1 Climate-Change-Induced Human Migration: The Necessity of Collective Global Action Raphael J. Nawrotzki, Mioara Diaconu, and Sharon Pittman Andrews University, Berrien Springs, MI 2009 Accepted pre-typeset version of the following article: Nawrotzki, R. J., Diaconu, M., & Pittman, S. (2009). Climate change induced human migration: The necessity of collective global action. Global Studies Journal, 2(1), 43-56.
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Climate-Change-Induced Human Migration: The Necessity of
Collective Global Action
Raphael J. Nawrotzki, Mioara Diaconu, and Sharon Pittman
Andrews University, Berrien Springs, MI
2009
Accepted pre-typeset version of the following article:
Nawrotzki, R. J., Diaconu, M., & Pittman, S. (2009). Climate change induced
human migration: The necessity of collective global action. Global
Studies Journal, 2(1), 43-56.
2
Climate-Change-Induced Human Migration: The Necessity of
Collective Global Action
Abstract The current period in history has been aptly termed “the age of globalization.”
This age is characterized by an increasing interconnectedness where positive as
well as negative events originating in one country may have a world-wide impact.
For example, the financial crisis of 2008 originated in the banking system of the
U.S.A. but affected the majority of the countries of this globe. The same is true
for anthropogenic climate change as a result of an increase in greenhouse gas
emission by industrialized countries which now compromises the well-being of
the world’s most vulnerable populations. These high risk Least Developed
Countries (LDCs) struggle to adapt to climatic changes like desertification and
rising sea level that force human migration in search for survival. The chaos of
this migration often precipitates violence and security crises that require
humanitarian and proactive collective global action. It is the goal of this paper to
explore the interface between climate change, conflict, and human migration
based on current research findings and case studies. Further, the two concepts of
environmental migrant and environmental refugee are presented and problems
with the terminology and the legal status of the vulnerable people groups are
discussed. Possible future migration patterns and their global impact are also
examined. Additionally, the phenomenon called ‘abrupt climate change’ is
explored. The article concludes with a set of recommendations targeting
governmental and humanities interventions on how best to mitigate climate
change induced migration with collective global action.
Keywords Human Migration, Climate Change, Environmental Migrant, Environmental
Refugee, Least Developed Countries, Emission Scenarios
3
Climate-Change-Induced Human Migration: The Necessity of
Collective Global Action
Introduction The current period in history has been appropriately termed “the Age of
Globalization” (Rahman Khan & Riskin, 2001). Trade liberalization, the high
degree of mobility, and the development of high technological communication
techniques have resulted into the emergence of global markets (Faulkner, 2002).
As a result, the world has become a “global village” (Barclay, 1998) and the
effects of disruptions in the markets or political arenas caused in some countries
are now felt by numerous other countries regardless of the distance between them.
For example, the financial crisis of 2008 that originated in the banking system of
the United States of America had a global impact (Landler, 2008). This
phenomenon is not limited to the economic field. It can also relate to
environmental issues like global climate change.
Over the past decade the awareness level about global warming has
steadily gained prominence in public debates. The possible influences of climate
change have been widely discussed by both amateurs and experts alike (Gore,
2006; Brown et al., 2007; Birkmann, 2007; Kaplan, 2008). The fourth assessment
report of the International Panel of Climate Change (IPCC) added additional
momentum to the global public awareness movement (IPCC, 2007). The IPCC
defined the root causes for global warming as an atmospheric abundance of
greenhouse gases and aerosols in solar radiation and in land surface properties.
The panel also suggested that these influences alter the energy balance of the
climate system and cause a variety of disturbing natural phenomena like increased
desertification, more severe droughts, floods, tropical cyclones, more frequent
wildfires, rising sea levels and melting glaciers (Solomon et al., 2007).
