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CHAPTER 1. BRICS- Introduction:
BRICS is the acronym for an association of five major emerging national
economies: Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa. The grouping was originally
known as "BRIC" before the inclusion of South Africa in 2010. With the possible
exception of Russia, the BRICS members are all developing or newly industrialized
countries, but they are distinguished by their large, fast-growing economies and significant
influence on regional and global affairs; all five are G-20 members. As of 2013, the five
BRICS countries represent almost 3 billion people, with a combined nominal GDP of
US$14.8 trillion, and an estimated US$4 trillion in combined foreign reserves. Presently,
South Africa holds the chair of the BRICS group. The BRICS have received both praise
and criticism from numerous quarters.
The BRICS countries include more than 40% of the worlds population and occupy over
a quarter of the worlds land area. Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa are a
powerful economic force. The acronym was coined by Jim ONeill a Goldman Sachs
employee in a 2001 paper entitled Building Better Global Economic BRICs. The
acronym has come into widespread use as a symbol of the shift in global economic
power away from the developed G7 economies to the developing nations.
Political dialogue between the BRIC countries began in New York in September 2006,
with a meeting of the BRIC foreign ministers. The BRIC countries met for their first
official summit on 16 June 2009, in Russia, with Luiz Incio Lula da Silva, Dmitry
Medvedev, Manmohan Singh, and Hu Jintao, the respective leaders of Brazil, Russia,
India and China, all attending. The core focus of the summit was related to improving
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the current global economic situation and discussing how the four countries can better
work together in the future, as well as a more general push to reform financial
institutions. There was also discussion surrounding how emerging markets, such as those
members of BRIC, could be better involved in global affairs in the future.
In the aftermath of the Yekaterinburg summit, the BRIC nations announced the need for
a new global reserve currency, which would have to be "diversified, stable and
predictable". Although the statement that was released did not directly criticise the
perceived "dominance" of the US dollarsomething that Russia had criticised in the past
it did spark a fall in the value of the dollar against other major currencies.
South Africa sought membership during 2010 and the process for formal admission
began as early as August 2010. South Africa was admitted as a member nation on
December 24, 2010 after being formally invited by China and the other BRIC countries
to join the group. The group was renamed BRICS to reflect the now-five-nation
membership, with an S for South Africa appended to the acronym. President Jacob
Zuma attended the 2011 BRICS summit in China, in April 2011 as a full member.
The grouping has held annual summits since 2009, with member countries taking turns
to host. Prior to South Africa's admission, two BRIC summits were held, in 2009 and
2010. The first five-member BRICS summit was held in 2011. The most recent BRICS
summit took place in Durban, South Africa, in March 2013.
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Member countries:
The Economic data of the member countries is sourced from the most recent IMF
figures and given in US Dollars.
Country Brazil Russia India China South Africa
Population 193,946,886 143,451,702 1,210,193,422 1,354,040,000 51,770,560
GDP
(Nominal)
$2,395.9 bn $2,021.9 bn $1,824.8 bn $8,227.0 bn $384.3 bn
HFCE $1,266.3 bn $671.6 bn $737.9 bn $1,835.3 bn $173.8 bn
Govt.
Spending
$846.6 bn $414.0 bn $281.0 bn $2,031.0 bn $95.27 bn
Exports $256.0 bn $542.5 bn $309.1 bn $2,021.0 bn $101.2 bn
Imports $238.8 bn $358.1 bn $500.3 bn $1,780.0 bn $106.8 bn
GDP per
capita
(PPP)
$11,875 $17,708 $3,829 $9,161 $11,375
HDI 730 (high) 788 (high) 554 (medium) 699 (medium) 629 (medium)
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Prospects for the BRICS through Chinas contribution
BRICS and the Durban summit:
China is a founding member with a fully equal institutional place, a rank as the second most
powerful member and an influence that few can match and none can ignore. Indeed, neither body
would exist today if China had not seen them from the start as useful clubs for shaping a new
world order to protect itself and the global community in the intensely interconnected, complex,
uncertain, twenty-first century world.
In the BRICS China is the primus inter pares power. It wields more relative capability in gross
domestic product (GDP), population, territory and foreign exchange reserves than any other
member and does so to a substantial or overwhelming degree. It alone can ensure the success of
the prospective new BRICS development bank. This was an initiative from India at the last
BRICS summit it hosted in Delhi in March 2012, and is the one that will be the centrepiece
achievement of the Durban Summit and determine the success or failure of that summit as a
whole. China alone has the financial capacity in its foreign exchange reserves or elsewhere to
determine if the BRICS bank will be launched with sufficient capital to make a major difference
in a world dominated by the established, western-controlled, now underfunded World Bank in
Washington and many regional development banks around the world. China can thus lead the
BRICS development bank and the BRICS as a whole away from being a closed, inward-looking
club designed to benefit only its members, into an outward-looking one oriented to assisting
developing countries, which have long been China's colleagues in the Group of 77 and other
forums.
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China's privileged material position similarly positions it for leadership on the other key issues
the Durban Summit will address. These include moving toward new regimes for currency swaps
and financial safety nets, stock exchange integration and currency clearing in the international
trade among the BRICS countries themselves. It also embraces cooperation among BRICS
countries on customs clearing, to facilitate trade and counter the exchange of drugs and other
harmful things.
China is similarly central to the broader array of social issues the Durban Summit will address.
Among them is developing the institutional capacity of the BRICS to address health issues of
key concern for citizens inside and outside the club. This agenda embraces fostering regimes on
intellectual property tilted more toward protecting poor people and patients than pharmaceutical
firms with established property rights, preventing and controlling chronic non-communicable
diseases, and putting health first as a driver of development.
China further has a critical role in guiding the BRICS approach to the pressing security issues of
the day. In the field of new soft security, China is central is having the BRICS cooperate to
enhance cyber-security and combat cyber-espionage, and to put in place a more broadly shared
regime to govern the internet and information and communications technology in the twenty-first
century world. In the field of traditional hard security, if China can continue to cooperate with
India to lessen tensions over their longstanding border dispute and similarly reassure a Russia
wary of intrusions into its thinly populated, poor regions near China, it would be a big boost for
further BRICS cooperation across the board. Generating a consensus among BRICS countries on
questions of international intervention in countries such as Libya in 2011 and Syria now could
pave the way to a global solution that would save many innocent lives. And China along with
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Russia is essential in determining whether India and Brazil secure the enhanced status in the
United Nations Security Council that they badly want.
Most broadly, China will face great expectations from its BRICS colleagues and the broader
world to play a major leadership role. Both will remember the skill with which China hosted the
third BRICS summit, at Sanya in 2011. It was at that summit that President Jacob Zuma of South
Africa, the BRICS newest member and host of the Durban Summit, arrived at a BRICS summit
for the first time. And Durban will be the first major outing on the world stage for China's new
leadership, especially as President Xi Jinping will be the freshest face among the BRICS leaders
there. With this fresh face could come fresh approaches that could well determine the future of
the BRICS institution and the outcome of the key global issues that it will confront. As the other
new arrival at a BRICS summit is Russian president Vladimir Putin, China's neighbour and the
host of the G20's St. Petersburg Summit six month after the BRICS's Durban one, the bonds
forged between the two could set the stage for a new burst of cooperation in global summitry
writ large.
