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Coastal process modelling for evaluating EbA strategies to climate change in the Pacific F. Andutta, S. Lee, G. Fraive, R. Tomlinson, B. Mackey Griffith Centre for Coastal Management (GCCM) and Griffith Climate Change Response Program (GCCRP)
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Coastal process modelling for evaluating EbA strategies to ...€¦ · Coastal process modelling for evaluating EbA strategies to climate change in the Pacific F. Andutta, S. Lee,

Jun 18, 2020

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Page 1: Coastal process modelling for evaluating EbA strategies to ...€¦ · Coastal process modelling for evaluating EbA strategies to climate change in the Pacific F. Andutta, S. Lee,

Coastal process modelling for evaluating EbA strategies to

climate change in the Pacific F. Andutta, S. Lee, G. Fraive, R. Tomlinson, B. Mackey

Griffith Centre for Coastal Management (GCCM) and Griffith Climate Change Response Program (GCCRP)

Page 2: Coastal process modelling for evaluating EbA strategies to ...€¦ · Coastal process modelling for evaluating EbA strategies to climate change in the Pacific F. Andutta, S. Lee,

EcoAdapt - The benefits of ecosystem-based approaches for climate change in Least Developed

Countries

Priority themes are: (1) Adapting to a rapidly changing climate in coastal

regions, (2) Information & knowledge management for

adaptation and resilience planning.

You will find here an overview of the coastal process modelling component to be applied for the EcoAdapt

Project.

Page 3: Coastal process modelling for evaluating EbA strategies to ...€¦ · Coastal process modelling for evaluating EbA strategies to climate change in the Pacific F. Andutta, S. Lee,

A few simple questions to merge concepts of coastal oceanography and EbA were defined. i. What is the general coastal circulation in the region and how will this change under future climate? ii. How to assess coastal flooding in the Pacific Islands, and how this may change under a number of future climate scenarios? iii. Are there new scientific questions to be defined in advance regarding EbA and coastal oceanography? iv. Are EbA feasible and coast-effective solutions for most islands of the Pacific?

Page 4: Coastal process modelling for evaluating EbA strategies to ...€¦ · Coastal process modelling for evaluating EbA strategies to climate change in the Pacific F. Andutta, S. Lee,

Why EbA strategies?

4

+

-

X Environmental friendly

X Mitigation of coastal erosion

X Inexpensive maintenance

X sustainable

X Duration of EbA strategies under a climate change?

Artificial Coral Reef

Artificial Reef Artificial reefs and coral reefs relate to different ecosystems.

Page 5: Coastal process modelling for evaluating EbA strategies to ...€¦ · Coastal process modelling for evaluating EbA strategies to climate change in the Pacific F. Andutta, S. Lee,

Differences between some models TUFLOW (friendly-GUI)

source: http://www.tuflow.com

Flood packages: Mike flood, Delft3D, ADCIRC, SMS, etc

SLIM C++ based code

FVCOM F90/95 based code

source: http://fvcom.smast.umassd.edu

source: http://sites.uclouvain.be/slim/

Page 6: Coastal process modelling for evaluating EbA strategies to ...€¦ · Coastal process modelling for evaluating EbA strategies to climate change in the Pacific F. Andutta, S. Lee,

Essential features for the coastal model component: i. I am setting up initially Finite-Volume Coastal Ocean Model FVCOM

and Second-generation Louvain-la-Neuve Ice-ocean Model SLIM.

ii. We aim to use high resolution of topography and bathymetry for simulations of storm surge.

iii. Good descriptions of the sediment distribution, and thus better representation of the roughness coefficient applied into the models.

iv. Tides from Topex with verification and validation.

v. Wind forcings from CFSR or another reliable wind model.

vi. Boundary forcings from HYCOM and Mercartor, which will be compared against measurements in the coastal zone.

Page 7: Coastal process modelling for evaluating EbA strategies to ...€¦ · Coastal process modelling for evaluating EbA strategies to climate change in the Pacific F. Andutta, S. Lee,

Efate

Tanna

Global Etopo data (topography and bathymetry) Horizontal resolution (~2 Km)

We will obtain higher

resolution bathymetry around the islands and

inside the bay.

Page 8: Coastal process modelling for evaluating EbA strategies to ...€¦ · Coastal process modelling for evaluating EbA strategies to climate change in the Pacific F. Andutta, S. Lee,

Mele Bay in Efate

We will be using an unstructured mesh in simulations with FVCOM and SLIM3D

Page 9: Coastal process modelling for evaluating EbA strategies to ...€¦ · Coastal process modelling for evaluating EbA strategies to climate change in the Pacific F. Andutta, S. Lee,

Mele Bay

HR topography from SRTM 30 m grid (closer view)

SRTM vertical accuracy??

10m!!!!

What are the implications?

