Chp 8. Concept Testing Planning Concept Development System-Level Design Detail Design Testing and Refinement Production Ramp-Up Qualitative Concept Testing Quantitative Concept Testing Testing Testing
Chp 8. Concept Testing
PlanningConcept
DevelopmentSystem-Level
DesignDetail
DesignTesting andRefinement
ProductionRamp-Up
QualitativeConceptTesting
QuantitativeConceptTestingTesting Testing
Test Konsep dilakukan untuk Beberapa AlasanBeberapa Alasan
• Go/no-go decisionsg• What market to be in?• Selecting among alternative concepts• Confirming concept selection decision• Benchmarking• Soliciting improvement ideas• Forecasting demand• Ready to launch?
Concept Testing Process
1. Definisikan alasan dari test konsepp
Definisikan alasan dari test konsep
• Konsep mana yang akan dilanjutkanKonsep mana yang akan dilanjutkan pengembangannya
• Bagaimana konsep diperaiki• Bagaimana konsep diperaiki• Berapa perkiraan produk yang akan
t j lterjual• Dapatkah proses pengembangan
dilanjutkan pada masa y.a.d
Concept Testing Process
1. Definisikan alasan dari test konsepp2. Pilih populasi survey
Populasi survey
• Sesuai dengan targetSesuai dengan target• Bila target lebih dari 1 segmen, maka
sebaiknya memilih dari setiap segmen untuk y p gmengetahui tanggapan tiap segmen
• Penentu ukuran sampel :p– Pengujian di awal vs di akhir proses– Pengujian untuk data kualitatif vs kuantitatif– Survei mahal, lama vs survei cepat, murah– Investasi produk kecil vs besar
P i t t b k il– Proporsi target besar vs kecil
Concept Testing Process
1. Definisikan alasan dari test konsepp2. Pilih populasi survey3. Pilih format survey
Face-to-face, surat, telephone, e-mail, Internet.
4. Komunikasikan konsepV b l d i ti k t h h t d d iVerbal description, sketch, photos and renderings, storyboard, video, simulation, interactive multimedia, physical appearance model, working prototypes.
5. Ukur respon konsumen
Mengukur respon pelanggan
• Dimulai dengan komunikasi produkg p• Skala ukuran keinginan konsumen :
– Pasti akan membeli– Mungkin akan membeli– Mungkin, atau tidak akan membeli– Tidak akan membeliTidak akan membeli– Pasti tidak akan membeli
• Catatan : skala bisa beda2
Concept Testing Process
1. Definisikan alasan dari test konsep2. Pilih populasi survey3. Pilih format survey
F t f t t l h il I t tFace-to-face, surat, telephone, e-mail, Internet.4. Komunikasikan konsep
Verbal description, sketch, photos and renderings, p p gstoryboard, video, simulation, interactive multimedia, physical appearance model, working prototypes.
5. Ukur respon konsumenp6. Interpretasikan hasilnya (lihat slide berikut)7. Refleksikan pada hasil dan prosesnya
Concept Testing Example:emPower Electric ScooteremPower Electric Scooter
• Purpose of concept test:p p– What market to be in?
• Sample population: – College students who live
1-3 miles from campus– Factory transportation
• Survey format:– Face-to-face interviews
Concept Testing Process
1. Definisikan alasan dari test konsepp
Concept Testing Example:emPower Electric ScooteremPower Electric Scooter
• Purpose of concept test:p p– What market to be in?
Concept Testing Process
1. Definisikan alasan dari test konsepp2. Pilih populasi survey
Concept Testing Example:emPower Electric ScooteremPower Electric Scooter
• Purpose of concept test:p p– What market to be in?
• Sample population: – College students who live
1-3 miles from campus– Factory transportation
Concept Testing Process
1. Definisikan alasan dari test konsepp2. Pilih populasi survey3. Pilih format survey
Face-to-face, surat, telephone, e-mail, Internet.
Concept Testing Example:emPower Electric ScooteremPower Electric Scooter
• Purpose of concept test:p p– What market to be in?
• Sample population: – College students who live
1-3 miles from campus– Factory transportation
• Survey format:– Face-to-face interviews
Survey Format
• PART 1, Qualification– How far do you live from campus?How far do you live from campus?
• <If not 1-3 miles, thank the customer and end interview.>
– How do you currently get to campus from home?How do you currently get around campus?– How do you currently get around campus?
