Climate variability, Climate variability, trends trends and scenarios and scenarios for for Mexico and Argentina Mexico and Argentina . . Cecilia Conde, Marta Cecilia Conde, Marta Vinocur, Carlos Gay, Vinocur, Carlos Gay, Roberto Seiler. Roberto Seiler. AIACC LA-29 AIACC LA-29 Integrated Assessment of Social Vulnerability and Adaptation to Climate Variability and Change Among Farmers in Mexico and Argentina
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Climate variability, trends and scenarios for Mexico and Argentina .
Climate variability, trends and scenarios for Mexico and Argentina. Cecilia Conde, Marta Vinocur, Carlos Gay, Roberto Seiler. AIACC LA-29. Integrated Assessment of Social Vulnerability and Adaptation to Climate Variability and Change Among Farmers in Mexico and Argentina. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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Climate variability, trends Climate variability, trends and and scenariosscenarios for Mexico and for Mexico and
ArgentinaArgentina..Cecilia Conde, Marta Vinocur, Carlos Cecilia Conde, Marta Vinocur, Carlos
Gay, Roberto Seiler. Gay, Roberto Seiler.
AIACC LA-29AIACC LA-29Integrated Assessment of Social Vulnerability and
Adaptation to Climate Variability and Change Among Farmers in Mexico and Argentina
• “Risk” to whom? to what? Different crop sensitivity
Climate Change scenariosClimate Change scenarios
• Magicc /ScengenMagicc /Scengen outputs– SRES: A2 and B2– Medium and High Sensitivity– Echam, Hadley, GFDL– 2020, 2050 (monthly and seasonal)– Temperature and Precipitation
• Simple interpolation in 1ºx1º grid (Mexico).• For study sites: scatter plots (simple interpolation)• Downscaling techniques for Veracruz (Mexico).
No SRES. 2xCO2
C. Conde, A. Tejeda, C. Gay, O. Sánchez*, R. Araujo, B. Palma, Vinocur.