Jason Jixuan Hu, Ph.D. WINTOP GROUP Phoenix, AZ & Shanghai, PRC www.wintopgroup.com [email protected]
Jan 23, 2016
Jason Jixuan Hu, Ph.D. WINTOP GROUPPhoenix, AZ & Shanghai, [email protected]
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Content of this Presentation1. Background: Communism in A Nutshell
2. Changes Away from Communism in
PRC3. What on Earth Is This Thing Called
“Chinese Characteristics”? 4. Chinmunism – The Crossbreed of Two
Ghosts 5. Embedded Uncertainties and
Instability of Chinmunist China
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Background: Communism in A Nutshell
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Number of Victims died (incomplete)
Former USSR: 25 million PR China: 65 million Cambodia: 1.7 million
WWI: 17.6 million WWII: 73 million
It has been a war, of which only one side is armed.
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Changes Away from Communism in PRC
1. Period of Change: 1979 –> 19892. Death rate: 1666666 lives/year –> 3333 lives/year3. Main theme: “Class-struggle” –> “GDP growth”4. CCP definition: “Proletariat” –> “Three Reps”5. Communism: “S+E” -> “P+B” -> “U.K.+ CP” 6. Private ownership: “No” -> “Yes”7. Classless & Stateless goals: Reversed8. “To liberate proletariat” -> To enslave “fart-people” 9. “To eliminate privileges” -> huge/deep corruptions10.“To destroy capitalism” -> Got the worst form of it.
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PRC’s social classes by International Social Economic Index
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What on Earth Is This Unique Thing Called “Chinese Characteristics”? Eight Must-read Books1. Arthur Smith (1890)2. Lee Zhong Wu (1911-
38)3. Lu Xun (1921)4. Lin Yutang (1936)5. Sun Lung-kee (1983)6. Bo Yang (1985)7. Wu Si (2002)8. Li Ming (2009)
• Three Must-know Guys: (Representatives)• By Hu Shih:
Mr. About-the-same• By Lu Xun:
Mr. Ah-Q• By Jin Yong:
Mr. Wei Xiaobao
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Reflection by Hu Shih
Mr. About-the-same No measurement No accuracyTherefore Poor cognition Poor quality Poor responsibility
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Reflection by Lu Xun Mr. Ah-Q: Most discussed is
his Self-comforting way to avoid learning and change
My focus is his inability of equality
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(Non-)reflection by Jin Yong
Mr. Wei Xiaobao:
A fiction figure admired, and subconsciously followed by many Chinese people.
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All these beauties are one man’s wives.
Who the hell is he?
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Wei XiaoBao
The Deer and the Cauldron (鹿鼎記 ) (in three volumes) published by Oxford University Press, translated by John Minford
Flattering
True-Lying (90/10)
Greedy
Lazy
Gambling
Manipulating
‘Loyalty’ to friends
China’s only billionaire writer Mr. L.Y. Cha,(Jin Yong) created him, with these characteristics:
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4-DST: An Observing Scope/Tool A comprehensive way to observe/understand
complex systems is to view it in 4 dimensions at the same time.
Dimension I: Structure, skeleton of the system Hardware/Infrastructure/Platform
Dimension II: Culture, Environmental, Medium Operating System/Values/Story or script
Dimension III: Procedure, Processes at micro-level, Specific application/Daily operations/
Performance Dimension IV: Emergence, Self-organized results,
Output/Start-up or R&D processes/ A play
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Emer-gence
Skeleton, hardware
FunctionsAt micro level
(program routines)
MediumEnvironment
Operating system
Structure
ProcedureCulture
4-DST Scope – A New Tool for Observing Any Complex System 4-DST Scope – A New Tool for Observing Any Complex System
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4-DST Scope – Another Illustration4-DST Scope – Another Illustration
Structure
Procedure
Culture Emergence
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Dimensions Seed behavior Macro organizational results
Main social consequences
Structural Ranking (BiDaXiao), always searching for seat order or pecking order
Highly hierarchical organizations, absence of equality, slave mentality prevails and “Guanxi” mechanism dominates
Severe injustice cases, strong social tension near the collapse of dynasties,
Procedural Duping (HuYou) , trying to hoodwink or cajole others to gain for oneself
Absence of trust and integrity, high internal frictions and transaction costs, a lot of gaming, double-mentality
Severe corruption, wide spread of frauds, “Faked-in-China” phenomena
Cultural Paltering (ChaBuDou), equivocating or fudging about facts, avoid being precise and accurate
Absence of objectivity, no standards, lack of quality, unpredictable organizational outcome and low quality products and services
Bad decisions from Groupthink, wasting resources and victimizing human lives
Three Key Behaviors - Chinese
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DimensionsSeed behavior Macro organizational
resultsMain social consequences
Structural Absolute obedience to superiors and top leaders
Domination by nomenklatura, no checks and balance among powers, absence of independent law system
Party-State, highly privileged ruling class, totalitarian, authoritarian, or “fragmented authoritarian” society (Lieberthal & Lampton, 1992)
Procedural Any-means (by fair means or foul) to carry out orders from above
Rely on violence, information control, and even lies to rule; absence of human rights.
Brainwashed people appear ignorant and arrogant, uninformed. Persecution of dissidents
Cultural The Party, which is always right, should control everything
Cracking down any dissent “to harmonize,” absence of objective history records
No reflections to past mistakes and wrong doings, absence of correction-mechanism in society. Too much “secrets”
Three Key Behaviors - CCP
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Ranking(no equality)
Absolute obedient to top(Nomenklatura)
Duping(no integrity)
Paltering(no objectivity)
Control everything(harm-onize CCP way)
Rule by fair means or foul(any-means)(violence & lie)
Chinmunism – The Crossbreed of Two Ghosts
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The Explanatory Power of the Six Key Behaviors of Chinmunism “Three faces” phenomenon as puzzled by New
York Times recently – “bullies, cajoles or sidesteps”
June 4, 1989 – huge surprise to the world December 2009 in Copenhagen The cheatings with ETS and foreign universities Many others … Think of something you feel hard to understand
about PRC, and try to use the six keys to view it.
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Embedded Uncertainties and Instability of Chinmunist China
“Predictable Unpredictability” through: Unsustainable GDP growth pattern Ecological system crash signs Environmental system crash signs Hatred between CCP officials and people
growing Hatred between the rich and the poor growing Social turmoil->diseases->refuges flooding out Failure to control global warming War as a cure for internal problems War for resources
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In Search of Effective Positive-Result-Oriented Interaction Strategies with PRC
Which part of the question from Jonathan Watts is more true?
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The Air
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The Water
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The Rulers
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The People
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The Violence
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The Hope
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What the Western Countries Should Do to Deal With Chinmunism
Global-warming responsibilities Environment damage to other countries Human right issues should not be
compromised for economic gains Lies should always be exposed Inconsistency should always be pointed
out Demand measurable/verifiable result for
all negotiations Corrupted Officials immigrant to the West
should be identified and send back
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Jason Jixuan Hu, Ph.D. WINTOP GROUPPhoenix, AZ & Shanghai, [email protected]