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CNN - Brexit: Six Months On Survey METHODOLOGY NOTE ComRes interviewed 2048 GB adults aged 18+ online between 15 th and 18 th December 2016. Data were weighted to be representative of all GB adults aged 18+. Data were also weighted by past vote recall to the EU referendum result. ComRes is a member of the British Polling Council and abides by its rules. All press releases or other publications must be checked with ComRes before use. ComRes requires 48 hours to check a press release unless otherwise agreed. To commission a voting intention poll or a public opinion survey please contact [email protected] To register for Pollwatch, a monthly newsletter update on the polls, please email: [email protected]
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CNN - Brexit: Six Months On Survey - Savanta ComRes...13% 9% 17% 15% 16% 12% 10% 12% 13% 8% 12% 15% 17% 11% 11% Page 5 EU Referendum Survey ONLINE Fieldwork: 15th - 18th December 2016

Jul 30, 2020

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Page 1: CNN - Brexit: Six Months On Survey - Savanta ComRes...13% 9% 17% 15% 16% 12% 10% 12% 13% 8% 12% 15% 17% 11% 11% Page 5 EU Referendum Survey ONLINE Fieldwork: 15th - 18th December 2016

CNN - Brexit: Six Months On Survey

METHODOLOGY NOTE

ComRes interviewed 2048 GB adults aged 18+ online between 15th and 18th December 2016. Data were weighted to be representative of

all GB adults aged 18+. Data were also weighted by past vote recall to the EU referendum result. ComRes is a member of the British

Polling Council and abides by its rules.

All press releases or other publications must be checked with ComRes before use. ComRes requires 48 hours to check a press

release unless otherwise agreed.

To commission a voting intention poll or a public opinion survey please contact [email protected]

To register for Pollwatch, a monthly newsletter update on the polls, please email: [email protected]

Page 2: CNN - Brexit: Six Months On Survey - Savanta ComRes...13% 9% 17% 15% 16% 12% 10% 12% 13% 8% 12% 15% 17% 11% 11% Page 5 EU Referendum Survey ONLINE Fieldwork: 15th - 18th December 2016

Employment SectorSocial GradeAgeGenderPri-vatePublicDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

87325943448155457949630337634731021610699792048Unweighted base

88427550044655155145929536533635523810519972048Weighted base

41414614614428631716792143154184152440453893Remain47%53%29%32%52%58%36%31%39%46%52%64%42%45%44%

3919829126821119727518519314312645494472967Leave44%36%58%60%38%36%60%63%53%43%36%19%47%47%47%

6621462643301211233132368857145Did not vote7%8%9%6%8%5%3%4%6%9%9%15%8%6%7%

96125665541113181129Prefer not to say1%2%2%1%1%1%1%2%1%*3%1%2%1%1%

555351-3271211414Don't know1%2%1%1%1%*-1%*2%*1%1%*1%

Page 1

EU Referendum SurveyONLINE Fieldwork: 15th - 18th December 2016

Absolutes/col percentsTable 1Q.1 Thinking back to the Referendum on whether Britain should remain a member of the European Union, or leave the European Union,how did you vote back in June this year?Base: All respondents

Prepared by ComRes

Page 3: CNN - Brexit: Six Months On Survey - Savanta ComRes...13% 9% 17% 15% 16% 12% 10% 12% 13% 8% 12% 15% 17% 11% 11% Page 5 EU Referendum Survey ONLINE Fieldwork: 15th - 18th December 2016

EU Referendum VoteRegionEastWestYorkshire &

LeaveRemainSouth WestSouth EastLondonEasternMidlandsMidlandsHumbersideNorth WestNorth EastNET: EnglandWalesScotlandTotal

9788931673002421821531852022318117431131922048Unweighted base

9678931802862701981511841742358617661041782048Weighted base

-8936713012875546977112437544297893Remain-100%37%45%47%38%35%38%44%48%50%43%40%54%44%

967-91138112109829287101348455170967Leave100%-51%48%41%55%54%50%50%43%40%48%49%39%47%