In making the Durban Summit, President Xi has had a strong start. He has just publicly
proclaimed a broad, bold vision of the BRICS as a key forum to generate strong, sustainable and
balanced growth, to strengthen global economic governance and to foster democracy in
international relations as a whole. He views the BRICS as an important force to promote world
peace as well as partnership and development with Africa, including through the BRICS
LeadersAfrica Dialogue Forum that the Durban Summit will pioneer. To back his
proclamations, he is putting in place the high-level diplomatic ground work with his first trip
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abroad taking him to Russia, Tanzania and the Republic of Congo as part of his visit to the
BRICS summit itself.
To fully seize such opportunities for global leadership through BRICS, China will need more
than merely mobilizing its formidable material power and the skill and experience in G20
diplomacy it has acquired from the past. It will also need to enrich at home and abroad all three
growth-generating components that the Russians have wisely identified as the St. Petersburg
Summit's theme: quality jobs and investment, effective regulation, and trust and transparency. In
doing so it will do much to assist and assist its still formidable partners in the United States and
Europe that is standing by their side in addressing the great challenges that they face at home and
in the now intensely interconnected world as a whole.
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CHAPTER 2: CHINA- Introduction
China, officially known as the Peoples Republic of China (PRC), is a sovereign state
located in East Asia. It is the worlds most populous country with a population of
more than 1.35 billion. The PRC is a single-party state governed by the Communist
Party, with its seat of government in the capital city of Beijing. Covering approximately
9.6 million square kilometers, China is the world's second-largest country by land
area, but only the third or fourth-largest by total area.
Since the introduction of economic reforms in 1978, China has become the
world's fastest-growing major economy. As of 2013, it is the world's second-largest
economy by both nominal total GDP and purchasing power parity (PPP), and is also
the world's largest exporter and importer of goods. China is a recognized nuclear
weapons state and has the world's largest standing army, with the second-largest
defense budget.
The PRC has been a United Nations member since 1971, when it replaced the ROC as
a permanent member of the U.N. Security Council. China is also a member of numerous
formal and informal multilateral organizations, including the WTO, APEC, BRICS, the
Shanghai Cooperation Organization, the BCIM and the G-20. China has been
characterized as a potential superpower by a number of academics, military analysts, and
public policy and economics analysts.
Since the late 1970s China has moved from a closed, centrally planned system to a
more market-oriented one that plays a major global role. In 2010, China became the
worlds largest exporter. Reforms began with the phasing out of collectivized agriculture,
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and expanded to include the gradual liberalization of prices, fiscal decentralization,
increased autonomy for state enterprises, creation of a diversified banking system,
development of stock markets, rapid growth of the private sector, and opening to foreign
trade and investment. China has implemented reforms in a gradualist fashion. In recent
years, China has renewed its support for state-owned enterprises in sectors it considers
important to economic security, explicitly looking to foster globally competitive national
champions. After keeping its currency tightly linked to the US dollar for years, in July
2005 China revalued its currency by 2.1% against the US dollar and moved to an
exchange rate system that references a basket of currencies.
From mid 2005 to late 2008 cumulative appreciation of the Renminbi against the US
dollar was more than 20%, but the exchange rate remained virtually pegged to the dollar
from the onset of the global financial crisis until June 2010, when Beijing allowed
resumption of a gradual appreciation. The restructuring of the economy and resulting
efficiency gains have contributed to a more than tenfold increase in GDP since 1978.
Measured on a purchasing power parity (PPP) basis that adjusts for price differences,
China in 2010 stood as the second-largest economy in the world after the US, having
surpassed Japan in 2001. The dollar values of Chinas agricultural and industrial output
each exceed those of the US; China is second to the US in the value of services it
produces. Still, per capita income Is below the world average. The Chinese government
faces numerous economic challenges, including: (a)reducing its high domestic savings rate
and correspondingly low domestic demand; (b)sustaining adequate job growth for tens of
millions of migrants and new entrants to the workforce; (c) reducing corruption and
other economic crimes; and (d) containing environmental damage and social strife related
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to the economys rapid transformation. Economic development has progressed further in
coastal provinces than in the interior, and by 2011 more than 250 million migrant
workers and their dependents had relocated to urban areas to find work. One
consequence of population control policy is that China is now one of the most rapidly
aging countries in the world. Deterioration in the environment notably air pollution,
soil erosion, and the steady fall of the water table, especially in the north is another
long- term problem. China continues to lose arable land because of erosion and
economic development.
The Chinese government is seeking to add energy production capacity from sources other
than coal and oil, focusing on nuclear and alternative energy development. In 2010-11,
China faced high inflation resulting largely from its credit-fueled stimulus program. Some
tightening measures appear to have controlled inflation, but GDP growth consequently
slowed to near 9% for 2011. An economic slowdown in Europe is expected to further
drag Chinese growth moving into 2012. Debt overhang from the stimulus program,
particularly among local governments, and a property price bubble challenge policymakers
currently. The governments 12th Five-Year Plan, adopted in March 2011, emphasizes
continued economic reforms and the need to increase domestic consumption in order to
make the economy less dependent on exports in the future. However, China has made
only marginal progress toward these rebalancing goals.
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China- Aviation & Aerospace:
Chinas aerospace industry has advanced at an impressive rate over the past decade but
where it goes from here could have significant implications for the global industry.
A report from the Rand Corporation, entitled Ready for Takeoff: Chinas Advancing
Aerospace Industry, explores the phenomenon and the possible implications for the US.
The highlights of the report include: While some of this progress can be attributed to
rapidly growing governmental support for Chinas aerospace sector, Chinas aerospace
capabilities have also benefited from the increasing participation of its aerospace industry
in the global commercial aerospace market and the supply chains of the worlds leading
aerospace firms. Chinese airlines, which today operate about 1400 large commercial
aircraft and regional jets, are projected to purchase roughly 4000 new jetliners over the
next 20 years. Actual purchases could be more or less than this projection, depending on
whether Chinas economy grows at the expected rate and on the availability of
alternative forms of transportation such as high-speed rail.
