Climate Change Effects on Water Resources and Aquatic Ecosystems Paul K. Barten, Ph.D., Professor, University of Massachusetts Amherst Adapting Forested Watersheds to Climate Change – Nat. Inst. of Applied Climate Science Antioch University, Keene, New Hampshire – April 4, 2017 Climate change? Inter-annual variability? Land use effects? Forest influences? Relative effects? Signal? Noise? [Good questions]
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Climate Change Effects on Water Resources and Aquatic Ecosystems
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Climate Change Effects on Water Resources and Aquatic Ecosystems
Paul K. Barten, Ph.D., Professor, University of Massachusetts AmherstAdapting Forested Watersheds to Climate Change – Nat. Inst. of Applied Climate Science
Antioch University, Keene, New Hampshire – April 4, 2017
Climate change?Inter-annual variability?
Land use effects?Forest influences?Relative effects?Signal? Noise?
Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul1963 1964 1965 1966 19672009 2010 2011 2012 2013M
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Dr. Emery BooseSenior Investigator
Information Manager
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1 Oct-30 Nov 2009 7 Apr-7 Jun 2010
P – ET – Q ±ΔS = 0AET ≈ P – Q (water year, ΔS → 0)
Precipitation (P) 1,095 mmWater yield (Q) 510 mm
Est. Actual ET (P-Q) 585 mm
Nelson Brook Q = 509 mmE.B. Swift River Q = 510 mm
r = 0.96
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Nelson Brook Weir: 1 October-30 November 2009 …15 minute interval data
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Inst
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Nelson Brook Weir: 7 April-7 June 2010 …15 minute interval data
Atmosphere↑↓
Forest↑↓
Tree↑↓
Leaf↑↓
Stomata↑↓
Xylem & phloem↑↓
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Trees are highly evolved, adaptable organisms—not passive wicks. Spencer Woodlot
Conway, Mass.
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Inst
anta
neou
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harg
e (li
ters
/sec
ond)
Nelson Brook Weir: 7 April-7 June 2010 …15 minute interval data
0
1
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4 MT MT MT MT MT MT
42 28 49(W/m2)
PAR
336 mmRain
Climate change?Inter-annual variability?
Land use change?Signal? Noise?
[Good questions]
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12/1/2009 1/1/2010 2/1/2010 3/1/2010 4/1/2010
Snow
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12/1/2009 1/1/2010 2/1/2010 3/1/2010 4/1/2010
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m/d
ay)
Climate change?Inter-annual variability?
Land use change?Signal? Noise?
[Good questions]
Climate change?Inter-annual variability?
Land use effects?Forest influences?Relative effects?Signal? Noise?
[Good questions]
Civil and Environmental Engineering DepartmentSyracuse University
The interacting hydrologic responses to changing climate, watershed physical characteristics, river regulation, and land development in the northeastern
United States
PhD Dissertation
Rouzbeh BertonMay 2017
Berton, R., C.T. Driscoll, P.K. Barten, and J.L. Campbell. (in preparation) Climate change and land use effects on streamflow discharge and timing.