--1915211210169187128107145Did not vote--11%5%8%6%7%9%5%8%8%7%10%4%7%

--23912113225-329Prefer not to say--1%1%3%1%2%1%1%1%2%1%-2%1%

---11235-1-131*14Don't know---**1%2%3%-*-1%1%*1%

Page 2

EU Referendum SurveyONLINE Fieldwork: 15th - 18th December 2016

Absolutes/col percentsTable 1Q.1 Thinking back to the Referendum on whether Britain should remain a member of the European Union, or leave the European Union,how did you vote back in June this year?Base: All respondents

Prepared by ComRes

Page 4: CNN - Brexit: Six Months On Survey - Savanta ComRes...13% 9% 17% 15% 16% 12% 10% 12% 13% 8% 12% 15% 17% 11% 11% Page 5 EU Referendum Survey ONLINE Fieldwork: 15th - 18th December 2016

Employment SectorSocial GradeAgeGenderPri-vatePublicDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

87325943448155457949630337634731021610699792048Unweighted base

88427550044655155145929536533635523810519972048Weighted base

3909029025720820428318619213612339491468959If I were able to vote44%33%58%58%38%37%62%63%52%41%35%16%47%47%47%now, I would vote to

Leave the EU

42816016315330131115191145167202172464464928If I were able to vote48%58%33%34%55%56%33%31%40%50%57%72%44%47%45%now, I would vote to

Remain in the EU

6625463742362518283330279666161Don't know7%9%9%8%8%7%5%6%8%10%8%12%9%7%8%

Page 3

EU Referendum SurveyONLINE Fieldwork: 15th - 18th December 2016

Absolutes/col percentsTable 2Q.2 For each of these pairs of statements, please select the one that comes closest to your viewBase: All respondents

Prepared by ComRes

Page 5: CNN - Brexit: Six Months On Survey - Savanta ComRes...13% 9% 17% 15% 16% 12% 10% 12% 13% 8% 12% 15% 17% 11% 11% Page 5 EU Referendum Survey ONLINE Fieldwork: 15th - 18th December 2016

EU Referendum VoteRegionEastWestYorkshire &

LeaveRemainSouth WestSouth EastLondonEasternMidlandsMidlandsHumbersideNorth WestNorth EastNET: EnglandWalesScotlandTotal

9788931673002421821531852022318117431131922048Unweighted base

9678931802862701981511841742358617661041782048Weighted base

8685097136108111738983108388425265959If I were able to vote90%6%54%48%40%56%48%48%48%46%44%48%50%36%47%now, I would vote to

Leave the EU

4979769130147715975701144477947102928If I were able to vote5%89%38%46%54%36%39%41%40%48%51%44%45%58%45%now, I would vote to

Remain in the EU

494614201516202120135144611161Don't know5%5%8%7%6%8%13%11%12%6%5%8%6%6%8%

Page 4

EU Referendum SurveyONLINE Fieldwork: 15th - 18th December 2016

Absolutes/col percentsTable 2Q.2 For each of these pairs of statements, please select the one that comes closest to your viewBase: All respondents

Prepared by ComRes

Page 6: CNN - Brexit: Six Months On Survey - Savanta ComRes...13% 9% 17% 15% 16% 12% 10% 12% 13% 8% 12% 15% 17% 11% 11% Page 5 EU Referendum Survey ONLINE Fieldwork: 15th - 18th December 2016

Employment SectorSocial GradeAgeGenderPri-vatePublicDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

87325943448155457949630337634731021610699792048Unweighted base

88427550044655155145929536533635523810519972048Weighted base

33912011111622226110464111138155139349362711The UK should hold a38%44%22%26%40%47%23%22%30%41%44%58%33%36%35%second Referendum once

the terms of leavingthe EU have beenestablished

447124305262262247297197218157144645275491076The UK should leave the51%45%61%59%48%45%65%67%60%47%41%27%50%55%53%EU without the need for

another vote

99328368674358353641563517586261Don't know11%11%17%15%12%8%13%12%10%12%16%15%17%9%13%

Page 5

EU Referendum SurveyONLINE Fieldwork: 15th - 18th December 2016

Absolutes/col percentsTable 3Q.2 For each of these pairs of statements, please select the one that comes closest to your viewBase: All respondents

