% Savings over Price -to- Compare
• Winning supplier outbids themselves to secure the load!
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Auction Scenario 2
• 44 m kWh
• Various Terms and Green Power Components run to test pricing
• Great pricing yields 11% Savings
• 5% Green Power Auction results in equivalent pricing as 0% Green run earlier
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SOX Compliance – Process Audit Trail
Tariff Class TRANCHE (ACCOUNT GROUPING)
ANNUAL KWH
# OF ACC. TERM IN MONTHS
Sensitivity Case (0% Annual Cost
Increase)
Base Case (5% Annual Cost
Increase)
Moderate Growth Case (10% Annual
Cost Increase)
Expected Value (10% Sensitivity, 55% Base,
35% Moderate)BPL, GLP 3,040,904 30 24 0.0609 0.0627 0.0644 0.0631BPL, GLP 3,040,904 30 30 0.0609 0.0636 0.0664 0.0643BPL, GLP 3,040,904 30 42 0.0609 0.0652 0.0697 0.0663
LPLS 13,550,480 5 24 0.0650 0.0669 0.0689 0.0674LPLS 13,550,480 5 30 0.0654 0.0684 0.0714 0.0691LPLS 13,550,480 5 42 0.0658 0.0705 0.0754 0.0717
BPL, GLP, LPLS C 4,478,818 9 24 0.0616 0.0635 0.0653 0.0640LPLP 10,396,800 2 24 Hourly N/A Hourly N/A Hourly N/A Hourly N/ALPLP 10,396,800 2 30 Hourly N/A Hourly N/A Hourly N/A Hourly N/ALPLP 10,396,800 2 42 Hourly N/A Hourly N/A Hourly N/A Hourly N/A
D, E
A
B
Price to Beat ($/kWh, no taxes)
Deal Task Tracking Tariff Modeling RFP Bid History
Usage Tracking Contract Reporting
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What is the Process?
Needs Planning Pre Auction Auction Contract Support
Opportunity Assessment
Review market price drivers
Price to Compare Analysis
Draft RFP
RFP Approval
- Terms
- Index/Fixed
Review full analysis based on inputs & needs
Understand Factors
Agree to take away price
Summarize Results
- Product
- Term
- Supplier
Results meet expectations
Review and finalize contract
Upload contracts, sites & usage
Set renewal trigger goals
Monitor
Run Reverse Auction
Provide Preliminary Information
- Bills & Usage Data
- Site Information
- Current Energy Contracts
- Review Data
Information and Contracts
Submit RFP to suppliers
Sign Contract Renew Contract
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World Energy & You
• World Energy as a toolset
– Reduce energy costs
– Auditable process trail
• Verify Account Enrollment, upload & update contracts
• Monthly check on charges, payment & usage upload
• Advise and research papers on energy matters
• Access to bid history, forward wholesale charts
• Access to Market Intelligence and Opportunities
• Renewal Triggers set and implemented