Chinese air freight companies will likely purchase another 100 to 200 cargo aircraft, but
many of them may be converted aging passenger planes. In September 2009, there were
about 200 civil helicopters in China, and approximately 1,200 additional civil helicopters
are expected to be purchased by 2018. Chinas general aviation market may be set for
an explosion of growth. As of late 2009, the nations severely restrictive airspace
management regime had limited the number of fixed-wing general aviation aircraft in
China to about 800 (compared with 230,000 in the United States). Reforms are under
way, however, and the number of fixed-wing general aviation aircraft in China is
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expected to increase by 30 percent per year over the next five to 10 years, resulting in
more than 10,000 new aircraft by 2020. Except possibly in the case of helicopters,
Chinas current ability to meet demand with indigenous aircraft is limited. Chinas
indigenous large commercial aircraft , the C919, will not begin deliveries until the middle
of the decade, at the earliest, and it will be a narrow-body aircraft that competes
only with the Boeing 737 series and Airbus A320 series. All wide-body aircraft will be
imported at least through 2020.
Although Chinese airlines will apparently be required to buy at least some C919s, their
preference, and that of their customers, will continue to be for Boeing and Airbus
aircraft with proven safety and reliability records. If the C919 can establish a comparable
safety and reliability record, however, and can offer improved comfort and fuel
efficiency, it is possible that, over time, it will begin to take market
share away from Boeing and Airbus (provided, of course, that Boeing and Airbus do
not bring to market even better aircraft in the meantime).
Chinese manufacturers already produce light utility helicopters and medium transport
helicopters, and a medium utility helicopter and possibly a heavy transport helicopter are
in development. Given Chinas limited civil helicopter market, its domestic
manufacturing capabilities may be sufficient to satisfy demand, although specialized types
of helicopters may be imported. If the fixed-wing general aviation market in China
grows as rapidly as projected, much of the demand will be filled by imported aircraft,
as the variety of domestic offerings is extremely limited. The Chinese government has
attempted to leverage airliner purchases in exchange for arrangements that it hopes will
lead to technology transfers into Chinas aviation manufacturing industry. In the ARJ21
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regional jet and C919 airliner projects in particular, a condition for foreign aerospace
firms to be selected as suppliers has often been that a local production facility be
established.
Partly as a result of these policies, US and other foreign aerospace manufacturers
are engaged in numerous joint ventures and other technology transfers with Chinas
aviation industry. In many cases, however, foreign aerospace manufacturers have
established joint ventures in China not to sell products there but to acquire access to
Chinas low-cost, high-quality labor for manufacturing products that are sold throughout
the world. As of today, only about one per cent of US aerospace imports come
from ChinaThere is no question that Chinas growing civilian aerospace capabilities are
contributing to the development of its military aerospace capabilities.
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China- Oil, Power & Gas:
Chinas petroleum resources are a key to its industrial development. Crude oil
production increased from 102,000 barrels per day in 1960 to 3.3 million per day as of
2002. In 1998 China had proven reserves of 24 billion barrels. The major producing
centers are the Daqing field in Heilongjiang, which came into production in 1965 and
accounts for nearly one-third of national production, and the Liaohe field, located in
northeastern China. In addition to numerous other mainland finds, China has potential
offshore reserves in the Bo Hai area (thought to have reserves of over 1.5 billion
barrels) and the South China Sea, especially in the vicinity of Hainan Island.
By the mid-1970s, China no longer had to rely on oil imports; petroleum exports had, in
fact, emerged as a major source of foreign exchange earnings. More than 9,740 km
(6,050 mi) of long-distance pipelines transport the oil from fields to refineries and other
points of consumption and export. China, however, became a importer of oil in 1996,
because rapid increases in oil demand from high economic growth rates outpaced the
slower increases in oil production.
After rising dramatically in the early 1980s, owing largely to the discovery and
exploitation of vast deposits in Sichuan Province during the late 1950s and early 1960s,
natural gas output stagnated somewhat in the late 1980s. As of 2002 natural gas supplied
only 3% of the countrys energy. However, with proven reserves totaling over 1.4 trillion
cu m (48 trillion cu ft), it was expected that consumption would triple by 2010. In
2000, total national production reached 27.2 billion cu m (960 billion cu ft). A pipeline
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to transport natural gas from the Xinjiang province in the west to Shanghai in the east
was planned, with Shell chosen to lead a consortium of development companies.
Although Chinas rivers provide a vast hydroelectric potential (an estimated 378 million
kW), only a small part has been developed. In the late 1990s, after economic growth
slowed due to the Asian economic crisis, the government declared a two- to three- year
moratorium on construction of new power plants due to an oversupply problem. The
main hydroelectric projects include Ertan in Sichuan Province, Yantan in Guangsxi
Zhuang Autonomous Region, Manwan in Yunan Province, Geheyan in Hubei Province,
Wuqiangxi in Hunan Province, Yamzho Yumco in Xizang Autonomous Region, and Lijia
Xia in Qinghai Province. In April 1992, the government approved the construction of the
largest hydropower project in Chinathe Three Gorges Project on the middle reaches of
the Chang Jiang. Construction, begun in 1996, was still underway in 2002, with
completion of the 26 hydropower generating units slated for 2009. The Three Gorges
Project has a designed capacity of 17,680 MW and will require the relocation of
millions of people just in Sichuan Province alone. A second major hydroelectric project,
consisting of a series of dams on the Yellow River, was also underway in 2002.
In 2001, Chinas net installed electrical generating capacity was 318.3 million kW, up
from 115.5 million kW in 1988. Total output of electricity increased during the 198898
period from 545 billion to 1,098 billion kWh. Net generation in 2000 was 1,288 billion
kWh, of which 81.8% was from fossil fuels, 16.8% from hydropower, and 1.2% from
nuclear power. Electricity consumption in 2000 was 1,206 trillion kWh.
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Traditionally, coal has been the major primary-energy source, with auxiliary biomass
fuels provided by brushwood, rice husks, dung, and other noncommercial materials. The
abundance of coal continues to provide cheap thermal power for electric plants. In 2000
China was both the worlds largest coal producer, at 1,270 million tons, and its leading
consumer of coal, at 1,310 million tons. Coal comes from over two dozen sites in the
north, northeast, and southwest; Shanxi Province is the leading producer. Recoverable
reserves as of 2000 were estimated at over 126.2 billion tons. As of 1996, China
accounted for 11.1% of the worlds proven reserves of coal. Large thermal power plants
are situated in the northeast and along the east coast of China, where industry is
concentrated, as well as in new inland industrial centers, such as Chongqing, Taiyuan,
Xian, and Lanzhou. In 2000, coal accounted for 63% of primary energy consumption.
By that year, some of the countrys large coal-producing companies had returned to
profitability following a period of oversupply in the late 1990s that led to the closure of
many small mines.
The 279 MW Qinshan nuclear power plant near Shanghai began commercial operation in
1994. That same year, two 944-MW reactors at the Guangdong facility at Daya Bay also
started commercial service. In 1995, Chinese authorities approved the construction of four
more reactors. Net capacity for Chinas three nuclear reactors was estimated at 2,167,000
kW in 1996. As of 2002 construction of several nuclear power projects was underway.
The first unit of the Lingao nuclear power plant came online in May 2002; a second
unit was scheduled to begin operating in May 2003. Nuclear generation was planned to
play a secondary but important role, especially in areas that lack both hydropower
potential and major coal resources.
