1 Helitech Portugal – 5 th 7 th October 2010 Clean Sky 2 Consultation REGIONAL AIRCRAFT Prepared by: ALENIA AERMACCHI & EADS CASA Presented by: Alessandro Amendola, Vito Perrupato (ALENIA AERMACCHI) Pedro Luis Rubio de la Plaza (EADS-CASA) BRUXELLES, 11th December 2012
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Clean Sky 2 Consultation · Clean Sky 2 Consultation REGIONAL AIRCRAFT Prepared by: ALENIA AERMACCHI & EADS CASA ... and Embraer (Brazil). Traditional European aircraft manufacturers
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1
Helitech Portugal – 5th 7th October 2010
Clean Sky 2 Consultation
REGIONAL AIRCRAFTPrepared by: ALENIA AERMACCHI & EADS CASA
• Role of regional aviation in the european and world transport system
• Market perspectives and growth expectation
2. THE BENEFITS OF THE REGIONAL PLATFORMS IN THE FRAME OF HORIZON2020
• Environmental Targets
• Societal Benefits
• European Industrial Competitiveness
3. PROGRAM MANAGEMENT
• Leadership and partnership
• Work Breakdown Structure
• Risk Management
• Dissemination
• Schedule
4. HI-LEVEL TECHNICAL CONTENTS
• Main Technological Areas
• From Clean Sky GRA to Clean Sky2 Regional Project
• Technical Requirements / Objectives
• Flight Demonstration Program
• Ground Demonstration Program
5. PRELIMINARY IDENTIFICATION OF “OPEN WORK”
6. CONCLUSION
3
PRESENTATION OUTLINE
1. THE REGIONAL AVIATION
• Role of regional aviation in the european and world transport system
• Market perspectives and growth expectation
2. THE BENEFITS OF THE REGIONAL PLATFORMS IN THE FRAME OF HORIZON2020
• Environmental Targets
• Societal Benefits
• European Industrial Competitiveness
3. PROGRAM MANAGEMENT
• Leadership and partnership
• Work Breakdown Structure
• Risk Management
• Dissemination
• Schedule
4. HI-LEVEL TECHNICAL CONTENTS
• Main Technological Areas
• From Clean Sky GRA to Clean Sky2 Regional Project
• Technical Requirements / Objectives
• Flight Demonstration Program
• Ground Demonstration Program
5. PRELIMINARY IDENTIFICATION OF “OPEN WORK”
6. CONCLUSION
4
About 42% of the totaldepartures are to attribute toRegional air transport
About 26% of the total flownhours are to attribute toRegional air transport
Sources: Lundkvist, Avsoft and OAG
Departures
Regional
Narrow49%
Wide14%
37%
Flown hours
Total World Passenger Fleet – 24350 units
Narrow51%
42%
Wide
7%
Regional
Narrow53%
26%Wide21%
Regional
Regional aviation plays a very important role in Air Transport System (1/2)
Regional fleet (9000 aircraft)accounts for 37% of world fleet
2011
®Alenia Aermacchi Marketing Elaborations
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Fully 88% of airports with scheduled service are
served by regional aircraft.
46% of airports with scheduled service are served by
regional aircraft only.
In the past 10 years the airports operated with both
Regional and Mainliners are increased.
2011
46%
12%
42%
Airports operated by:
Only Regional
Regional&
Mainliners
Only Mainliners
Total World Airports = 3310
Note: airports with passenger scheduled service
Sources: OAG
27%
61%
12%
Airport-pairs operated by:
Only Regional
Regional&
Mainliners
OnlyMainliners
Total World City-pairs = 18822
Note: number of unoriented airport-pairs with passenger scheduled service
Fully 39% of airport-pairs with scheduled service are
served by regional aircraft.
27% of airport-pairs with scheduled service are served
by regional aircraft only.
More than 25% of new routes in the last 10 years are
operated by regional aircraft only.