Prepared by ComRes

Page 7: CNN - Brexit: Six Months On Survey - Savanta ComRes...13% 9% 17% 15% 16% 12% 10% 12% 13% 8% 12% 15% 17% 11% 11% Page 5 EU Referendum Survey ONLINE Fieldwork: 15th - 18th December 2016

EU Referendum VoteRegionEastWestYorkshire &

LeaveRemainSouth WestSouth EastLondonEasternMidlandsMidlandsHumbersideNorth WestNorth EastNET: EnglandWalesScotlandTotal

9788931673002421821531852022318117431131922048Unweighted base

9678931802862701981511841742358617661041782048Weighted base

64588601001086050516292256083469711The UK should hold a7%66%33%35%40%30%33%28%36%39%30%34%32%39%35%second Referendum once

the terms of leavingthe EU have beenestablished

784223941501311138198901225092956901076The UK should leave the81%25%52%52%49%57%54%53%52%52%58%53%54%51%53%EU without the need for

another vote

119822737312620352221112291419261Don't know12%9%15%13%12%13%13%19%13%9%13%13%13%11%13%

Page 6

EU Referendum SurveyONLINE Fieldwork: 15th - 18th December 2016

Absolutes/col percentsTable 3Q.2 For each of these pairs of statements, please select the one that comes closest to your viewBase: All respondents

Prepared by ComRes

Page 8: CNN - Brexit: Six Months On Survey - Savanta ComRes...13% 9% 17% 15% 16% 12% 10% 12% 13% 8% 12% 15% 17% 11% 11% Page 5 EU Referendum Survey ONLINE Fieldwork: 15th - 18th December 2016

Employment SectorSocial GradeAgeGenderPri-vatePublicDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

87325943448155457949630337634731021610699792048Unweighted base

88427550044655155145929536533635523810519972048Weighted base

5271693142943353403242182421851861296336501284People who favoured the60%61%63%66%61%62%71%74%66%55%52%54%60%65%63%UK remaining in the EU

are trying to preventthe UK from Leaving theEU

196567174128127794663718458178222400People who favoured the22%20%14%17%23%23%17%15%17%21%24%24%17%22%20%UK remaining in the UK

are not trying toprevent the UK fromLeaving the EU

16150114788884563260808551239125365Don't know18%18%23%18%16%15%12%11%17%24%24%21%23%13%18%

Page 7

EU Referendum SurveyONLINE Fieldwork: 15th - 18th December 2016

Absolutes/col percentsTable 4Q.2 For each of these pairs of statements, please select the one that comes closest to your viewBase: All respondents

Prepared by ComRes

Page 9: CNN - Brexit: Six Months On Survey - Savanta ComRes...13% 9% 17% 15% 16% 12% 10% 12% 13% 8% 12% 15% 17% 11% 11% Page 5 EU Referendum Survey ONLINE Fieldwork: 15th - 18th December 2016

EU Referendum VoteRegionEastWestYorkshire &

LeaveRemainSouth WestSouth EastLondonEasternMidlandsMidlandsHumbersideNorth WestNorth EastNET: EnglandWalesScotlandTotal

9788931673002421821531852022318117431131922048Unweighted base

9678931802862701981511841742358617661041782048Weighted base

80539712118716313592115121141471122601011284People who favoured the83%44%67%65%60%68%61%62%70%60%55%64%58%57%63%UK remaining in the EU

are trying to preventthe UK from Leaving theEU

653123453613030333048183372934400People who favoured the7%35%19%18%22%15%20%18%17%21%20%19%28%19%20%UK remaining in the UK

are not trying toprevent the UK fromLeaving the EU

961842547463330362346213071543365Don't know10%21%14%16%17%17%20%20%13%20%24%17%15%24%18%

Page 8

EU Referendum SurveyONLINE Fieldwork: 15th - 18th December 2016

Absolutes/col percentsTable 4Q.2 For each of these pairs of statements, please select the one that comes closest to your viewBase: All respondents

Prepared by ComRes

Page 10: CNN - Brexit: Six Months On Survey - Savanta ComRes...13% 9% 17% 15% 16% 12% 10% 12% 13% 8% 12% 15% 17% 11% 11% Page 5 EU Referendum Survey ONLINE Fieldwork: 15th - 18th December 2016

