Climate Prediction Applications Science Workshop Bill Proenza Regional Director National Weather Service Southern Region Tallahassee March 9, 2004.

Climate Prediction Applications Climate Prediction Applications Science WorkshopScience Workshop

Bill ProenzaBill Proenza

Regional DirectorRegional Director

National Weather ServiceNational Weather Service

Southern RegionSouthern Region

TallahasseeTallahasseeMarch 9, 2004March 9, 2004

NW

S S

outh

ern

Reg

ion

WWW.SRH.WEATHER.GOV

Department of Commerce

(NOAA/NWS) and Climate Services

““Decision makers need a reliable Decision makers need a reliable structure and process for receiving structure and process for receiving accurate, timely, relevant climate accurate, timely, relevant climate information to guide them in managing information to guide them in managing resources to maximize the benefits and resources to maximize the benefits and minimize the impacts of climate minimize the impacts of climate variations”. variations”. -- Strategic Plan for 2003-2008-- Strategic Plan for 2003-2008

NW

S S

outh

ern

Reg

ion

WWW.SRH.WEATHER.GOV

National Weather Service:a key climate service partner strategically a key climate service partner strategically

positioned to provide operational climate positioned to provide operational climate services nationwide.services nationwide.

NW

S S

outh

ern

Reg

ion

WWW.SRH.WEATHER.GOV

NWS FIELD OFFICESNWS FIELD OFFICESThe Key in Mission Delivery and Partner Support

Warning & Forecast OfficeRiver Forecast CenterSouthern Region HQRegional Operations Center

BrownsvilleCorpus ChristiHouston / GalvestonAustin / San Antonio

El PasoMidland / OdessaLubbock

Amarillo Norman Tulsa

Ft. Worth / DallasSan Angelo

Warning & Forecast OfficeRiver Forecast CenterSouthern Region HQRegional Operations Center

BrownsvilleCorpus ChristiHouston / GalvestonAustin / San Antonio

El PasoMidland / OdessaLubbock

Amarillo Norman Tulsa

Ft. Worth / DallasSan Angelo

NW

S S

outh

ern

Reg

ion

WWW.SRH.WEATHER.GOV

USA:USA:World’s Most Active Weather!

NW

S S

outh

ern

Reg

ion

WWW.SRH.WEATHER.GOV

WFO Information Flow

Local Weather Forecast OfficesLocal Weather Forecast Offices& Regional Operations Center& Regional Operations Center

Satellite and Buoy Data

Radar DataNCEP

Guidance

National CPCProducts

Upper Air &Surface Obs.

Customer Base

RFCGuidance

Regional Web Farms

CWSU

Storm Spotters

Co-Op Observers

LocalModeling

MesonetData

NW

S S

outh

ern

Reg

ion

WWW.SRH.WEATHER.GOV

The NWS Has An Extensive24x7 Constituency Community Officials and Leaders Community Officials and Leaders State/Local Emergency ManagersState/Local Emergency Managers Local and National Electronic and Printed Local and National Electronic and Printed

MediaMedia Local and State Government AgenciesLocal and State Government Agencies Federal Agencies (e.g. FEMA, FAA, Federal Agencies (e.g. FEMA, FAA,

NASA, DOD, etc.) and Congressional NASA, DOD, etc.) and Congressional RepresentativesRepresentatives

The American PublicThe American Public

NW

S S

outh

ern

Reg

ion

WWW.SRH.WEATHER.GOV

32 Southern Region WFOs

Each with a Climate Service Focal PointEach with a Climate Service Focal Point Each with a Data Collection TeamEach with a Data Collection Team Data stewards for 2635 Co-Op sites Data stewards for 2635 Co-Op sites

24x724x7 Oversee 213 ASOS sitesOversee 213 ASOS sites Produce and disseminate daily climate Produce and disseminate daily climate

productsproducts Maintain local climate webpagesMaintain local climate webpages

NW

S S

outh

ern

Reg

ion

WWW.SRH.WEATHER.GOV

Benefits of NWS Field Office Climate Services Delivery

Efficient, existing 24x7 monitoring and Efficient, existing 24x7 monitoring and disseminationdissemination

Local area expertiseLocal area expertise Knowledge of local customers needs Knowledge of local customers needs Rapport and Outreach with key decision Rapport and Outreach with key decision

makersmakers Active partnerships with State Active partnerships with State

Climatologists, Regional Climate Climatologists, Regional Climate Centers, Universities, etc.Centers, Universities, etc.