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China- Infrastructure:
China currently has the most cell phone users of any country in the world, with over
800 million users as of July 2010. It also has the worlds largest number
of internet and broadband users. By December 2010, China had around 457 million
internet users, an increase of 19% over the previous year, and by the end of 2011 the
number of internet users had exceeded 500 million. According to the China Internet
Network Information Center (CNNIC), Chinas average internet connection speed is 100.9
kbit/s, less than half of the global average of 212.5 Kbit/s.
China Telecom and China Unicom, the countrys two largest broadband providers,
accounted for 20% of global broadband subscribers, whereas the worlds ten largest
broadband service providers combined accounted for 39% of the worlds broadband
customers. China Telecom is the most popular and used widely and is known to alone
provide its services to around 55 million broadband subscribers, while China Unicom
serves more than 40 million. The massive rise in internet use in China continues to fuel
rapid broadband growth, whereas the worlds other major broadband ISPs operate in the
mature markets of the developed world, with high levels of broadband penetration and
rapidly slowing subscriber growth.
Transportation in mainland China has been prioritized by the government in recent
decades, and has undergone intense state-led development since the late 1990s. The
national road network has been massively expanded through the creation of a network
of expressways, known as the National Trunk Highway System (NTHS). By the end of
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2011, Chinas expressways had reached a total length of 85,000 km (53,000 mi), second
only to the network of the United States.
China also possesses the worlds longest high-speed rail network, with over 9,676 km
(6,012 mi) of service routes. Of these, 3,515 km (2,184 mi) serve trains with top speeds
of 300 km/h (190 mph). In 2011, China unveiled a prototype train capable of reaching
speeds of 310 mph (500 km/h), the first ultra-high-speed train developed solely by its
domestic railway industry.
Private car ownership is growing rapidly, with China surpassing the United States as the
largest automobile market in the world in 2009, with total car sales of over
13.6 million.
Domestic air travel has also increased significantly, but remains too expensive for most.
Long- distance transportation is dominated by railways and charter bus systems. Railways
are the vital carrier in China; they are monopolized by the state, divided into various
railway bureau in different regions. Due to huge demand, the system is regularly subject
to overcrowding, particularly during holiday seasons, such as Chunyun during the Chinese
New Year.
Rapid transit systems are also rapidly developing in Chinas major cities, in the form of
networks of underground or light rail systems. Hong Kong has one of the most
developed transport systems in the world, while Shanghai has a high-speed maglev rail
line connecting the city to its main international airport, Pudong International Airport.
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China- Automotive:
The automotive industry in the Peoples Republic of China has been the largest in the
world measured by automobile unit production since 2008. In 2009, China produced
13.79 million automobiles, of which 8 million were passenger cars and 3.41 million
were commercial vehicles. Of the automobiles produced, 44.3 per cent were local brands
(including BYD, Lifan ,Changan (Chana), Geely, Chery, Hafei, Jianghuai (JAC), Great
Wall and Roewe), and the rest were produced by joint ventures with foreign car makers
such as Volkswagen, Mitsubishi, General Motors, Hyundai,Nissan, Honda, Toyota etc.
While most of the cars manufactured in China are sold within China, exports reached
814,300 units in 2011.
Chinas automobile industry has been in rapid development since the early 1990s.
Chinas annual automobile production capacity first exceeded one million in 1992. By
2000, China was producing over two million vehicles. After Chinas entry into
the World Trade Organization (WTO) in 2001, the development of the automobile market further
accelerated. Between 2002 and 2007, Chinas national automobile market grew by an
average 21 percent, or one million vehicles year-on-year. In 2006, Chinas vehicle
production capacity successively exceeded six, then seven million, and in 2007, China
produced over eight million automobiles. In 2009, China surpassed the United States as
the worlds largest automobile producer by volume. In 2010, both sales and production
topped 18 million units, with 13.76 million passenger cars delivered, in each case the
largest by any nation in history.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sedan_(automobile)http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Commercial_vehiclehttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/BYD_Autohttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lifan_Grouphttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lifan_Grouphttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chang'an_Motorshttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chang'an_Motorshttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chang'an_Motorshttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Geely_Automobilehttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chery_Automobilehttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hafeihttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anhui_Jianghuai_Automobilehttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Great_Wall_Motorhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Great_Wall_Motorhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Roewehttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Volkswagenhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mitsubishihttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/General_Motorshttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hyundai_Motor_Companyhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nissanhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hondahttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Toyotahttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Toyotahttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Toyotahttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hondahttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nissanhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hyundai_Motor_Companyhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/General_Motorshttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mitsubishihttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Volkswagenhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Roewehttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Great_Wall_Motorhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Great_Wall_Motorhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anhui_Jianghuai_Automobilehttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hafeihttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chery_Automobilehttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Geely_Automobilehttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chang'an_Motorshttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lifan_Grouphttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/BYD_Autohttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Commercial_vehiclehttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sedan_(automobile)7/30/2019 China as a member of BRICS
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The number of registered cars, buses, vans, and trucks on the road in China reached 62
million in 2009, and is expected to exceed 2 00 million by 2020. The consultancy McKinsey
& Company estimates that Chinas car market will grow tenfold between 2005 and 2030.
The main industry group for the Chinese automotive industry is the China Association of
Automobile Manufacturers.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Consultancyhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/McKinsey_&_Companyhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/McKinsey_&_Companyhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/McKinsey_&_Companyhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/McKinsey_&_Companyhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Consultancy7/30/2019 China as a member of BRICS
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China- Defense:
Active military forces include some 2,270,000 personnel and another 500600,000 reserves.
China has been modernizing the military at a rapid pace even as it reduces personnel. The army
consists of 1,600,000 in seven military regions. The Chinese navy consists of 250,000 personnel,
including 10,000 marines. The air force has 420,000 personnel including strategic forces.
Chinese military strength includes an enormous amount of equipment including nuclear
capability. It is suspected that China possesses 410 strategic and non-strategic nuclear weapons.
There are more than 100,000 offensive missile forces including ICBMs and IRBMs. The Chinese
have over 7,000 tanks, 69 submarines, 21 destroyers, and more than 2,000 combat aircraft. The
paramilitary in China includes about 1,500,000 members of the peoples armed police. The
Chinese are involved in UN and Peacekeeping missions in 6 regions around the world.
Chinese defense spending for 2002 was reported to be $20 billion, but a more accurate estimate
is $45$65 billion. This amounts to 1.6% of GDP, or 3.55% of GDP.
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China- Science & Technology:
Modern China is the heir to a remarkably inventive civilization that pioneered in the
development of the abacus (the first mechanical calculating device), paper (and paper money),
printing by movable type, gunpowder, the magnetic compass, and the rocket. Contact with the
West during the 19th century revealed how technologically backward China had become, and it
is only in recent decades that the nation has begun to catch up.