Employment SectorSocial GradeAgeGenderPri-vatePublicDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

87325943448155457949630337634731021610699792048Unweighted base

88427550044655155145929536533635523810519972048Weighted base

2991001731711991891951341341049866329403732Leaving the EU should34%36%35%38%36%34%43%45%37%31%28%28%31%40%36%mean that the UK leaves

the European SingleMarket

369127182142239279181101150144159106394447841The UK should remain in42%46%36%32%43%51%39%34%41%43%45%45%38%45%41%the European Single

Market even it leavesthe EU

2164714513311384836081889866327148475Don't know24%17%29%30%21%15%18%20%22%26%28%28%31%15%23%

Page 9

EU Referendum SurveyONLINE Fieldwork: 15th - 18th December 2016

Absolutes/col percentsTable 5Q.2 For each of these pairs of statements, please select the one that comes closest to your viewBase: All respondents

Prepared by ComRes

Page 11: CNN - Brexit: Six Months On Survey - Savanta ComRes...13% 9% 17% 15% 16% 12% 10% 12% 13% 8% 12% 15% 17% 11% 11% Page 5 EU Referendum Survey ONLINE Fieldwork: 15th - 18th December 2016

EU Referendum VoteRegionEastWestYorkshire &

LeaveRemainSouth WestSouth EastLondonEasternMidlandsMidlandsHumbersideNorth WestNorth EastNET: EnglandWalesScotlandTotal

9788931673002421821531852022318117431131922048Unweighted base

9678931802862701981511841742358617661041782048Weighted base

5071907694967753626467306205359732Leaving the EU should52%21%42%33%36%39%35%34%37%28%35%35%51%33%36%mean that the UK leaves

the European SingleMarket

2575336812111571557273116277193785841The UK should remain in27%60%38%42%43%36%36%39%42%49%31%41%36%48%41%the European Single

Market even it leavesthe EU

2031703572585043503652294261434475Don't know21%19%20%25%22%25%29%27%21%22%34%24%14%19%23%

Page 10

EU Referendum SurveyONLINE Fieldwork: 15th - 18th December 2016

Absolutes/col percentsTable 5Q.2 For each of these pairs of statements, please select the one that comes closest to your viewBase: All respondents

Prepared by ComRes

Page 12: CNN - Brexit: Six Months On Survey - Savanta ComRes...13% 9% 17% 15% 16% 12% 10% 12% 13% 8% 12% 15% 17% 11% 11% Page 5 EU Referendum Survey ONLINE Fieldwork: 15th - 18th December 2016

Employment SectorSocial GradeAgeGenderPri-vatePublicDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

87325943448155457949630337634731021610699792048Unweighted base

88427550044655155145929536533635523810519972048Weighted base

3849927726321621629717918914012344491480971Britain's long-term43%36%55%59%39%39%65%61%52%42%35%18%47%48%47%economic prospects will

be better outside theEU

34713012310525526311381115133158146360386746Britain's long-term39%47%25%24%46%48%25%27%32%40%45%61%34%39%36%economic prospects will

be worse outside the EU

15346100798072493561637448200131331Don't know17%17%20%18%15%13%11%12%17%19%21%20%19%13%16%

Page 11

EU Referendum SurveyONLINE Fieldwork: 15th - 18th December 2016

Absolutes/col percentsTable 6Q.2 For each of these pairs of statements, please select the one that comes closest to your viewBase: All respondents

Prepared by ComRes

Page 13: CNN - Brexit: Six Months On Survey - Savanta ComRes...13% 9% 17% 15% 16% 12% 10% 12% 13% 8% 12% 15% 17% 11% 11% Page 5 EU Referendum Survey ONLINE Fieldwork: 15th - 18th December 2016

EU Referendum VoteRegionEastWestYorkshire &

LeaveRemainSouth WestSouth EastLondonEasternMidlandsMidlandsHumbersideNorth WestNorth EastNET: EnglandWalesScotlandTotal