Page 10: Coastal process modelling for evaluating EbA strategies to ...€¦ · Coastal process modelling for evaluating EbA strategies to climate change in the Pacific F. Andutta, S. Lee,

The wave hindcast evaluated the wave conditions around Efate between 1979 and 2013. (http://gsd.spc.int/wacop/)

Four seasons

Period Direction Height

buoy

Wave climate hindcast of Efate (CSIRO model)

Page 11: Coastal process modelling for evaluating EbA strategies to ...€¦ · Coastal process modelling for evaluating EbA strategies to climate change in the Pacific F. Andutta, S. Lee,

Wave climate using buoy measurements (Efate)

Bottom stress from SGW model can be applied into sediment transport model. However, extreme events must be considered!!!!!

Period, Direction, Height

Page 12: Coastal process modelling for evaluating EbA strategies to ...€¦ · Coastal process modelling for evaluating EbA strategies to climate change in the Pacific F. Andutta, S. Lee,

The wave hindcast evaluated the wave conditions around Tanna between 1979 and 2013. (http://gsd.spc.int/wacop/)

Four seasons

Period Direction Height

Wave climate hindcast of Tanna (CSIRO model)

Page 13: Coastal process modelling for evaluating EbA strategies to ...€¦ · Coastal process modelling for evaluating EbA strategies to climate change in the Pacific F. Andutta, S. Lee,

(Mellor et al., 2008) Incorporated into FVCOM, but under analysis. The structure used in FVCOM is different

from orthogonal curvilinear models. Therefore, interpolations may caused some errors.

Finite-Volume approach

source: ntl.bts.gov

Hydro-sed-wave model

Page 14: Coastal process modelling for evaluating EbA strategies to ...€¦ · Coastal process modelling for evaluating EbA strategies to climate change in the Pacific F. Andutta, S. Lee,

Partitioning of your mesh (MPI) MPI using METIS Libraries in FVCOM and SLIM

Page 15: Coastal process modelling for evaluating EbA strategies to ...€¦ · Coastal process modelling for evaluating EbA strategies to climate change in the Pacific F. Andutta, S. Lee,

Efate-model (tidal currents)

Page 16: Coastal process modelling for evaluating EbA strategies to ...€¦ · Coastal process modelling for evaluating EbA strategies to climate change in the Pacific F. Andutta, S. Lee,

Efate-model (tidal currents)

Page 17: Coastal process modelling for evaluating EbA strategies to ...€¦ · Coastal process modelling for evaluating EbA strategies to climate change in the Pacific F. Andutta, S. Lee,

Efate-model (tidal currents)

Page 18: Coastal process modelling for evaluating EbA strategies to ...€¦ · Coastal process modelling for evaluating EbA strategies to climate change in the Pacific F. Andutta, S. Lee,

Efate-model (tidal currents)

Page 19: Coastal process modelling for evaluating EbA strategies to ...€¦ · Coastal process modelling for evaluating EbA strategies to climate change in the Pacific F. Andutta, S. Lee,

Efate-model (tidal currents)

Page 20: Coastal process modelling for evaluating EbA strategies to ...€¦ · Coastal process modelling for evaluating EbA strategies to climate change in the Pacific F. Andutta, S. Lee,

Efate-model (tidal currents)

Page 21: Coastal process modelling for evaluating EbA strategies to ...€¦ · Coastal process modelling for evaluating EbA strategies to climate change in the Pacific F. Andutta, S. Lee,

Efate-model (tidal currents)

Page 22: Coastal process modelling for evaluating EbA strategies to ...€¦ · Coastal process modelling for evaluating EbA strategies to climate change in the Pacific F. Andutta, S. Lee,

Efate-model (tidal currents)

Page 23: Coastal process modelling for evaluating EbA strategies to ...€¦ · Coastal process modelling for evaluating EbA strategies to climate change in the Pacific F. Andutta, S. Lee,

Tanna-model (tidal currents)

Page 24: Coastal process modelling for evaluating EbA strategies to ...€¦ · Coastal process modelling for evaluating EbA strategies to climate change in the Pacific F. Andutta, S. Lee,

Tanna-model (tidal currents)

Page 25: Coastal process modelling for evaluating EbA strategies to ...€¦ · Coastal process modelling for evaluating EbA strategies to climate change in the Pacific F. Andutta, S. Lee,

Tanna-model (tidal currents)

Page 26: Coastal process modelling for evaluating EbA strategies to ...€¦ · Coastal process modelling for evaluating EbA strategies to climate change in the Pacific F. Andutta, S. Lee,

Tanna-model (tidal currents)

Page 27: Coastal process modelling for evaluating EbA strategies to ...€¦ · Coastal process modelling for evaluating EbA strategies to climate change in the Pacific F. Andutta, S. Lee,

Tanna-model (tidal currents)

Page 28: Coastal process modelling for evaluating EbA strategies to ...€¦ · Coastal process modelling for evaluating EbA strategies to climate change in the Pacific F. Andutta, S. Lee,

Tanna-model (tidal currents)

Page 29: Coastal process modelling for evaluating EbA strategies to ...€¦ · Coastal process modelling for evaluating EbA strategies to climate change in the Pacific F. Andutta, S. Lee,

Thanks for watching Questions ?

Acknowledgement to Tamara Rouse and you all for your time!