As is the case with the global market, changes in the climate system are
currently very likely to wreak havoc on the entire planet. However, not every
nation is able to cope with climate change by using sophisticated technology and
expansive capital resources. People in Least Developed Countries (LDCs) are
particularly vulnerable. According to the office of the United Nations High
Commissioner of Human Rights, people living in these countries are more prone
to suffer first and most from climate change (UNHR, 2007), even though they
have contributed the least to its emergence (Huq et al., 2003). Our discussion here
will focus only on countries defined as LDCs by the United Nations in the World
Statistics Pocket Book (United Nations New York, 2003) and how their response
to climatic events may affect the whole world. Most of the 50 countries listed as
LDCs are found in sub-Saharan Africa, whereas a few others are located in Asia
and on small islands in Oceania.
A common strategy of humans to escape the consequences of a changing
climate, such as malnutrition, disease, or even death, is human migration
(Kniveton et al., 2008). As early as 1990 the IPCC stated that human migration
might be the greatest single impact of climate change (Brown, 2008). Massive
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human migration is in many respects problematic and may have significant global
impacts.
It is the goal of this article to explore the interface between climate change
and human migration in LDCs. Possible future scenarios for migration patterns
are examined in a global context. Furthermore, the concepts of environmental
migrants/refugees, the importance of good governance, the necessity for support
from the international community, and the importance of raising social awareness
are discussed. The article concludes with a set of recommendations on how to
mitigate climate change induced migration with collective global action.
The Impact of Climate Change on LDCs Global warming and climate change affect different LDCs in a variety of
ways. In Bangladesh, for example, approximately 150 million people live at sea
level. In 2004 excessive rains caused severe flooding that killed 600 people and
displaced over 20 million people (POST, 2006). It is predicted that over the
course of the twenty-first century, the partial melting of ice in Greenland and
Antarctica will cause a constant rise in sea level, which will result in an
inundation of a substantial part of Bangladesh with salt water (Kaplan, 2008).
Small island states like Kirbati are also affected severely by the rising sea level
and total inundation is likely to occur in the next few years (Offman, 2008).
Increasing vulnerability, in regions of Africa, precipitation has declined
about 3-4% during the period of 1960-1998 (Malhi & Wright, 2004). In particular,
the West African Sahel region (Guinea, Mali, Burkina Faso & Niger) has
experienced widespread and persistent droughts often forcing migration and
displacement (Agnew & Chappell, 1999). In East and Southern Africa, countries
like Mozambique and Zambia are struggling with unusual severe floods that
started in December, 2007, and caused outbreaks of infectious diseases like
cholera (Schatz, 2008). Global warming has also been credited with facilitating
major famine crises in Ethiopia and other North Eastern African regions. These
famines have displaced millions and caused significant loss of life because of
starvation (Broad & Agrawala, 2000; Salama et al., 2001).
Climate change had been credited with increasing both the force and
frequency of tropical cyclones (Webster et al., 2005). For instance in May, 2008,
cyclone Nargis hit Myanmar. It killed thousands of people and destroyed the
majority of the rice fields. Survivors of the cyclone faced severe food shortage
and tried to escape to bordering countries such as India and Thailand, which
created regional tensions (Rice, 2008).
Besides food scarcity, water shortage has become increasingly problematic
in other parts of the Asian continent. Nepalese people face growing problems
because of decreased quality and quantity of water due to melting of the
Himalayan glaciers and decrease in snow cover (Chalise et al., 2003). This effect
decreases both the drinking water supply and the agricultural output due to
reduced irrigation capacity.
Listed above are only a few examples that present the impact of climate
change on LDCs. The environmental degradation and the effects of natural
disasters are taking a higher toll on LDCs, due to the fact that they are depending
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more than other countries on the environment for their livelihood. Moreover,
because these countries depend more on the environment, they are more
vulnerable to changes (Reuveny, 2005). When confronted with the effects of
climate change, such as floods, famines, or droughts, people living in developed
countries are more likely to use adaptation techniques and technologies than
people living in LDCs, who more often than not have no other choice but to leave
the disaster prone areas and migrate to safer places (Kniveton et al., 2008).