9788931673002421821531852022318117431131922048Unweighted base

9678931802862701981511841742358617661041782048Weighted base

8398997134109113779386105348485567971Britain's long-term87%10%54%47%40%57%51%50%49%45%40%48%53%38%47%economic prospects will

be better outside theEU

40648641091196237476284366193690746Britain's long-term4%73%35%38%44%31%24%26%35%36%42%35%35%51%36%economic prospects will

be worse outside the EU

881561943422438442646162981320331Don't know9%17%11%15%15%12%25%24%15%20%18%17%12%11%16%

Page 12

EU Referendum SurveyONLINE Fieldwork: 15th - 18th December 2016

Absolutes/col percentsTable 6Q.2 For each of these pairs of statements, please select the one that comes closest to your viewBase: All respondents

Prepared by ComRes

Page 14: CNN - Brexit: Six Months On Survey - Savanta ComRes...13% 9% 17% 15% 16% 12% 10% 12% 13% 8% 12% 15% 17% 11% 11% Page 5 EU Referendum Survey ONLINE Fieldwork: 15th - 18th December 2016

Employment SectorSocial GradeAgeGenderPri-vatePublicDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

87325943448155457949630337634731021610699792048Unweighted base

88427550044655155145929536533635523810519972048Weighted base

401144169172264293174114133154178144451447898I expect Brexit will45%52%34%39%48%53%38%39%37%46%50%61%43%45%44%make me personally

worse off financially

2185712511912912312877101747740225271496I expect Brexit will25%21%25%27%23%22%28%26%28%22%22%17%21%27%24%make me personally

better off financially

264742051551591351581041311089954374279654Don't know30%27%41%35%29%25%34%35%36%32%28%23%36%28%32%

Page 13

EU Referendum SurveyONLINE Fieldwork: 15th - 18th December 2016

Absolutes/col percentsTable 7Q.2 For each of these pairs of statements, please select the one that comes closest to your viewBase: All respondents

Prepared by ComRes

Page 15: CNN - Brexit: Six Months On Survey - Savanta ComRes...13% 9% 17% 15% 16% 12% 10% 12% 13% 8% 12% 15% 17% 11% 11% Page 5 EU Referendum Survey ONLINE Fieldwork: 15th - 18th December 2016

EU Referendum VoteRegionEastWestYorkshire &

LeaveRemainSouth WestSouth EastLondonEasternMidlandsMidlandsHumbersideNorth WestNorth EastNET: EnglandWalesScotlandTotal

9788931673002421821531852022318117431131922048Unweighted base

9678931802862701981511841742358617661041782048Weighted base

1666606712413283567481104447654291898I expect Brexit will17%74%37%43%49%42%37%40%47%44%51%43%40%51%44%make me personally

worse off financially

416585175675625464449224362733496I expect Brexit will43%7%28%26%25%28%17%25%25%21%26%25%26%19%24%make me personally

better off financially

3851756287716071644881205653654654Don't know40%20%35%30%26%30%47%35%28%35%23%32%34%30%32%

Page 14

EU Referendum SurveyONLINE Fieldwork: 15th - 18th December 2016

Absolutes/col percentsTable 7Q.2 For each of these pairs of statements, please select the one that comes closest to your viewBase: All respondents

Prepared by ComRes

Page 16: CNN - Brexit: Six Months On Survey - Savanta ComRes...13% 9% 17% 15% 16% 12% 10% 12% 13% 8% 12% 15% 17% 11% 11% Page 5 EU Referendum Survey ONLINE Fieldwork: 15th - 18th December 2016

Employment SectorSocial GradeAgeGenderPri-vatePublicDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

87325943448155457949630337634731021610699792048Unweighted base

88427550044655155145929536533635523810519972048Weighted base

4811253132682892632951771961751751155635711134I would expect54%45%63%60%53%48%64%60%54%52%49%48%54%57%55%immigration to decrease

when the UK leaves theEU

2941141071172022301238412211812483325330655If Britain leaves the33%41%21%26%37%42%27%29%33%35%35%35%31%33%32%EU it will not have

much impact onimmigration

109367962605841334643554016396259Don't know12%13%16%14%11%11%9%11%13%13%15%17%16%10%13%

