Investing in Rail for System Resilience-City Rail Link ARA Conference Chris Meale - Project Director CRL June 2015
Jul 25, 2015
Investing in Rail for System
Resilience-City Rail Link
ARA Conference Chris Meale - Project Director CRL
June 2015
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Transport System | The Drivers for resilience
• Population Growth
• Economic Growth
• Integrated land-use
• Environmental imperatives
• Transport growth
- The Role of Rail
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Growth
The Auckland region:
• has 60% of New Zealand
population.
• is projected to account for
three-fifths of New
Zealand's population
growth:
Auckland’s Population
share:
• 2013 = 34%
• 2023 = 37%
• 2043 = 40%
• is projected to reach 2
million around 2033
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Auckland in 2041
Auckland is pivotal to the social, economic and cultural development of New Zealand
• 700,000+ new residents
• An extra 400,000
dwellings
• Twice as many city centre
and city fringe residents
and employees
• City Centre student
numbers up by 30%
• City centre producing
25% of Auckland’s GDP -
currently 17%
729,000
0
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
Auckland Christchurch Wellington Waikato Bay of Plenty Otago Growth inAuckland to
2041
Growth to2041
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Auckland – The World’s Most Liveable City
The Auckland Plan
Develop an economy that delivers opportunity and prosperity for all
Aucklanders and New Zealand
Targets
Improve Auckland's OECD
ranking of cities (GDP per
capita) of 69th place in 2011 by
20 places in 2031
Increase annual average
productivity growth from 1%
p.a. in the last decade to 2%
p.a. for the next 30 years
Increase annual average export
growth from 3% p.a. in the last
decade to 6% for the next 30 years
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Auckland’s Economy
• Auckland employment composition
• Auckland accounts for 34% of jobs in NZ and most are in the urban areas
• Auckland generates 37% of NZ’s GDP
• Wellington, Hamilton and Tauranga combined, account for 13% of jobs
• Transport is critical to shape urban form and lead economic development in cities
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City Centre – Rapid growth
Employees Residents
2006 64,000 20,000
2013 100,000 29,000
2021 118,000 37,000
2031 144,000 47,000
2041 146,000 58,000
Source : ART Model Scenario 1.8b
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Auckland's growth in perspective
Over the next 30 years new Southern growth areas will add a city the size of Hamilton to Auckland.
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Rage Auckland Rail Patronage
Growth
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
M M J S N J M M J S N J M M J S N J M M J S N J M M J S N J M M J S N J M M J S N J M M
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
An
nu
al
Rail
Patr
on
ag
e (
mil
lio
ns)
Observed annualised monthly growth
Extrapolated annualised monthly growth (past 2 yearsobserved)
Rail Patronage Growth
Predicted to exceed 20m trips per annum well before 2020
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Comparing modal capacity & speed
HEAVY RAIL COMMUTER
RAIL
LIGHT RAIL
(EXCLUSIVE ROW)
BU
S O
N H
OV
LIN
E
BU
SWA
Y
LIGHT RAIL
(ON STREET)
CITY CENTRE BUS LANE
BUS IN MIXED TRAFFIC
Source: Adapted from Transit Capacity and Quality of Service Manual 2nd Edition
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Metro and light rail
Metro rail links what exists
• A regional solution to optimise rail
for an efficient transport network
Light rail - a new solution
• Optimises road within the
transport network
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Freight study predicts average of
44% increase in rail freight traffic
nationally.
Considering Auckland region
separately:
• Auckland = 70% increase
Freight | Predicted Growth Implications- 2042
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Freight | Future Trends for Auckland - 2042
Forecast freight volumes/millions/ of tonnes pa
Mode 2012 2042 % Increase
Road 55 95 72%
Rail 5 8 69%
Ship 4 6 76%
Auckland total 63 109 72%
NZ total 236 373 58%
Auckland % 27% 29%
Freight in Auckland
• Origin/destination South of Bombay due to total growth rate of
63% (all modes)
Ministry of Transport National Freight Demand Study 2014
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The environmental/sustainability imperative
Transport:
• Is the main contributor to total air pollution
• Auckland’s largest source of greenhouse gas emissions
• Supports development of a quality compact Auckland through sustainable
transport choices
• Mitigates the effects of climate change through future spatial form
• Health and Lifestyle benefits
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Aotea Station – Preliminary design
• Could become the busiest railway
station in Auckland
• Entrances on Victoria and
Wellesley Streets
• Close to the cultural precinct
Architectural concept of the Wellesley Street entrance
• New streetscape on Albert Street
will have wider footpaths
• Future proofed for possible
development above the entrance
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Karangahape Station, Beresford Square entrance –
Preliminary design
• Deepest station at 30 metres depth
• Reference to Manu Whenua narrative of
Hape and his arrival to Auckland by
stingray.
Beresford Square entrance axonometric showing
canopy entry and pedestrianised surroundings
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CRL – Transport Resilience
• Significantly contribute to lifting and shaping
Auckland's economic growth
• Improve the efficiency and resilience of the
transport network of inner Auckland and the
city centre
• Improve transport access into and around
the city centre to address current problems
and for a rapidly growing Auckland
• Provide a sustainable transport solution that
minimises environmental impacts
• Contribute positively to a liveable, vibrant
and safe city