HARTNELL ALMANDIN HUMIDOR TIBERIAN WALL OF FIRE SINGLE GAZE NAKEETA LIBRAN MARMELO RED CARDINAL JOHANNES VERMEER BONDI BEACH GALLANTE BOOM TIME US ARMY RANGER BIG DUKE CISMONTANE AMELIE’S STAR REKINDLING THOMAS HOBSON MAX DYNAMITE VENTURA STORM WHO SHOT THEBARMAN WICKLOW BRAVE TOP TIPS FROM THE EXPERTS JAMES LAMB punters.com.au 1. WALL OF FIRE 2. ALMANDIN 3. REKINDLING 4. MARMELO RAY THOMAS Daily Telegraph racing editor 1. RED CARDINAL 2. MARMELO 3. JOHANNES VERMEER ROUGHIE: SINGLE GAZE LEO SCHLINK Herald Sun chief racing reporter 1. MARMELO 2. WALL OF FIRE 3. ALMANDIN ROUGHIE: RED CARDINAL 2 5 7 3 6 8 10 12 11 13 17 15 19 14 18 16 20 22 21 23 24 9 1 4 3 9 15 21 6 12 18 24 2 8 14 20 5 11 17 23 1 7 13 19 4 10 16 22 PUNTERS.COM.AU SPEED MAP It’s a long run to the first bend so the Cup jockeys have plenty of time to find their positions. Cismontane usually leads in his races so you’d expect him to roll forward from out wide with Gallante in close attendance. Max Dynamite can hold a prominent position from barrier 2, while Rekindling, Big Duke and Ventura Storm will all be jostling for spots in the first half of the field. Boom Time has the early speed to work over and settle on the back of the leaders, with Single Gaze likely to follow him over. Almandin will be looking to blend in around midfield, while Marmelo and Wall Of Fire will probably settle further back. 23. AMELIE’S STAR 8. BONDI BEACH 9. MAX DYNAMITE 7. JOHANNES VERMEER 22. REKINDLING 19. SINGLE GAZE 13. BIG DUKE 10. VENTURA STORM 12. WICKLOW BRAVE 15. BOOM TIME 1. HARTNELL 3. HUMIDOR 2. ALMANDIN 20. WALL OF FIRE 5. MARMELO 24. CISMONTANE 21. THOMAS HOBSON 18. NAKEETA 4. TIBERIAN 6. RED CARDINAL 16. GALLANTE 14. US ARMY RANGER 17. LIBRAN TRAINER: James Cummings JOCKEY: Damian Lane BARRIER: 12 ODDS: $21 Why he can win: A seriously classy horse when right. Hard to forget that Turnbull Stakes win here, smashing Jameka by 3.25L. Why he can’t win: Had his chance last year and wasn’t good enough. He just doesn’t seem to be going well enough at the moment. TRAINER: Robert Hickmott JOCKEY: Frankie Dettori BARRIER: 14 ODDS: $7 Why he can win: Won it last year and certainly hasn’t gone backwards. Strong stayer, prepared by a team who knows what it takes to win. Why he can’t win: Makybe Diva and Think Big are the only two horses since 1970 to go back-to-back in this race – it’s no easy feat. TRAINER: Darren Weir JOCKEY: Blake Shinn BARRIER: 13 ODDS: $9 Why he can win: Simply awesome in the Cox Plate behind Winx and if he settles in the run he could blow his rivals away. Why he can’t win: Has never raced beyond 2400m. If he refuses to settle early it’s pretty much curtains. TRAINER: Alain Couetil (France) JOCKEY: Olivier Peslier BARRIER: 23 ODDS: $31 Why he can win: Comes here in great form. He’s still very much on the up. Why he can’t win: He has to be some sort of query at 3200m, particularly if the tempo is strong. TRAINER: Hughie Morrison (England) JOCKEY: Hugh Bowman BARRIER: 16 ODDS: $9 Why he can win: He certainly didn’t lose any admirers with his fast-finishing 6th in the Caulfield Cup (2400m). Why he can’t win: If he’s slightly slow to begin from barrier 16 he’s going to end up back in the field. TRAINER: Andreas Wohler (Germany JOCKEY: Kerrin McEvoy BARRIER: 24 ODDS: $16 Why he can win: Purchased specifically for this race by astute buyers. Loved his Belmont Gold Cup (3219m) win two-back. Why he can’t win: Winning the Cup first-up in Australia is no easy feat and he was plain last start. TRAINER: Aidan O’Brien (Ireland) JOCKEY: Ben Melham BARRIER: 3 ODDS: $12 Why he can win: His Caulfield Cup run was terrific without luck, following an eye-catching effort in the Caulfield Stakes. Why he can’t win: 3200m is a real worry. Generally the international runners come here with some sort of form at 2600m+. TRAINER: Robert Hickmott JOCKEY: Michael Walker BARRIER: 1 ODDS: $51 Why he can win: Owned by Lloyd Williams. Enough said. Why he can’t win: Twice he has been well-beaten in this race when in much better form than at the moment. TRAINER: Willie Mullins (Ireland) JOCKEY: Zac Purton BARRIER: 2 ODDS: $16 Why he can win: Ran a cracker in this race two years ago 1st-up in Australia and Mullins has followed a similar path this time. Why he can’t win: Has raced just four times since the 2015 Cup and been well-beaten three times. TRAINER: D&B Hayes/Tom Dabernig JOCKEY: Glen Boss BARRIER: 6 ODDS: $31 Why he can win: He was only average in the Caulfield Cup but his run in the G1 Turnbull Stakes was encouraging. Why he can’t win: His Caulfield Cup run wasn’t a great Melbourne Cup trial, fading out to finish 13th. TRAINER: Chris Waller JOCKEY: Tommy Berry BARRIER: 20 ODDS: $41 Why he can win: Strong at the business end of the G2 Moonee Valley Cup (2500m) last start. Stays all day. Why he can’t win: He’s old … real old. TRAINER: Willie Mullins (Ireland) JOCKEY: Stephen Baster BARRIER: 8 ODDS: $61 Why he can: His win over Order Of St George reads incredibly well and his overall record beyond 2800m is sound. Why he can’t win: Only average in the Caulfield Cup (2400m) and beaten a very long way in this race last year. TRAINER: Darren Weir JOCKEY: Brenton Avdulla BARRIER: 5 ODDS: $19 Why he can win: Weir factor and as tough as old boots. Has continued to rise to the level required. Why he can’t win: Beaten by Foundry three-back which isn’t a great reference. Query on class. TRAINER: Joseph O’Brien (Ireland) JOCKEY: Jamie Spencer BARRIER: 22 ODDS: $61 Why he can win: Team Williams and has the services of gun international hoop Jamie Spencer. Why he can’t win: Doesn’t appear to be going well enough. TRAINER: D&B Hayes/Tom Dabernig JOCKEY: Cory Parish BARRIER: 9 ODDS: $26 Why he can win: The Caulfield Cup has always been a solid form reference, particularly horses that finish in the first six. Why he can’t win: No form beyond 2500m. TRAINER: Robert Hickmott JOCKEY: Michael Dee BARRIER: 18 ODDS: $126 Why he can win: Has a Group One win over 3200m to his name. Why he can’t win: Poor in this race last year and hasn’t done anything in two runs since. TRAINER: Chris Waller JOCKEY: Dwayne Dunn BARRIER: 7 ODDS: $41 Why he can win: Ran home well at his most recent outing over 2500m, clocking the fastest final 400m/200m sectionals. Why he can’t win: Doubt there is a great deal of improvement to come as a 7YO. TRAINER: Iain Jardine (Scotland) JOCKEY: Glyn Schofield BARRIER: 19 ODDS: $31 Why he can win: The Ebor form stood up well last year, with Heartbreak City getting within 0.2L off Almandin. Why he can’t win: History says it’s extremely difficult to win this race without a lead-up run in Australia. TRAINER: Nick Olive JOCKEY: Kathy O’Hara BARRIER: 11 ODDS: $34 Why she can win: Her effort in the Caulfield Cup last start was arguably the run of the race. Why she can’t win: Just can’t see her running a strong two miles. TRAINER: Hugo Palmer (England) JOCKEY: Craig Williams BARRIER: 15 ODDS: $12 Why he can win: Terrific lead-up run in the Herbert Power (2400m) and certainly open to further improvement. Why he can’t win: Red Cardinal beat him by over 6L in the Belmont Gold Cup (3219m) three-back. TRAINER: Willie Mullins (Ireland) JOCKEY: Joao Moreira BARRIER: 21 ODDS: $15 Why he can win: A genuine stayer who comes here on the back of an encouraging run at Doncaster. Why he can’t win: More of a grinder than a few of the other internationals. Turn-of-foot perhaps not as sharp. TRAINER: Joseph O’Brien (Ireland) JOCKEY: Corey Brown BARRIER: 4 ODDS: $16 Why he can win: His form has been terrific stepping to 2800m+, and with just 51.5kg he should be hard to hold out. Why he can’t win: He’s only had nine career starts and he takes on some real seasoned stayers. TRAINER: Darren Weir JOCKEY: Dean Yendall BARRIER: 10 ODDS: $26 Why she can win: Awesome winning the G3 Bart Cummings (2500m) two-back, sprinting clear of Almandin. Why she can’t win: Never raced beyond 2500m and was beaten over 5L in the Caulfield Cup last start. TRAINER: Gai Waterhouse/Adrian Bott JOCKEY: Beau Mertens BARRIER: 17 ODDS: $41 Why he can win: Tough and in-form. He makes his own luck up on the pace, taking luck out of the equation. Why he can’t win: Looks a level or two below these class-wise. GUIDE CUP Words by James Lamb
