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Colorado CD3 Immigration Survey October 17 th – 18 th , 2013
24

Colorado Congressional District 3 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Nov 14, 2014

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Magellan Strategies public releases of the results of a 720n autodial survey of likely 2014 general election voters in Colorado Congressional District 3 regarding the opinion of Immigration reform. Conducted on October 17th - 18th, 2013.
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Page 1: Colorado Congressional District 3 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Colorado CD3 Immigration

SurveyOctober 17th – 18th, 2013

Page 2: Colorado Congressional District 3 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Magellan Strategies are pleased to present the results of a 720n autodial survey of likely 2014

general election voters in Colorado Congressional District 3. The survey was completed on behalf of America’s Voice. The interviewing was conducted

October 17th - 18th, 2013. This survey has a margin of error of

+/-3.65% at the 95 percent confidence interval.

Page 3: Colorado Congressional District 3 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Scott Tipton Image Rating

Page 4: Colorado Congressional District 3 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Scott Tipton?

MEN WOMEN

40%31%

41%37%

17%

28%

2%4%

FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLENO OPINION NEVER HEARD OF

REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT

50%

22%28%

23%

58%

39%

25%

17%

28%

2% 2% 5%

35%

39%

23%3%

FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLENO OPINION NEVER HEARD OF

Page 5: Colorado Congressional District 3 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Scott Tipton?

18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+

32%

24%

37%41%

34%29%

55%

39%38% 37%

28%

20%22%

20%

26%

11%

2% 2% 1% 2%

35%

39%

23% 3%

FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE NO OPINION NEVER HEARD OF

Page 6: Colorado Congressional District 3 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Scott Tipton?

WHITE HISPANIC

32%

53%

42%

22%23% 24%

3%1%

FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLENO OPINION NEVER HEARD OF

35%

39%

23%3%

FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLENO OPINION NEVER HEARD OF

Page 7: Colorado Congressional District 3 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Voter Opinion on Immigration

Reform

Page 8: Colorado Congressional District 3 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Thinking now about immigration reform...As you may know, the House of Representatives is beginning to consider different immigration reform proposals. One option is legislation that would significantly increase border security, block employers from hiring undocumented immigrants, and make sure that undocumented immigrants already in the U.S. with no criminal record register for legal status. If immigrants were to meet a list of requirements, they could eventually apply for citizenship. Knowing this information, would you support or oppose this legislation?

77%

18% 6%

SUPPORT OPPOSE UNSURE NO OPINION

MEN WOM

45%

36%33%

40%

10% 8%10% 7%

STRONGLY SUPPORT SOMEWHAT SUPPORTSTRONGLY OPPOSE SOMEWHAT OPPOSE

REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT

40%

44%

35%34%35%

41%

10%7%

11%

10%

6%9%

Page 9: Colorado Congressional District 3 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Thinking now about immigration reform...As you may know, the House of Representatives is beginning to consider different immigration reform proposals. One option is legislation that would significantly increase border security, block employers from hiring undocumented immigrants, and make sure that undocumented immigrants already in the U.S. with no criminal record register for legal status. If immigrants were to meet a list of requirements, they could eventually apply for citizenship. Knowing this information, would you support or oppose this legislation?

77%

18%6%

SUPPORT OPPOSE UNSURE NO OPINION

18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+

12%

35%41% 46% 45%

65%

34% 30%

35%33%

10% 12% 11% 9% 7%

14%11% 7% 7% 8%

STRONGLY SUPPORT SOMEWHAT SUPPORT STRONGLY OPPOSE SOMEWHAT OPPOSE

Page 10: Colorado Congressional District 3 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Thinking now about immigration reform...As you may know, the House of Representatives is beginning to consider different immigration reform proposals. One option is legislation that would significantly increase border security, block employers from hiring undocumented immigrants, and make sure that undocumented immigrants already in the U.S. with no criminal record register for legal status. If immigrants were to meet a list of requirements, they could eventually apply for citizenship. Knowing this information, would you support or oppose this legislation?

77%

18% 6%

SUPPORT OPPOSE UNSURE NO OPINIONWHITE HISPANIC

39%

53%

39%

23%

9% 9%8% 10%

STRONGLY SUPPORT SOMEWHAT SUPPORTSTRONGLY OPPOSE SOMEWHAT OPPOSE

Page 11: Colorado Congressional District 3 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Voter Opinion on Immigration

Reform

Page 12: Colorado Congressional District 3 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Would you support or oppose an immigration reform plan that ensures undocumented immigrants currently living in the U.S. pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes, and wait a minimum of thirteen years before they can be eligible for citizenship?

68%

28% 4%

TOTAL SUPPORT TOTAL OPPOSEUNSURE NO OPINION

MEN WOMEN

32%

39%36%

29%

14%11%

15% 16%

STRONGLY SUPPORT SOMEWHAT SUPPORTSTRONGLY OPPOSE SOMEWHAT OPPOSE

REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT

46%

23%

33%32% 31% 34%

7%

17%15%

12%

22%

12%

Page 13: Colorado Congressional District 3 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Would you support or oppose an immigration reform plan that ensures undocumented immigrants currently living in the U.S. pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes, and wait a minimum of thirteen years before they can be eligible for citizenship?