China detonated its first fission device in 1964 and its first hydrogen bomb in 1967; the nation
now possesses a variety of nuclear weapons mounted on missiles, bombers, submarines, and
other delivery systems. Its first satellite was launched in 1970. By 1992, the PRC had launched
an INTELSAT satellite on a Chinese launch vehicle. Other priorities have been the development
of high-energy physics, laser research, powerful computer memory chips, color television
broadcasting technology, and laser infrared devices, although the PRC still relies heavily on
outside investment and technology transfer. Major advances have also been claimed in rice
hybridization, insecticides, fertilizers, biogas digesters for rural electrification, and pollution
control technology.
Two scientific exchange agreements between the US and China were signed in January 1984
during Premier Zhao Ziyangs visit to Washington, D.C. China has proposed to several Western
nations that it provide long-term storage facilities in remote provinces for radioactive wastea
proposal that Western observers believed would provide China not only with hard currency but
also with nuclear materials for possible reprocessing.
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Chinas principal technological handicap is lack of skilled personnel. Only 1% of the PRCs 127
million 22-year-olds receive a university degree. However, 37% of all Chinese degrees are in
engineering, the highest ratio in Asia. Part of Chinas response to this shortage has been to send
tens of thousands of students overseas for advanced study, especially in the US. In 198797,
science and engineering students accounted for 43% of college and university enrollments. China
had 454 scientists and engineers and 200 technicians per million people engaged in research and
development during the same period. Scientific research is coordinated by the prestigious
Chinese Academy of Sciences, founded in 1949 and headquartered in Beijing. China in 1996 had
90 specialized learned societies in the fields of agriculture, medicine, science, and technology.
Most are affiliated members of the China Association for Science and Technology, founded in
1958.International science and technology cooperation is also increasing. In 1998, high-
technology exports were valued at $23.3 billion and accounted for 15% of manufactured exports.
However, concerns over human rights issues have had the effect of cooling US-PRC science and
technology exchanges. In 1996, China had 105 universities and colleges offering courses in basic
and applied science.
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CHAPTER 3. ECONOMY OF CHINA
Economic Policy:
After 30 years with average annual GDP growth rates of around 10%, China has
become the second-biggest economy in the world (following the United States), the
biggest global exporter, the second-biggest importer and the number two destination
for foreign direct investment (FDI). According to the OECD, GDP per capita stood at
$7,519 (on a purchasing power parity (PPP) basis) in 2010, up from $3,217 in 2003.
The inflation rate that same year was 3.3%, but rates have since been on the rise,
driven by a surge in food and commodity prices. China is ranked 26th in the World
Economic Forums Global Competitiveness Index.
This has been accomplished through unconventional, oftentimes transitional and even
second-best policies and institutions, as for instance a strong reliance on national
economic planning combined with experiments with implementation styles at the local
level. Most of these policies deviate substantially from the Western marketization-cum-
privatization paradigm.
Attracted by the size and dynamism of Chinas economy, domestic and foreign investors
and entrepreneurs have regarded policies and conditions as sufficiently reliable to justify
expanding their economic undertakings, even though Chinas economy continues to suffer
from substantial institutional deficits (e.g., fuzzy property rights, dysfunctional law
system) and from pervasive administrative interference in the economy. As a case in
point, China halted its exports of rare earth materials, essential for most high-technology
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and IT products, as a consequence of diplomatic tensions with Japan. Raw material
exports continue to be politically controlled.
Public procurements generally favor domestic bidders. Foreign automotive companies
assembling their products in China have to adhere to strict joint-venture and patenting
regulations that continue to raise fears of a massive outflow of intellectual property.
With regard to growth dynamism, China has so far weathered the post-2008 global
financial crisis better than any other large economy. This was due to a massive stimulus
plan of CNY 4 trillion ($586 billion at that time) that jumpstarted the Chinese economy
and boosted growth primarily through the implementation of massive infrastructure
investments. However, the huge stimulus deepened a core structural distortion of the
Chinese economy, in so far as it is widely seen as relying too heavily on fixed-asset
investment and exports, while domestic consumption has lagged.
Chinese authorities face the challenge of maintaining annual growth rates of at least 8%
in order to guarantee employment and thus avoid social unrest while at the same time
rebalancing the economy toward a more sustainable consumer-driven development path.
Key strategic documents are published every five years (five-year plans) and provide a
guideline for Chinas midterm development goals and related policy initiatives.
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Labor Market Policy
Unemployment in China is defined by the national bureau of statistics as covering only the
registered urban jobless population, with the official unemployment rate standing at about 4%.
This definition of unemployment is not consistent with international standards and makes it
difficult to grasp the true unemployment situation. Beyond the urban economy, considerable
underemployment and at least temporary unemployment exists among the rural population;
however, this is mitigated through massive (in part seasonal) labor migration to industrial
centers. The system of household registration (Hukou) has not significantly hampered these
flows of labor migration.
There is no uniform picture of youth unemployment: On the one hand the labor market has
shown great difficulty in absorbing the growing numbers of college graduates by enabling them
to find adequate positions. On the other hand, demand for workers in the manufacturing industry
remains high. The second generation of migrant workers can only partially fill this employment
gap, or in some cases is not willing due to heightened expectations in the areas of pay and
working conditions. While there is no youth unemployment problem in general figures, a
structural mismatch exists between the nature of available jobs and the younger generations
skills and expectations.
Immediately after the outbreak of the global financial crisis in 2008, millions of Chinese
workers, primarily in the export businesses of South China, lost their jobs. With additional mass
layoffs in the making, the government managed to stabilize employment through a massive
stimulus or loan package that beginning in November 2008 emphasized labor-intensive, shovel-
ready infrastructure projects as well as a series of informal and unconventional measures (e.g.,
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preventing mass layoffs through a combination of pressure, persuasion and incentives directed
toward state-owned and private companies).
The labor market in China is regulated much more lightly than is the case in the developed
world. This has significantly promoted employment growth. Although the low fertility rate has
ensured that the size of the labor pool is small relative to the total population, there still exists a
huge pool of rural migrant workers who often live illegally in the cities (due to the Mao-era
Hukou household registration system that discriminates between the urban and rural
populations).
The most important recent labor-market policy feature was the introduction of (or increase in)
minimum wages for all sectors in 2011. These are determined by local governments according to
the specific economic conditions in their jurisdictions. This was widely seen as a response to
worker unrest in industrial centers, yet was justified by the government as a measure to boost
social equity along with domestic consumption.
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Enterprise Policy
In China, the lines of distinction between different forms of ownership (state, collective, private)
are often blurred (private enterprises sometimes register as collective, state-owned enterprises
have gone public, etc.).