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HARTNELL ALMANDIN HUMIDOR TIBERIAN
WALL OF FIRE SINGLE GAZE NAKEETA LIBRAN
MARMELO RED CARDINAL JOHANNES VERMEER BONDI BEACH
GALLANTE BOOM TIME US ARMY RANGER BIG DUKE
CISMONTANE
AMELIE’S STAR
REKINDLING
THOMAS HOBSON
MAX DYNAMITE
VENTURA STORM
WHO SHOT THEBARMAN
WICKLOW BRAVE
top tips from the experts
JAmes LAmB punters.com.au
1. Wall Of fire2. almandin3. rekindling4. marmelO
rAY thomAs Daily Telegraph racing editor
1. red Cardinal2. marmelO3. JOhannes Vermeerroughie: single gaze
LEO SCHLINK Herald Sun chief racing reporter
1. marmelO2. Wall Of fire3. almandinroughie: red Cardinal
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punters.com.Au speed mApit’s a long run to the first bend so the Cup jockeys have plenty of time to find their positions. Cismontane usually leads in his races so you’d expect him to roll forward from out wide with gallante in close attendance. max dynamite can hold a prominent position from barrier 2, while rekindling, Big duke and Ventura storm will all be jostling for spots in the first half of the field. Boom Time has the early speed to work over and settle on the back of the leaders, with single gaze likely to follow him over. almandin will be looking to blend in around midfield, while marmelo and Wall Of fire will probably settle further back.
23. AmeLie’s stAr
8. Bondi BeAch
9. mAx dYnAmite
7. JohAnnes Vermeer
22. rekindLing
19. singLe gAze
13. Big duke
10. VenturA storm
12. wickLow BrAVe
15. Boom time
1. hArtneLL
3. humidor
2. ALmAndin
20. wALL of fire
5. mArmeLo
24. cismontAne
21. thomAs hoBson
18. nAkeetA
4. tiBeriAn
6. red cArdinAL
16. gALLAnte
14. us ArmY rAnger
17. LiBrAn
TRAINER: James Cummings JOCKEY: damian lane BARRIER: 12 ODDS: $21Why he can win: a seriously classy horse when right. hard to forget that Turnbull stakes win here, smashing Jameka by 3.25l. Why he can’t win: had his chance last year and wasn’t good enough. he just doesn’t seem to be going well enough at the moment.
TRAINER: robert hickmott JOCKEY: frankie dettori BARRIER: 14 ODDS: $7Why he can win: Won it last year and certainly hasn’t gone backwards. strong stayer, prepared by a team who knows what it takes to win. Why he can’t win: makybe diva and Think Big are the only two horses since 1970 to go back-to-back in this race – it’s no easy feat.
TRAINER: darren Weir JOCKEY: Blake shinnBARRIER: 13 ODDS: $9Why he can win: simply awesome in the Cox Plate behind Winx and if he settles in the run he could blow his rivals away. Why he can’t win: has never raced beyond 2400m. if he refuses to settle early it’s pretty much curtains.
TRAINER: alain Couetil (france) JOCKEY: Olivier Peslier BARRIER: 23 ODDS: $31 Why he can win: Comes here in great form. he’s still very much on the up.Why he can’t win: he has to be some sort of query at 3200m, particularly if the tempo is strong.
TRAINER: hughie morrison (england) JOCKEY: hugh Bowman BARRIER: 16 ODDS: $9Why he can win: he certainly didn’t lose any admirers with his fast-finishing 6th in the Caulfield Cup (2400m). Why he can’t win: if he’s slightly slow to begin from barrier 16 he’s going to end up back in the field.
TRAINER: andreas Wohler (germany JOCKEY: kerrin mcevoy BARRIER: 24 ODDS: $16Why he can win: Purchased specifically for this race by astute buyers. loved his Belmont gold Cup (3219m) win two-back. Why he can’t win: Winning the Cup first-up in australia is no easy feat and he was plain last start.
TRAINER: aidan O’Brien (ireland) JOCKEY: Ben melham BARRIER: 3 ODDS: $12Why he can win: his Caulfield Cup run was terrific without luck, following an eye-catching effort in the Caulfield stakes. Why he can’t win: 3200m is a real worry. generally the international runners come here with some sort of form at 2600m+.
TRAINER: robert hickmott JOCKEY: michael Walker BARRIER: 1 ODDS: $51Why he can win: Owned by lloyd Williams. enough said.Why he can’t win: Twice he has been well-beaten in this race when in much better form than at the moment.