Links between Climate Change, Conflict, and Migration There are numerous different consequences of climate change including
conflicts (e.g., civil unrest, tribal war), and human migration. The following are
two examples that demonstrate the association between conflicts and human
migration:
1. Conflict in the region/country of origin: In many parts of the world,
climate change often leads to the deterioration of environmental conditions and
therefore resource scarcity, which in turn leads to conflict that results in groups of
people fleeing the conflict areas (Gleditsch et al., 2007; CNA, 2007). This fact is
acknowledged by numerous researchers in the field, who agree that it is likely that
the reduced resources aggravate stress factors and fuel existing conflicts (Homer
Dixon, 2008; Christian Aid, 2007). These stress-inducers are diverse and
encompass ecological, institutional, economical, political, and cultural problems
that can cause violence when accumulated (Homer Dixon, 2008; Smith &
Vivekananda, 2007).
2. Conflict in the host region/country of settlement: In this case climate
change leads to resource scarcity, which in itself forces people to leave their
homes and migrate to other regions of their own country or to neighboring
countries. Huge numbers of migrants may cause conflict in the areas where they
decide to settle (Gleditsch et al., 2007; Smith & Vivekananda, 2007). In these
circumstances, the environmental refugees could either become the aggressors or
the victims in the conflict. They can cause the conflict by attempting to claim land
belonging to indigenous residents or they can also become the victims of crime,
violence, and broader militarized conflict due to their vulnerability (Purvis &
Busby, 2004)
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Figure 1. The association between conflicts and human migration due to climate
change resulting from resource scarcity.
When the environmental refugees decide to relocate into urban centers, an
accelerated urbanization process would take place. This would lead to the increase
in urban poverty, which in turn would lead to an increase in criminal activities and
conflicts (Smith & Vivekananda, 2007). These urban conflicts often remain
internationally unnoticed and take the form of insurgency, rebellion, and civil
unrest. (Homer Dixon, 2008). Another social consequence of climate change is
the disturbing of the traditional socio-cultural balance of a specific region. This
happens primarily when the environmental refugees decide to settle in areas
populated by people with a different ethnic/religious/tribal background. Thus,
environmental migration may exacerbate inter-generational or social friction
(Reuveny, 2005; CNA, 2007). By adding poor governance, poverty, and easy
access to weapons to this scenario, an explosive situation could arise (Brown,
2008).
Climate change could also lead to regional and international terrorist
activities. This opinion is supported by Admiral Adam Lopez. He points out that
the environmental refugees who are poor and have lost their homes and
livelihoods are more receptive to the message of extremists and terrorist groups
who would provide ways to channel their frustration towards open violence or
guerrilla warfare (CNA, 2007; Reuveny, 2005; Smith & Vivekananda, 2007). In
order to illustrate the consequences of climate change to the international security,
Sindico (2005) outlines a scenario in which climate change could trigger a
situation that the UN Security Council might see as a threat to the international
peace. For example, an unexpected rise in the sea level in the Ganges Delta might
result in a great number of environmental migrants fleeing from Bangladesh to
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India, similar to the events during the second half of the last century (Smith &
Vivekananda, 2007). India will not be able to deal peacefully with so many
environmental migrants and open conflict might arise. In this case, key allies may
need to become involved and major powers could join the dispute (Reuveny,
2005).
Case Studies that Underpin the Logical Link:
Fingar (2008) pointed out that climate-induced tensions due to water stress
and resource scarcity are a major contributing factor to the instability in many
LDCs in Africa. Several notable cases from this continent typify the vulnerability
for other global regions as well:
The United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) has well
documented the environment catastrophe in Darfur, Sudan. Climate
change induced desertification resulted in the loss of grazing land and
forced nomads, mostly Arabs, to migrate southward in search of water and
herding ground. The results were bloody conflicts with the farming Dinka
tribes that were indigenous to this region. The combination of population
growth and tribal, ethnic and religious differences were exacerbated by the
competition for land, and turned to violence (UNEP, 2007; CNA, 2007).
Huge numbers of people have fled the conflicts and migrated to Chad
where these refugees in turn caused more violence and disruption in an
already fragile country (Smith & Vivekananda, 2007).
In Somalia, alternating droughts and floods led to migration of varying
size and speed, and created prolonged instability. Struggles that first
appeared to be tribal, sectarian, or nationalist in nature were triggered by a
reduction in agricultural productivity or water supplies (CNA, 2007).