Regional aviation plays a very important role in Air Transport System (2/2)
®Alenia Aermacchi Marketing Elaborations
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Regional carriers typically operate aircraft, such as regional jets and turboprops, with fewer than 120 seats, on short to medium-haul routes.
Regional airlines mission is focused on operate aircraft to provide passenger air service to places/cities/communities without sufficient demand to attract mainline service.
The regional aircraft market continues to be a key growth sector of the airline industry.
Taking into consideration traffic developed by regional aircraft (capacity ranging in the 30-120 seat segment), in the last year more than 660000 millions ASK (Available Seat Kilometer) were offered worldwide.
Only in Europe regional carriers were able to offer more than 120000 millions ASK to passengers interested short-time intra-continental connections with average distance of 320NM (about 600 km).
Slight less than 200 mln people in the last year flew on regional aircraft within European network.
Regional traffic is expected to triplicate in the next 20 years.
It is forecasted about 9300 new regional aircraft (both turboprop and jet) will be delivered worldwide in the next 20 years for a value of about € 280 Billions (EC 2012), avg. € 14Billions per year.
Regional Aviation – Characteristics and Main Figures
7
12.4
Europe Real GDP*€ Trillions
European Population*Millions of persons
620
Europe GDP per capita*€ per person
20000
European RegionalFleet
1700units
Departures by Regional A/C in Europe
7400 Daily Flights
More than 10 per minute
European Regional Passengers
Million of persons
≈200 per year
Regional A/C European Network
500+ airports
2000+ city pairs
16000+ connections
Airlines operating Regional A/C in Europe
700+ operators(scheduled/not
scheduled)
Europe – Weight of Regional Aviation on Air Transport Systems at Year 2012
European Regional Aviation Turnover
€ 110 Bln
Turnover accounted as sum of passengers revenues, cargorevenues, European aircraft manufacturers sales, services topassengers (parking, intermodal mobility to reach airports, …),MRO, …
Impact on European GDP ≈ 1%
(*Source: Global Insight - Data for Western Europe , Central Europe and Balkans –)
®Alenia Aermacchi Marketing Elaborations
8
The growing regional market is currently leaded by non European actors with the exception ofturboprop manufacturer ATR (50/50 owned by Alenia Aermacchi and EADS).
ATR was the best seller regional aircraft in 2011 thanks to its competitiveness in terms of fuelconsumption and operating costs and thanks also to worldwide support network
For many years European passengers and operators were compelled to fly on regional jet aircraftfrom Bombardier (Canada) and Embraer (Brazil).
Traditional European aircraft manufacturers like Fokker, Fairchild-Dornier, Shorts, Saab and Bae havestopped their regional aircraft production.
New regional program from both emerging and mature countries are ready to enter in service: SSJ100 by Russian Sukhoi; ARJ21 by Chinese AVIC; MRJ by Japanese Mitsubishi Re-engined version of current E-Jets family by Embraer plus a new stretched family member CSeries - Large capacity advanced regional jet by Bombardier
With the entry into the market of above new programs, the role of European regional aviation industryis likely to become more and more marginal. For this reason there is the need to invest in developingnew technologies in order to recover the global leadership.
Regional Aviation – European Role
9
Moreover a future regional aircraft developed using advanced technology will provide numerousbenefits to Europe, considering impact on citizens, passengers, employment and economy:
Greener environment.
Links between remote regions and major centers (almost 90% of EU population live outsidecapital cities).
New point-to-point short haul connections with reduced congestion at major cities.
Higher comfort, higher frequencies, cheaper and overall faster connections.
Greater network flexibility to airlines to improve their competitiveness.
New impulse to European industry to consolidate global leadership in the aeronautic sector.
Technology growth opportunity for new Member States developing industries in a sectorparticularly tailored for them.
Direct and indirect employment and induced economy, particularly in regional centers.
Investing in this wide market area, Europe may secure the same worldwide success achieved by LargeCivil Aircraft.