68%

28%4%

TOTAL SUPPORT TOTAL OPPOSEUNSURE NO OPINION

18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+

37%35%

37%

34%35%

31%

27%26%

33%

38%

4%

12%

21%

15%

9%

23%

17%

9%

16% 15%

STRONGLY SUPPORT SOMEWHAT SUPPORT STRONGLY OPPOSE SOMEWHAT OPPOSE

Page 14: Colorado Congressional District 3 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Would you support or oppose an immigration reform plan that ensures undocumented immigrants currently living in the U.S. pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes, and wait a minimum of thirteen years before they can be eligible for citizenship?

68%

28% 4%

TOTAL SUPPORT TOTAL OPPOSEUNSURE NO OPINION

WHITE HISPANIC

35% 35%33%

30%

14%

9%

14%

20%

STRONGLY SUPPORT SOMEWHAT SUPPORTSTRONGLY OPPOSE SOMEWHAT OPPOSE

Page 15: Colorado Congressional District 3 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Voter Opinion on Republican

Reform

Page 16: Colorado Congressional District 3 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

If the Republicans in the House do not pass an immigration reform bill this year, would you be more or less likely to vote for a Republican candidate in the 2014 general election, or would it not make a difference in your decision?

24%

36%

34%

6%

MORE LIKELY LESS LIKELYNO DIFFERENCE UNSURE NO OPINION

MEN WOMEN

25%23%

36%37%

35% 33%

4%8%

MORE LIKELY LESS LIKELY NO DIFFERENCE UNSURE NO OPINION

REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT

40%

8%

19%18%

59%

35%37%

28%

36%

5% 5%

10%

Page 17: Colorado Congressional District 3 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

If the Republicans in the House do not pass an immigration reform bill this year, would you be more or less likely to vote for a Republican candidate in the 2014 general election, or would it not make a difference in your decision?

24%

36%

34%

6%

MORE LIKELY LESS LIKELY NO DIFFERENCE UNSURE NO OPINION

18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+

17%19%

30%

22%26%27%

32%

36% 37%40%

52%

44%

32%35%

24%

4% 6%

1%5%

10%

Page 18: Colorado Congressional District 3 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

If the Republicans in the House do not pass an immigration reform bill this year, would you be more or less likely to vote for a Republican candidate in the 2014 general election, or would it not make a difference in your decision?

24%

36%

34%

6%

MORE LIKELY LESS LIKELYNO DIFFERENCE UNSURE NO OPINION

WHITE HISPANIC

23%

27%

36%

42%

35%

27%

6%4%

MORE LIKELY LESS LIKELYNO DIFFERENCE UNSURE NO OPINION

Page 19: Colorado Congressional District 3 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Voter Opinion on Bi-partisan Plan

~Image of Tipton

Page 20: Colorado Congressional District 3 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

If your Congressman Scott Tipton worked with other Republicans and Democrats to pass an immigration reform plan that ensured undocumented immigrants currently living in the US pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes and wait a minimum of thirteen years before becoming eligible for citizenship, would you have a more favorable or less favorable opinion of Scott Tipton, or would it not make a difference in your opinion of him?

37%

24%

34%

5%

TOTAL MORE FAVORABLE TOTAL LESS FAVORABLENO DIFFERENCE UNSURE NO OPINION

MEN WOMEN

22% 24%

13%16%14%

12%13%

9%

MUCH MORE FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT MORE FAVORABLEMUCH LESS FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT LESS FAVORABLE

REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT

30%

12%

27%

18%

12%12%

8%

20%

13%10%

14%

7%

Page 21: Colorado Congressional District 3 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

If your Congressman Scott Tipton worked with other Republicans and Democrats to pass an immigration reform plan that ensured undocumented immigrants currently living in the US pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes and wait a minimum of thirteen years before becoming eligible for citizenship, would you have a more favorable or less favorable opinion of Scott Tipton, or would it not make a difference in your opinion of him?

37%

24%

34%5%

TOTAL MORE FAVORABLE TOTAL LESS FAVORABLE NO DIFFERENCE UNSURE NO OPINION

18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+

22%

20%21%

27%

22%

6%

17%15% 15% 15%

11%

15% 15%13%

12%

5% 7%

11% 11%13%

MUCH MORE FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT MORE FAVORABLE MUCH LESS FAVORABLE

SOMEWHAT LESS FAVORABLE

Page 22: Colorado Congressional District 3 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

If your Congressman Scott Tipton worked with other Republicans and Democrats to pass an immigration reform plan that ensured undocumented immigrants currently living in the US pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes and wait a minimum of thirteen years before becoming eligible for citizenship, would you have a more favorable or less favorable opinion of Scott Tipton, or would it not make a difference in your opinion of him?

37%

24%

34%

5%

TOTAL MORE FAVORABLE TOTAL LESS FAVORABLENO DIFFERENCE UNSURE NO OPINION

WHITE HISPANIC

25%

16%15%

12%13% 14%

9%

18%

MUCH MORE FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT MORE FAVORABLEMUCH LESS FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT LESS FAVORABLE

Page 23: Colorado Congressional District 3 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Demographics

Page 24: Colorado Congressional District 3 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Demographics

41%

34%

25%

REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT

18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+

10% 12%

18%

26%

34%52%

48%

FEMALE MALE

WHITE HISPANIC LATINO

BLACK / AFRICAN

AMERICAN

OTHER

83%

15%

1% 1%