Private enterprises have increasingly formed the backbone of Chinas economy. In 2011 they
accounted for about one-third of total exports, generated more than half of GDP, contributed
roughly 58% of total investments, supplied two-thirds of industrial output and generated about
two-thirds of Chinas industrialprofits and sales. Yet they still face discrimination as compared
to state-owned enterprises (SOEs), especially in terms of access to official banking loans and the
necessity of dealing with regulatory impediments. As a consequence of post-2008 stimulus
measures, SOEs have been flush with cash and been able to push aside or take over private
competitors.
To date, the states preferential treatment of government-linked companies (e.g., through low
interest rates, debt forgiveness, tax breaks and preferences in land allocations) has not been
detrimental to international competitiveness. From 2000 on, the state has selected certain SOEs
to become national champions in order to go global and expand in overseas markets. The
12th five-year plan, proclaimed in 2011, confirmed this strategy of picking winners. This
globalization push has been supported through the state-controlled banking system by costly
preferential loans.
The global presence of Chinese corporations has become much more visible in recent years.
However, the risk remains that the promotion of national champions will lead to severe market
distortions by creating de facto monopolies for certain SOEs and by restricting market access for
all other competitors, including foreign enterprises. One notable example is the wind energy
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sector, where since 2005 foreign companies have failed to secure any large project funded by the
central government, being consistently outbid by Chinese manufacturers as part of a drive to
strengthen domestic wind energy capabilities.
Government interference in microeconomic affairs and the sidelining of the private sector further
bears the risk of detachment from the market and ultimately market failure. This in effect may
put an even larger financial burden on households and private enterprises than what is directly
imposed by granting preferential treatment (e.g., generous public funding, fiscal privileges, land
allocation, etc.) to certain enterprises.
Summing up, SGI background data indicates that the conditions for corporate investment in
China are still very good, drawing a score of 10, while real interest rates receive a positive score
of 9.86. With a score of 4.1, enterprise regulation by Chinese authorities is deemed neither good
nor bad, but is rated slightly better than in India (2.17) or Brazil (1).
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Tax Policy
Judging from the perspective of foreign entrepreneurs, the tax payment system for entrepreneurs
in China is easy and the complexity and total business tax burden are quite low in comparative
terms. Indeed, the payment system is significantly less complex and tax levels markedly lower
than in Brazil or India, for example (see World Bank data on tax system complexity)
In sharp contrast, Chinas system of public finance, especially of taxation allocation and
distribution, is extremely complex and opaque. In principle we find a weakly institutionalized
variant of fiscal federalism in which the center has the sole power for tax legislation, whereas tax
administration is run by both the center and the regions. In addition to tax revenues that are
divided between central and regional coffers, fiscal redistribution is undertaken through a
continual process of multilevel bargaining, with ensuing central-regional transfers.
Tax evasion remains a problem in China. Moreover, the taxation system shows a regressive
tendency that favors urban areas over rural areas.
An important deficit of Chinas fiscal system is the lack of constant and reliable revenues for
cities, counties, townships and villages. These jurisdictions cannot count on substantial fiscal
support from higher levels of government, and instead are supposed to be by and large self-
reliant. They rely predominantly on auctions and leases of public land to generate income.
Chinas total tax rate (derived from ratio of general government revenue to GDP) is
comparatively low, especially at the lower levels of administration. This is further exacerbated
by structural problems such as local cronyism as well as systemic weaknesses such as local
governments blatant lack of transparency and accountability with respect to taxes, revenue and
expenditure.
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Since local governments approach to land management and income generation is extremely
prone to official corruption and even the influence of organized crime, this has arguably become
the single most destabilizing factor in Chinas local governance. Violent protests by land tenants
against major local property deals lacking adequate compensation are frequent. In September
2011, protests erupted in the village of Wukan, Guangdong province, against local authorities
illegal confiscation of land for real estate development without proper compensation to villagers.
All state representatives were ultimately forced to flee the village. This incident was but one of
many protests related to land disputes that collectively pose a serious threat to social stability in
rural areas.
The central government has repeatedly urged local governments to put an end to land grabs for
revenue generation and to eradicate all local regulations that run counter to national legislation.
Local revenue generation from land sales due to the lack of reliable and sufficient income
sources for local governments thus generates a plethora of social problems and inequities of
wealth distribution.
In addition, localities can officially raise charges on services and public utilities or demand
surcharges on taxes, so-called extra-budgetary funds (EBF) that are managed and controlled by
local governments without higher-level interference, providing essential funds solely for local
purposes. As a result of both practices described above land auctions or leases and the
extraction of EBFs huge fiscal inequalities have developed on the local level of the Chinese
state. These lead to strong variations in public goods and services provision that severely
threaten the principle of equity in taxation as well as the ability to generate sufficient revenues.
Since the central government has retained control over the policy agenda, it sets policy tasks that
must be implemented and funded by local governments. Local governments must then derive
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revenue from highly variant funding sources and, as explained, often resort to problematic
practices of revenue generation. The central government has burdened local governments with
unfunded mandates in areas such as public health care, and has thus exacerbated regional
inequalities with respect to goods provision.
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Budgetary Policy
During the global financial crisis China was able to afford a drastic rise in public expenditure in
combination with quasi-fiscal loan programs through the state commercial banking system due to
official budget deficits (less than 3% of GDP) and gross national debt levels (about 25% of GDP)
that appear remarkably low in international comparison. Indeed, the relation of gross national
debt to GDP appears quite balanced when compared to developing country peers India and
Brazil, receiving a respectable SGI score of 7.43.
Since 2010, however, academic research has estimated that Chinas real national debt might be
closer to 80% of GDP if the debts of localities are included. Localities are today prohibited from
incurring debt on their own, and have relied on local financial vehicles to borrow from public
banks (pilot projects such as that in Shanghai have only recently begun to allow localities to
issue bonds in their own name). Thus, the financial risks in China rest with the localities and the
state commercial banking system, though the total amount and severity of those risks is the
subject of intense debate, among Chinese policymakers and their advisors as well as outside the
country.
The SGI score data on the soundness of banks suggests that Chinese banks fall just short of being
generally healthy. Chinas local public debt is special in one very important regard: Both
creditors and debtors tend to be state entities that share a strong interest in avoiding shocks to the
agreed status quo. Thus, there are many incentives for and means of colluding in hiding or
transferring old nominal debts to newly created, non-transparent balance sheets (e.g., of newly
created investment vehicles).
Chinese banks have been practicing aggressive loan issuance and risky off-balance-sheet
lending. At the same time, local governments have in many cases established highly non-
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transparent special-purpose companies as funding vehicles to arrange bank loans and circumvent
regulations. Exacerbated by the 2008 stimulus package, local governments debt has in effect
soared. An official national audit of regional finances in 2011 publicized this fact, confirming an
explosion in local governments borrowing. At least on a local level, the sustainability of public
budgets has to be seriously doubted.