Regional Aviation – Benefit for Europe
10
1. THE REGIONAL AVIATION
• Role of regional aviation in the european and world transport system
• Market perspectives and growth expectation
2. THE BENEFITS OF THE REGIONAL PLATFORMS IN THE FRAME OF HORIZON2020
• Environmental Targets
• Societal Benefits
• European Industrial Competitiveness
3. PROGRAM MANAGEMENT
• Leadership and partnership
• Work Breakdown Structure
• Risk Management
• Schedule
4. HI-LEVEL TECHNICAL CONTENTS
• Main Technological Areas
• From Clean Sky GRA to Clean Sky2 Regional Project
• Technical Requirements / Objectives
• Flight Demonstration Program
• Ground Demonstration Program
5. PRELIMINARY IDENTIFICATION OF “OPEN WORK”
6. CONCLUSION
11
Innovation inSMEs
BENEFITS OF REGIONAL PLATFORMS
IN THE FRAME OF HORIZON 2020
1. Excellent science
REGIONAL AVIATION is a key factor for the achievement
Regional Fleet Green Evolution – Energy and Cost savings
EnvironmentSocietal Benefit
Competitiveness
Horizon 2020 - Transport
®Alenia Aermacchi Marketing Elaborations
Smart, green and integrated
transport
16
17.6
Europe Real GDP*€ Trillions
Population*Millions of persons
650
European GDP per capita*€ per person
27100
European Regional Fleeta/c number
2000 units
≈550 per year
Europe – Weight of Regional Aviation on Air Transport System at Year 2031
European Regional Aviation Turnover
€ 400 Bln
Turnover accounted as sum of passengers revenues, cargo revenues, European aircraftmanufacturers sales, services to passengers (parking, intermodal mobility to reachairports, …), MRO, …
Impact on European GDP ≈ 2.5%
European Regional Passengers
Million of persons
1.8%
3.3%
5.0%
6.0%Regional Aviat. Traffic
Commercial Aviat. Traffic
World GDP
Eur. GDP
Expected Growth RatesNext 20 years
(*Source: Global Insight - Data for Western Europe , Central Europe and Balkans –)
Over the last 20 years the number of European regional aircraft manufacturers is dramatically decreased.Currently only ATR faces competition from non European OEM as Canadian Bombardier (manufacturing bothturboprop and jet), Brasilian Embraer (only jet) and Russian Sukhoi.
Regional (Jet + TP) aircraft - Historical Deliveries by Manufacturers
70% of
Regional aircraft
delivered by 5European
Manufacturers
Sukhoi
Regional Aircraft Manufacturers – European Role
EnvironmentSocietal Benefit
Competitiveness
Horizon 2020 - Transport
®Alenia Aermacchi Marketing Elaborations
Industrial Leadership
19
Regional aircraft performed the strongest traffic growth in the last 20 years In the next 20 years the air traffic developed by regional aircraft is estimated to triplicate For the next 20 years it is forecasted an average yearly growth rate of 6% vs 5% of total
commercial aviation.
Regional carriers are continuing to buy ever-larger-capacity aircraft, with the once-ubiquitous50-seat regional jets starting to give way to 70-seaters and even 90-seaters. High fuel costs andother factors have made the operation of smaller RJs uneconomic.
Scope clauses once barred the regional partners of major airlines from flying 70-seaters andeven 50-seaters, but financial and competitive pressures eventually forced an easing of theclauses to allow operation of such high capacity aircraft.
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
1991 1995 1999 2003 2007 2011 2015
Average Seats
Average Seats
Trend
Average Seat Capacity of new ordered aircraftRegional Aircraft Traffic – ASK (Billions)
0,0
5,0
10,0
15,0
20,0
25,0
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
Next 20 years6% Average
Yearly Growth
Last 20 years 8.5% Average Yearly Growth
3 times!