Droughts in Mali damaged the pastoral livelihoods of the semi-nomadic
Tuareg which caused massive migration and eventually resulted in the
“Second Tuareg Rebellion” (Stern, 2007).
In Rwanda, cropland scarcity in combination with many other factors led
to the 1994 genocide (Homer Dixon, 2008) and the related migration of
thousands of people fleeing the revenge violence (Power, 2002).
Droughts have caused conflict between Ugandan and Kenyan pastoralists
in 2006, which led Ethiopian troops to move up north to stop Somalis
crossing the border in search of pasture and water for their livestock
(Christian Aid, 2006).
Possible Future Scenarios Using examples from recent events, we have discussed the critical links
among climate change, conflict, and human migration. What does this mean for
our global future? Computer-based climate modeling can provide an answer to
this question. Despite dramatic progress in meteorological science, climate
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predictions are still loaded with uncertainty. Nevertheless, it can be very valuable
to simulate possible scenarios in order to anticipate, prepare, and develop
programs for proactive adaptation to emergent changes.
IPCC Emission Scenarios
In 2000, the IPCC produced a Special Report on Emission Scenarios
(SRES). Four different “storylines”, labeled A1, A2, B1, B2, were described
based on different demographic, social, economic, technological, and
environmental development (Nakicenovic et al., 2000). Only the best and the
worst scenario and its implications on migration pattern are compared in the
following.
The best scenario is the B1 storyline which describes a convergent world
with a global population that peaks in mid-century and declines thereafter. This
scenario assumes a rapid change in economic structures towards a service and
information-oriented economy and the introduction of clean and resource-efficient
technologies. The emphasis lies on global solutions and sustainability but without
additional climate initiatives (IPCC, 2007). But, even for this bright future, an
increase in mean temperature of 1.8 °C, and a sea level rise of 0.18 – 0.38 m is
projected for the end of the century (IPCC, 2007). This small scale change will
result in a decrease of 20-30% in water availability with a sharp decline in crop
yield of 5-10% in some vulnerable regions such as Southern Africa (Stern, 2007).
On the other hand, a rise in sea levels of 10 centimeters could result in flooding of
most of Bangladesh (IOM, 2008). Thus, Brown (2008) predicts a globally
increased migration of 5 to10%.
The worst scenario is the A1F1 scenario, which is one of three possible
sub-groups of the A1 storyline. It assumes that the world’s economy continues to
rely heavily on fossil energy for economical and industrial development. In
general, the A1 scenario describes a very rapid economic growth, and a global
population that would peak mid-century. Also, the rapid introduction of more
efficient technologies is projected. It is assumed that an increased social and
cultural interaction takes place (IPCC, 2007). For this scenario, an increase of
mean temperature of approximately 4°C and a sea level rise between 0.26 and
0.59 m is likely by the end of the century (IPCC, 2007). An increase of 4°C in
mean temperature is likely to decrease the water availability in Southern Africa by
30-50% with an agricultural yield decline of 15-35% (Stern, 2007). The result will
be that large areas of the Sahel region could become permanently uninhabitable
(Brown, 2008). This may result in a massive migration of Africans to Europe and
will cause increased social and economic stress on the affected European nations
(CNA, 2007). In general, many authors expect that global water shortages will
become the major problem affecting millions of people and may lead to war and
mass migration (Christian Aid, 2007; DCDC, 2007; Shindell, 2007; Brown,
2008). In summary, under conditions of the A1F1 scenario, climate change has
the potential to displace huge numbers of people ranging from 200 million
(Brown, 2008) up to 1 billion (Lovell, 2008) by the year 2050.
Even though the A1F1 scenario seems to be very dismal, it is possible that
the reality may be even more dramatic. There are many factors that could easily
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worsen this worst scenario. First, the described SRES scenarios B1 and A1F1 are
both assuming that the global population will peak mid-century at about 9 billion
people and decline thereafter. However, research shows that it is more likely that
the world will face a constant growing population especially in the LDCs (PRB,
2007). A constant growing population could result in aggressive economic
competition, increased consumption, and might lead to intensive exploitation and
pressure on resources of all kinds (DCDC, 2007). All of this creates the fertile
ground for increased conflicts and mass migration. A second variable that is not
included in the above discussed scenarios are so called “feedback mechanisms”
which may lead to abrupt climate change.