TRAINER: Willie mullins (ireland) JOCKEY: zac Purton BARRIER: 2 ODDS: $16Why he can win: ran a cracker in this race two years ago 1st-up in australia and mullins has followed a similar path this time. Why he can’t win: has raced just four times since the 2015 Cup and been well-beaten three times.
TRAINER: d&B hayes/Tom dabernigJOCKEY: glen Boss BARRIER: 6 ODDS: $31Why he can win: he was only averagein the Caulfield Cup but his run in the g1 Turnbull stakes was encouraging.Why he can’t win: his Caulfield Cup run wasn’t a great melbourne Cup trial, fading out to finish 13th.
TRAINER: Chris Waller JOCKEY: Tommy Berry BARRIER: 20 ODDS: $41Why he can win: strong at the business end of the g2 moonee Valley Cup (2500m) last start. stays all day.Why he can’t win: he’s old … real old.
TRAINER: Willie mullins (ireland) JOCKEY: stephen Baster BARRIER: 8 ODDS: $61Why he can: his win over Order Of st george reads incredibly well and his overall record beyond 2800m is sound. Why he can’t win: Only average in the Caulfield Cup (2400m) and beaten a very long way in this race last year.
TRAINER: darren Weir JOCKEY: Brenton avdulla BARRIER: 5 ODDS: $19Why he can win: Weir factor and as tough as old boots. has continued to rise to the level required. Why he can’t win: Beaten by foundry three-back which isn’t a great reference. Query on class.
TRAINER: Joseph O’Brien (ireland) JOCKEY: Jamie spencer BARRIER: 22 ODDS: $61Why he can win: Team Williams and has the services of gun international hoop Jamie spencer. Why he can’t win: doesn’t appear to be going well enough.
TRAINER: d&B hayes/Tom dabernigJOCKEY: Cory Parish BARRIER: 9 ODDS: $26Why he can win: The Caulfield Cup has always been a solid form reference, particularly horses that finish in the first six.Why he can’t win: no form beyond 2500m.
TRAINER: robert hickmott JOCKEY: michael dee BARRIER: 18 ODDS: $126 Why he can win: has a group One win over 3200m to his name.Why he can’t win: Poor in this race last year and hasn’t done anything in two runs since.
TRAINER: Chris Waller JOCKEY: dwayne dunn BARRIER: 7 ODDS: $41Why he can win: ran home well at his most recent outing over 2500m, clocking the fastest final 400m/200m sectionals.Why he can’t win: doubt there is a great deal of improvement to come as a 7YO.
TRAINER: iain Jardine (scotland) JOCKEY: glyn schofield BARRIER: 19 ODDS: $31Why he can win: The ebor form stood up well last year, with heartbreak City getting within 0.2l off almandin. Why he can’t win: history says it’s extremely difficult to win this race without a lead-up run in australia.
TRAINER: nick Olive JOCKEY: kathy O’hara BARRIER: 11 ODDS: $34Why she can win: her effort in the Caulfield Cup last start was arguably the run of the race.Why she can’t win: Just can’t see her running a strong two miles.
TRAINER: hugo Palmer (england) JOCKEY: Craig Williams BARRIER: 15 ODDS: $12Why he can win: Terrific lead-up run in the herbert Power (2400m) and certainly open to further improvement. Why he can’t win: red Cardinal beat him by over 6l in the Belmont gold Cup (3219m) three-back.
TRAINER: Willie mullins (ireland)JOCKEY: Joao moreiraBARRIER: 21 ODDS: $15Why he can win: a genuine stayer who comes here on the back of an encouraging run at doncaster. Why he can’t win: more of a grinder than a few of the other internationals. Turn-of-foot perhaps not as sharp.
TRAINER: Joseph O’Brien (ireland)JOCKEY: Corey Brown BARRIER: 4 ODDS: $16Why he can win: his form has been terrific stepping to 2800m+, and with just 51.5kg he should be hard tohold out. Why he can’t win: he’s only had nine career starts and he takes on some real seasoned stayers.
TRAINER: darren Weir JOCKEY: dean Yendall BARRIER: 10 ODDS: $26Why she can win: awesome winning the g3 Bart Cummings (2500m) two-back, sprinting clear of almandin.Why she can’t win: never raced beyond 2500m and was beaten over 5l in the Caulfield Cup last start.
TRAINER: gai Waterhouse/adrian BottJOCKEY: Beau mertens BARRIER: 17 ODDS: $41Why he can win: Tough and in-form. he makes his own luck up on the pace, taking luck out of the equation.Why he can’t win: looks a level or two below these class-wise.
guideCupwords by James Lamb
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