Market Assumptions – Regional Traffic Forecast and Capacity Ordered
®Alenia Aermacchi Marketing Elaborations
Industrial Leadership
20
ATR42
ATR72
CRJ900
CRJ700
Q400
ERJ175
SSJ100
ERJ190
ERJ195
CS100
CS300
MRJ70
MRJ90
Q300
EMB175EV
EMB190EV
EMB195EV
EMBStretch EV
Cas
h D
OC
/sea
t (%
)
Cash DOC/trip (%)
Cash DOC COMPARISON @ 130$/Bar Oil Price300 NM Stage Length - Rest Of World Environment - Single Class
0%
0%
Regional Aircraft – CashDOC positioning
Next generation of regional jet, mainly thanks to innovative engines, will outperform current generation regional jet in terms ofCash Operating Costs.
Turboprop OEMs (airframe and engine manufacturers) will be forced to develop new generation of products in order tomaintain current economics saving towards regional jet.
Fuel consumption is key driver, therefore lower weight, engines efficiency, more-electric and more aerodynamic efficiency
-% +%
+%
-%
Trend lines
Current generation Regional Jet
Current generation Turboprop
Next generation Turboprop
Next generation Regional Jet
Figures refer to: Europe/Rest of World Environment 130$/Bar Crude Oil scenario
CS1 and CS2
Industrial Leadership
21
Impact of Clean Sky Technology on EuropeanManufacturers Competitiveness
EnvironmentSocietal Benefit
Competitiveness
Horizon 2020 - Transport
90% 10% 56%25%
9%10%
NON EU Regional Program
EU Regional Program
EU Regional Program
New EU Regional Program
NON EU Regional Program
New NON EU Regional Program
Last 10 years Regional A/C deliveries: 3500 units
(2870 Regional Jet & 630 Turboprop)
Next 20 years Regional A/C deliveries: 9300 units
(6400 Regional Jet & 2900 Turboprop)
Current EU Manufacturers Workforce
about 3000 units Future EU Manufacturers Workforce
8000-9000 units(Current and new programs including resources for
development phase)
®Alenia Aermacchi Marketing Elaborations
Industrial Leadership
22
0
50
100
150
200
250
Impact of Clean Sky Technology on European Manufacturers Competitiveness
EnvironmentSocietal Benefit
Competitiveness
Horizon 2020 - Transport
Current EU Manufacturers Workforce
about 3000 units
Future EU Manufacturers Workforce
8000-9000 units(Current and new programs including
resources for development phase)
Clean Sky fall-out timeframe on turbopropaircraft market demand
Strong competitive pressure from:- Mature market manufacturers new
programs - Emerging countries new players
(China, India, Korea…)
Units
Year
50 seat program
Current 70 seat program
Future 70 seat program
Future 90 seat program
®Alenia Aermacchi Marketing Elaborations
Industrial Leadership
23
PRESENTATION OUTLINE
1. THE REGIONAL AVIATION
• Role of regional aviation in the european and world transport system
• Market perspectives and growth expectation
2. THE BENEFITS OF THE REGIONAL PLATFORMS IN THE FRAME OF HORIZON2020
• Environmental Targets
• Societal Benefits
• European Industrial Competitiveness
3. PROGRAM MANAGEMENT
• Leadership and partnership
• Work Breakdown Structure
• Risk Management
• Dissemination
• Schedule
4. HI-LEVEL TECHNICAL CONTENTS
• Main Technological Areas
• From Clean Sky GRA to Clean Sky2 Regional Project
• Technical Requirements / Objectives
• Flight Demonstration Program
• Ground Demonstration Program
5. PRELIMINARY IDENTIFICATION OF “OPEN WORK”
6. CONCLUSION
24
REGIONAL IADP LEADERSHIP & PARTNERSHIP
IADP Leaders: ALENIA AERMACCHI / EADS CASA
ALENIA AERMACCHI (LEADER)
EADS-CASA (CO-LEADER)
In-Flight Demonstrations Responsibility:
ALENIA AERMACCHI, EADS CASA
Main Core Partners:
Systems Companies, Engine Manufacturer(s), Propeller Manufacturer(s)
Research Center(s) with complex test facilities
Widely open to Partners from:
the EU supply chain within many EU countries, especially those with a regional aircraft integration capability
System requirements, manufacturing requirements, proposed design principles, development of