Abrupt Climate Change
Abrupt climate changes are especially dangerous because they do not give
the human societies enough time to adapt (Steffen et al., 2004). Feedback
mechanisms, as shown in Figure 2, may play a major role in triggering abrupt
changes. For example, a decrease in snow cover will lead to a decrease in the
amount of solar radiation reflected back to space. Less reflection means more
absorption of thermal energy which leads to rising temperatures and a further
reduction in snow cover (Kniveton et al., 2008). Another feedback mechanism is
related to water vapor. Water vapor is a powerful greenhouse gas that absorbs
outgoing long-wave radiation. Absorption of thermal energy causes warming. An
even warmer atmosphere will cause more water to evaporate and so on (Staudt et
al., 2008).
Figure 2. Feedback mechanism that may lead to abrupt climate change. Left:
Snow cover feedback mechanism. Right: Water vapor feedback mechanism.
Climate homeostasis can be forced to a point where it suddenly flips into
another state. These points are collectively known as “tipping points” (Kniveton
et al., 2008). Tipping points could be the shutdown of the Gulf Stream in the
Atlantic (Gleditsch et al., 2007; Schwartz & Randall, 2003), the dying of the
Amazon tropical rainforest, or the collapse of the ice sheets in Greenland and the
west Antarctic. These could cause a sea level rise of up to 7 m (IPCC, 2007),
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inundation of at least 4 million km2 of land mass, and would force 5% of the
world’s population to migrate (Stern, 2007). Small island LDCs could be severely
impacted. For example, most of the land mass of Kiribati, the Maldives, and
Tuvalu are lower than 4 m above mean sea level (Watson et al., 1998; Nicholls &
Mimura, 1998) and would be totally inundated in the case of the rapid melting of
Greenland’s ice sheets.
In summary, it is considered that these scenarios of abrupt climatic
changes might result in “societal collapse, mega-migration, intensifying
competition for much diminished resources and widespread conflict” (DCDC,
2007, p. 79). We can hope the best but we must realistically plan for the worst!
Discussion Climate change is a matter of fact and already affecting millions of people
in numerous countries. Hosting a socially responsible discussion that intentionally
and preventatively explores solutions to mitigate this eminent crisis suggests key
roles for a variety of stakeholders.
The Role of Governments
Often times the non-climatic drivers increase the seriousness of climatic
conditions and put already vulnerable people in marginal situations (Brown, 2008;
Pielke et al., 2007). The most important factor in this regard is the involvement of
governments. Stern (2007) points out that the exact numbers of people who will
actually be forced to migrate will strongly depend on the level of investment,
planning, and resources the government is willing and able to devote to help
people adapt to challenges that come with climatic changes.
Poor governance: Particularly weak government institutions with
marginal economies do not have the capacity to provide the needed help to
households. Such societies have a high risk of being destabilized by climate
change. In this destabilized state, natural calamities will often end up as large-
scale humanitarian disasters (Purvis & Busby, 2004). For example, Nnoaham
(2008) links the fact that the climate change induced drought in Malawi caused
such a high death toll to poor governance in the Malawi leadership.
Sometimes governments are not only neutral entities that are unable to
help, but rather are responsible for the plight of the people in the first place. Often
these governments further exploit farmers in their already poor situations which
may lead to violent struggles and large-scale migration (Smith & Vivekananda,
2007).
Good governance: The best remedy to mitigate the problems of climate
change is a stable, well-organized government with adequate technological and
financial power. For example, when nations provide good governance in water
management during drought conditions, tensions may be reduced or even avoided
(Sindico, 2005). Furthermore, a government may enhance the situation of people
through policies about land distribution, resource management, and land use
guidelines (IOM, 2008).
Renaud et al. (2007) mentions that higher education, good access to
information, and the ownership of properties decreases the probability of
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migration. In addition, Purvis and Busby (2004) note that democratic systems are
important to stabilize a country and can significantly increase the resilience
towards adverse climate impacts. For example, Mali with its democratic
government has been able to cope with droughts and food insecurity much better
than Chad with its highly corrupt leadership (Smith & Vivekananda, 2007).