• PART 2, Product Description– <Present the concept description.>p p
Survey Format
• PART 3, Purchase IntentIf the product were priced according to your expectations– If the product were priced according to your expectations, how likely would you be to purchase the scooter within the next year?
I would I might I would I would I would definitely not
purchase the scooter.
gor might not
purchasethe scooter.
definitely purchase
the scooter.
probably notpurchase
the scooter.
probably purchase
the scooter.
“top box”“second box”
Survey Format
• PART 4, Comments– What would you expect the price of the scooter to be?What would you expect the price of the scooter to be?– What concerns do you have about the product concept?– Can you make any suggestions for improving the product
concept?concept?• Thank you.
Concept Testing Process
1. Definisikan alasan dari test konsepp2. Pilih populasi survey3. Pilih format survey
Face-to-face, surat, telephone, e-mail, Internet.
4. Komunikasikan konsepV b l d i ti k t h h t d d iVerbal description, sketch, photos and renderings, storyboard, video, simulation, interactive multimedia, physical appearance model, working prototypes.
Verbal Description
• The product is a lightweight electric scooter that p g gcan be easily folded and taken with you inside a building or on public transportation. Th t i h b t 25 d It t l t• The scooter weighs about 25 pounds. It travels at speeds of up to 15 miles per hour and can go about 12 miles on a single charge. abou es o a s g e c a ge
• The scooter can be recharged in about two hours from a standard electric outlet.
• The scooter is easy to ride and has simple controls — just an accelerator button and a brake.
Sketch Rendering
Storyboardy
3D Solid CAD Model Appearance Model
Working Prototype Beta Prototype
Concept Testing Process
1. Definisikan alasan dari test konsep2. Pilih populasi survey3. Pilih format survey
F t f t t l h il I t tFace-to-face, surat, telephone, e-mail, Internet.4. Komunikasikan konsep
Verbal description, sketch, photos and renderings, p p gstoryboard, video, simulation, interactive multimedia, physical appearance model, working prototypes.
5. Ukur respon konsumenp6. Interpretasikan hasilnya (lihat slide berikut)7. Refleksikan pada hasil dan prosesnya
Interpretasikan Hasilnya
• Jika memilih satu di antara beberapa konsep, p p,interpretasi dari hasil respon konsumen akan langsung terlihat. Tapi jika hasilnya tidak dapat disimpulkan mungkin konsep harus dipilihdisimpulkan, mungkin konsep harus dipilih berdasarkan biaya atau pertimbangan lainnya.
• Selain itu, test konsep ini dilakukan juga untuk Se a u, es o sep d a u a juga u umeramalkan penjualan potensial di masa depan. Perhitungan dilakukan sbb:
Forecasting Sales
Q = N x A x P• Q = kuantitas produk yang diharapkan terjual (thn)• N = jumlah konsumen potensial (thn)
A f k i d i k t i l t k b li jik• A = fraksi dari konsumen potensial untuk membeli jika produk tersedia, dan berapa banyak yang menyadari keberadaan produk (awarenessxavailability)
• P = probabilitas bahwa produk akan dibeli jika tersedia dan konsumen menyadari keberadaannya (hasil survey).
P = Cdef x Fdef + Cprob x Fprob
“second box”“top box”
Forecasting Example
• College Student Market– N = off-campus grad students (200,000)– A = 0.2 (realistic) to 0.8 (every bike shop)– P = 0.4 x top-box + 0.2 x second-box– Q = 2,000,000 x 0.30 x 0.05– Price point $795
• Factory Transport Market– N = current bicycle and scooter sales to factories (150,000)– A = 0.25 (single distributor’s share)– P = 0.4 x top-box + 0.2 x second-box– Q = 150,000 x 0.25 x [0.4 x 0.3 + 0.2 x 0.2]– = 6000 units/yr– Price point $1500
emPower’s Market Decision: Factory Transportation
Sumber forecast error
• Word-of-Mouth Effects
• Quality of Concept Description
• Pricing
• Level of Promotion• Level of Promotion
• Competition
Production Product
Discussion
• Why do respondents typically overestimate y p yp ypurchase intent?– Might they ever underestimate intent?
H t i i ?• How to use price in surveys?• How much does the way the concept is
communicated matter?communicated matter?– When shouldn’t a prototype model be shown?
• How do you increase sales, Q?y• How does early (qualitative) concept testing differ
from later (quantitative) testing?