technologies and solutions(Activities allocated to ITD mainly and IADP)
Requirements, Architecture,
(Activities allocated to
IADP and ITDs)
Continue with the detail design; Models available for starting tooling manufacturing
(Activities allocated to ITD and mainly IADP)
Integration activities, test preparation
(Activities allocated toIADP)
ITD related Test activities
ITD Test evaluation related
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7
ITD Technology Development
Year 8 Year 9
45
PRESENTATION OUTLINE
1. THE REGIONAL AVIATION
• Role of regional aviation in the european and world transport system
• Market perspectives and growth expectation
2. THE BENEFITS OF THE REGIONAL PLATFORMS IN THE FRAME OF HORIZON2020
• Environmental Targets
• Societal Benefits
• European Industrial Competitiveness
3. PROGRAM MANAGEMENT
• Leadership and partnership
• Work Breakdown Structure
• Risk Management
• Dissemination
• Schedule
4. HI-LEVEL TECHNICAL CONTENTS
• Main Technological Areas
• From Clean Sky GRA to Clean Sky2 Regional Project
• Technical Requirements / Objectives
• Flight Demonstration Program
• Ground Demonstration Program
5. PRELIMINARY IDENTIFICATION OF “OPEN WORK”
6. CONCLUSION
46
Regional A/C - Main areas and technologies
More efficient powerplant
•Bleedless engine/aircraft integration
•High temperature nacelle composite structure
• Innovative low power ice protection
•Highly integrated nacelle and associated systems
•Thermal management and energy harvesting
Air Vehicle•Low drag and noise with morphing
wing /winglet, hingeless devices
•Relaxed Stability to reduce trim drag
•Gust effects Active Control
•Advanced Flight Controls
•Low speed / short field performance
optimized wing
Fuselage•Composite fuselage with SHM
•All / More Electric Aircraft
•Thermal Management
•Cabin Systems
•Scraps and EoL recyclingAdvanced Cockpit and Avionics•Optimized Hybrid Multifunctional CFRP cockpit
structure with integrated systems
• New Cockpit Interaction Concepts and functionalities
for pilot reduction workload
• Mission management in a global environment
Maintenance• Simplification of maintenance operations
• Availability improvements
• Wireless centralized maintenance
• Systems heath monitoring
47
REGIONAL A/C - From CS GRA to Clean Sky 2
Full Scale Flying and
GroundDemonstrations
Component Flying Demonstrator
(Structural Panel, Electrical Energy
Management, E-ECS)
Ground Validation tests
Scope : Component, Single Discipline
(E.g. Struct. Component Tests, W/TT, Test Rigs)
Fuselage
Wing
High Integration of Technologies at Aircraft Level
GRA
CS2
In Clean Sky GRA, several Technologies Demonstrated but notfully integrated:• A/C level performance evaluated by engineering methods• Evaluation of Green Impact (yes)• Integration and Flight Testing (limited)• Industrial Impact (no) • Industrial Competitiveness (no )
48
Technical Requirements / Objectives – General
(cont’d)
Scope is to integrate and validate, at aircraft level,advanced technologies for Regional Aircraft so as to:
drastically de-risk their integration on future products
improve the EU worldwide industrial leadership in this sector
Advanced technologies will be from:
Clean Sky: GRA and other ITDs
Clean Sky 2 ITDs, FP8 relevant L2 projects
FP7 relevant projects
National projects
49
To provide continuity to existing CS1 activities and other national
research programs
Analysis of feasibility of new Technologies to de-risk more expensive
aircraft development programmes
A step wise approach for an aircraft development programme with a
starting point integrating technologies in an available production aircraft
configuration with a short entry into flight time schedule, thus being able
to mature and prove in flight test the new technologies in a shorter time.