Page 15

EU Referendum SurveyONLINE Fieldwork: 15th - 18th December 2016

Absolutes/col percentsTable 8Q.2 For each of these pairs of statements, please select the one that comes closest to your viewBase: All respondents

Prepared by ComRes

Page 17: CNN - Brexit: Six Months On Survey - Savanta ComRes...13% 9% 17% 15% 16% 12% 10% 12% 13% 8% 12% 15% 17% 11% 11% Page 5 EU Referendum Survey ONLINE Fieldwork: 15th - 18th December 2016

EU Referendum VoteRegionEastWestYorkshire &

LeaveRemainSouth WestSouth EastLondonEasternMidlandsMidlandsHumbersideNorth WestNorth EastNET: EnglandWalesScotlandTotal

9788931673002421821531852022318117431131922048Unweighted base

9678931802862701981511841742358617661041782048Weighted base

760292109160142115851061071214098457931134I would expect79%33%61%56%53%58%56%58%61%51%46%56%54%52%55%immigration to decrease

when the UK leaves theEU

1264835691985945464780365573563655If Britain leaves the13%54%31%32%36%30%30%25%27%34%41%32%34%35%32%EU it will not have

much impact onimmigration

811171436292522322135112241223259Don't know8%13%8%13%11%12%14%17%12%15%13%13%12%13%13%

Page 16

EU Referendum SurveyONLINE Fieldwork: 15th - 18th December 2016

Absolutes/col percentsTable 8Q.2 For each of these pairs of statements, please select the one that comes closest to your viewBase: All respondents

Prepared by ComRes

Page 18: CNN - Brexit: Six Months On Survey - Savanta ComRes...13% 9% 17% 15% 16% 12% 10% 12% 13% 8% 12% 15% 17% 11% 11% Page 5 EU Referendum Survey ONLINE Fieldwork: 15th - 18th December 2016

Employment SectorSocial GradeAgeGenderPri-vatePublicDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

87325943448155457949630337634731021610699792048Unweighted base

88427550044655155145929536533635523810519972048Weighted base

20865776913612243305365109103235169404I am nervous about the23%24%15%15%25%22%9%10%14%19%31%43%22%17%20%reception I would get

if I visited otherEuropean countriesbecause of the Leavevote

562178320287348359330223258220187956007141314I am not nervous about64%65%64%64%63%65%72%76%71%65%53%40%57%72%64%the reception I would

get if I visited otherEuropean countriesbecause of the Leavevote

11532103916770864255515839215115331Don't know13%12%21%20%12%13%19%14%15%15%16%17%21%12%16%

Page 17

EU Referendum SurveyONLINE Fieldwork: 15th - 18th December 2016

Absolutes/col percentsTable 9Q.2 For each of these pairs of statements, please select the one that comes closest to your viewBase: All respondents

Prepared by ComRes

Page 19: CNN - Brexit: Six Months On Survey - Savanta ComRes...13% 9% 17% 15% 16% 12% 10% 12% 13% 8% 12% 15% 17% 11% 11% Page 5 EU Referendum Survey ONLINE Fieldwork: 15th - 18th December 2016

EU Referendum VoteRegionEastWestYorkshire &

LeaveRemainSouth WestSouth EastLondonEasternMidlandsMidlandsHumbersideNorth WestNorth EastNET: EnglandWalesScotlandTotal

9788931673002421821531852022318117431131922048Unweighted base

9678931802862701981511841742358617661041782048Weighted base

792922972614718303540163472432404I am nervous about the8%33%16%25%23%24%12%16%20%17%19%20%23%18%20%reception I would get

if I visited otherEuropean countriesbecause of the Leavevote

735496126171164119109119107159581132661161314I am not nervous about76%56%70%60%61%60%72%64%61%68%67%64%63%65%64%the reception I would

get if I visited otherEuropean countriesbecause of the Leavevote

1521062643453224363236122871430331Don't know16%12%14%15%17%16%16%19%19%16%14%16%14%17%16%

Page 18

EU Referendum SurveyONLINE Fieldwork: 15th - 18th December 2016

Absolutes/col percentsTable 9Q.2 For each of these pairs of statements, please select the one that comes closest to your viewBase: All respondents

Prepared by ComRes