China and the Brics STUDENT: NICOLE ROMANELLI SUPERVISOR: LIU WEI China and the Brics student: Nicole Romanelli student number: 788999 supervisor: Liu Wei
China and the Brics
STUDENT: NICOLE ROMANELLI
SUPERVISOR: LIU WEI
China and the Brics
student: Nicole Romanelli
student number: 788999
supervisor: Liu Wei
RESEARCH QUESTIONS
1) Which is the economic and political position of
China among the BRICS?
2) Is the BRICS an equally based and homogeneus
group or not? Is the BRICS group
institutionalized and rule-based?
3) Chinese interests in BRICS are more economical
or political?
METHODOLOGY
Theoretical dissetation based mainly on
documentary analysis
Analysis of the existing literature
Primary sources: agreements and summit declarations
Quantifiable data: economic data provided by
international institution concerning: GDP, demography,
FDI, intra-trade and balance of payment.
RESEARCH DESIGN AND
STRUCTURE
Overview of BRICS origin and development
BRICS countries economic fetaures comparing to
G6 countries
BRICS intra-trade
Chinese investments on BRICS
BRICS members’ position on New Development
Bank and CRA
Chinese diplomatic strategy with BRICS
BRICS ORIGIN AND
DEVELOPMENT
2001 Jim O’Neil created the acronym BRICS in the report Building
Better Global Economic BRICs
Solow economic model it frames economic development as a
cath up or convergence growth towards steady state.
2009 inaugural BRICs summit in Yekatirburg in Russia
2011 South Africa jointed the group in Sanya summit
BRICS ECONOMIC FEATURES
BRICS differ from G6 countries
for: size, demography, GDP and
economic growth.
G6: USA, Germany, Japan, Great Britain, France
and Italy.
BRICs and BRICS: excluding South Africa
SIZE AND DEMOGRAPHY
Population growth
2005-2013
GDP AND ECONOMIC GROWTH
GDP per capita growth 2005-2013
GDP growth 2005-2013
THE SPECTER OF POVERTY
CHINA IN BRICS INTRA-TRADE
BRICS summits focus officially their cooperation on trade
and investment among members.
CHINA
INDIA
BRAZIL
RUSSIA
SOUTH AFRICA
CHINESE INVESTMENT IN BRICS
In BRAZIL
In INDIA
In RUSSIA
In SOUTH AFRICA
In the UNITED STATES OF AMERICA
BRICS need China more than China does
THE NEW DEVELOPMENT BANK
AND THE CRA
The creation of NDB can be seen as a response to the lack of
reforms to existing financial institutions (WB, IMF, ADB).
After the financial crisis of 2008 and G20 meeting it was clear
that Bretton Woods institutions did not reflect anymore
contemporary economic power distribution in the global
order.
NEW DEVELOPMENT BANK
The cration of the BRICS Bank passed through a long
process started in 2010 during the summit held in Brasilia
The Bank was established in 2014 during the Fortaleza
summit
The Bank shall have an initial authorized capital of 100
billion US$ and an initial subscribed capital of 50 billion
US$ equally shared among memebers
The Bank works on a equal-shared voting basis since
each of five signatories contributing with 10 billion US$
with no veto power.
Headquarter will be in Shanghai, the first president will be
Indian and there will be a regional center in Johannesburg.
CRA
In 2014 BRICS countries have also created a 100 billion
US$ Contingency Reserve Arrangement in order to
provide additional liquidity protection to member
countries during balance of payments problems.
Unlike the NDB is not equally shared but it is being funded
41% by China and 18% by Brazil, India and Russia, and
5%by South Africa
The parties shall be able to access resources subject to
maximum access limits equal to a multiple of each party’s
individual commitment set forth as follow:
CHINA’S DIPLOMATIC STRTEGY
China does not see the BRICS group only as an economic
platform, but BRICS also values its importance at the
political and soft-power level and it is China’s interest to
use the collective voice og the BRICS to influence the
reforms and decision-making process of major
international institution without facing or take the lead
directly.
BUT
China does not want to build stonger ties with the group.
China has no specific policies towards BRICS collectively
and it only pursues the improvement of bilateral realtions
with each memebers
Even BRICS members seem to not trust China totally as
can show the alternative group of IBSA.
CONCLUSIONS - Which is the economic and political position of China among the
BRICS?
- Is the BRICS an equally based and homogeneus group or not? Is the
BRICS group institutionalzed and rule-based?
1) CHINA DE FACTO LEADERSHIP
China is the biggest economy in terms of
population, GDP and FDI.
CRA Chinese quotas
2) CHINA DOES NOT NEED BRICS AS THEY DO
BRICS intra-trade data
Chinese investment in BRICS
Other members’ economies depend deeply on
China no economic homogeneity
3) CHINA’s RETHORIC
China officially affirms that BRICS should stress
and improve their economic relation but summits
are far to be fully institutionalized and rule-based
China still prefers to enhance bilateral relations
with members no cohesion
- Chinese interests in BRICS are more economical or political?
4) BRICS POLITICAL IMPORTANCE
China needs BRICS more politically than
economically speaking. BRICS are the facto the
group who play the only alternative voice to the
West in which China could ask to reform the
current financial system (ex. NDB, SDR and G20)
in which all BRICS are united, but they don’t have
other political beliefs in common no political
homogeneity (ex. IBSA)
Thank you for your
attention