NW

S S

outh

ern

Reg

ion

WWW.SRH.WEATHER.GOV

WFOs will serve as local experts to localize and refine national CPC products

NW

S S

outh

ern

Reg

ion

WWW.SRH.WEATHER.GOV

Experimental Tulsa, OK Mean Temperature Outlook for MAM 2004

Locally Developed Products –WFO TSA Long Range Site

Specific Outlook

NW

S S

outh

ern

Reg

ion

WWW.SRH.WEATHER.GOV

Some Regional/local WFO initiatives

12/97:12/97: WFO MLB MIC and SR Director brief WFO MLB MIC and SR Director brief Florida Emergency Management community Florida Emergency Management community and media on the likelihood of more severe and media on the likelihood of more severe convective storms, etc. based on convective storms, etc. based on strengthening El Nino episode.strengthening El Nino episode.

2/98:2/98: The most significant tornado outbreak in The most significant tornado outbreak in Florida history took place across central Florida history took place across central Florida.Florida.

The timely briefing and increased awareness The timely briefing and increased awareness are cited as reasons for the Gold Medal are cited as reasons for the Gold Medal

awarded to WFO MLB in 1998.awarded to WFO MLB in 1998.

NW

S S

outh

ern

Reg

ion

WWW.SRH.WEATHER.GOV

Regional/Local WFO Initiatives

3/99:3/99: SRH joins the Texas State Drought Response and SRH joins the Texas State Drought Response and Monitoring Committee as a fully-functioning member.Monitoring Committee as a fully-functioning member.

Summer 1999:Summer 1999: SR Director joins, then Governor, SR Director joins, then Governor, George W. Bush in a press briefing on drought.George W. Bush in a press briefing on drought.

7/00:7/00: Southern Region reorganizes and establishes the Southern Region reorganizes and establishes the ClimateClimate, Water, and Weather Division, Water, and Weather Division

10/02:10/02: The Southern Region, led by WFO MLB MIC The Southern Region, led by WFO MLB MIC conducts two workshops for all Florida Emergency conducts two workshops for all Florida Emergency Managers at the state EOC on the impact of the Managers at the state EOC on the impact of the moderate 2002 El Nino.moderate 2002 El Nino.

1/03:1/03: A dedicated Climate Service Program Manager A dedicated Climate Service Program Manager position is added in SRH to oversee SR climate position is added in SRH to oversee SR climate services team and program.services team and program.

NW

S S

outh

ern

Reg

ion

WWW.SRH.WEATHER.GOV

The 1997-1998 El Nino resulted in US Economic

Impact of $25 Billion

NW

S S

outh

ern

Reg

ion

WWW.SRH.WEATHER.GOV

Locally Developed Products –WFO MLB Experimental Dry Season Precip Forecast

NW

S S

outh

ern

Reg

ion

WWW.SRH.WEATHER.GOV

Your Local WFO Internet Site Your Local WFO Internet Site Disseminates Climate 24x7Disseminates Climate 24x7

Serves as a one-stop source of weather Serves as a one-stop source of weather and climate information.and climate information.

Developed with the both - partners and Developed with the both - partners and general users - in mindgeneral users - in mind Easy navigationEasy navigation Data given in the manner you need it.Data given in the manner you need it.

Increases public visibility of NWS services Increases public visibility of NWS services and accessibility to NWS servicesand accessibility to NWS services

NW

S S

outh

ern

Reg

ion

WWW.SRH.WEATHER.GOV

NWS SR Internet Site

Forecasts obtained by either Forecasts obtained by either postal zip codepostal zip code, , city/state city/state searchsearch, or by , or by point and click point and click mapsmaps

Weather Information in Weather Information in clear, concise formatclear, concise format

Emphasizes local weather Emphasizes local weather expertiseexpertise

www.srh.weather.govwww.srh.weather.gov

NW

S S

outh

ern

Reg

ion

WWW.SRH.WEATHER.GOV

NWS Internet Pinpoint Forecastsand Climate Services

Quick Forecast Quick Forecast InformationInformation

Current WeatherCurrent WeatherConditionsConditions

Latest Weather AdvisoriesLatest Weather Advisories

Radar and SatelliteRadar and Satellite

Quick Forecast TextQuick Forecast Text

Local Climate Services

NW

S S

outh

ern

Reg

ion

WWW.SRH.WEATHER.GOV

“…“…government closest to the government closest to the people, governs best.”people, governs best.”

- President George W. Bush- President George W. Bush

The National Weather Service The National Weather Service performance epitomizes this concept of performance epitomizes this concept of

local services:local services:

Government closest to the Government closest to the people, serves bestpeople, serves best

NW

S S

outh

ern

Reg

ion

WWW.SRH.WEATHER.GOV

Questions?Questions?

[email protected]@noaa.gov

(817) 978-1000 (817) 978-1000

Would you like copies of the slides?Would you like copies of the slides?

Go To:Go To: www.www.srhsrh.weather..weather.govgov

At Left Margin Click on: At Left Margin Click on:

Welcome from the DirectorWelcome from the Director

At Left Margin Click on:At Left Margin Click on:

““Climate WorkshopClimate Workshop””