Global Collective Action
The United Nation’s system should be empowered to provide
humanitarian aid for environmental refugees/migrants (Bogardi, 2007). Also, a
UN agency could be awarded the power to distribute the climate migrants equally
among member nations, which would moderate the stress that a large number of
migrants could cause for a single country. In addition, King (2006) proposes the
establishment of an International Coordinating Mechanism (ICM) for
environmentally displaced persons that can address all problem areas of the
migration issue. This may include interventions such as prevention, preparedness,
mitigation, rehabilitation, and resettlement. ICM could also coordinate the work
of all other international organizations that currently focus on various facets of the
problem.
Offman (2008) reports that there is a growing number of scholars, NGOs,
and activists claiming that industrialized nations owe the displaced persons some
form of restitution which could be in the form of aid or human offsetting. It would
be socially responsible of the carbon-producing nations to accept and assimilate
these climate change refugees. This proposal of a Global Restitution Fund (GRF)
could be a solution for people from small island states such as Tuvalu that are
desperately looking for ways to evacuate because of the constant rising sea level
(POST, 2006). The supervision of such a program would best be administered by
a UN agency.
The four task categories of providing humanitarian aid, coordinating the
migrant flow and distribution, as well as oversight of the ICM and the GRF,
would be most efficiently served when centralized in a single UN agency. Thus,
the time may have come to put the suggestion of Purvis and Busby (2004) into
practice and create a new UN office of High Commissioner for the Environment.
This officer could be made responsible for all measures and policies dealing with
climate change and environmental issues, especially migration.
Environmental Migrants vs. Environmental Refugees
A major problem is that climate change displaced people are not
recognized under international law and are therefore invisible. Often they fall
through the cracks of international refugee and immigration policies (Brown,
2008). This issue should be addressed by establishing a sound terminology and
intervention mandate for these vulnerable groups of people. In subject-related
literature, the term “environmental refugee” and “environmental migrant” are
used frequently. These two constructs could be instrumental in designing future
mitigation programs.
Environmental refugee: The concept of environmental refugees is not new
and entered common usage after the UNEP published a paper titled
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Environmental Refugees (El-Hinnawi, 1985). The author defined environmental
refugees as “those people who have been forced to leave their traditional habitat,
temporarily or permanently, because of a marked environmental disruption
(natural and/or triggered by people) that jeopardized their existence and/or
seriously affected the quality of their life” (El-Hinnawi, 1985, p.4 cited in Bates,
2002). Two decades later, the Millennium Ecosystem Assessment project also
recognized the existence of environmental refugees (Safriel et al., 2005)
Environmental migrant: The International Organization for Migration
defined “environmental migrants” as “persons or groups of persons who, for
compelling reasons of sudden or progressive changes in the environment that
adversely affect their lives or living conditions, are obliged to leave their habitual
homes, or choose to do so, either temporarily or permanently, and who move
either within their country or abroad” (Kniveton et al., 2008, p. 31).
The difference between the two definitions lies in the conditions for the
displacement. Refugees have no choice to leave their homes whereas migrants
still have some freedom for making this decision. In order to clarify the
differences between refugees and migrants, Renaud et al. (2007) suggests the
following subdivision in categories with different underlying attitudes.
1a) Environmentally motivated migrants: “pre-empting the worst”
1b) Environmentally forced migrants: “avoiding the worst”
2) Environmental refugees: “fleeing the worst”
A problem with the terms “refugee” and “migrant” is that they imply that a
person has crossed an internationally recognized border. But most people,
displaced by climate change, are likely to stay within their own borders and are
therefore Internal Displaced Persons (IDPs) who are not covered by the definition
(Hugo, 2008). Therefore, we suggest adding a third category labeled
Environmentally Internal Displaced Persons (EIDPs). These three categories may
be a great starting point to establish and implement a framework to provide
environmental migrants and refugees with the needed legal recognition.
