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Clean Air Progress in Maryland AQCAC Briefing – 06/15/20 - Tad Aburn, MDE
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Clean Air Progress in Maryland€¦ · Overview of Presentation • Clean Air Highlights – Progress in reducing: • Ozone • Fine Particles • Sulfur Dioxide • Air Toxics –

Oct 07, 2020

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Page 1: Clean Air Progress in Maryland€¦ · Overview of Presentation • Clean Air Highlights – Progress in reducing: • Ozone • Fine Particles • Sulfur Dioxide • Air Toxics –

Clean Air Progress in Maryland

AQCAC Briefing – 06/15/20 - Tad Aburn, MDE

Page 2: Clean Air Progress in Maryland€¦ · Overview of Presentation • Clean Air Highlights – Progress in reducing: • Ozone • Fine Particles • Sulfur Dioxide • Air Toxics –

Overview of Presentation • Clean Air Highlights

– Progress in reducing: • Ozone • Fine Particles • Sulfur Dioxide • Air Toxics

– Reductions from Coal-fired Power Plants

• Clean Air and Transportation

• Addressing Climate Change in Maryland

• Legal Efforts to Address Transported Air Pollution

• COVID 19 – An Unexpected Air Quality Experiment

2

Page 4: Clean Air Progress in Maryland€¦ · Overview of Presentation • Clean Air Highlights – Progress in reducing: • Ozone • Fine Particles • Sulfur Dioxide • Air Toxics –

Clean Air Highlights • For nearly 30 years, Maryland’s air quality has dramatically improved

• Air quality policies and regulations have lowered levels of six common pollutants — particles, ozone, lead, carbon monoxide, nitrogen dioxide, and sulfur dioxide

4

Page 5: Clean Air Progress in Maryland€¦ · Overview of Presentation • Clean Air Highlights – Progress in reducing: • Ozone • Fine Particles • Sulfur Dioxide • Air Toxics –

152 147 143 137 126 121 119 119 118 102 101 99 100

0

40

80

120

160

199719992001200320052007200920112013201520172019

1-H

our O

zone

(ppb

)

1-Hour Ozone

17.1 15.8 15.9

14.5 12.9 11.7 11.3

10.3 9.8 9.5 9.1 9.1 8.4

0

4

8

12

16

20

2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018

Annu

al P

M2.

5 (u

g/m

3)

Annual Fine Particulate 41 42 41 41 39 37 35 33

30 29 29 27 26 26 24 23 20

23

0

10

20

30

40

50

2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018

Dai

ly P

M2.

5 (u

g/m

3)

Daily Fine Particulate

8-Hour Ozone

107 107 104 94 93 91 89 93

85 77 73 76 75 75 75

0

40

80

120

199719992001200320052007200920112013201520172019

8-H

our O

zone

(ppb

)

What Have We Learned from All of This?

5

Progress in Cleaning Maryland’s Air

* 2019 data is preliminary

Page 6: Clean Air Progress in Maryland€¦ · Overview of Presentation • Clean Air Highlights – Progress in reducing: • Ozone • Fine Particles • Sulfur Dioxide • Air Toxics –

Maryland Bad Ozone Days

61

46 42

19

11

20 26

17 16 14

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Exceedance Days

6 * 2019 data is preliminary

Page 7: Clean Air Progress in Maryland€¦ · Overview of Presentation • Clean Air Highlights – Progress in reducing: • Ozone • Fine Particles • Sulfur Dioxide • Air Toxics –

8-Hour Ozone

1990

Shrinking Ozone 2019*

The Shrinking Ozone Problem: Not just the magnitude, but its nature: “We’re going local”

1998

7 *Preliminary Data: Subject to Change

Page 8: Clean Air Progress in Maryland€¦ · Overview of Presentation • Clean Air Highlights – Progress in reducing: • Ozone • Fine Particles • Sulfur Dioxide • Air Toxics –

EPA Annual Standard 12 µg/m3

8

17.1

15.9 15.8 16.2 15.9 15.6 14.5

12.9 11.7 11.1 11.3

10.5 10.3 9.8 9.5 9.1 9.1 8.4

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Annu

al P

M2.

5 (u

g/m

3)

Fine Particle Air Pollution Lower Levels Across the State

* 2019 data is preliminary

Likely to Continue to Get Lower Each Year!

