Climate Change and Wildlife David King Northern Research Station USFS Umass Amherst, MA
Welcome message from author
This document is posted to help you gain knowledge. Please leave a comment to let me know what you think about it! Share it to your friends and learn new things together.
Transcript
Climate Change and Wildlife
David King Northern Research Station USFS
Umass Amherst, MA
Presentation scope • “Wildlife”
– As designated by DeGraaf and Yamasaki • Birds (226) • Mammals (65) • Reptiles (29) • Amphibians (23)
• New England
Temperature influences distribution
Root 1988
35 km north 66 m up
Auer and King 2014
Prediction – Latitudinal and elevational shifts
35 km north 66 m up
Auer and King 2014
Prediction – Latitudinal and elevational shifts
Threats from climate change
Staudinger et al. 2013
• Temperature extremes • Habitat shifts and alteration • Drought • Flooding
Habitat shifts and alteration Case Study: Spruce-fir birds
Lambert et al. 2005
Bicknell’s thrush Yellow-bellied Flycatcher Magnolia Warbler
King et al. 2008
Habitat shifts and alteration Case Study: Spruce-fir birds
Beckage et al. 2008
Habitat shifts and alteration Case Study: Spruce-fir birds
Elevational shifts in NH Consistent with predictions
DeLuca et al. In Review
Elevational shifts in NH Consistent with predictions
Hamburg and Cogbill 1988
Elevational shifts in SF Contrary to predictions
DeLuca et al. In Review
Elevational shifts in SF Contrary to predictions
Foster and D’Amato 2015
Interactive effects Elevation shifts, predators, mast and CO2
DeLuca 2013
Interactive effects Elevation shifts, predators, mast and CO2
DeLuca 2013
Interactive effects Elevation shifts, predators, mast and CO2
DeLuca 2013
Duclos et al. In Prep.
Species Distribution
Climate H1
Direct vs. indirect effects
Duclos et al. In Prep.
Species Distribution
Climate
Vegetation
H2
H1
H2
Direct vs. indirect effects
Rines 2015
Direct vs. indirect effects
Strong et al. In Prep.
Direct vs. indirect effects
Pauli et al. 2013
Loss of nivian/subnivian
Increased predation
Increased predation
Thompson 2007
Cox et al. 2013
Increased predation
Thompson 2007
Both et al. 2006
Laney et al. 2015
Phenological mismatch
Disturbance and succession
Smetzer, King and Schlossberg 2014.
Drought
Brooks 2004
Jones and Sievert 2009
Flooding
Flooding
Lowe 2012
Conclusions and discussion • Shifts observed with latitude and elevation
– Consider landscape context and local relief
Conclusions and discussion • Shifts observed with latitude and elevation
– Consider landscape context and local relief • Impacts on habitat and hydrology
– Manage for resistance/resilience
Conclusions and discussion • Shifts observed with latitude and elevation
– Consider landscape context and local relief • Impacts on habitat and hydrology
– Manage for resistance/resilience • Climate impacts complex and interactive
– Limits species-specific planning/mitigation
Conclusions and discussion • Shifts observed with latitude and elevation
– Consider landscape context and local relief • Impacts on habitat and hydrology
– Manage for resistance/resilience • Climate impacts complex and interactive
– Limits species-specific planning/mitigation • Adopt strategies robust to uncertainty
– “low regrets” – Adaptive approach
Conclusions and discussion • Shifts observed with latitude and elevation
– Consider landscape context and local relief • Impacts on habitat and hydrology
– Manage for resistance/resilience • Climate impacts complex and interactive
– Limits species-specific planning/mitigation • Adopt strategies robust to uncertainty
– “low regrets” – Adaptive approach
• Research and monitoring – Identify priorities/vulnerabilities – Management effectiveness
Questions?
Related Documents