Adaptation
The best way to prevent mass migrations is to help people adapt to
changes. This could be done, for example, by providing new technology such as
drought resistant crops (Bei et al., 2008) or improved early warning systems such
as the Famine Early Warning System of USAID (Purvis & Busby, 2004).
Furthermore, education is an important means to help people understand the
causes for climate change, the range of possible impacts, and which adaptation
options are applicable to the individual (POST, 2006). However, the coping
strategies for LDCs are often limited because poverty restricts technological
adaptation and further increases vulnerability towards climate change (Gleditsch
et al., 2007; IOM, 2008).
Thus, the expertise and financial power of the UN is needed to help poor
countries to prepare for climate change and mitigate migration (Smith &
Vivekananda, 2007). Technology transfers should be facilitated and funded by
rich, industrialized countries, through which the adaptive capacity of weak LDCs
13
can be enhanced. Governments will then be enabled to better cope with societal
needs and to resist the rise of extremist groups as a proximate result from climate
change induced resource depletion (CNA, 2007). In this way, rich countries could
exchange technology and financial means for global stability and security.
The transfer of technology and the financial support may have an
additional beneficial side-effect in that it generates incentives for young, skilled
workers to stay in their native countries. This group would otherwise be among
the first to migrate, which could precipitate the so-called “braindrain” of a country
(Brown, 2008; Bates, 2002).
Raising the Awareness Level
Currently the available literature about the issue of climate change induced
migration is limited. The lack of research on the environment-migration issue is
due to the fact that migration and environmental scholars work separately rarely
combining their efforts in genuinely interdisciplinary teams (Hugo, 2008).
Another reason for the limited availability of research data is the lack of
awareness of the climate change induced migration problem among politicians,
policymakers, and the general public (Bogardi, 2007). Improved political
recognition and expanded institutional support are needed to persuade funding
organizations to accept related research topics and to fund more longitudinal
investigations.
Renaud et al. (2007) also recommends that environmental forced migrants
should be included in the work of the IPCC. This would raise additional attention
towards the urgency of the climate change migration issues. This could sound the
alarm for mobilizing global collective action while providing a scientific basis for
featuring and administering effective and intentional worldwide interventions.
Also, underscored should be the fact that it is important to publically
polish up the reputation of environmental refugees/migrants. Activists need to
raise awareness of the fact that these are, primarily, people who have faced
hardship and great losses rather than people coming to a foreign country to steal
other people’s livelihoods (Renaud et al., 2007).
Conclusion Climate change as a cause for population movement in LDCs cannot be
presented exclusively as the problem of each individual country. The
environmental pressures like severe storms, rising sea levels, and desertification
have been caused partly by forces (greenhouse gas emission) located outside the
LDCs. These impacts have consequences which extend beyond the borders of the
LDCs. Migration is a logical and common immediate response to climate change,
yet may cause catastrophic humanitarian and security issues. These threats have
global implications that call for deliberate and decisive collective action on behalf
of the entire international community. In summary we can make a difference by:
Encouraging the formation of stable democratic governments in LDCs that
focus on just policies, resource management, education of its people, and
provide good access to information;
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Empowering the UN to provide more humanitarian aid, coordinate the
migrant flow, and distribute migrants among countries;
Centralizing oversight of a potential International Coordination
Mechanism as well as for the Global Restitution Fund in a UN agency
under a newly created office of High Commissioner for the Environment;
Establishing and implementing a framework to provide environmentally
displaced persons with the needed legal recognition;
Building adaptive capacity within LDCs by means of technology transfer
and financial support to effectively prevent “braindrain” or the emergence
of extremist groups; and finally,
Raising the level of public awareness about the problem of climate change
induced migration in order to make more funding available for research
projects, increase sensitivity among the general public, and to improve
social acceptance of environmental refugees and/or migrants.
Global climate change is not likely to be halted soon even if drastic
measures reduce current carbon dioxide emissions because of the inertia in the
global climate system. We can expect the impact of environmental disasters to
continue to increase and produce more environmental refugees/migrants. This
approaching crisis offers only disastrous scenarios; yet, it provides a unique
opportunity for working together to craft a brighter future of unity in our
commitments and directives for collective global action.
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