Technical Requirements / Objectives – General
(cont’d)
50
Use of easy to modify flight demonstrators allow the quick incorporation to
a flight test programme of concurrently developed technologies without
increasing the cost and the overall flight hours
A step wise integration will allow the introduction of technologies and
modifications by flight test campaigns as technologies mature.
The use of more than one demonstrator allows the participation of more
companies and SMEs.
Maintain the European leadership in aircraft design and integration of new
advanced and disruptive systems
Develop and evaluate, validate new green technologies for maintenance
and operation
Technical Requirements / Objectives – General
(cont’d)
51
PRELIMINARY A/C DESIGN
Future Regional Turboprop A/C configuration
Starting from Clean Sky GRA studies, new Top Level A/C and Engine
requirements definition, trade-off studies for breakthrough A/C
configurations, such as an advanced bleedless TP Engine rear
fuselage installation (tractor or pusher configuration), will be
performed in terms of:
Aerodynamic performance (NLW, Low drag with morphing wing)
Advanced Flight Controls System
Systems (All and More Electric).Impacts on configuration and trade-off;
Internal and External Noise;
Propeller studies (involvement of propeller manufacturer is highly desirable)
Engine Pylon studies
Technical Requirements / Objectives
Future Concepts / Preliminary Aircraft Design
52
FLIGHT DEMONSTRATION PROGRAM
Currently, to minimize technical and program risks, two Flying Test Beds are foreseen (modified existing regional a/c, TP engine underwing mounted) for demonstration campaigns of:
In addition, the two flying test beds will be used as environmental survey in order to acquire data for some technology development regarding cabin passengers/crew comfort and equipment life
Wing structure, aerodynamic and loads alleviation flight testing
Advanced Flight Controls and General Systems
Avionics functionalities
FLYING TEST BED #1 FLYING TEST BED #2
53
GROUND DEMONSTRATION PROGRAM
Full Scale Integrated Cockpit:
Structural Tests
Static and fatigue
Dynamic (vibro-acoustic)
Systems Integration
Full Scale Integrated Fuselage:
Structural Tests (static and fatigue)
Systems Integration and thermal tests (*)
Pax Cabin (*) - (*) one barrel (tbc)
Wing:
Structural Tests (static and fatigue)
EMC functionality
Systems Integration
54
GROUND DEMONSTRATION PROGRAM (cont’d)
Flight Simulator for innovative avionics functionalities (starting from Clean Sky GRA)
Iron Bird for innovative FCS integration and permit-to-fly
55
FLIGHT TECHNOLOGIES FOR EFFICIENT AIR VEHICLE
Technical Requirements / Objectives
NEXT GENERATION HI-EFFICIENT
REGIONAL AIRCRAFT
AERODYNAMIC• Wing Laminar Flow • Induced drag optimization (Optimized Wingtip)• Adaptive wing and winglets (including morphing)• Passive Aerodynamic Solutions• High Lift Optimization• Flow Control for Aerodynamic Improvement• Aeroacoustic Improvement for HLD
Avionics functions and architecture improvements•Mission management in a global environment•Avionics platform and network•Fiber optics (rf + wirings)•Wireless central maintenance system
Pilot workload reduction•Pilot workload reduction and assistance•Cockpit crew enhancement using visual
projection technologies•New cockpit control means techniques•Dual antenna diversity•A/C configuration and environment
surveillance
Operations•Low visibility operations with limited ground
infrastructure
63
PRESENTATION OUTLINE
1. THE REGIONAL AVIATION
• Role of regional aviation in the european and world transport system
• Market perspectives and growth expectation
2. THE BENEFITS OF THE REGIONAL PLATFORMS IN THE FRAME OF HORIZON2020
• Environmental Targets
• Societal Benefits
• European Industrial Competitiveness
3. PROGRAM MANAGEMENT
• Leadership and partnership
• Work Breakdown Structure
• Risk Management
• Dissemination
• Schedule
4. HI-LEVEL TECHNICAL CONTENTS
• Main Technological Areas
• From Clean Sky GRA to Clean Sky2 Regional Project