Page 9: Clean Air Progress in Maryland€¦ · Overview of Presentation • Clean Air Highlights – Progress in reducing: • Ozone • Fine Particles • Sulfur Dioxide • Air Toxics –

9

SO2 Air Pollution Levels Well Below the NAAQS

Page 10: Clean Air Progress in Maryland€¦ · Overview of Presentation • Clean Air Highlights – Progress in reducing: • Ozone • Fine Particles • Sulfur Dioxide • Air Toxics –

10

Air Toxics Have Been Significantly Reduced

• Air toxics are those known to cause cancer and other serious health impacts

• Over the last 25 years, Maryland has generally cut concentrations of air toxics by 50%

Page 11: Clean Air Progress in Maryland€¦ · Overview of Presentation • Clean Air Highlights – Progress in reducing: • Ozone • Fine Particles • Sulfur Dioxide • Air Toxics –

NOx Reductions from Coal-fired Power Plants

11

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

80,000

Tons

Per

Yea

r

Maryland Electrical Utility NOx Reductions

Page 12: Clean Air Progress in Maryland€¦ · Overview of Presentation • Clean Air Highlights – Progress in reducing: • Ozone • Fine Particles • Sulfur Dioxide • Air Toxics –

SO2 Reductions from Coal-fired Power Plants

12

0

50000

100000

150000

200000

250000

300000

Tons

per

Yea

r

Maryland Electrical Utility SO2 Reductions

Page 13: Clean Air Progress in Maryland€¦ · Overview of Presentation • Clean Air Highlights – Progress in reducing: • Ozone • Fine Particles • Sulfur Dioxide • Air Toxics –
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Page 14: Clean Air Progress in Maryland€¦ · Overview of Presentation • Clean Air Highlights – Progress in reducing: • Ozone • Fine Particles • Sulfur Dioxide • Air Toxics –

Clean Air and Transportation

• Mobile Source Related Federal Rollbacks – The federal Safer Affordable Fuel Efficient (SAFE) Vehicle Rule, will result in a weakening of existing auto emission standards

adopted by previous administrations

– Maryland and other states have 9 challenged EPA over the rollback of previously adopted standards and its authority to revoke the California waiver

• Volkswagen Mitigation Plan – Maryland is eligible to authorize spending of $75.7 million for specifically defined mitigation projects to remediate excess NOx

emissions

– Maryland’s first phase of the program funds electric and propane school buses

• Idle Free Maryland – Program designed to reduce unnecessary idling of vehicles

– MDE is working with individual schools to assist in implementing their own idle reduction strategies

• Port of Baltimore Inter-Agency Partnership – To date, more than $19 million has been invested into diesel emission reduction activities at the port

– These projects will reduce thousands of tons of air pollutants including NOx , fine particles, hydrocarbons and carbon monoxide

– Significant reductions in GHG emissions, primarily carbon dioxide (CO2) and black carbon

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Page 15: Clean Air Progress in Maryland€¦ · Overview of Presentation • Clean Air Highlights – Progress in reducing: • Ozone • Fine Particles • Sulfur Dioxide • Air Toxics –
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Page 16: Clean Air Progress in Maryland€¦ · Overview of Presentation • Clean Air Highlights – Progress in reducing: • Ozone • Fine Particles • Sulfur Dioxide • Air Toxics –

Greenhouse Gas Reduction Efforts

• Through the Greenhouse Gas Reduction Act, MDE is in process of detailing a comprehensive plan to reduce our GHG emissions by a minimum of 40% from 2006 levels by 2030 while positively impacting the state’s economy and creating jobs

• The draft plan incorporates a comprehensive set of more than 100 measures designed to reduce GHG emissions 16

Page 17: Clean Air Progress in Maryland€¦ · Overview of Presentation • Clean Air Highlights – Progress in reducing: • Ozone • Fine Particles • Sulfur Dioxide • Air Toxics –

Further Climate Actions • Clean Energy Jobs Act (CEJA) of 2019 sets a 50% renewable

portfolio standard (RPS) by 2030

• Maryland’s EmPOWER Energy Efficiency Program charges utility customers a monthly fee that is used to fund energy efficiency services among other incentives

• The Transportation Climate Initiative (TCI) is a regional effort of 11 Northeast and Mid-Atlantic states and Washington, D.C. working to reduce GHG emissions from the region’s transportation sector