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CHAPTER 4. CHINAS GDP
The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in China was worth 8230 billion US dollars in 2012. The
GDP value of China represents 13.27 percent of the world economy. GDP in China is reported
by The World Bank Group. China GDP averaged 1102.08 USD Billion from 1960 until 2012,
reaching an all time high of 8230.00 USD Billion in December of 2012 and a record low of
46.50 USD Billion in December of 1962. The gross domestic product (GDP) measures of
national income and output for a given country's economy. The gross domestic product (GDP) is
equal to the total expenditures for all final goods and services produced within the country in a
stipulated period of time.
The Gross Domestic Product per capita in China was last recorded at 3348.01 US dollars in
2012. The GDP per Capita in China is equivalent to 27 percent of the world's average. GDP per
capita in China is reported by the World Bank. China GDP per capita averaged 761.32 USD
from 1960 until 2012, reaching an all time high of 3348.01 USD in December of 2012 and a
record low of 85.52 USD in December of 1962. The GDP per capita is obtained by dividing the
countrys gross domestic product, adjusted by inflation, by the total population.
The Gross Domestic Product per capita in China was last recorded at 7957.62 US dollars in
2012, when adjusted by purchasing power parity (PPP). The GDP per Capita, in China, when
adjusted by Purchasing Power Parity is equivalent to 36 percent of the world's average. GDP per
capita PPP in China is reported by the World Bank. China GDP per capita PPP averaged 2705.77
USD from 1980 until 2012, reaching an all time high of 7957.62 USD in December of 2012 and
a record low of 523.95 USD in December of 1980. The GDP per capita PPP is obtained by
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dividing the countrys gross domestic product, adjusted by purchasing power parity, by the total
population.
The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in China expanded 7.50 percent in the second quarter of
2013 over the same quarter of the previous year. GDP Annual Growth Rate in China is
reported by the National Bureau of Statistics of China. China GDP Annual Growth Rate
averaged 9.20 Percent from 1989 until 2013, reaching an all time high of 14.20 Percent in
December of 1992 and a record low of 3.80 Percent in December of 1990. In China, Gross
Domestic Product is divided by three sectors: Primary, Secondary and Tertiary. The Primary
Industry includes Farming, Forestry, Animal Husbandry, and Fishery and accounts for around 9
percent of GDP. The Secondary sector, which includes Industry (40 percent of GDP) and
Construction (9 percent of GDP), is the most important. The Tertiary sector accounts for the
remaining 44 percent of total output and consist of Wholesale and Retail Trades; Transport,
Storage, and Post; Financial Intermediation; Real Estate; Hotel and Catering Services and
Others.
Gross Fixed Capital Formation in China increased to 243151.90 CNY HML in 2012 from
215682 CNY HML in 2011. Gross Fixed Capital Formation in China is reported by the National
Bureau of Statistics, China. China Gross Fixed Capital Formation averaged 30484.34 CNY HML
from 1952 until 2012, reaching an all time high of 243151.90 CNY HML in June of 2012 and a
record low of 80.70 CNY HML in June of 1952.
Gross National Product in China increased to 516662 CNY HML in 2012 from 468562.40
CNY HML in 2011. Gross National Product in China is reported by the National Bureau of
Statistics, China. China Gross National Product averaged 72948.11 CNY HML from 1952 until
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2012, reaching an all time high of 516662 CNY HML in June of 2012 and a record low of 679
CNY HML in June of 1952.
Figure 1. CHINA GDP
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CHAPTER 5. CHINAS TRADE
China- Exports:
Exports in China increased to 1859.91 USD Hundred Million in July of 2013 from 1743.16 USD
Hundred Million in June of 2013. Exports in China, is reported by the General Administration of
Customs. China Exports averaged 439.28 USD Hundred Million from 1983 until 2013, reaching
an all time high of 1992.30 USD Hundred Million in December of 2012 and a record low of 13
USD Hundred Million in January, 1984. Export growth has been a major component supporting
China's rapid economic expansion. Exports of goods and services constitute 30% of GDP.
China major exports are: electromechanical products (57 percent of total exports) and data
processing equipments, steel, optical and medical equipments as well as labor-intensive products
like clothing, textiles, footwear, furniture, plastic products, bags and toys (20 percent). In recent
years, the exports of high tech products have been also growing and in 2012 accounted for 29
percent of total exports.
Chinas main export partners are the United States (17%), Hong Kong (14%), European Union
(16%), ASEAN (10%), Japan (7%) and South Korea (4%).
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Figure 2. CHINA EXPORTS TREND
Export Prices in China increased to 99.30 Index Points in June of 2013 from 99.10 Index Points
in May of 2013. Export Prices in China is reported by the National Bureau of Statistics, China.
China Export Prices averaged 103.28 Index Points from 2005 until 2013, reaching an all time
high of 111.90 Index Points in February of 2008 and a record low of 90.70 Index Points in
August of 2009. In China, Export Prices correspond to the rate of change in the prices of goods
and services sold by residents of that country to foreign buyers. Export Prices are heavily
affected by exchange rates.
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China- Imports:
Imports in China increased to 1681.73 USD Hundred Million in July of 2013 from 1471.91 USD
Hundred Million in June of 2013. Imports in China, is reported by the General Administration of
Customs. China Imports averaged 384.48 USD Hundred Million from 1983 until 2013, reaching
an all time high of 1830.13 USD Hundred Million in March of 2013 and a record low of 16.60
USD Hundred Million in July of 1983.
Chinas main imports are electromechanical products (43 percent of total imports). The country
is also one of the biggest consumers of commodities in the world. Among commodities the
biggest demand is for crude oil (12 percent of total imports), iron ore (5 percent), copper,
aluminum and plastic, organic chemicals, machinery, soybeans, etc.
Chinas main import partners are: European Union, ASEAN, Japan, South Korea and Taiwan.
Others include: Australia, South Africa and Brazil.
Figure 3. CHINA IMPORTS TREND
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Import Prices in China increased to 98.20 Index Points in June of 2013 from 95.50 Index Points
in May of 2013. Import Prices in China is reported by the National Bureau of Statistics, China.
China Import Prices averaged 104.73 Index Points from 2005 until 2013, reaching an all time
high of 122.70 Index Points in August of 2008 and a record low of 79.60 Index Points in May of
2009. In China, Import Prices correspond to the rate of change in the prices of goods and
services purchased by residents of that country from, and supplied by, foreign sellers. Import
Prices are heavily affected by exchange rates.
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China- Foreign Direct Investment:
Foreign direct investment are the net inflows of investment to acquire a lasting management
interest (10 percent or more of voting stock) in an enterprise operating in an economy other than
that of the investor. It is the sum of equity capital, reinvestment of earnings, other long-term
capital, and short-term capital as shown in the balance of payments.
Foreign Direct Investment in China increased to 619.84 USD Hundred Million in June of 2013
from 475.95 USD Hundred Million in May of 2013. Foreign Direct Investment in China is
reported by the National Bureau of Statistics, China. China Foreign Direct Investment averaged
357.88 USD Hundred Million from 1997 until 2013, reaching an all time high of 1160.11 USD
Hundred Million in December of 2011 and a record low of 18.32 USD Hundred Million in
January of 2000.
