- 1. BangkokBVKBeijing Boston ChennaiChina Exit or Co-Investment
Opportunities for German PE InvestorsChicago London Los Angeles
MelbourneMilanNovember 26, 2013Mumbai Munich New Delhi New York
Paris So Paolo San Francisco Seoul Shanghai SingaporeL.E.K.
Consulting GmbH, Neuturmstr. 5, 80331 Mnchen T: +49 (0) 89 922005-0
F: +49 (0) 89 922005-20 www.lek.comSydney Tokyo Wroclaw 2013 L.E.K.
Consulting LLC. All rights reserved.
2. AgendaAgenda Introduction Macroeconomic backdrop
Co-investments and ExitsCONFIDENTIAL 1 3. IntroductionL.E.K.
Consulting is a leading global strategy consulting firm
OverviewGlobal NetworkFounded in 1983, with a presence in Germany
since 1988 and China since 1998San Francisco Chicago Los
AngelesBoston New YorkLondon Paris MilanWroclaw MunichSeoulBeijing
New Delhi Mumbai ChennaiAssists senior executives to consistently
make better decisions, deliver improved business performance and
create greater shareholder returns TokyoShanghai BangkokWe have
advised German Mittelstands clients on development and exit in
China in the context of growth strategy and successionSingaporeSo
Paolo*Areas of expertise include growth strategy, transaction
support and value enhancementSydney MelbourneOur Chinese colleagues
advise clients at multinational companies in and outside of China,
Chinese companies, private equity firms, and government
entitiesCONFIDENTIAL 2 4. IntroductionIntroduction This document
summarizes results of a study conducted by L.E.K. Munich and
Shanghai The goals of the study are to-Understand developments in
Chinese equity investments in both the domestic China / pan-Asian
market and cross-border investments between China and Germany /
Europe-Identify trends in likely future investment behaviour and
its drivers Defining success factors both for Chinese and German
investors / corporates as to how to benefit from the potential
opportunities of cross-border investments and co-operation The
study is based on-Discussions with 50 representatives of senior
investment and corporate professionals in Shanghai, Beijing and
Hong Kong-Project experience Extensive secondary
researchCONFIDENTIAL 3 5. AgendaAgenda Introduction Macroeconomic
backdrop Co-investments and ExitsCONFIDENTIAL 4 6. Macroeconomic
backdropWhile Germanys population is expected to continue to
decrease, Chinas population is forecast to continue to grow at 0.5%
p.a. Chinas population (2005-2018f)Germany population (2005-2018f)
Billions of peopleForecastCAGR% (2005-12) (2012-18f)Billions of
peopleForecastCAGR% (2005-12) (2012-18f)1.41.4
(0.1)(0.1)0.51.21.21.01.00.80.80.60.60.40.40.20.20.00.50.0 200506
07 08 09 10 11 12f 13f 14f 15f 16f 17f 18f200506 07 08 09 10 11 12f
13f 14f 15f 16f 17f 18fSource: IMFCONFIDENTIAL 5 7. Macroeconomic
backdropThe increasing urbanisation and prosperity of the Chinese
population will create massive middle-class demand by 2020 Age
distribution (2012E)Share of rural population (2005-15)Percent
100921Percent65+10080China8060746640Germany6015-6440
20201317Germany0-14China002005 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15Share
of urban households by annual household income in China* Percent
100147m226m 0126PPT (2005-10) (2010-20)328m62451Mainstream
(USD16k-USD34k) 54536Value (USD6k-USD16k)Affluent (>USD34k)80
6063 8240 2036 100200072010Poor (