China’s Evolving Naval Strategy Nan Li, PhD Associate Professor 401) 841-2365/ nan.li @nwc.navy.mil Note: This presentation reflects the personal views of the author and not the official assessments of the U.S. Navy or any other entity of the U.S. Government
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China’s Evolving Naval Strategy Nan Li, PhD Associate Professor (401) 841-2365/ [email protected]@nwc.navy.mil Note: This presentation reflects.
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Note: This presentation reflects the personal views of the author and not the official assessments of the U.S. Navy or any other entity of the U.S. Government
• Personal experience of Liu Huaqing and institutionalization of naval research
– Naval Armament Studies Academy ( 海军装备研究院 ) established in 1983
– Naval Military Art Studies Institute ( 海军军事学术研究所 ) established in 1985
• Changing threat perception
• Availability of funding and technologies
• Does strategy drive capabilities? Not always
6. Implications
• Possible new capabilities
– Aircraft carriers– Long-range strikes of “enemy’s rear”
• Possible new areas of regular naval operations such as Indian Ocean • Constraints and debates
– Economics as primary driver– Nonalignment/overseas bases– Local war and “regional navy” – Limited ASW– Strategy of avoidance because of Indian geographical advantages , US supremacy and other hazards– “Continentalist” argument
• Long-haul, soft, indirect approaches such as counter- piracy and HA/DR operations and multilateral security cooperation
7. Takeaways
• More concise interpretation of cross-linguistic terms important
• Rather than a single factor, change in capabilities driven by change in multiple factors
•“Far-seas” navy as objective, a regional rather than global blue-water navy, but still somewhat ambitious
• Some opportunities for cooperation in non-traditional security areas