According to the statistics, from January to February 2013, Newly Approved Foreign-invested
Enterprises amounted to 2,915, down by 3% year on year; and the actual use of foreign
investment reached US$ 17.484 billion, down by 1.35% year on year. In February 2013, Newly
Approved Foreign-invested Enterprises amounted to 1,032, down by 35.62% year on year; and
the actual use of foreign investment reached US$ 8.214 billion, up by 6.32% year on year.
In January-February, 2013, the number of newly established enterprises funded by ten Asian
countries/regions (Hong Kong, Macao, Taiwan, Japan, the Philippines, Thailand, Malaysia,
Singapore, Indonesia, ROK) was 2,295, down by 1.21% year on year, and the actual input were
US$ 15.178 billion, down by 1.31% year on year. The number of newly established enterprises
funded by US was 142, down by 19.77% year on year, and the actual input were US$ 0.497
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billion, down by 5.37% year on year. Number of enterprises funded by EU was 211, down by
12.45% year on year, and the actual input was US$ 1.214 billion, up by 34.01% year on year.
Figure 4. CHINA FDI FORECAST
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Figure 5. CHINA FDI TREND
From January to February this year, the top ten by actual input are as follows: Hong Kong (US$
11.319 billion), Japan (US$ 1.269 billion), Singapore (US$ 1.071 billion), Taiwan Province
(US$ 1.027 billion), U.S.A. (US$ 0.497 billion), France (US$ 0.363 billion), R.O.K. (US$ 0.258
billion), Germany (US$ 0.247 billion), U.K. (US$ 0.129 billion), and Swiss Confederation (US$
0.117 billion), and their total input account for 93.21% of total actual use of foreign investment
in China.
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China- Balance of Trade:
The balance of trade is the difference between the monetary value of exports and imports in an
economy over a certain period of time. A positive balance of trade is known as a trade surplus
and occurs when value of exports is higher than that of imports: a negative balance of trade is
known as a trade deficit or a trade gap.
China recorded a trade surplus of 178.18 USD Hundred Million in July of 2013. Balance of
Trade in China is reported by the General Administration of Customs. China Balance of Trade
averaged 54.54 USD Hundred Million from 1983 until 2013, reaching an all time high of 404
USD Hundred Million in November of 2008 and a record low of -319.81 USD Hundred Million
in February of 2012. Since 1995 China has been recording consistent trade surpluses. From 2004
to 2009 Chinas annual trade surplus has increased 10 times. Yet, as the global demand is
slowing down and import of commodities for vast infrastructure projects and consumer goods is
growing, there has been a significant decline in trade surplus. In the last few years, the biggest
trade surpluses were recorded with the United States, Netherlands, United Kingdom, Vietnam
and Singapore. The biggest trade deficits were recorded with Taiwan, South Korea, Australia,
Germany, South Africa, Japan and Brazil.
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CONCLUSION
Since 1978, China has experienced a period of continuously high economic growth. Per capita
GDP has grown significantly since 1980, and about 400 million Chinese have escaped absolute
poverty. Large investments are made pragmatically, and the infrastructure is improving rapidly.
In addition, other indicators such as the number of patent applications, the countrys Human
Development Index (HDI) ranking and the economys share in world trade volumes also testify
to the success of Chinas development efforts.
Forecasts of the point at which China will overtake the United States as the worlds strongest
economic power have repeatedly been revised closer toward the present. Optimistic assessments
of Chinas prospects for sustainable future development frequentlypoint out that inefficiencies in
China are not so serious as to threaten these positive developments, since unutilized capacity
remains more substantial than inefficiencies. The often-made forecasts that the Peoples
Republic is in a state of near economic collapse are thus overly pessimistic, or in some cases
even wishful thinking.
The Chinese economy has succeeded in controlling the effects of the post-2008 global financial
and economic crisis, showing double-digit growth rates attributable in part to a comprehensive
economic stimulus package of about CNY 4 trillion. Throughout 2011, China continued to lead
the world economy, generating a growth rate of 9.2%. Though waning demand and investment
from European countries and the United States have slightly weakened the export-driven Chinese
economy, simultaneous increases in domestic spending have cushioned the overall detrimental
effect on the worlds second-biggest economy.
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Ahead of the planned leadership change at the 18th CCP party congress due in fall 2012, no
major political reforms were underway. In the run-up to the party congress the political
atmosphere clearly hardened, and repressive measures were tightened. A series of local peoples
congress elections in 2011 saw a number of independent candidates competing and receiving
substantial international media attention; however, these candidates were largely unsuccessful at
the polls. Civil and human rights enshrined in the constitution and international treaties are still
largely denied in practice. Rights activists and lawyers were subject to increasing repression in
2011.
Official policies of increased political transparency and corruption prevention have not delivered
meaningful results in terms of improving the quality of governance. Due to their links with the
local party-controlled state bodies, courts are not reliable venues for the rectification of major
grievances. Extrajudicial treatment by executive organs has become pervasive. Popular unrest
has been triggered by social inequality, deepening regional developmental disparities,
insufficient social security systems, corruption and environmental degradation, illegal land sales
and in Chinas western provinces of Tibet and Xinjiang ethnic exclusion. These issues
remain unresolved and pose an ongoing threat to regime stability.
Despite the liberalization and commercialization of the Chinese media that has taken place since
the 1990s, the countrys main TV, radio and print outlets are still under official control. Social
media such as micro blogging service Sina Weibo have gained importance as a result, as they
provide an increasingly important forum for liberal thought and news circulation, mostly outside
the reach of official censorship.
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With regard to social services, major reforms are being undertaken in the health care sector. To
date this has presented no unified picture, as many reform initiatives remain in experimental
form. Social services continue to suffer from sharp differences in terms of provision in rural and
urban areas, exacerbating the growing urban-rural income inequality, and complicating life for
individuals who do not live at their place of registration. According to the results of the 2010
census, the number of migrant workers has climbed above 200 million. These individuals are
effectively excluded from social services and health care at their place of residence. Reform of
Chinas residence system, while seemingly inevitable, has not yet been enacted.
Chinas military budget further expanded in 2011, to an annual expenditure of more than $100
billion. The country has in many cases been unwilling to compromise on its territorial claims,
especially in the South China Sea, leading to a string of clashes between China and its neighbors.
Funding for domestic security has also increased, which points to a more assertive stance vis--
vis ethnic or social problems and tensions.
Pollution problems continue to severely affect the ecosphere and the populations quality of life.
Urban air pollution has drawn increasing attention in 2011. Ambitious environmental and
climate policies have been promulgated, with renewable energies receiving active support.
However, implementation of environmental policies overall has lagged. In general, the constant
demand for growth, changing consumptionpatterns and above all Chinas coal-based energy mix
have continued to hamper major advances in this area.