• The CoastSmart Communities Program assists Maryland’s coastal communities to address short- and long-term coastal hazards, such as sea level rise 17

Page 18: Clean Air Progress in Maryland€¦ · Overview of Presentation • Clean Air Highlights – Progress in reducing: • Ozone • Fine Particles • Sulfur Dioxide • Air Toxics –

Further Climate Actions (cont.) • The Maryland Energy Administration’s Energy Finance Initiative

is a collection of programs, financing tools, and other resources that help fill the funding needs of clean energy projects

• Maryland established the Maryland Healthy Soils Program to increase biological activity and carbon sequestration in the state’s soils

• Maryland has initiated regulatory efforts to reduce leaking methane emissions from the natural gas industry, the distribution sector and landfills, and to ban certain highly potent HFCs

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Page 19: Clean Air Progress in Maryland€¦ · Overview of Presentation • Clean Air Highlights – Progress in reducing: • Ozone • Fine Particles • Sulfur Dioxide • Air Toxics –
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Page 20: Clean Air Progress in Maryland€¦ · Overview of Presentation • Clean Air Highlights – Progress in reducing: • Ozone • Fine Particles • Sulfur Dioxide • Air Toxics –

Addressing Transported Pollution • In 2016, Maryland submitted a 126 petition to EPA requesting

that it require 19 power plants with 36 generation units in five upwind states to run their already installed pollution control technology – EPA denied Maryland’s 126 petition, and on October 15, 2018, Maryland

sued EPA in the United States Court of Appeals

• Maryland has petitioned OTC through Section 184c of the CAA detailing that Pennsylvania air quality rules allow up to a daily excess of 47 tons per day

• Maryland, with many other states, have sued EPA over CSAPR Closeout rule – The courts have ruled that the CSAPR rule did not fully address transport

and that the CSAPR Closeout rule could not be used by upwind states as a complete transport remedy 20

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Page 22: Clean Air Progress in Maryland€¦ · Overview of Presentation • Clean Air Highlights – Progress in reducing: • Ozone • Fine Particles • Sulfur Dioxide • Air Toxics –

Traffic Counts

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Page 23: Clean Air Progress in Maryland€¦ · Overview of Presentation • Clean Air Highlights – Progress in reducing: • Ozone • Fine Particles • Sulfur Dioxide • Air Toxics –

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Page 24: Clean Air Progress in Maryland€¦ · Overview of Presentation • Clean Air Highlights – Progress in reducing: • Ozone • Fine Particles • Sulfur Dioxide • Air Toxics –

PM 2.5 Since 2010

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• Record or near record lowest in 2020 • Long term trend dominated; “low

anyway, despite COVID”

Page 25: Clean Air Progress in Maryland€¦ · Overview of Presentation • Clean Air Highlights – Progress in reducing: • Ozone • Fine Particles • Sulfur Dioxide • Air Toxics –

25

Ozone Since 2010

• Record or near record lowest in 2020 AT A FEW SITES • Other sites low, but within inter-annual variability

Page 26: Clean Air Progress in Maryland€¦ · Overview of Presentation • Clean Air Highlights – Progress in reducing: • Ozone • Fine Particles • Sulfur Dioxide • Air Toxics –

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Been a cold April…. Not supportive of ozone

49th coolest of 126 years ~1°F below normal statewide for maximum high temperature.

Page 27: Clean Air Progress in Maryland€¦ · Overview of Presentation • Clean Air Highlights – Progress in reducing: • Ozone • Fine Particles • Sulfur Dioxide • Air Toxics –

27

TropOMI NO2 Retrievals

Roughly 20-30% reduction in 2020 over 2019 during the post COVID period Careful to not over-interpret

-James Boyle; MDE

Page 28: Clean Air Progress in Maryland€¦ · Overview of Presentation • Clean Air Highlights – Progress in reducing: • Ozone • Fine Particles • Sulfur Dioxide • Air Toxics –

28

NOx Since 2010

NOx/NO2 has been decreasing year over year, so “true” COVID NO2 decrease is long term trend minus observations (initial estimate ~15-18% decline from traffic reduction)

Page 29: Clean Air Progress in Maryland€¦ · Overview of Presentation • Clean Air Highlights – Progress in reducing: • Ozone • Fine Particles • Sulfur Dioxide • Air Toxics –

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A

Questions … Comments … Discussion